OffshoreInsiders.com news and notes from Joe Duffy, the top sports handicapper in the world. 

MSU (-2, 144) @ PSU

Penn State lost 3-of-4

Michigan State won three straight 

No edge either way with quality slumping underdogs

Penn State Forward Lamar Stevens17.7 points per game on 44% shooting, along with 6.9 rebounds and 2.1 assists.

-Xavier Tillman on him. Great season against top players

Cassius Winston has scored a total of 77 points in the last four games and dished out 26 assists as well

Independent computer predictions: Penn State 73-72, Michigan State 72-71, Penn State 72-70

The pick: Penn State 

TEN.@ UK (-9,132)

KU already regular season champs 

UT with five players averaging double-figures 

Ashton Hagans inconsistent for UK

Last home game of year

UT completely different team since losing Lamonte Turner on Dec. 21

UT a veteran team

Young UK peaking when they are supposed to peak 

Soph Immanuel Quickley among hottest players in country

Independent computer predictions: Kentucky 70-61, 69-61, 69-58

The pick: UNDER 

PUR @ IOWA (-5,141,5)

Led by Luka Garza’s Iowa’s seniors account for 59 percent of points this year and 64 last five games

Purdue needs three wins to make Dance 

Boilermakers struggling from field last five games, but face a suspect defense 

Purdue won by 36 last meeting

HF revenging massive losses actually a decent bet

Independent computer predictions: Iowa 72-68, 70-66, 75-68

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The pick: Iowa 

WVU (-4.5, 140) at ISU

ISU 11 of their 12 wins at home

ISU without Tyrese Haliburton, who leads the team in points, rebounds and assists since Feb 6

WVU 16 percent from three-point territory last four games

Independent computer predictions: WVU 73-68, 73-65, 72-69

The pick: Iowa State 

As we enter March Madness 2020, at least March, Kansas is the favorites to win it all followed by Big 12 Baylor. Despite their annual disappointment, Gonzaga edges out Duke and fellow mid-major Dayton according to 5 Dimes. All odds based on $100 per bet. Hence +1000 would be the same as 10-1. 

NCAA Men’s Basketball   National Champion 2019/20

Mon 3/2  7:00PM

National Champion – Mercedes-Benz Stadium – Atlanta, GA – April 6, 2020

Kansas   +475

Baylor    +800

Gonzaga +800

Duke      +900

Dayton   +1000

Maryland          +1150

Kentucky           +1200

Michigan State            +1200

Seton Hall         +1400

Louisville           +1500

Oregon              +2000

San Diego State             +2000

Auburn              +3000

Creighton          +3000

Florida State     +3000

Ohio State         +3000

West Virginia    +3000

Penn State        +3250

Arizona              +4000

Villanova           +4000

Michigan           +4250

BYU       +4500

Texas Tech        +5000

Butler    +5500

Colorado           +5500

Iowa      +5500

Purdue   +7000

Virginia              +7500

Houston            +8000

LSU        +8000

Rutgers              +8000

Saint Mary’s      +8000

Xavier    +8000

Wichita State    +8500

Wisconsin         +8500

Illinois    +9000

Florida   +10000

Indiana              +10000

Marquette        +10000

Memphis           +10000

Mississippi State           +10000

North Carolina   +10000

Stanford            +10000

Tennessee         +10000

VCU       +10000

Washington      +10000

Alabama            +11000

Utah State         +11000

East Tennessee State   +12500

Northern Iowa   +12500

Arkansas           +15000

Cincinnati          +15000

Iowa State         +15000

Texas A&M       +15000

UCLA     +15000

Providence        +17500

Syracuse            +17500

Texas     +17500

Connecticut      +20000

Harvard             +20000

Minnesota         +20000

Missouri            +20000

NC State            +20000

Notre Dame      +20000

Oklahoma         +20000

Wake Forest      +20000

USC       +22500

Arizona State    +25000

Clemson            +25000

Georgetown      +25000

Liberty   +25000

Mississippi        +25000

Oklahoma State            +25000

Saint Louis         +25000

Temple              +25000

Virginia Tech     +25000

Georgia             +30000

Miami Florida    +30000

Rhode Island     +30000

South Carolina   +30000

St John’s            +30000

TCU       +30000

Yale       +30000

DePaul   +35000

Kansas State      +35000

Missouri State   +35000

New Mexico      +35000

Oregon State     +35000

Pittsburgh         +35000

Nebraska           +40000

Nevada              +45000

Belmont            +50000

California          +50000

Davidson           +50000

Fresno State      +50000

Hawaii   +50000

Loyola Chicago              +50000

Middle Tennessee        +50000

Murray State     +50000

New Mexico State        +50000

Northwestern   +50000

Pennsylvania     +50000

Princeton          +50000

SMU      +50000

Tulsa      +50000

UC Irvine           +50000

UNLV     +50000

Utah      +50000

Vanderbilt         +50000

Vermont            +50000

Washington State         +50000

Wofford            +50000

Boise State        +55000

Buffalo   +75000

Albany   +100000

Colgate              +100000

Fairleigh Dickinson        +100000

Georgia State    +100000

Iona       +100000

Jackson State    +100000

Lipscomb           +100000

Marshall            +100000

Massachusetts              +100000

Miami Ohio       +100000

North Dakota State       +100000

Northern Kentucky       +100000

Old Dominion   +100000

Prairie View A&M         +100000

South Dakota State       +100000

St Bonaventure             +100000

Toledo   +100000

UC Davis            +100000

UMBC   +100000

Weber State      +100000

William & Mary             +100000

Wright State     +100000

Wyoming          +100000

Bradley              +125000

Bucknell            +125000

Charleston        +200000

Florida Gulf Coast         +200000

Kent State         +200000

Montana           +200000

Northeastern    +200000

Gardner-Webb              +250000 

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Yesterday, Washington was NBA Game of the Month and it won easily. NHL Game of the Month tonight. Get the picks now 

Free NBA pick from Joe Duffy is:

INDIANA -2 San Antonio

Away favorites versus opponent off a close win is 385-264-8.  A subsystem takes the angle up slightly to 60.8 percent winners. Bad home teams off a win under specific situations is 144-75-1. 

NBA Injuries:

Luka Doncic     DAL @ CHI, probable

Kristaps Porzingis        DAL @ CHI, Questionable to doubtful

LaMarcus Aldridge      SAN vs IND, doubtful

Aaron Gordon ORL vs POR, questionable

Otto Porter     CHI vs DAL, Confirmed

Cam Reddish   ATL vs MEM, questionable

Zach LaVine     CHI vs DAL, doubtful

Khris Middleton          MIL @ MIA, questionable

Notes:

Dallas and Milwaukee in second of back-to-back games. San Antonio in front end of back-to-back games. 

Chicago, Memphis, Miami, and San Antonio all have recent travel edges over their opponent. Atlanta has traveled 5,879 miles lately compared to 1,566 for Memphis. Chicago just 1,066 to Dallas going 3,813 in the same span. Milwaukee has gone 2,584 while Miami has not left home. Spurs edge is 1,101 to 2,624 for Pacers. 

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Dallas, Houston

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Houston Rockets; Weber State 

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Despite another stellar performance by LeBron James last night that has prompted a lot of MVP chatter, Giannis Antetokounmpo remains a heavy favorite for the accolade. 

SportsBetting has updated its odds for Most Valuable Player, Rookie of the Year, Defensive Player of the Year, Most Improved Player, Sixth Man and Coach of the Year. 

Antetokounmpo had MVP odds as high as +200 in late 2019 while James’ odds were +1200 at the beginning of the season.

Zion Williamson is gaining ground on Ja Morant for ROY honors after being as high as +500 while he was sidelined. 

Anthony Davis, who leads the league in blocks, is favored for DPOY while Brandon Ingram is the frontrunner for Most Improved Player. 

Dennis Schroder leads a tight Sixth Man race, and Nick Nurse is the favorite for Coach of the Year.

MVP Odds

Giannis Antetokounmpo (-750)

LeBron James (+800)

Luka Doncic (+1000)

James Harden (+1200)

Anthony Davis (+2500)

Damian Lillard (+2800)

Kawhi Leonard (+3300)

ROY Odds

Ja Morant (-250)

Zion Williamson (+170)

Def. POY Odds

Anthony Davis (-150)

Giannis Antetokounmpo (+200)

Rudy Gobert (+450)

Bam Adebayo (+2000)

Joel Embiid (+2000)

MIP Odds

Brandon Ingram (+150)

Bam Adebayo (+300)

Devonte Graham (+300)

Luka Doncic (+500)

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (+1200)

Fred VanVleet (+2000)

Sixth Man

Dennis Schroder (+125)

Montrezl Harrell (+175)

Lou Williams (+200)

Coach of the Year

Nick Nurse (+150)

Mike Budenholzer (+200)

Michael Malone (+700)

Frank Vogel (+750)

Erik Spoelstra (+900)

Rick Carlise (+1000)

Taylor Jenkins (+1200)

Billy Donovan (+1800)

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Free NBA pick:

SACRAMENTO -7.5 Detroit

Big home favorites in revenge of same-season blowout loss are 758-625-35 including excactly 60 percent since 2013. 

Critical NBA injuries 

Luka Doncic DAL @ MIN, questionable 

Fred VanVleet TOR @ DEN, questionable 

De’Aaron Fox  SAC vs DET, questionable 

Khris Middleton MIL @ CHR Probable 

Draymond Green GS vs WAS, questionable 

Paul Millsap, DEN vs TOR, questionable 

Serge Ibaka, TOR @ DEN, questionable 

Christian Wood, DET @ SAC, questionable 

Danny Green, LAL @ NO, questionable 

Jordan Poole, GS vs WAS, questionable 

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: none

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Milwaukee; SMU

Notes: 

Dallas and Milwaukee both playing front end of back-to-back games, while Lakers and Golden State are playing back end of back-to-back games. New Orleans, LA Clippers, and Sacramento have big edges in terms of recent travel.