All posts by Joe Duffy

Friday NCAA and NFL Betting Information


Check out some news and notes and computer trends for
Friday NCAA football and the final day of NFL preseason football. Normally
these reports are separate, but with just two games tonight, we will combine
the two. Let’s start out with the computer trends, where all records are
against the spread unless of course, over/under is specified.

CFB

Temple-Army

Trends: Temple
is 6-2 their last eight against Independents. Army is 3-8 on fake surfaces and
the Black Knights have gone over 8-2 on turf.

Notes: Army debuts their new turf and they have not won a
home opener since 1996. Army must replace four of their top five tacklers from
last year. This could be a high scoring game as each team does return their
starting quarterback. 

SMU-Rice

SMU is 4-9 their last 13
overall. Rice has won 11-of-14 conference games and the Owls have exceeded the
total at a staggering 40-11 rate.  Rice
is 39-17 in conference play going back even further.

Throw out the SMU game films
from previous years and June Jones makes his debut as the Mustangs coach. Jones
of course is the man who rebuilt his alma mater Hawaii.
Wow, Rice’s defense allowed more than 42 points per game. Rice has won nine
straight at home in the series.

NFL

Chargers-49ers

The Niners starters will only
play a series. No surprise, but the Chargers will certainly be without
LaDainian Tomlinson and Shawne Merriman. San
Francisco
color analyst Gary Plummer claims this game
is much more important to San Francisco.

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Raiders-Seahawks

Again, no surprise, but Seattle will sit Matt Hasselbeck, Lofa Tatupu, Bobby Engram, Deion Branch, and Sean Locklear—basically anyone
who is good and claims to be hurt.

Seattle should
run the ball a lot. As mentioned, their No. 1 quarterback, Elizabeth Hasselbeck’s brother-in-law is out and won’t face any of
the charging Rosie O’Donnell look-alikes. Backup Seneca Wallace is limited and
third stringer Charlie Frye missed their only practice. Dalton Bell (who?) will
throw most of the passes.

Oakland
starting quarterback JaMarcus Russell sits. Andrew Walter starts behind center
and Marques Tuiasosopo follows.

Broncos-Cardinals

Kurt Warner starts at quarterback Friday for the Rams. For
those who love to bet on teams with quarterback battles, this game is for you.
Head coach Ken Whisenhunt has not said whether Warner on Matt Leinart starts
opening week. Both are expected to get snaps behind the starting offensive
line.

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for the winning plays.


NCAAF Betting Trends ATS


Here are computer trends and angles for college football
betting Week 1 compiled by the staff of OffshoreInsiders.com.
All quoted records are against the spread unless we specify totals. Check out
the NFL
news and notes
for tonight which includes quarterback rotations.

Thursday

UTEP-Buffalo

The Bulls are 4-12 in non-conference games and have gone
under 11-of-13 outside the conference.

Vanderbilt-Miami Ohio

Commodores are 10-4 the last 14 road games. Miami
is 3-9 at home. Vanderbilt has gone under 10-2 at home.

Troy-Middle Tennessee State

The Trojans are 8-2 on the road their last 10 and have
covered 7-of-9 within the conference.

NC State-South Carolina

Wolfpack are 1-5 in the conference. The Gamecocks have
gone over 23-9 their last 32.

Wake Forest-Baylor

The Demon Deacons are on a 7-1 run. Baylor is 4-13 their
last 17 against the spread. Wake Forest
has gone under 15-4 their last 19.

Oregon State-Stanford

The Beavers are 6-1 the last seven in the conference and
they are 9-2 in the series. The Cardinal have failed
on 10-of-13 home games. Stanford has gone under 45-16 the last 61. Stanford is
5-19 on the road in the first month of the season.

Get the college football version of the Tailgate
Party
which features college football live odds, plus
scores and betting trends (who the public is
betting
), more NCAA football against the spread
angles, free picks, game previews
written for bettors, weather, injuries, motivational factors, CFB Halftime Lines,
the StatFox matchups, and the Chalk Gaming
version.


Quarterback Rotations For NFL Bettors



Bet at 5Dimes


The top sports handicapping site OffshoreInsiders.com
takes a look at news and notes, which includes NFL preseason quarterback
rotations, plus our first look at a windfall of a college football season. All
games are for Thursday action to beat the sportsbooks.

Panthers-Steelers

Carolina is
expected to allow third string quarterback fight for his life and play most if
not all of the second half. It is uncertain whether the Panthers will carry two
or three quarterbacks. Jake Delhomme and Matt Moore are locked in as one and
two.

The Steelers are expected to give a lot of playing time to
backup QB Byron Leftwich to allow the newly acquired vet learn the offense. Rookie
Dennis Dixon should also get a long look-see.

The Steelers starters will play about a quarter but no
longer. This includes Pro Bowl safety Troy Polamalu.

Titans-Packers

Tennessee is
expected to play their starters into the third quarter while Green
Bay
’s first stringers will get about 10 snaps. This
means the Packers will have two rookies at QB for the remainder of the game:
Brian Brohm and Matt Flynn.

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Bears-Browns

The Bears starters will get a token appearance. Sources
say Brian Urlacher and Mike Brown may not play at all.

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Lions-Bills

Lions coach Rod Marinelli said a
“few” starters may sit out tonight. Newly signed QB Drew Henson is expected to
play about a quarter behind center for Detroit.

Patriots-NY Giants

Middling handicapper Oscar Dooley will note this is a
rematch of the Super Bowl, but we don’t expect any revenge factor. New
England
is very deep and running back and will likely keep the
ball on the ground as they decide final roster spots.

Bengals-Colts

Bengals quarterback Carson Palmer is out. However both RB Rudi Johnson and WR T.J. Houshmandzadeh are expected to get their first snaps
of the preseason. Often confused head coach Marvin Lewis is not sure how much
each will play. WR Chad Johnson is not expected to
play.

Vikings-Cowboys

Minnesota is
not expected to play starters on either side of the ball. Neither of their top
two QB Tarvaris Jackson or Gus Frerotte is expected to play. That means two big
question marks will play tonight: struggling rookie John David Booty and
journeyman Brooks Bollinger.

The Pokes starters are expected to play little if any,
including playboy Tony Romo, who is unlikely to suit
up. In fact, third-string QB Richard Bartel is
expected to play the whole game.

Jets-Eagles

Starting QB for the Jets, Brett Favre, are not expected to
play at all. However, the Eagles may actually play their starters as head coach
Andy Reid claims he’s undecided. History says they won’t play according to Cy McCormick of MasterLockLine.com

Jaguars-Redskins

Jacksonville
will likely play their starters one or two series. New head coach Jim Zorn
reports that he will play the Redskins starters so they can get in a groove for
the regular season.


Dancing With the Stars Odds Are Posted

promo/euro

As we reported
yesterday
, it was only a matter of time before the sportsbooks posted odds on the new
season of Dancing With the Stars. Also, as you watch the Democratic National Convention,
please note that most online casinos have taken the Republican choice for Vice
President off the board.

Intrade still gives Barack Obama
a 61 percent chance of being elected President of the United
States
say the political betting
odds
.  

Dancing With The Stars has become an absolute phenomenon
with fans watching in record numbers to watch, and old stars looking for a
re-boost in their career jockeying for position to get picked to be on the
show.  From retired athletes to “where are they now?” actors – the show
offers a plethora of familiar faces in odd places which adds to the allure.

With speculation building to an all-time high for the show as to who will win
this next competition, and the field being set for the dance-off, the largest
most successful sportsbook on the web, BetUS.com posted odds on which star will
be judged the best dancer.

Analysts at BetUs Sportsbook
posted the following odds on Dancing With The Stars:

Lance Bass    5/1
Toni Braxton  3/1
Brooke Burke  12/1
Rocco Dispirito 20/1
Maurice Green  9/1
Kim Kardashian 8/1
Cloris Leachman 18/1
Cody Linley  8/1
Susan Lucci 15/1
Misty May Treanor  7/1
Ted McGinley  15/1
Jeffrey Ross  25/1
Warren Sapp  20/1


NCAA Betting

OffshoreInsiders.com
is proud to debut the 2008 edition of the Tailgate Party. “Sports bettors made
significant profits from the free information in our NFL preseason version,”
explains OffshoreInsiders.com CEO
Joe Duffy.

However, the NFL preseason is very much a modified version
compared to the regular season NCAA football and the NFL versions.

Get the college football version of the Tailgate
Party
which features college football live odds, plus
scores and betting trends (who the public is
betting
), more NCAA football against the spread
angles, free picks, game previews
written for bettors, weather, injuries, motivational factors, CFB Halftime Lines,
the StatFox matchups, and the Chalk Gaming
version.

Yes, this is the same feature sports bettors have enjoyed
for years on the scorephones. However, the platform of the Internet gives
sports bettors more flexibility than the popular version heard on the
scorephones.

The Tailgate Party will be available every day there is
NFL or college football action through the bowls and the Super Bowl.

Week 1 CFB Betting Trends

Here are computer trends and angles for college football
betting Week 1 compiled by the staff of OffshoreInsiders.com.
All quoted records are against the spread unless we specify totals.

Get the college football version of the Tailgate
Party
which features college football live odds, plus
scores and betting trends (who the public is
betting
), more NCAA football against the spread
angles, free picks, game previews
written for bettors, weather, injuries, motivational factors, CFB Halftime Lines,
the StatFox matchups, and the Chalk Gaming
version.

Thursday

Buffalo-UTEP

The Bulls are 4-12 in non-conference games and have gone
under 11-of-13 outside the conference.

Vanderbilt-Miami Ohio

Commodores are 10-4 the last 14 road games. Miami
is 3-9 at home. Vanderbilt has gone under 10-2 at home.

Troy-Middle Tennessee State

The Trojans are 8-2 on the road their last 10 and have
covered 7-of-9 within the conference.

NC State-South Carolina

Wolfpack are 1-5 in the conference. The Gamecocks have
gone over 23-9 their last 32.

Wake Forest-Baylor

The Demon Deacons are on a 7-1 run. Baylor is 4-13 their
last 17 against the spread. Wake Forest
has gone under 15-4 their last 19.

Oregon State-Stanford

The Beavers are 6-1 the last seven in the conference and
they are 9-2 in the series. The Cardinal have failed
on 10-of-13 home games. Stanford has gone under 45-16 the last 61.

Friday

Temple-Army

Temple is 6-2 their
last eight against Independents. Army is 3-8 on fake surfaces and the Black
Knights have gone over 8-2 on turf.

SMU-Rice

SMU is 4-9 their last 13
overall. Rice has won 11-of-14 conference games and the Owls have exceeded the
total at a staggering 40-11 rate.


Biden His Tongue: Obama’s Choice Makes McCain the New Favorite for POTUS 2008




John McCain should be the heavy favorite to be next
President of the United States.
I’ve never said that before. If “Barack America
chose Hillary Clinton as his running mate, Obama would and should remain as the
favorite for the White House. In fact, the political betting
odds
would likely have gone up.

Am I oblivious to history which states emphatically that
voters chose between presidential candidates and not the entire ticket? No.

The American public is not going to vote for or against
Biden or the eventual McCain running mate choice. But Biden is on record
forcefully questioning Obama’s qualifications for president and praising
McCain’s. Barack Obama’s highly
questionable VP decision gives those soon-to-be-fatal comments a stronger
voice.

When asked by George Stephanopoulos on the ABC program This Week about questioning Obama’s lack
of experience, the verbose Biden gave a terse, “I stand by my statement.”

The American public is fair. They generally distinguish
when a candidate is distorting his opponent’s words. One look at Biden’s
criticism of Obama and praise of McCain will make it virtually impossible for
Biden to claim he was taken out of context. Biden left nothing to misinterpretation
or misrepresentation.

While Barack America
still has the ability to win over the Hillary Clinton base that he
disenfranchised, the fact he bypassed the person the polls and primary
electorate clearly preferred as veep opens the door for a powerful question.

A big selling point by Obama was that he was willing to
meet face-to-face with the vilest enemies of the country his wishes to
represent. Yet the undecided may ask why he is so eager to find common ground
with sworn enemies of the United States,
yet he couldn’t even achieve accord with Hillary Clinton?

Just as Obama started to put the Jeremiah Wright
controversy behind him, Barack’s choice was another gift horse.

Surely Republican partisans are looking to piggy back
Wright’s racist and anti-American comments, Michael Pfleger’s inflammatory
bigoted ranks and perhaps Michele Obama’s ill-fated “first time in my adult
life I’m proud to be an American” with Biden’s shocking “In Delaware, the
largest growth of population is Indian Americans, moving from India. You cannot
go to a 7/11 or a Dunkin’ Donuts unless you have a slight Indian accent.”
Perhaps the most devastating words followed, “I’m not joking.”

Hurry bet John McCain now as the big underdog (political betting
odds
) at one of the sportsbooks
that have not adjusted to the fact the Joe Biden makes McCain the “Wright”
favorite.

The author, Grandmaster sports handicapper Joe Duffy is not
only the top sports betting expert in the world, but a widely accepted
authority in political handicapping. He can be reached at joeduffy@joeduffy.net


Joe “The Factsman” Apricena



Bet at 5Dimes


We have gotten a few emails at the MasterLockLine.com
regarding Joe “The Factsman” Apricena. According to Cy McCormick,
Apricena highest finish ever in any sport was in 2002 when he ranked 97th
out of 620 sports handicappers in
college football. That year was also his highest overall finish in all sports
when he came in at 202 out of 620.

SportsForumPicks.com and Bookmaker teamed up for a
sensational publicity stunt when they claimed Apricena risked $1,000,000 in a
bet. “The worst publicity is no publicity,” said OffshoreInsiders.com
CEO Joe Duffy admitting, “I wish I thought of the stunt first.”

As radio touts Sebastian, Larry Dukehart
“The Duke” on Sporting News Radio and Jonathan Stone, as well as John Morrison, Sports
Betting Champ
show, marketing is imperative. The sportsbooks and sports handicappers are often
involved in synergy promotions and the previously unknown Apricena and Bookmaker have pulled off
the best publicity stunt since Lou Diamond’s HBO gift horse.

Perhaps one of the sportsbooks can say they found Bigfoot
or has that idea already been taken?


Early NFL Primer and Quarterback Rotations for Gamblers

promo/euro

Here are quarterback rotations, news and notes and key
gambling advice for the weekend’s preseason NFL betting.

Friday

Eagles-Patriots

Already a weakness, the Eagles are hurting out wide
receiver. Kevin Curtis and Reggie Brown are both out for this game. Curtis was
the leading receiver last year.

Saturday

Ravens-Rams

Troy Smith starts at quarterback for the Ravens. He may
play as much as three quarters. “Head coach John Harbaugh
knows that Kyle Boller is terrible. He will give Smith every chance to win the
job,” says NFL betting guru Mike Godsey of GodsTips. Godsey seems to imply a
lot of passing will be done by the normally ball control Ravens.

However Smith has been terrible so far completing just
8-of-17 for no touchdowns and one pick. Rams
star running back Steven Jackson is still a holdout. Though reports say that
may end soon, it is extremely unlikely he would play Saturday.

Wide receiver Torry Holt is
questionable because of a tight back.

Saints-Bengals

New Orleans TE Jeremy Shockey is practicing and may get
his first action of the preseason.

Sunday

Bills-Colts

The Bills will be without RB
Willis McGahee. Colts quarterback Peyton Manning is out. Stevie Vincent Senior
Analyst of OffshoreInsiders.com
says that Manning may now miss the start of the season, hence “We expect Jim Sorgi to air it out as there is a very good chance that he
will get playing time this regular season.”

Sports betting
insiders are keeping an eye on Buffalo
starting QB Trent Edwards, who suffered a contusion on his quadriceps.

Monday

Seahawks-Chargers

Seattle
starting quarterback Matt Hasselbeck is doubtful. They are also without their
top two receivers Bobby Engram and Deion Branch and
are adjusting to the departure or running back Shaun Alexander.

Backup Seneca Wallace has been limited, so third stringer
Charlie Frye has been taking many of the snaps. Though Chargers TE Antonio
Gates returned to practice, he is not expected to play.