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The Blaze Website For Sports Picks is Here

Dancing With the Stars Season 11 starts tonight. Glen Beck’s the Blaze commences today, but the sports betting handicapping hub remains ablaze.

If only weather handicappers could predict the Hurricane Earl path as well as Matt Rivers picks MLB. He has a free pick Tuesday is on the A’s.

Last night I backed the Yankees right here at that dirt-cheap price and it worked out pretty well. Now I am reversing course and will take my chances with the big dog A’s.

The Yankees are clearly the far superior squad and probably the best team in the game today. Even without Arod the Pinstripers are awesome and loaded and a total force. With that said though I don’t fully trust Phil Hughes who has thrown a lot of innings and has not been the same guy after the phenomenal first few months to the season.

Hughes was unreal to begin the season but was then held back a bit by the organization and that seemed to stem his momentum and things have just not gone as well. Oakland is far from an offensive juggernaut so Hughes may be all right here but Vin Mazzaro has been extremely stellar and at this price why not back the capable enough visitors?

Take out one poor start in late June in Texas and Mazzaro has literally hurled 9 straight quality starts. Even superstar aces have trouble pulling off such an incredible feat. The guy may only have a 6-6 record but he has been beyond consistent and should once again go at least six or seven solid innings.

It’s asking a ton of the inferior visitors but as long as Mazzaro doesn’t just all of a sudden lose it and fall apart I can’t help taking back a price in the range of $2.

The pick: Oakland +170

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College Football Spread Trends

Remember the days of the scorephone Tailgate Party when you’d get the famed “free trends”? We have them here, but you don’t have to suffer through the self-promotion of that flat tire Chris Jordan on his uber late reports.

Week 1 of our college football betting trends coverage continues with Friday action and the early games on Saturday.

FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 3

Arizona vs Toledo

Neither team enters this Friday nighter with much sportsbook momentum. Arizona is 2-7 against the spread over its last nine games whereas the Toledo Rockets are 1-4 ATS over their last five. You may want to avoid the unpredictable over/under. The OVER is 16-7 over Toledo’s last seven home games but the UNDER is 6-1 over the Wildcats’ last seven.

SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 4

Western Michigan vs Michigan State

Sports betting sharps have to pick between the lesser of two evils in this all-Michigan matchup, as neither school has performed well against the spread of late. Western Michigan is just 2-8 ATS over its last 10 road games but Michigan State is only 3-7 over its last 10 at home. Something has to give.

Miami (OH) vs (3) Florida

The Miami Ohio Redhawks have a tall order against a Florida team anxious to show it can play without Tim Tebow. The Gators are 4-1 ATS over their last five at home and like to beat teams making long trips; they’re 21-7 ATS in their last 28 matchups against non-conference opponents. Miami has lost five straight September games ATS.

Lafayette vs (21) Georgia

Could the Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns pull off an upset against the spread on Saturday afternoon? They’re 5-2 ATS over their last seven September contests overall. Meanwhile, the Bulldogs are not a spread-friendly team. They’re 7-15 ATS over their last 15 and 1-4 ATS over their last five in September. The UNDER looks solid here, however. It’s 4-1 over Lafayette’s last five and 4-1-1 over Georgia’s last six at home.

Illinois vs Missouri

The NCAA football betting trends are ice-cold for Illinois and red-hot for Missouri here. Illinois is 4-11 ATS over its last 15 and 1-7 ATS over its last eight non-conference games. Meanwhile,  Missouri has beaten seven straight spreads playing on turf and nine of its last 11 spreads in September. The kicker is the head-to-head record. Missouri has beaten the spread five straight times against Illinois.

Tip Sheet Mania: College Football News and Notes Start

As the Carpenters said, “We’ve only just begun,” but here is part one of the sports betting tip sheet for college football picks to go with college football spread trends (podcast) like our old scorephone roots.

Thursday, April 2

Minnesota vs. Middle Tennessee State

MTSU’s appropriately named QB Dwight Dashers is suspended, which means sophomore Logan Kilgore will get his first snap as starter. Dasher was the Sunbelt preseason offensive player of the year.

Pittsburgh vs. Utah

The Panthers have a first-time starter at QB, two new starting CBs and a new MLB. QB Tino Sunseri is a redshirt sophomore with 17 passes, none as a starter.

Saturday, September 4

Syracuse vs. Akron

It’s a game of uncertainty against the NCAA Football Odds. Akron has a completely new coaching staff, while the Orange will have a lot of young players playing key roles. RB Averin Collier is academically ineligible for ‘Cuse. A lot was expected of the sophomore who averaged 6.8 yards per carry last year and scored two touchdowns.

Utah State vs. Oklahoma

One of the top DT in the country, the Sooners Adrian Taylor is a game-time decision.

Miami Ohio vs. Florida

Sports handicappers are concerned that the Gators are without two offensive tackles Xavier Nixon and Matt Matchan. The shuffling is done as John Brantley makes his first start in the post Tim Tebow era.

Sunday, September 5

SMU vs. Texas Tech

It’s the first game as head coach Tommy Tuberville at Texas Tech. He is expected to continue the high-powered offense though hiring former coach Neal Brown as offensive coordinator. Troy averaged 487.5 yards per game last year, third in the nation.

Hurricane Earl’s Path Not as Destructive as Hurricane Matt Rivers

While Hurricane Earl’s path may wreck havoc in the opening weekend of NCAA Football Odds, Hurricane Matt Rivers has been destroying online bookmakers.

Your comp winner for Monday from Matt Rivers is on the NY Yankees -124 against Baltimore.

Joe Girardi’s boys already were missing Alex Rodriguez and just watched Mark Teixeira get injured yesterday. Losing those two All-Star superstars is not very conducive to winning ballgames but this is still the Yankees at home and at this cheap price even without those guys I’ll take my chances.

The A’s are all right and today’s pitcher in Trevor Cahill is in the midst of a breakthrough season. Cahill has allowed a whole four earned runs in his last six starts spanning a ton of innings. I can’t say anything negative at all about the guy because he has been total money. But today he is going to Yankee Stadium and even without their key cogs the New Yorkers are the better team and should prevail in the end.

Dustin Moseley has been successful in the starting role with the Pinstripers, no not 14-5 with a 2.43 era successful like Cahill, but he is good enough to minimize damage by this mediocre Oakland ballclub. Yes the A’s did just look pretty good in Arlington bashing the Rangers the last two nights but it’s still an average team with an average at best offense against the big bad 30 games over .500 Yankees, banged up or not.

Swisher, Jeter, Cano, Posada and the Yankees are still a great team and at home at this price with a competent enough hurler is enough to give them a go today.

Sports handicappers picks: NY Yankees -124.

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NFL Fantasy Football Props: Brett Favre, Drew Brees, Aaron Rodgers

Yesterday, we discussed common NFL betting player props like predicting the NFL’s yardage leaders in passing, receiving and rushing. Today’s let’s look at a different kind of prop: head-to-head player props.

These props pit two players (usually at the same position) against each other; bettors can predict who will outperform the other in a specific stat category. Here’s a look at some NFL quarterback touchdown pass head-to-heads for 2010 – with a sports betting blog pick included for each.

Aaron Rodgers vs Drew Brees (-3)

As much as Drew Brees racks up offensive numbers, Aaron Rodgers looks like he’s just as good. Brees threw for 34 scores last season; he’s hit that mark two years in a row, setting a career high. But whereas it took Brees until his seventh NFL season as a starter to throw 30 TD passes, Rodgers did it in his second. Rodgers appears to have a higher ceiling. I think he’ll top Brees this year.

Free pick: Rodgers +3

Peyton Manning (-5) vs Tony Romo

Love Romo on this one. Manning and Romo already posted fairly comparable passing stats last year. This season, Romo is playing in the best offense he’s ever had around him. Miles Austin, Jason Witten, Felix Jones, Dez Bryant, Marion Barber, Roy Williams – he has tons of viable weapons. I think Romo will explode into MVP consideration this year, so staying within five touchdown passes of Manning seems very doable.

Free pick: Romo +5

Jay Cutler vs Tom Brady (-2.5)

Sports betting players should be careful not to overthink this one. Yes, Cutler should have a breakout season under new offensive co-ordinator “Mad” Mike Maritz. But I see that translating into mega passing yards, not mega touchdowns. Cutler will still turn over the ball too much to pass the far more efficient Brady in touchdown passes.

Free pick: Brady -2.5

Brett Favre vs Matt Schaub (-2)

I’m somewhat bearish on Favre this year. He’s another year older and two of his favorite targets, Sidney Rice and Percy Harvin, are major health concerns. Rice is already out at least half the season with hip surgery and Harvin hasn’t solved his migraine woes yet. Favre could regress statistically whereas Matt Schaub, who led the NFL in passing yards last year, is only getting better.

Free pick: Schaub -2

Oregon Ducks To Win Pac 10 Football

If it looks like a Duck and quacks like one, it will win the Pac-10 this year.

The Oregon Ducks are a 5/2 favorite to win the Pac-10. Not only that, Oregon is expected to contend for a national championship (35/1 BCS odds). The Ducks are next in today’s college football preview.

LaMichael James will lead the offense. The sophomore running back is more explosive than a father catching his 16-year-old daughter and her boyfriend getting busy on the couch. Jackson racked up six 150-yard efforts last season. Quarterback is a question mark after Jeremiah Masoli was dismissed from the team; either fifth-year senior Nate Costa or sophomore Darron Thomas will take over under center.

The Ducks’ defense has very few holes. Tackle is a little thin but, besides that, everything looks rosy. End Kenny Rowe will lead the pass rush after notching 11.5 sacks a year ago. The linebackers are very deep—so deep, in fact, that Ricky Heimuli was moved to safety after starting last year.

Get your NCAA Football Odds in the Bodog Sportsbook! Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy’s expert take: Even if USC were eligible, Oregon is still the most talented team in the Pac-10. Bet on them to win it. Most projections have them second at worst.

California Golden Bears Preview

OffshoreInsiders.com CEO Joe Duffy says his California University of PA Vulcans will dominate the Pennsylvania Conference, but how about the other Cali? Bodog previews the California team from the west coast.

The California Golden Bears have 8/1 odds to win the Pac-10 this season. Cal is first up in today’s college football preview.

Not much is expected of the Golden Bears this season but, much like the pudgy girl at the bar, perhaps that pushes them to work harder and defy expectations. Cal has certainly done it before, though it’ll be a fruitless battle if the quarterback situation isn’t resolved. It’s not all Kevin Riley’s fault, as he was sacked 31 times last year. Both he and the offensive line must get better.

The “D” is led by a fantastic set of linebackers. Mike Mohamed is the unit’s unquestioned leader after racking up 112 tackles and three interceptions last year. The pass defense was pretty bad, though, largely thanks to a floundering secondary. Three new starters will be in place in 2010. More help from the pass rush wouldn’t hurt, either.

Get your NCAA Football Odds in the Bodog Sportsbook! Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy’s expert take: Sorry, Cal is not among the top five and a notch below No. 6. We have them projected for seventh, though some of our models have them as high as fourth.

Florida Gators-Alabama Crimson Tide Yet Again For SEC Football Title

All football bettors know that the Southeastern Conference is the top in all of college football. Now the top sportsbook previews and the world’s best college football betting service predicts the outcome.

The defending champion Alabama Crimson Tide are heavy favorites on NCAA football odds to win the SEC. Is a repeat on the horizon? This is your SEC Conference overview.

Alabama has 1/1 odds to win the SEC. It won’t necessarily be easy, however. This conference is always loaded with tough squads, and the Tide must rebuild a once-dominant defense. If that comes through, look out.

Florida is next with 5/2 odds. The Gators are, as always, one of the most talented teams in the nation. They might be too green to overtake Alabama this season, though, and are probably at least a year away from competing for a BCS Championship.

Auburn has 8/1 odds to win the SEC crown. LSU is next at 10/1, while Arkansas and Georgia have 13/2 and 15/2 odds, respectively. It looks like another extremely competitive year in the SEC, with the winner moving on to the national championship game.

Get your NCAA Football Odds in the Bodog Sportsbook! Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy’s expert take: I’m going to go way out on a limb. Yes, way out. It’s Florida and Alabama in the SEC Championship Game. The Gators get washed ashore by the high Tide.

Pac-10 Preview From Bodog Sportsbook

Oh baby, Bodog has the college football lines up for week one. They also preview the Pac-10.

Oregon is the favorite on NCAA football odds in the Pac-10 this season. Can USC get back on track after losing head coach Pete Carroll to the NFL? This is our Pac-10 Conference overview.

The Ducks have 5/2 odds to earn the Pac-10 title. Oregon is loaded on offense, particularly with an impressive offensive line, but the defense leaves a bit to be desired. And while USC couldn’t prevent Carroll from leaving, it should be able to prevent offenses from moving the ball; the Trojans (8/1 Pac-10 odds) might have the best “D” in the conference.

Oregon State is also expected to contend with 3/1 odds to win the Pac-10. An electric running game should power the Beavers this season. The Washington Huskies, meanwhile, are interesting value picks with 9/2 odds and potential NFL star Jake Locker back under center.

Get your NCAA Football Odds in the Bodog Sportsbook! Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy’s expert take: Oregon, Southern Cal, Oregon State, Arizona, and Stanford in that order, are the powerhouses. Chic team Washington is not there yet.

US Open 2010 Odds

It’s the start of the US Open tennis, the Big Bang Theory shows that sports handicapping has evolved to new levels never before approached.

David Nalbandian, Andy Murray, and Andy Roddick top favorites in men’s tennis.

Courtesy of OddsShark.com: Today in the Daily Sports Roundup: The Jays hit the road for a series against the Rays, the Phillies send their ace to the mound against the Dodgers, and the U.S. Open begins.

Meeting up on the diamond . . .

The American League schedule for Monday offers up the White Sox at Cleveland, Oakland at the Yankees, Texas at Kansas City, the Angels at Seattle, and Toronto at Tampa Bay. Brett Cecil (11-6, 3.80 ERA) will take on Wade Davis (10-9, 4.41 ERA) in that Jays/Rays matchup. Lefthander Cecil beat Tampa Bay back on August 6, giving up just one run on four hits over his seven innings of work and fanning nine. Righthander Davis is coming off a win over the Angels in which he surrendered two runs on six hits in his 5 1-3 innings of work and struck out five. Tampa is 6-1 in Davis’ last seven starts.

Over in the National League on Monday it’s then Washington at Florida, Milwaukee at Cincinnati, the Mets at Atlanta, Pittsburgh at the Cubs, St. Louis at Houston, San Diego at Arizona, Colorado at San Francisco, and Philadelphia at the Dodgers. Roy Halladay (16-9, 2.22 ERA) is slated to get the ball for the Phillies in that last contest, while Los Angeles counters with Hiroki Kuroda (9-11, 3.56 ERA). Righthander Halladay was tagged with a loss by the Astros last time out, giving up three runs on six hits over seven innings to stop his six-game winning streak. Righthander Kuroda is coming off a win over the Brewers in which he allowed four runs on seven hits over his seven innings.

Top expert picks on today’s card…

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Rounding out the Roundup . . .

As well, the U.S. Open tennis tournament gets underway on Monday, with Roger Federer (11/5) and Rafael Nadal (5/2) the oddsmakers’ top choices on the men’s side of the draw. Andy Murray is just back of those two on the list at 7/2 odds, with Novak Djokovic at 14/1, Robin Soderling at 18/1, and Tomas Berdych at 20/1. Andy Roddick is pegged at 22/1 odds to win. On the women’s side it’s Kim Clijsters listed as the 3/1 favorite, followed by Maria Sharapova at 9/2, and Carolina Wozniacki at 7/1. Victoria Azarenka (8/1) and Venus Williams (10/1) round out the Top 5 on the women’s odds list.

Here are the US Open tennis odds.

Team Odds
9-12-10 Andy Murray 9/2
9-12-10 Andy Roddick 20/1
9-12-10 David Nalbandian 10/1
9-12-10 Ernests Gulbis 60/1
9-12-10 Fernando Gonzalez 100/1
9-12-10 Fernando Verdasco 60/1
9-12-10 Gael Monfils 100/1
9-12-10 Jo-Wilfried Tsonga 50/1
9-12-10 John Isner 60/1
9-12-10 Lleyton Hewitt 100/1
9-12-10 Marin Cilic 40/1
9-12-10 Nikolay Davydenko 40/1
9-12-10 Novak Djokovic 10/1
9-12-10 Rafael Nadal 2/1
9-12-10 Richard Gasquet 100/1
9-12-10 Robin Soderling 15/1
9-12-10 Roger Federer 9/4
9-12-10 Sam Querrey 50/1
9-12-10 Tomas Berdych 15/1
9-12-10 zx Field (Any Other Driver) 10/1