All posts by Joe Duffy

Week 1 NFL Preseason Odds 2019

NFL preseason week 1 NFL odds are posted at top online books such as Bovada and MyBookie Yes, Joe Duffy of OffshoreInsiders.com remains the top preseason handicapper in history and will have his famed preseason primer here at JoeDuffy.Net.

Thur, Aug 8 SP/RL TOTAL
PRESEASON – WEEK 1 – (Preseason Limits Available on Game Day)
7:05 PM
251 Jets -1½ (-105) 33½ (-110)
252 Giants +1½ (-115) 33½ (-110)
7:05 PM
253 Colts PK (-109) 35 (-105)
254 Bills PK (-111) 35 (-115)
7:35 PM
255 Patriots -1½ (-110) 38 (-110)
256 Lions +1½ (-110) 38 (-110)
7:35 PM
257 Redskins +2 (-121) 35½ (-105)
258 Browns -2 (EV) 35½ (-115)
7:35 PM
259 Falcons +3 (-105) 36 (-102)
260 Dolphins -3 (-115) 36 (-119)
7:35 PM
261 Titans +3½ (-121) 37 (-105)
262 Eagles -3½ (EV) 37 (-115)
7:35 PM
263 Jaguars +4 (-105) 33½ (-110)
264 Ravens -4 (-115) 33½ (-110)
8:05 PM
265 Texans +2½ (-110) 36 (-110)
266 Packers -2½ (-110) 36 (-110)
8:05 PM
267 Panthers +3 (-101) 38 (-110)
268 Bears -3 (-120) 38 (-110)
10:05 PM
271 Broncos +2 (-121) 36 (-110)
272 Seahawks -2 (EV) 36 (-110)
10:05 PM
269 Chargers +2 (-105) 35 (-113)
270 Cardinals -2 (-115) 35 (-107)
Friday, 9th August 2019 SP/RL TOTAL
PRESEASON – WEEK 1 – (Preseason Limits Available on Game Day)
7:35 PM
273 Buccaneers +2½ (-110) 37 (-110)
274 Steelers -2½ (-110) 37 (-110)
8:05 PM
275 Vikings +3 (-126) 37 (-110)
276 Saints -3 (+105) 37 (-110)
Saturday, 10th August 2019 SP/RL TOTAL
PRESEASON – WEEK 1 – (Preseason Limits Available on Game Day)
8:05 PM
277 Bengals +3½ (-121) 36½ (-110)
278 Chiefs -3½ (EV) 36½ (-110)
8:05 PM
279 Rams +4 (-115) 36 (-110)
280 Raiders -4 (-105) 36 (-110)
9:05 PM
281 Cowboys +4 (-111) 36 (-110)
282 49ers -4 (-109) 36 (-110)

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CFL

Major

Ottawa-Montreal UNDER 53

High totals go under at a 351-256-8 rate under specific circumstances that apply today.

Blockbuster MLB Trades Cause Several Line Moves

The MLB trade deadline nearly came and went without a splash, but then Zack Greinke was dealt to the Astros, which caused a ripple in the World Series odds.

The site SportsBetting.ag (www.sportsbetting.ag) updated its futures odds following yesterday’s trade deadline. 

Last week, the Astros had 9/2 odds to win the World Series, which was third on the board at that time behind the Dodgers (3/1) and Yankees (7/2), but they are now the favorites following the Greinke acquisition.

Here is a timeline of the odds from preseason to All-Star Break to post-deadline:

Team

Current odds

All-Star Break odds

Preseason odds

Houston Astros

3/1

5/1

7/1

Los Angeles Dodgers

7/2

3/1

6/1

New York Yankees

9/2

4/1

6/1

Atlanta Braves

12/1

9/1

20/1

Minnesota Twins

14/1

9/1

50/1

Chicago Cubs

14/1

16/1

14/1

Cleveland Indians

16/1

25/1

12/1

St. Louis Cardinals

20/1

40/1

14/1

Boston Red Sox

25/1

22/1

8/1

Tampa Bay Rays

25/1

22/1

33/1

Washington Nationals

25/1

22/1

16/1

Milwaukee Brewers

33/1

22/1

16/1

Philadelphia Phillies

33/1

22/1

8/1

Oakland Athletics

40/1

40/1

33/1

New York Mets

66/1

150/1

18/1

San Francisco Giants

66/1

150/1

66/1

Los Angeles Angels

150/1

100/1

40/1

Cincinnati Reds

250/1

80/1

66/1

Arizona Diamondbacks

250/1

66/1

50/1

Colorado Rockies

500/1

66/1

25/1

San Diego Padres

500/1

66/1

50/1

Texas Rangers

500/1

50/1

250/1

Pittsburgh Pirates

N/A

100/1

80/1

Chicago White Sox

N/A

250/1

66/1

Seattle Mariners

N/A

500/1

66/1

Miami Marlins

N/A

1000/1

500/1

Toronto Blue Jays

N/A

1000/1

100/1

Baltimore Orioles

N/A

5000/1

500/1

Detroit Tigers

N/A

5000/1

250/1

Kansas City Royals

N/A

5000/1

250/1

Get every single pick in every single sport from now until Super Bowl Sunday at a huuuuuuuuuuge discount. Yes this takes you well into basketball season, college and NBA. 

Hall of Fame Game and Week 1 NFLX Line Move Report

The Broncos are getting a lot of support from football bettors in tonight’s Hall of Fame Game, and there have been a number of adjustments to the Week 1 regular season spreads. 

SportsBetting initially set the HOF Game spread at a pick ’em, but sharp action has pushed the line to Broncos -2.5. The game’s over/under is 34.

The site has already posted Week 1 preseason lines, which are below. The Chiefs and the Ravens are the heftiest favorites in their exhibition openers.

Additionally, since originally posting Week 1 regular season odds on April 17, 11 of the 16 game spreads have changed. The movements are notated below.

-Hall of Fame Game-

Broncos vs. Falcons (+2.5)
(opened PK)

-Preseason Week 1-

Jets at Giants (+2)

Colts at Bills (PK)

Patriots at Lions (+1.5)

Redskins at Browns (-2)

Titans at Eagles (-3.5)

Jaguars at Ravens (-4)

Texans at Packers (-2)

Panthers at Bears (-3)

Chargers at Cardinals (-2)

Buccaneers at Steelers (-2.5)

Vikings at Saints (-3)

Bengals at Chiefs (-5)

Rams at Raiders (-3)

Cowboys at 49ers (-3)

-Regular season Week 1-

Packers at Bears (-3.5)
 
Falcons at Vikings (-4.5)
(opened -5)
 
Redskins at Eagles (-8)
 
Bills at Jets (-3.5)
(opened -3)
 
Ravens at Dolphins (+4.5)
(opened +3.5)
 
49ers at Buccaneers (-1)
(opened -2)
 
Chiefs at Jaguars (+3.5)
(opened +5)
 
Titans at Browns (-5.5)
(opened -4.5)
 
Rams at Panthers (+3)
 
Bengals at Seahawks (-9)
(opened -7)
 
Colts at Chargers (-3)
 
Lions at Cardinals (+2.5)
(opened PK)
 
Giants at Cowboys (-7.5)
 

Steelers at Patriots (-6)
(opened -6.5)
 
Texans at Saints (-7)
(opened -7.5)
 
Broncos at Raiders (-2)
(opened -3)

OffshoreInsiders.com has Joe Duffy’s Picks with a great Early Bird. Get every single pick in every single sport from now until Super Bowl Sunday at a huuuuuuuuuuge discount. Yes this takes you well into basketball season, college and NBA. 

Sports Betting Inside Info for Tonight

Big night portfolio from Joe Duffy’s Picks. Night Wise Guy among two night winners Get the picks now

Houston-Cleveland

  • Jose Urquidy (Or-Keady) for Houston just 19 IP in four starts
    • Team is 3-1
    • OBP against .288
    • 2.79 road ERA, yet .310 OBA and 1.34 WHIP
  • Zach Plesac for Cleveland nice 3.10 ERA and .288 OBP against
    • 1.12 ERA last three starts and .258 OPB, .94 WHIP
    • Slightly worse on road, but not substantially
    • Much better at night with 1.23 ERA, .95 WHIP
      • Day 4.83, 1.23

Team trends:

  • Houston 95-43 favorites since last August 21 +21.14 units
    • 19-7 overall +9 units
  • Cleveland 33-14 overall +13.14 units, 16.9 ROI
    • 27-20 runline with 14.8 percent ROI
  • Indians under 47-34-5 home since July 14 of 2018

Minnesota-Miami

  • Jose Berrios (Ba-rEE-os) for Minnesota 9-5 2.94 ERA
    • Weird numbers
    • 2.55 last three, though .329 OBP and 1.36 WHIP
    • 3.62 road ERA compared to 2.10 at home but .285 road OBP better than home
    • WHIP nearly identical home/road
    • ERA and WHIP both nearly identical day and night
  • Sandy Alcantara 4-9, 4.18 ERA and horrible .342 OBP
    • 6.35 last three starts, .375 OBP, 1.71 WHIP
    • Is better at home in ERA, WHIP, and OBP but not by a lot

Team trends

  • Twins under 11-4-1 road
  • Marlins have under 51-35-5 dog

Mets-White Sox

  • deGrom 2.86 ERA, 1.09 WHIP yet Mets 7-14 in his starts, 4-13 in night starts
    • Last 3 .47 ERA, .270 OBP against, 1.05 WHIP
    • No unearned runs
    • Better road with 2.51 ERA, though OBP and WHIP about same
  • Lucas Giolito, Sox 13-7 in his starts but 3.52 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, .284 OBP
    • Twice in last four starts gave up at least six runs
    • Home ERA is 4.47 with WHIP and OBP slightly worse at home

Team trends

  • Mets 19-7 favorities with a 21 percent ROI
  • White Sox under 37-24 underdogs
  • 5-16 overall -9.14 units and -42 ROI

NFL Fantasy Football Odds 2019

Remember when the Hilton Super Contest was the most prestigious handicapping clash on earth? Join the biggest and best NFL Super Contest with $150,000 in prizes! 

Also fantasy football bettors have plenty of chances to win big money, such as with betting on tackles and sacks.

Perhaps for some fantasy football players, the skilled position betting props are more appealing.

Fantasy sports are not the only type of long-term wagering ways to make money. Check out some undervalued NFL teams to bet on this season.

Tuesday Free Baseball Picks

Big day in baseball betting led by MasterLockLine:

Sports Service out of the Twin Ports in No. 1 since 2008 in all sports combined! Their highest rated bets are Pinnacle Plays, which happen generally once or twice a week per sport. Pinnacle Play of the Year

Pan-Asian Syndicate, best source for totals in the world and a famed MasterLockLine Exclusive. You need to bet every one of their totals this football season. Two OU

Only winning baseball handicapper on a high-profile site owned by a television network, is one of the top data scientists in handicapping. Two sides. Get a free sports service bet

Let’s start out with the official gambling preview of the San Francisco Giants and Philadelphia Phillies.

The Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Yankees sports picks preview is also going to win you some big bucks.

Sportsbooks fear you will check out this article on the Rays-Red Sox.

Now it’s the Cubs-Cards betting tips.

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Arizona Cardinals 2019 Betting NFL Preview

Following the peculiar recruiting and bizarre hiring of Kliff Kingsbury as head coach, the Arizona Cardinals are hopeful the alleged QB whisperer will band with top draft pick Kyler Murray to rise from the dregs of the NFL. Though Kingsbury had a rancid 19-35 SU record in Big 12 play at Texas Tech, the Redbirds have abundant conviction the college coaching washout will be triumphant in the pro ranks.

The Air Raid offense that Kliff will instill begets flashbacks of another coach’s cataclysmic climb to the NFL: Chip Kelly. There is little quarrel that talent-wise the Cards should be enhanced. Health alone should upgrade an OL that had to employ ten different starting combos last year. Best NFL handicappers at OffshoreInsiders.com note that they also added two cogs on the OL: J.R. Sweezy (Seattle) and Marcus Gilbert (Pittsburgh).

There was a period when NFL scouts frowned upon 5-foot-10 QBs and minimized athletic ones. Savior Kyler Murray is both. Future Hall-of-Fame WR Larry Fitzgerald did say Murray possesses, “crazy command of the offense.” The rookie will have a lot more weapons than Josh Rosen had last year. In addition to vets, Larry Fitzgerald and Christian Kirk are rookies Andy Isabella, and Hakeem Butler. The Cards will try to establish some TE depth during the preseason.

Expected to be on the field quite often, look for Arizona’s defense to suffer from the six-game suspension of playmaker Patrick Peterson. They need to be much deeper than the 3-13 distressed unit from last year. They aren’t.

Betting outlook for 2019: At best, this team is a work in progress. Kingsbury will likely go all-in on the thrill-a-minute and have some early season overs. He will eventually see the system is not sustainable and slow down the pace. The Cardinals will not be improved and will go under the season total at Bovada.

NFL Preseason Primer: Broncos-Falcons Hall-of-Fame Game Odds, Betting Info

The Denver Broncos and Atlanta Falcons open the 2019 football betting season in Canton, Ohio in the Hall-of-Game game. The famed Preseason Primer, tracing roots back to the 1980s scorephone days continues with what gamblers need to know. OffshoreInsiders.com multi-media is the sole source for this must-know info.

After opening up as a one-point underdog at Betonline, home of the opening line, the Denver Broncos are -2.5 and juiced at -115. The total is unchanged at 34, a number that is across the board. Offshore and in Las Vegas 68 percent of bets and a stunning 83 percent of the money wagered is on Denver. The total has 61 percent of bets and 75 percent of cash on the over.

Weather is not expected to be a factor in this contest. No precipitation is expected, winds no more than seven mph, and a kickoff temperature of 77, perhaps going down to the upper 60s late in the game.

To the surprise of nobody, Broncos starting QB Joe Flacco will not play. Veteran Kevin Hogan gets the start and will be followed by second-round pick Drew Lock. Brett Rypien will mop up and try to get the cover. Hogan was impressive in exhibition play last season. His numbers for the Redskins previous preseason were 43-of-67 passing for 462 yards, five touchdowns, and two interceptions. Few if any starters will play for Denver.

Starting QB Joe Flacco in the twilight of his career. Experts see legitimate concerns about how much is left in the tank. This competition is one of the most competitive battles for a backup signal-caller in the league.

The Falcons generally don’t take NFLX odds too seriously as they are 0-8 ATS the last two seasons in preseason play. Falcons superstar WR Julio Jones will miss the entire preseason as a precaution. LB Deon Jones, coming off a severe injury, will also not play. Neither will QB Matt Ryan, nor most if any of the starters.

Joe Duffy believes he will very likely have a side selection on this game at OffshoreInsiders.com. Duffy is indisputably the top preseason handicapper of all-time.