All posts by Joe Duffy

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Critical Week 4 NFL Injuries, Weather, Sharp Bets, Super Betting System Revealed

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Year after year since scorephone days, LateInfo gives you the single strongest bet every day it is activated. 1 ET side from Big Red. Big Red is a major figure and pioneer in offshore betting. He has unique access to professional oddsmakers and gamblers. All his bets are based on consulting with elite handicappers, pro bettors and linesmakers and tops the list of sources for LateInfo.  Get the picks now

The super sharp report tells us as usual the public loves those road favorites and over bets.

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Kansas City, New England

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: New England, Kansas City, Baltimore; Oakland OVER, Seattle OVER, Kansas City OVER

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Tampa Bay, Minnesota OVER

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: no significant line moves

Weather:

LA Chargers at Miami 15 mph winds

Jacksonville at Denver 19 mph winds

Super system: When a home team is undefeated with at least three wins and it’s implied by the oddsmakers that they are not the better team (not laying at least 3.5 at home), the home team is 23-8-1 for 74.2 percent.

NFL injuries:

  • Detroit QB Matt Stafford will play
  • Detroit WR Danny Amendola doubtful and CB Darius Slay game-time decision
  • LA Chargers RB Melvin Gordon will play, but time is expected to be limited, though OffshoreInsiders.com experts think he will play much more than alleged
  • Patriots WR Julian Edelman is probable, but could be limited in snaps
  • Colts WR T.Y. Hilton is doubtful
  • Jaguars CB Jalen Ramsey is game-time decision
  • Browns will be without top two CBs Denzel Ward, Greedy Williams

Alert! Alert! Alert! MyBookie is now bonus up to $1000. Yes, hurry for a limited time!

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College Football Super Sharp Morning Report: Line Moves, Who is Public Betting

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Top expert pick on today’s card is from Joe Duffy, yet again. Whew, finally San Jose got a TD to put that game over as JDP is 22-7 in football. I have had winning days 9-of-10 with the only “losing” day going 1-1 and giving some juice. Saturday, 13 winners in college football led by two Wise Guys. Proprietary software continues to make you a fortune. Some higher profile games such as Texas-Oklahoma, Clemson-North Carolina included, but we care only about winning, not marquee games.  Get the picks now  

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Fresno State, Vanderbilt, Nevada, Clemson

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Cincinnati, Akron, Fresno State; GA Southern UNDER, Texas A&M OVER

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Minnesota, Southern Miss, Cincinnati, Utah State; South Alabama OVER

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: North Texas +2.5 to -6, Utah State -20.5 to -23.5

High Precipitation

Game

Percent chance of rain

Connecticut at Central Florida

61%

Colorado State at Utah State

56%

Strong Winds

Game

Wind Speed

UNLV at Wyoming

23 mph

MYBookie with a $1,000 first deposit bonus for all JoeDuffy.net readers

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Opening Lines: Week 5 NFL Lookahead Odds Released By BetOnline Sportsbook

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Week 5 opening lines, in this case often referred to as “lookahead” lines have been released by Betonline, home of the opening line. There is an old adage among sharp gamblers that the public overreacts to the most recent game and oddsmakers must act accordingly. The belief continues that one should come up with odds before the previous week’s games are played and go by them, obviously making adjustments for injuries. Thus, even those who do not bet the advanced odds will use these as power ratings for the widely available odds. Winning picks and tips at OffshoreInsiders.com

 

01:00 PM

451

Baltimore Ravens

-3

-120

452

Pittsburgh Steelers

3

100
 

01:00 PM

453

Chicago Bears

-6

-110

454

Oakland Raiders

6

-110
 

01:00 PM

455

Arizona Cardinals

4

-112

456

Cincinnati Bengals

-4

-108
 

01:00 PM

459

Minnesota Vikings

-5½

-110

460

New York Giants

+5½

-110
 

01:00 PM

461

New England Patriots

-13

-115

462

Washington Redskins

13

-105
 

01:00 PM

465

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

+6½

-110

466

New Orleans Saints

-6½

-110
 

01:00 PM

467

Atlanta Falcons

4

-110

468

Houston Texans

-4

-110
 

01:00 PM

469

Buffalo Bills

+1½

-110

470

Tennessee Titans

-1½

-110
 

04:05 PM

471

Denver Broncos

+6½

-110

472

Los Angeles Chargers

-6½

-110
 

08:20 PM

475

Indianapolis Colts

+8½

-110

476

Kansas City Chiefs

-8½

-110
 

Monday, Oct 07, 2019 – NFL Football Game

08:15 PM

477

Cleveland Browns

+4½

100

478

San Francisco 49ers

-4½

-120
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Official Betting Previews of Friday Night Football Picks

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Joe Duffy has had winning days 8-of-9. Oh the only “losing” day, we went 1-1 and gave back juice. Eagles OVER last night, Memphis in college. JDP now 20-7 in football.  Friday, Duke-Virginia Tech side and total among three winners in college football.  Get the picks now

Duke-Virginia Tech (-3, 51) at MyBookie 

  • Duke’s Quentin Harris has done very well replacing Daniel Jones and his OL has been very good
    • Both teams off bye
  • Duke’s deep passing game a pleasant surprise, but running game not as good as expected
    • 86 points last two games
  • Duke has gone 12 straight games without an interception
  • V Tech QB Ryan Willis has thrown 4 INT
    • Senior ranks 105th nationally is passing
  • V Tech already with 10 sacks, so will test if Duke’s OL is as improved as they look
  • Virginia Tech third worst margin of cover in country -14.8 and 0-3 ATS
  • A rare case of public betting on the dog, with 56 percent of bets and 63 percent of money on Duke

The pick: pass

Penn St at Maryland

  • Both teams with good running games
  • Maryland 6 yards per rush to teams that normally allow 5.1
    • Led by Anthony McFarland who had over 1,000 yards last year
  • Penn State deep running game getting 5.7 yards per rush teams normally allowing 4.4
  • James Franklin loves to run up score
  • Teams off first loss of year if they were ranked 21 or better at the time are a go-against of 258-205-5

The pick: Penn State -6 at Bovada college football odds live now

San Jose St at Air Force

  • Air Force is off a loss which sets up bubble burst offshoot
  • When a team had more wins than oddsmakers expected, but if off first loss, a go-against of 417-320-16 (San Jose State)
  • 66 percent of money on underdog San Jose

Pick: San Jose State +19

Arizona St at California

  • When total is significantly less than the average total of each team’s last game, it goes UNDER 373-246-15
  • Off three straight very lowing scoring games, ASU off 65-point game
  • Teams with at least three wins and off first loss are go against of 480-386-16 (with California)
  • ASU with true freshman QB Jayden Daniels and two true freshman on OL, work in progress
    • Allowed 10 sacks first three weeks, just one last week

Pick: California -4.5

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Sportsbooks Say Trump Impeachment More Likely Than Ever: Bet on It

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Though offshore sportsbooks agree that Trump is likely to avoid impeachment before the end of his first turn, it is no longer a longshot.

Bovada has yes he will be impeached in his first term as +120 and no as -150. To betting neophytes, that says he will likely not be impeached in his initial term, but if he is, it would not be a shocker.

MYBookie gives Trump a much better chance, though the cutoff date is “before the 2020 elections” as there is about two months between the next election and the end of Trump’s first term. Some political observers believe if Trump wins, that will energize the Democrats more for impeachment. No, he will not be impeached before the 2020 elections is -500, yes +300. All odds based on $100 per bet. Hence +1000 would be the same as 10-1.

At all sportsbooks, Trump is still the favorite to win the 2020 election, including -155 at Bet Now

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Week 4 NFL, Week 5 College Football Sharp Report Heading into TNF Odds

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Week 4 NFL and week 5 college football super sharp report. As usual, the public is loving NFL road favorites. We have one of the strongest NFL sharp versus square moves all season. Here is the sharp intel from OffshoreInsiders.com

CFB

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Fresno State, Clemson, SMU; Northwestern OVER, Hawaii OVER

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Louisiana Lafayette, Coastal Carolina, Minnesota, Southern Miss, Akron, Central Florida

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Minnesota, Southern Miss, Coastal Carolina

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds:

Houston -2.5 to North Texas but now +6 at MyBookie

Utah State -20.5 to Colorado State now -23.5

Top expert pick on today’s card is from Joe Duffy’s Picks. I am killing it folks. I went 1-1 last night, snapping a seven-day winning streak. Since preseason, 26-12 NFL. Last week, college and NFL I was 18-6 including SEC West Total of the Year TNF Total of the Year. TNF total tonight, plus Navy-Memphis side and total. If you are on the outside looking in, that’s a you problem.  Get the picks now

NFL

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Kansas City, New England, Green Bay (TNF), Seattle

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Minnesota, Oakland, New England; Carolina OVER, Dallas OVER

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Indianapolis (one strongest of season): Arizona; Cincinnati OVER

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: No significant line moves

 

Sports & Recreation

Duke vs. Virginia, Penn State vs. Maryland, San Jose State vs. Air Force, Arizona State vs. California

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Duke vs. Virginia, Penn State vs. Maryland, San Jose State vs. Air Force, Arizona State vs. California are previewed by Joe Duffy, CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com Duffy has everything gamblers need to know. Duffy has side and total on Duke at UVA and a ton of Saturday and Sunday winners as well at OffshoreInsiders.com  Get the betting previews from the man who goes inside the lines, Joe Duffy. 

Sports & Recreation

Duke vs. Virginia, Penn State vs. Maryland, San Jose State vs. Air Force, Arizona State vs. California

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Duke vs. Virginia, Penn State vs. Maryland, San Jose State vs. Air Force, Arizona State vs. California are previewed by Joe Duffy, CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com Duffy has everything gamblers need to know. Duffy has side and total on Duke at UVA and a ton of Saturday and Sunday winners as well at OffshoreInsiders.com  Get the betting previews from the man who goes inside the lines, Joe Duffy.