All posts by Joe Duffy

Tim Donaghy: Truth or Fiction?

Champs Sports

As always, we will allow others to engage in rampant
speculation about Tim Donaghy’s latest bombshell finger pointing. We will
continue to give our fair
and balanced
take.

Mind you, in lieu of a smoking gun, we are all engaging in
conjecture, but unlike others, I only claim to have educated theories, not the
definitive rejoinder.

Let’s rid of one apocryphal contention. I have heard enough of this “we didn’t believe
Jose Conseco either” balderdash. This is not to say I accepted every name and
detail from the get-go. However, the before/after comparisons of sundry players
girth, corroborated by rapidly ascending power statistics, had me long previously
convinced of MLB’s “don’t ask, don’t tell” steroid policy.

Whether or not such circumstantial evidence would hold up
in a court of law is irrelevant. The
visual and statistical evidence that existed long before Conseco’s casebound is infinitely more damning than any so-far undocumented
innuendo Donaghy has thrown against the wall.

Until Donaghy presents supporting evidence, here is my
learned take. The rogue criminal merely cherry-picked several high profile NBA
officiating controversies and decided to retro fit insinuation with the intent to
intimidate the NBA from aggressively seeking punitive action.

Yet he is fortunate enough to possess likely legitimate,
though irrelevant to his criminal charges, tattletale scuttlebutt that
conspiracy theorists will accept as proof that the more salacious
whistle-blowing (pun unintentional) is valid.

As an example, the jailbird alleges, “Team 3 lost the
first two games in the series and Team 3’s Owner complained to NBA officials.
Team 3’s Owner alleged that referees were letting a Team 4 player get away with
illegal screens. NBA Executive Y told Referee Supervisor Z that the referees
for that game were to enforce the screening rules strictly against that Team 4
player. Referee Supervisor Z informed the referees about his instructions. As
an alternate referee for that game, Tim also received these instructions.”

Coaches and players make game-to-game adjustments. The
fact that officials also view game film in order to correct errors, even on a
night-by-night basis, is every bit as commendable as it is believable. Nice try
convict, but thanks for the big “so what”.

He also alleges that in violation of league policy,
officials at times socialized with team hierarchy or solicited players for
autographs. While it’s quite plausible a referee requested a star player’s John
Hancock for their grandson, this is the equivalent of proving a person
jaywalked as evidence he is guilty of murder.

Okay Tim, we are sure officials didn’t obey the NBA’s
overbearing guidelines infallibly, but even if said squealing proves accurate,
it only demonstrates your fellow zebras human, not illicit. Score another “so
what” for the inmate.

Sadly though, early returns of the court of public opinion
suggest Donaghy’s indoctrination has been met with
initial success. While Donaghy skillfully planted confirmation bias to put the
NBA on the defensive, the burden of proof is on him to substantiate, not the
league to negate.

“Innocent until proven guilty” may not a burden of proof
that applies at the collective water coolers around the country, but the
desperado seems to be given a lot more credibility than he has earned.

In the bookPropaganda and Persuasion, authors Garth
S. Jowett and Victoria O’Donnell define propaganda as
the deliberate, systematic attempt
to shape perceptions, manipulate cognitions, and direct behavior to achieve a
response that furthers the desired intent of the propagandist.”

In lieu of a
scinitlla of even an air of reality, it appears window dressing is all Donaghy
can deliver.

Joe Duffy is
the top sports handicapper in
America and CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com

 

 


Belmont Stakes Race Day

promo/euro

It could be a historic day at Belmont
Park
on Saturday, as Big Brown
tries to become only the 12th horse ever and the first in 30
years to win the elusive Triple Crown in the Belmont Stakes.

The big story is Grandmaster sports handicapper Joe Duffy has
the first through fourth places finishers, plus the baseball card, for just
$17. Click
now to purchase

Either due to his own dominance or to the questionable strength of
the field around him, Big Brown is a huge favorite to win the Belmont
at 2/5. It looked like Big Brown’s run at Affirmed – the last Triple Crown
winner – might be in jeopardy a few weeks ago after a crack was discovered in
his left front foot. However, the crack was found to be very minor and Big
Brown went through his regular training regimen without any problems leading up
to the Belmont. For added safety a
synthetic patch was applied to the hoof on Friday which should all
but erase any doubts regarding Big Brown’s health.

Judging by the rest of the odds for the 140th running of the Belmont,
the only horse the oddsmakers think has a real chance to upset Big Brown is Casino
Drive
, listed at 7/2. In his very short racing
career Casino Drive is undefeated in two races, both of which were impressive
victories. In his maiden, which took place in Japan, Casino Drive utterly
destroyed the rest of the field, winning by 11 ½ lengths. In his first race on American
soil, Casino Drive won the Peter Pan Stakes by 5 ¾ lengths.

Following Big Brown and Casino Drive on the Belmont odds is a former
challenger of Big Brown, Denis of Cork at 12/1. Denis of Cork last raced in the
Kentucky Derby and finished third behind Big Brown and the late Eight
Belles. Also returning from the Derby field to take another shot at Big Brown
is Tale of Ekati at 20/1 and Anak
Nakal at 30/1. Tale of Ekati
finished fourth in the Derby, while Anak Nakal was seventh.

There will also be two horses from the Preakness
Stakes field running in the Belmont. They include Macho Again, a 20/1 Belmont
underdog, and Icabad Crane, also listed at 20/1.
Macho Again finished as runner-up to Big Brown, while Icabad
Crane followed him in third place.

Odds to win Belmont Stakes

Big Brown 2/5
Casino Drive 7/2
Denis of Cork 12/1
Icabad Crane 20/1
Macho Again 20/1
Tale of Ekati 20/1
Anak Nakal 30/1
Da’ Tara 30/1
Ready’s Echo 30/1
Guadalcanal 50/1

 


Euro 2008 Betting Odds

promo/euro

North American gamblers are most concerned about the NBA Finals odds
and the Belmont
Stakes morning line
but internationally football punters, also known as
soccer bettors, are abuzz about Euro 2008.

Switzerland
and the Czech Republic
kick things off, with the Swiss a modest -115 favorite. Much like American
sports bettors can wager on the baseball run line, there is a goal line to bet
on with Switzerland
laying -1/2 at +175.

The second contest sees Portugal
and Turkey,
with Portugal
an overwhelming -335 chalk, but also options for adjusted lines at -.5 or a
full goal.

Sunday sees Austria
and Croatia,
with the Croatians laying a half-goal. The next game will be broadcast in ESPN
as Germany is a
goal favorite to Poland.
Do you think the Poles will upset them outright? The money line will pay you
4-1.

Game 2 of the NBA Finals is not until Sunday, but at press
time Boston is a one-point favorite
at NewBodog.

For those who believe Big Brown will win the Triple Crown,
but the odds are too steep, gamblers can bet a parlay and match Big Brown with
the English Derby. The double sees him paired with Casual Conquest at 6/1, New
Approach and Tantan Bearer each at 7/1.


Belmont Stakes, NBA Finals and Plenty to Bet On




The NBA Finals continue this weekend (NBA line), while
the Belmont Stakes (Belmont Stakes
morning line
) gives bettors another option on top of MLB, AFL, WNBA, NASCAR and Formula 1.

The NBA Finals between the Lakers and Celtics tipped off on Thursday night
with a 98-88 win by the Celts, and after two days off the series resumes in Boston
with Game 2 on Sunday. Game 3 is scheduled for Tuesday night back in Los
Angeles
. Get the best sports handicappers picks from OffshoreInsiders.com.

The 140th running of the Belmont Stakes goes on Saturday night with Big
Brown looking to snap a 30-year Triple Crown drought. Big Brown is a huge
favorite to make history at 1/3, while Casino Drive
is considered to be his biggest threat at 5/2.

In the Major Leagues this weekend Cleveland
takes on Detroit in what was
supposed to be a matchup of the top contenders in the American League Central.
Other AL divisional matchups include Baltimore
at Toronto, Minnesota
at the White Sox and the Angels at Oakland.
The rest of the AL weekend
schedule sees Seattle at Boston,
Kansas
City at the Yankees and Tampa
Bay
at Texas.

In the National League this weekend the only divisional matchups
on tap are Philadelphia at Atlanta
and St Louis at Houston.
Some other interesting matchups include Cincinnati
at Florida, Milwaukee
at Colorado and the Cubs at the
Dodgers. Rounding out the rest of the NL series are Arizona
at Pittsburgh, San
Francisco
at Washington
and the Mets at San Diego.

On the gridiron this weekend Week 15 in the AFL kicks off on Saturday with a
very busy day that includes six games. Starting things off on Saturday night is
New Orleans at New
York
(-1.5), Chicago at Cleveland
(+4.5) Colorado at Grand
Rapids
(-6) and Georgia
at Columbus (+4). The rest of the Saturday schedule includes Orlando
at Tampa Bay
(-3.5) and Philadelphia at Dallas
(-1.5).

Sunday’s AFL schedule includes only one contest, as Arizona
takes on Kansas City (-3).

In the WNBA, the weekend gets started on Friday
night with six games. They include Minnesota
at Connecticut, Chicago
at Atlanta, Houston
at New York, Washington
at San Antonio, Detroit
at Sacramento and Phoenix
at Los Angeles.

There are three more games on Saturday, as Houston
battles Indiana, Atlanta
takes on Chicago and Detroit
travels to Seattle. Three more
games finish off the weekend on Sunday, as Washington
faces Connecticut, Sacramento
drops in on New York and San
Antonio
clashes with Minnesota.

The drivers of NASCAR return to the track on Sunday at Pocono Raceway in the
Pocono 500. Jeff Gordon won at Pocono last season, but Kyle Busch will be the
favorite heading into the race, as the points leader goes for his fifth win of
the season.

Formula 1 also takes to the track in North America on
Sunday with the Canadian Grand Prix at Circuit Gilles-Villeneuve
in Montreal. Lewis Hamilton is the
defending champion of this event and he should be one of the favorites to top
the podium again coming off a win in the Monaco Grand Prix two weeks ago.


Sebastian Sports Picks



Bet at 5Dimes


The MasterLockLine.com
occasionally gets requests and questions about this sports service and that one. One of
the more common inquiries is about radio tout Sebastian. He is more of the Jim
Craig of sports handicappers
than the Dagmar Midcap to
be perfectly honest.

Okay, some of you are asking who Dagmar
Midcap is. She’s a weather woman in Atlanta,
where our international headquarters are. The point is she looks great every
day. Jim Craig, goaltender for the 1980 US
Olympic hockey team, was the best in the world for a week.

That’s how Sebastian made his name. He was the hottest
handicapper in the world for a short while just as he sent a lot of listeners
to a sportsbook that stiffed a bunch of gamblers. It wasn’t one of our approved
sportsbooks, no surprise.

Sebastian did finish No. 9 last year in college and pro
football combined—and we released a few of his plays—but the truth is he is not
among the top ranked handicappers long-term in any sport.

We don’t care about handicappers de jour or those with the
big budgets, cable TV shows or radio infomercials. The MasterLockLine.com
is simply about the best handicappers with their highest rated plays in
their highest rated sports.


McCain Given Little Chance to Beat Obama


Now that he has officially clinched the Democratic
nomination, Barack Obama is a -260 favorite to be next President of the
United States
according to the offshore odds, often referred to as the
Vegas odds for US President. Republican nominee John McCain is +175.

Intrade gives Obama a 58.8
percent chance at the White House, while McCain’s
fading chances are at 35.3.

RealClearPolitics.com
gives Obama a slimmer edge in their consensus poll as he’s up by 1.4 percentage
points to McCain.

Who will get the Vice Presidential nods according to the sportsbooks? Hillary Clinton is still the favorite
for the Dems at 5/2, with Jim Webb a close second at
3/1. Will John Edwards get the second fiddle again? He’s surprisingly just 5/1.

While Edwards isn’t likely to help Democrats win over the undecided,
the bipartisan Bill Richardson would. He’s 8/1 while Kathleen Sebulius and Wesley Clark 10/1. The most interesting possibility
Al Gore comes in at 20/1.

Louisiana
governor Bobby Jindal is the unanticipated favorite
for the Republican nominee at 7/2. Tim Pawlenty is
9/2. Mitt Romney, considered by many media talking heads as the likely choice,
is a relative long shot at 8/1 tying him with Lindsey Graham at 8/1.

Joe Duffy, the world’s top sports handicapper, but also a
political handicapping guru believes Fred Thompson at 40/1 is a great long
shot. “He is popular among the group McCain alienated: conservatives.”


Triple Crown Preview

Gif Banners

It’s been 30 years since there has been a Triple Crown
winner in horse racing. Will Big Brown end the drought this Saturday? Many have
won two legs including several to win the first two, with Smarty Jones being
the latest.

The latest 2008 Belmont Stakes odds
have Big Brown as a 1/3 favorite to make horse racing lore. Make sure you check
Saturday morning for the official offshore and Las Vegas
morning line odds for the Belmont.

Casino Drive is the most likely spoiler at 7/2. Every
other horse will qualify as a long shot. Denis of Cork is 10/1, while Tale of Ekati is 16/1.

Cy McCormick of the largest online betting syndicate in
the world MasterLockLine.com
says that Saturday won’t be a great day for sharp gamblers to exploit the
bookmakers, be they offshore, Las Vegas
or OTB.

“Most of our top horse racing handicappers think the
finish will be similar to the order the oddsmakers order,” wars Cy Mac.

However, NewBodog has some wacky propositions such as Will
Big Brown win the Belmont Stakes going wire to wire? Will Big Brown tie or
beat Secretariat’s record of a 31-length win in 1973? 

Grandmaster sports
handicapper
Joe Duffy of GodsTips says there is one prop bet that jumps out
big time. Will Big Brown race again
after the Belmont Stakes? No is -155, but Duffy says the odds
should be more like -500.

“If he wins the Triple Crown, he will be retired to stud.
Risking him by racing again would be financial suicide.”

The options are many for bettors. Will Big Brown’s winning
time in 2008 Belmont Stakes be faster than that of Affirmed – 2:26 4/5. in 1978? Will Belmont
Park
attendance for the 2008
Belmont Stakes exceed that of 120,139 in 2004 when Smarty Jones attempted to
win the Triple Crown? 

Check the home page of OffshoreInsiders.com
Saturday for details on where to get the best bets.


Bet on the World Series of Poker

Gif Banners

The World Series of Poker begins today and the betting odds
give investors sundry opportunities. Most of the key action for poker handicappers will commence in mid-to-late
June.

One can ante on whether or not Phil Helmuth
gets his 12th bracelet at the WSOP. Sports
bettors can also wager whether or not Doyle Brunson or Johnny Chan will be
awarded their 11th bracelet. But NewBodog allows
the interesting proposition bet of one or the other, neither, or both getting
the bracelet.

Event 45 is the $50,000 buy in HORSE event. Which player
will last the longest? Daniel Negreanu, Barry Greenstein,
and Phil Ivey are the co-favorites at 9/2. The next group to have the wining poker strategy at 6/1 is
Doyle Brunson, Patrik Antonius,
Allen Cunningham, and Freddy Deeb. Coming up the
rear, Eli Elerza, David Williams, and Chris Ferguson
are all at 15/2.

Which celebrity poker player will win the most money in
Event 54? James Woods, Jennifer Tilly, Yevgeny Kafelnikov, and Shannon Elizabeth are the favorites
at 5/1. Long forgotten Boris Becker, Don Cheadle, Ben
Affleck, and Norm McDonald are 9/1.

Odds are also posted on Tobey
McGuire, Ray Romano, Jason Alexander, Montel
Williams, Brad Garrett, Sully Erna, Jose Conseco, Lennox Lewis, Hank Azaria
and Penn Gillette.

Betting odds on the Sex in
the City
movie, propositions on the National
Spelling Bee
and the possibility of an NFL
lockout
are among the possibilities at various sportsbooks.

 

 


National Spelling Bee Odds

Cuban Crafters Cigars

THE SCRIPPS NATIONAL SPELLING BEE HAS PARENTS CRAZED AND
BETTORS DAZED!  ANALYSTS POST PREDICTIONS ON EVERY POSSIBLE SCENARIO 
   

     BetUs Sportsbook Posts
Odds on All Things Scripps National Spelling Bee

NEW YORK May 20, 2008 – Young students from across the US and Canada will
have to out-spell 287 other middle school students beginning May 29 if they’re
going to take home a trophy, $35,000 in cash and recognition as the best
speller in the country at the 2008 Scripps Spelling Bee in Washington.

The buzz surrounding the “Bee” as it’s known in intellectual and crazed
parental circles has grown exponentially in recent years, and in 2008, the hype
is ready to explode.  People are completely mesmerized by the spectacle of
nerdy stardom and nowhere else is this more evident than in the huge up-tick in
site traffic at the largest, most successful sportsbook on the web BetUsby site users
looking to wager on every possible scenario regarding the world’s largest
educational challenge.

BetUs Sportsbook posted odds on every possible Bee scenario –
including whether the winner will be wearing the stereotypical studious costume
of spectacular spectacles!  Whoa, try spelling that three times fast!!!!!!

Oddsmakers at BetUs
Sportsbook
posted the following odds on all things Scripps National
Spelling Bee:

Gender of winner
Male 5/7
Female 1/1

Winner to wear glasses
Yes 1/1
No 5/7

Length of winning word
Over 8.5 2/3
Under 8.5 11/10

For more sports and entertainment odds, visit BetUs Sportsbook

               
    ####

A new generation of recreational gamers is emerging across North America. 
BetUsis a
leading online sports betting and sports wagering entertainment website,
providing a safe and secure place for online gambling for over a decade. BetUs Sportsbook is
recognized as one of the oldest and most respected online entertainment companies,
offering the level of experience and industry expertise unmatched by any other
sportsbook.  With more than 15 years as respected industry leaders, you
can bet on all of your favorite sports, play in our Vegas-style casino or enjoy
entertainment-based wagers surrounding mainstream pop culture. BetUs Sportsbook employs over 500 people and offers service to
more than 100,000 clients.   For more information visit BetUs Sportsbook

Odds Posted On NFL Lockout Possibilities



BetUs
Sportsbook
Posts Odds on Outcome of NFL Owner’s Opt-Out

NEW YORK May 6, 2008 –   The NFL officially notified its players
union on Tuesday that it will opt out of the current collective bargaining
agreement, which could lead to a season without a salary cap in 2010 and a
possible lockout in 2011.

With fans on edge, wondering about the state of their beloved league and what
the possible consequences of Tuesday’s decision might be, the largest most
successful sportsbook on the web, BetUs has
once again beaten everyone to the punch and come to their aid with odds and predictions
of possible outcomes.

”With all of the traffic we’ve had since the announcement on Tuesday, one thing
is very, very clear,” stated BetUs Sportsbook spokesman
Reed Richards.  “Fans are sick and tired of being put through the
ringer.  It’s simply not fair to ask them to wait with bated breath for
three seasons wondering if there’ll be a lockout at the start of each.  As
such, we’re putting all of our predictive and
analytical prowess on the line in order to give them some semblance of what
might happen.”

Oddsmakers at BetUs
posted the following odds in reaction to the NFL owner’s announcement on
Tuesday:

NFLPA Strike before start of 2011 season
Yes 6/1
 
NFL ‘09’10’11 seasons delayed (odds on each)
 
2009 NFL Season Delayed
Yes 15/1
 
2010 NFL Season Delayed
Yes 10/1
 
2011 NFL Season Delayed
Yes 4/1
 
Roger Goodell Resigns Before 2011 Season
Yes 6/1
 
Roger Goodell Fired before 2011 season
Yes 3/1
 
NFLPA Locked out by 2011 season
Yes 2/1
 
Odds on cancellation of ‘09, ‘10, ‘11 Super Bowl
 
2009 Super Bowl Canceled
Yes 50/1
 
2010 Super Bowl Canceled
Yes  35/1
 
2011 Super Bowl Canceled
Yes 10/1

For more sports and entertainment odds, visit www.BetUS.com

               
    ####

A new generation of recreational gamers is emerging across North America. 
BetUs Sportsbook is a
leading online sports betting and sports wagering entertainment website,
providing a safe and secure place for online gambling for over a decade. BetUs Sportsbook is recognized as one of the oldest and most
respected online entertainment companies, offering the level of experience and
industry expertise unmatched by any other sportsbook.  With more than 15
years as respected industry leaders, you can bet on all of your favorite
sports, play in our Vegas-style casino or enjoy entertainment-based wagers
surrounding mainstream pop culture. BetUs employs
over 500 people and offers service to more than 100,000 clients.  
For more information visit BetUs Sportsbook