All posts by Joe Duffy

More NFLX Week 4 Odds, Picks, Tips, Gambling Insight

Even more week 4 NFL betting picks information. We resume splendid previews with Miami Dolphins vs. New Orleans Saints. Joe Duffy has a massive football Thursday with two college football and six preseason winners at the premier sports handicapper source.

Two of the most interesting teams of 2019 do battle in the final week of preseason betting as it’s the Detroit Lions vs. Cleveland Browns.

A regional rivalry takes place when the Baltimore Ravens go battle with the Washington Redskins.

There is the New York Giants vs. New England Patriots too.

Join the biggest and best NFL Super Contest with $150,000 in prizes! Now to a tremendous Michigan State-Tulsa gambling picks breakdown.

Week 4 NFL Preseason Betting Picks Previews

It’s week 4 of NFL picks betting tips. Joe Duffy has hit 6-of-8 in NFL preseason and has a huge Thursday. Let’s start out the previews with Eagles-Jets.

Now to a clash in which Duffy has a nice bet on. The Pittsburgh Steelers take on the Carolina Panthers. Here is the betting tips preview.

Now to the Colts vs. Bengals best bets. Sportsbooks do not want you to see these.

Now to the Vikings vs. Bills. Oh Joe Duffy has a massive football Thursday with two college football and six preseason winners at the premier sports handicapper source.

Join the biggest and best NFL Super Contest with $150,000 in prizes! Here is a Tulsa vs. Michigan State picks preview from your Grandmaster and The Big Man on Campus Jeff Nadu.

College Football Week 1, NFL Preseason Week 4 Betting Breakdown

Oh baby. What a huge week it is. Yes, Joe Duffy is on fire hitting 5-of-6 in NFL preseason and college football. But it steps up a notch this week. Here is the overview of NFL preseason week 4 picks and point spreads.

And now to college football betting overview. Here is the week 1 rundown. Individual game previews are forthcoming on JoeDuffy.net, so make sure you join us on Twitter.

Joe Duffy is 5-1 in football. Six preseason football winners and two college football up for Thursday. Four more up in college through Labor Day. Get the picks now

Now to the Eagles vs. Jets sports betting preview week 4 NFL preseason odds.

Honored to be doing previews this season of college football games, with Jeff Nadu, the Big Man on Campus. We preview GA Tech vs. Clemson.

Georgia Tech vs. Clemson Betting Tips with @JeffNadu

Jeff Nadu‘s popular Big Man on Campus show returns and Joe Duffy is honored to discuss Georgia Tech vs. Clemson. Clemson is up to a 36.5 point favorite and 59.5 at MyBookie The game opened at -33 and 59.5. Somewhat low percentages for betting on the favorite as 55 percent of tickets and 65 percent of money on the Tigers. However, with substantial favorites, the percentages do tail off.

I am 5-1 in football including Miami U. Six college football winners, all are regular rotation games. As long as you have a package that includes Monday you can access all week’s pick Get the picks now

Tulsa vs. Michigan Betting Preview With BMOC

I’m a big fan of @JeffNadu, AKA the Big Man on Campus. Honored to preview Tulsa vs. Michigan with him. Tulsa is -23 with a total of 47.5 at MyBookie The game opened Michigan State -21 and 44.5

At Vegas and offshore sportsboooks, 60 percent of bets and 53% of money are on Michigan State. This is a fairly low percentage for favorites. Also 68 percent of bets and a stunning 92 percent of money on the OVER.

Joe Duffy is 5-1 in football including Miami U. Six college football winners, all are regular rotation games. As long as you have a package that includes Monday you can access all week’s picks Get the picks now

Inside Betting Info For Baseball

Entire card at 9:45 ET or later.  Steam added at 2:06 ET. I am winning in everything. I am 32-13 in MLB including MLB Game of the Year +147. I am 5-1 in all football, 6-2 in preseason including Preseason Game of the Year winner. Two MLB sides including Wise Guy continues the roll.  Get the picks now 

Here is Joe Duffy’s Pitcher’s Report Card

Pittsburgh-Philadelphia

Bucs Joe Musgrove 9.00 ERA last four starts

  • ERA is better on road at 4.02 compared to 5.35 at home but WHIP and OBP similar
  • Best numbers at night at 4.10 ERA, .294 OBP and 1.17 WHIP

Phillies Jason Vargas 3.99 ERA , .307 OBP,

  • Substantially better at home, especially ERA where it’s 2.95 compared to 5.23 road

Anti-splits angle is 1462-975 on runline +169.84 units and 4.4 ROI

  • Phillies 10 games over .500 at home, Pirates 12 games under road

PITTSBURGH +1.5 -160

Arizona-San Francisco

Alex Young .289 OBP for season and 1.14 WHIP despite 4.04 ERA

  • Says he is much better than ERA and undervalued
  • Yet a horrid 7.53, .382, and 1.81 last three starts
  • ERA better on road 3.27 compared to 4.67 home, though WHIP and OBP close

Tyler Beede last seven games 6.35 ERA, 1.70 WHIP

  • Numbers a bit worse on road, but slightly better at night

The pick: OVER 9

Oakland-Kansas City

Homer Bailey 5.06, .327 OBP against

  • One run last two starts over 12.2
  • Atrocious road numbers 6.98 ERA, .350 OBP and 1.53 WHIP
  • Home team is 16-9 in HOMEr Bailey’s starts

Brad Keller 7-13 though decent 3.95 ERA and .325 OBP

  • KC 8-19 with him
  • 3 ER last two starts over 12 IP, allowing just 11 baserunners
  • Numbers also much better at home with .286 OPB and 1.12 WHIP compared to road at .349 and 1.46

Bad teams off a win +205.29 units

Less successful pitcher based on season-to-date numbers is +231.43 and 6.7 ROI

When both apply 17.7 ROI (big pitcher and team regression) but just 1-4 this season -2.5 units

Pick: Kansas City +138

Since Oct 20, UNDER 47-34-3 58 percent, 10 percent ROI

Sportsbooks: Clay Helton First Coach Fired

Vegas has firmly planted Clay Helton on the hot seat.

The sportsbook SportsBetting has set odds for who will be the first college football coach fired. The options reflect head coaches from every Power 5 program, as well as Notre Dame and BYU.

Helton has the shortest odds going into his fourth full year at USC. Unsurprisingly, Dabo Swinney and Nick Saban have the longest odds of being canned first.

“USC has a real chance of carrying a losing record after the first five weeks of the season, and that would really put a lot of pressure on the administration,” said Adam Burns, head linesman at SportsBetting.

Clay Helton (USC)

5-1

Chris Ash (Rutgers)

6-1

Lovie Smith (Illinois)

9-1

Gus Malzahn (Auburn)

10-1

Kalani Sitake (BYU)

12-1

Ed Orgeron (LSU)

14-1

Justin Fuente (Virginia Tech)

14-1

Willie Taggart (FSU)

16-1

Mike Gundy (Oklahoma State)

16-1

Tom Allen (Indiana)

20-1

Kevin Sumlin (Arizona)

20-1

Derek Mason (Vanderbilt)

22-1

Steve Addazio (Boston College)

22-1

Chad Morris (Arkansas)

22-1

Matt Luke (Ole Miss)

25-1

Barry Odom (Missouri)

28-1

Herm Edwards (Arizona State)

33-1

Jeremy Pruitt (Tennessee)

33-1

Justin Wilcox (Cal)

33-1

Will Muschamp (South Carolina)

40-1

Jonathan Smith (Oregon State)

40-1

Joe Moorhead (Miss State)

40-1

Dave Clawson (Wake Forest)

40-1

Jim Harbaugh (Michigan)

40-1

Tom Herman (Texas)

40-1

Brian Kelly (Notre Dame)

40-1

Mario Cristobal (Oregon)

40-1

Matt Wells (Texas Tech)

40-1

PJ Fleck (Minnesota)

40-1

Chip Kelly (UCLA)

40-1

Chris Klieman (Kansas State)

40-1

Pat Narduzzi (Pitt)

40-1

Mack Brown (North Carolina)

40-1

Mark Stoops (Kentucky)

50-1

Ryan Day (Ohio State)

50-1

Neal Brown (WVU)

50-1

Matt Campbell (Iowa State)

50-1

Les Miles (Kansas)

50-1

Bronco Mendenhall (Virginia)

50-1

Mike Leach (Washington State)

50-1

Mike Locksley (Maryland)

50-1

Geoff Collins (Georgia Tech)

50-1

Scott Satterfield (Louisville)

50-1

Manny Diaz (Miami)

50-1

David Cutcliffe (Duke)

50-1

Mel Tucker (Colorado)

66-1

Pat Fitzgerald (Northwestern)

66-1

Dave Doeren (NC State)

66-1

Jeff Brohm (Purdue)

66-1

Matt Rhule (Baylor)

66-1

Paul Chryst (Wisconsin)

75-1

Dan Mullen (Florida)

75-1

Scott Frost (Nebraska)

75-1

Dino Babers (Syracuse)

75-1

Mark Dantonio (Michigan State)

75-1

James Franklin (Penn State)

75-1

Kyle Whittingham (Utah)

100-1

Chris Petersen (Washington)

100-1

Lincoln Riley (Oklahoma)

100-1

Gary Patterson (TCU)

100-1

David Shaw (Stanford)

100-1

Kirk Ferentz (Iowa)

100-1

Jimbo Fisher (Texas A&M)

100-1

Kirby Smart (Georgia)

125-1

Dabo Swinney (Clemson)

200-1

Nick Saban (Alabama)

250-1

Joe Duffy’s Picks, anchor of OffshoreInsiders.com remains the No. 1 place where sharps go for winners.

Sportsbook Lines on Andrew Luck’s Return, Adjusted Colts Point Spread, Super Bowl Odds

Andrew Luck’s decision to retire has had a major impact on the Vegas side of sports.

The Colts’ Super Bowl, AFC, division and playoff odds took a major hit as SportsBetting adjusted and reposted its numbers Sunday morning. 

Additionally, the Colts were 3-point underdogs at the Chargers in Week 1 and now they are 7.5-point dogs. Their regular season victory total also dipped by three.

Indianapolis was one of the favorites going into the season, having the fifth-best odds to hoist the Lombardi Trophy. But the change at quarterback from Luck to Jacoby Brissett moved the odds significantly. 

Super Bowl – Colts go from 16-1 to 50-1

Conference – Colts go from 8-1 to 25-1

AFC South – Colts go from 1-1 to 9-2

Make playoffs – Colts go from 1-2 to 4-1

Season win total – Colts go from 9.5 to 6.5

Jacoby Brissett – Over/under for total starts set at 10.5

AFC South odds
Houston Texans  -125
Jacksonville Jaguars  +150
Tennessee Titans  +210
Indianapolis Colts  +400
(Prior to Texans were +250, Titans +450 and Jags +500)

While still a darkhorse to return to football, the oddsmakers are giving Luck a better chance of coming back next year instead of this year. 

Will Andrew Luck play during 2019 regular season?
Yes  7-1
No  1-15

Will Andrew Luck play during 2020 regular season?
Yes  5-1
No  1-10

And the odds strongly suggest Peyton Manning is a longshot to come out of retirement and lead the Colts this season.

Will Peyton Manning play for Indianapolis in 2019?
Yes  5000-1

“The after effects of this shockwave are massive in our industry,” said Adam Burns, head linesman at SportsBetting . “The guy is incredibly smart, and maybe this is the right decision for him, but this is a sad weekend for NFL fans and bettors alike. We lost one of the best.”  

Superstar Joe Duffy is again on fire in every sport, even EPL. Do you want to make a fortune betting this football season? OffshoreInsiders.com wll for you.

#Exclusive Joe Duffy’s Added Rotation Advanced Analytics Winners in College Football

Superstar handicapper Joe Duffy has added rotation games for week 1 of college football. WNBA, CFL NHL, horse racing, World Cup, EPL, added rotation games in college football and basketball, all prop bets, etc. are considered by too many a niche and many do not bet, all such records are kept separately.   

To exploit the same metrics on regular rotation games, visit OffshoreInsiders.com and bet Joe Duffy’s Picks from now until the end of your life.

Thursday

CFB

Major

ALBANY +7.5 Central Michigan line at Bet Now

Fairly big underdogs do well in games the oddsmakers tell you are going to be low scoring at 425-307-23 rate.

DELAWARE STATE +30.5 Delaware at 5 Dimes

Fairly big underdogs do well in games the oddsmakers tell you are going to be low scoring at 425-307-23 rate.

ROBERT MORRIS +46.5 Buffalo at Bet Now

Going with outlandish underdogs is 108-66-5 a stunning 62 percent winners despite being 0-179 straight up.

FLORIDA A&M +45.5 Central Florida at Bet Now

Going with outlandish underdogs is 108-66-5 a stunning 62 percent winners despite being 0-179 straight up.

Friday

Major

SACRED HEART +17.5 Maine at 5 Dimes

Fairly big underdogs do well in games the oddsmakers tell you are going to be low scoring at 425-307-23 rate.

Bet Now college football odds which include added rotation games, FCS and small colleges. Bet Now is among the elite and approved sportsbooks now offering a 100 percent sign-up bonus, with easy deposits and easy cash out. They currently have a 100 percent sign-up bonus for college football.

Sportsbook Posts Extra “Added Rotation” Games NCAA Football Week 1

Bet Now college football odds which include added rotation games, FCS and small colleges. Bet Now is among the elite and approved sportsbooks now offering a 100 percent sign-up bonus, with easy deposits and easy cash out. Visit JoeDuffy.Net for free picks on added rotation games. These are the same metrics that make Duffy the Industry Standard for regular rotation games at OffshoreInsiders.com.

Saturday, 24th August 2019
REGULAR SEASON – (Full Limits Available on Game Day
7:05 PM Game played @ Camping World Stadium, Orlando, FL
291 Florida
-7½ (+110)
46 (-110)
-290
292 Miami Florida
+7½ (-130)
46 (-110)
+245
 
10:35 PM
293 Arizona U
-11 (-110)
73½ (-110)
-410
294 Hawaii
+11 (-110)
73½ (-110)
+330
 
Thursday, 29th August 2019
EXTRA GAMES
7:00 PM
219 Albany
+7½ (-120)
45½ (-120)
+250
220 Central Michigan
-7½ (-120)
45½ (-120)
-350
 
7:00 PM
221 Wagner
+17½ (-120)
70½ (-120)
+575
222 Connecticut
-17½ (-120)
70½ (-120)
-1125
 
7:00 PM
223 Robert Morris
+46½ (-120)
65½ (-120)
+47000
224 Buffalo U
-46½ (-120)
65½ (-120)
-38392
 
7:00 PM
225 Morgan St
+21½ (-120)
49½ (-120)
+900
226 Bowling Green
-21½ (-120)
49½ (-120)
-1850
 
REGULAR SEASON – (Full Limits Available on Game Day
7:05 PM
133 UCLA
+3 (-110)
60½ (-110)
+135
134 Cincinnati U
-3 (-110)
60½ (-110)
-155
 
7:30 PM
227 Florida A&M
+45½ (-120)
64½ (-120)
+43000
228 Central Florida
-45½ (-120)
64½ (-120)
-18392
 
7:30 PM
229 Gardner Webb
+32½ (-120)
54½ (-120)
+4700
230 Charlotte
-32½ (-120)
54½ (-120)
-18100
 
7:30 PM
231 Central Arkansas
+8½ (-120)
54½ (-120)
+250
232 Western Kentucky
-8½ (-120)
54½ (-120)
-350
 
8:00 PM
233 Alabama St
+42½ (-120)
51½ (-120)
+23000
234 UAB
-42½ (-120)
51½ (-120)
-35888
 
8:05 PM
135 Georgia Tech
+36 (-110)
59½ (-110)
+9000
136 Clemson
-36 (-110)
59½ (-110)
-25000
 
8:05 PM
137 Florida Intl
+2 (-110)
57½ (-110)
+110
138 Tulane
-2 (-110)
57½ (-110)
-130
 
8:35 PM
139 Texas State
+33½ (-110)
58 (-110)
+6000
140 Texas A&M
-33½ (-110)
58 (-110)
-15000
 
9:00 PM
235 South Dakota St
+12½ (-120)
56½ (-120)
+335
236 Minnesota U
-12½ (-120)
56½ (-120)
-505
 
10:00 PM
237 NO.Colorado
+10½ (-120)
59½ (-120)
+290
238 San Jose State
-10½ (-120)
59½ (-120)
-410
 
10:05 PM
141 Kent State
+25 (-110)
62 (-110)
+1500
142 Arizona State
-25 (-110)
62 (-110)
-3000
 
10:20 PM
143 Utah
-5 (-110)
48 (-110)
-200
144 BYU
+5 (-110)
48 (-110)
+170
 
Friday, 30th August 2019
REGULAR SEASON – (Full Limits Available on Game Day
6:05 PM
145 Rice
+24 (-110)
50½ (-110)
+1375
146 Army
-24 (-110)
50½ (-110)
-2400
 
7:05 PM
147 Utah State
+3½ (-110)
63½ (-110)
+150
148 Wake Forest
-3½ (-110)
63½ (-110)
-170
 
7:05 PM
149 Wisconsin
-13½ (-110)
57½ (-110)
-525
150 South Florida
+13½ (-110)
57½ (-110)
+415
 
7:05 PM
151 Tulsa
+23 (-110)
48 (-110)
+1350
152 Michigan State
-23 (-110)
48 (-110)
-2300
 
7:20 PM
153 Massachusetts
+15½ (-110)
55½ (-110)
+500
154 Rutgers
-15½ (-110)
55½ (-110)
-700
 
9:35 PM
157 Purdue
-10 (-110)
58½ (-110)
-370
158 Nevada
+10 (-110)
58½ (-110)
+310
 
10:05 PM Game played @ Invesco Field At Mile High Dever, CO
155 Colorado State
+13 (-110)
58½ (-110)
+400
156 Colorado
-13 (-110)
58½ (-110)
-500
 
10:35 PM
159 Oklahoma State
-15½ (-110)
73½ (-110)
-700
160 Oregon State
+15½ (-110)
73½ (-110)
+500
 
Saturday, 31st August 2019
REGULAR SEASON – (Full Limits Available on Game Day
12:05 PM
161 Florida Atlantic
+27½ (-110)
63 (-110)
+2000
162 Ohio State
-27½ (-110)
63 (-110)
-4000
 
12:05 PM
163 South Alabama
+36 (-110)
64½ (-110)
+7250
164 Nebraska
-36 (-110)
64½ (-110)
-19000
 
12:05 PM
165 East Carolina
+16½ (-110)
55 (-110)
+575
166 NC State
-16½ (-110)
55 (-110)
-850
 
12:05 PM
167 Akron
+17 (-110)
59 (-110)
+600
168 Illinois
-17 (-110)
59 (-110)
-900
 
12:05 PM Game played @ Lucas Oil Stadium Indianapolis, IN
169 Ball State
+17 (-110)
59 (-110)
+600
170 Indiana
-17 (-110)
59 (-110)
-900
 
12:05 PM
171 Toledo
+11½ (-110)
58½ (-110)
+340
172 Kentucky
-11½ (-110)
58½ (-110)
-425
 
12:05 PM Game played @ Superdome New Orleans, LA
173 Mississippi St
-21 (-110)
57½ (-110)
-1500
174 UL Lafayette
+21 (-110)
57½ (-110)
+1000
 
12:05 PM
175 Mississippi
+5½ (-110)
67½ (-110)
+175
176 Memphis
-5½ (-110)
67½ (-110)
-210
 
3:30 PM
177 Georgia State
+26 (-110)
57½ (-110)
+1750
178 Tennessee U
-26 (-110)
57½ (-110)
-3500
 
3:30 PM
179 Eastern Michigan
-5½ (-110)
55½ (-110)
-220
180 Coastal Carolina
+5½ (-110)
55½ (-110)
+180
 
3:35 PM Game played @ Bank of America Stadium Charlotte, NC
181 South Carolina
-8 (-110)
63 (-110)
-310
182 North Carolina
+8 (-110)
63 (-110)
+255
 
3:35 PM Game played @ Mercedes-Benz Stadium Atlanta, GA
183 Duke
+35 (-110)
58½ (-110)
+6000
184 Alabama
-35 (-110)
58½ (-110)
-15000
 
4:05 PM
185 Northwestern
+6½ (-110)
46½ (-110)
+210
186 Stanford
-6½ (-110)
46½ (-110)
-250
 
4:05 PM
187 Virginia Tech
-3½ (-110)
56½ (-110)
-170
188 Boston College
+3½ (-110)
56½ (-110)
+150
 
6:00 PM
189 Syracuse
-18 (-110)
66½ (-110)
-950
190 Liberty
+18 (-110)
66½ (-110)
+625
 
7:00 PM
193 SMU
+2½ (-110)
58 (-110)
+115
194 Arkansas State
-2½ (-110)
58 (-110)
-135
 
7:05 PM Game played @ TIAA Bank Field Jacksonville, FL
191 Boise State
+5½ (-110)
54 (-110)
+180
192 Florida State
-5½ (-110)
54 (-110)
-220
 
7:35 PM
195 Middle Tenn St
+33½ (-110)
54 (-110)
+7500
196 Michigan
-33½ (-110)
54 (-110)
-20000
 
7:35 PM
197 Miami Ohio
+21½ (-110)
49 (-110)
+1050
198 Iowa
-21½ (-110)
49 (-110)
-1600
 
7:35 PM
199 Georgia Southern
+28 (-110)
53½ (-110)
+2750
200 LSU
-28 (-110)
53½ (-110)
-6000
 
7:35 PM
201 Georgia
-21 (-110)
57½ (-110)
-1375
202 Vanderbilt
+21 (-110)
57½ (-110)
+900
 
7:35 PM
203 Virginia
-2½ (-110)
46 (-110)
-135
204 Pittsburgh U
+2½ (-110)
46 (-110)
+115
 
7:35 PM
205 Missouri
-17½ (-110)
54½ (-110)
-950
206 Wyoming
+17½ (-110)
54½ (-110)
+625
 
7:35 PM Game played @ AT+T Stadium Arlington, TX
207 Oregon
+3½ (-115)
56½ (-110)
+145
208 Auburn
-3½ (-105)
56½ (-110)
-165
 
8:00 PM
209 Louisiana Tech
+20½ (-110)
55 (-110)
+950
210 Texas
-20½ (-110)
55 (-110)
-1450
 
10:05 PM
211 New Mexico State
+33 (-110)
64½ (-110)
+5875
212 Washington State
-33 (-110)
64½ (-110)
-14500
 
10:35 PM
213 Fresno State
+13½ (-110)
52 (-110)
+415
214 USC
-13½ (-110)
52 (-110)
-525
 
Sunday, 1st September 2019
REGULAR SEASON – (Full Limits Available on Game Day
7:35 PM
215 Houston U
+24½ (-110)
82½ (-110)
+1400
216 Oklahoma
-24½ (-110)
82½ (-110)
-2500
 
Monday, 2nd September 2019
REGULAR SEASON – (Full Limits Available on Game Day
8:05 PM
217 Notre Dame
-20½ (-110)
57 (-110)
-1400
218 Louisville
+20½ (-110)
57 (-110)
+925