Stafford Out Among NFL Injuries, 2 Free NFL Picks

Whew. We avoided getting boned on Wyoming UNDER. Nobody has dominated any sport the way Joe Duffy has the NFL for decades. Ten NFL winners led by Wise Guy. Wise Guy plays from Joe Duffy are in near unanimity considered the strongest bet in sports wagering by bookmakers, pro gamblers, oddsmakers, and fellow handicappers alike.  Three NBA winners, two are Wise Guys including another “named” play, the NBA Interconference Total of the Month.  Get the picks now

NFL injuries:

  • Matt Stafford out for Detroit
    • Athletic journeyman Jeff Driskell starts 
  • Cowboys WR Amari Cooper is probable 
  • Jets RB Le’Veon Bell is probable 
  • Colts QB Jacoby Brissett is out

Lions at Bears

  • Stafford out as mentioned above 
  • Revenge angle based on each team playing poorly the week before is 68-28 (Detroit)
  • Consecutive road games, team off a loss is 327-237-11 (Detroit)
  • Detroit gets 8.1 yards per pass attempt teams normally accumulating 7.4 but allow 7.4 to 7.2
  • With Trubisky, Bears can’t exploit that 

The pick: Detroit +3.5

Bills at Browns

  • When a team is favorite despite having at least four fewer wins than opponent and not getting at least 2.5 points, they are 58-23 ats (Cleveland)
  • Anti-splits angle about fading road teams who have been better on road than home team has been at home are 140-101-10 (Cleveland)
  • Bad ats team to a good one is 217-137-14 
  • RB Kareem Hunt makes his debut for Cleveland and expected to play a big role 
  • Bills “trendy dog” getting 80 percent of bets

The pick: Cleveland -2.5

NFL, College Basketball, NBA Sharp Betting For November 10

It’s not quite the blinding and robotic favorites that the public is loving this week. Oh, yeah road favorites are still the overwhelming consensus, but they also are going with some away dogs too. Here is your sharp report:

NFL

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Kansas City, LA Rams, Baltimore, Arizona, Miami

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: LA Rams, Kansa City, Chicago 

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Indianapolis, Chicago

Top expert pick on today’s card is from Joe Duffy. Whew. We avoided getting boned on Wyoming UNDER. Nobody has dominated any sport the way Joe Duffy has the NFL for decades. Ten NFL winners led by Wise Guy. Wise Guy plays from Joe Duffy are in near unanimity considered the strongest bet in sports wagering by bookmakers, pro gamblers, oddsmakers, and fellow handicappers alike.  Three NBA winners, two are Wise Guys including another “named” play, the NBA Interconference Total of the Month.  Get the picks now

Now to NBA where the road favorites where the road favorites are popular.  

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Denver, Milwaukee

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: New York Knicks, Phoenix, Orlando 

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: New York Knicks

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Orlando -1.5 to -3.5

To college basketball, including added rotation games at Bet Now   

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Central Michigan, Missouri State

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Missouri State

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: none

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Missouri State -14.5 to -17.5

Alert! Alert! Alert! MyBookie is now a 50 percent sign-up bonus. They always pay on time.  

Winning Free Picks College Football, College Basketball Friday

Joe Duffy is killing it big time! Off a 6-0 sweep, Boston as TNT Game of the Month makes us 42-17 with named plays. I am 12-4 NBA. Winning for you since the 1980s scorephones, college football total up for Friday, five NBA led by Wise Guy, two college basketballGet the picks now

UCF at Tulsa

UCF -17 with o/u 69.5

  • UCF dropped 5-of-6 ats and style points motivation is long gone
    • Won’t be highest ranked non-Power 5
  • Tulsa 2-7 SU but 3-2 last five
  • Tulsa lost to SMU and Memphis by combined 7
    • Also lost to Michigan State, Oklahoma State, and Cincinnati 
  • UCF with good OL and four RB can keep ball on the ground

The pick: TULSA +17

Washington at Oregon St

Washington -10 with o/u 65

  • Fade home underdogs off win in which they had 550 or more total yards is 87-57 for 60 percent (Washington)
  • Washington’s top two tacklers in secondary 
  • Home teams with two or fewer turnovers in game 8 or higher a go-against 58-47 (Washington)
  • Oregon State overpowered by Utah’s physicality and Washington plays physical 
  • Only one WR has gotten over 100 yards receiving to Washington and for OSU to have chance Isaiah Hodgins has to have big game
  • OSU needs two wins in final four to be bowl eligible, but more about pressure 
  • OSU truly is fired up about going to a bowl possibly 
  • Oregon State not sneaking up on teams

The pick: WASHINGTON -10

College Basketball

Baylor vs. Washington

Baylor -5.5

  • Baylor with game under belt, Washington debut
  • No big advantage despite adage biggest improvement from game 1 to 2
  • Huskies lost four seniors plus Jaylen Nowell left early
  • 5 games accounted for 80 percent of offense 
  • Baylor with nine players with 26 or more games experience 

The pick: BAYLOR 

Arizona St vs. Colorado

Colorado -5

Game played in Shanghai China

  • Colorado most back from 22-13 team
  • Buffs picked second in Pac-12
  • Remy Martin vs. McKinley Wright battle at point guard
  • Colorado Wright last season played with a hurt left shoulder, yet still averaged 13 points, 4.9 rebounds and 4.8 assists. He had offseason surgery but enters the season completely healthy
  • Romello Wright questionable for ASU
    • Averaging 9.9 points per game and 6.4 rebounds
  • ASU lost the Pac-12’s top rebounder, Zylan Cheatham (10.3 rpg)
  • ASU with improved Rob Edwards following minor offseason surgery, averaged 11.1 ppg

The pick: ASU +5

#1 Sports Handicapper in History Continues to Destroy Bookmakers

What can advanced analytics and proprietary handicapping do for you? How about 6-0! Off a 6-0 sweep, Boston as TNT Game of the Month makes us 42-17 with named plays. I am 12-4 NBA. Winning for you since the 1980s scorephones, college football total up for Friday and a lot more coming.  Get the picks now

Wise Guy plays are your maximum play. Majors are .75 of Wise Guy plays. Game of the Year and Game of the Month plays still involve the same straight betting as above. While we believe all gamblers need only bet our plays we realize some pick and choose selections. Said distinction is for such ala carte players. All units won quoted on systems are based on one unit per bet. 

NFL

Major

LA Chargers-Oakland OVER 48

When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record.  The over version goes over at a rate of 716-517-25. 

CFB

Major

South Florida-Temple UNDER 50.5

Teams off dominant rushing effort have gone under 453-273-23. 

NBA

Wise Guy

BOSTON -7 Charlotte 

TNT Game of the Month 

Road favorites versus an opponent off a close win is 373-256. However, with several other factors added, it has a subsystem that is 93-38 for 71 percent. 

Major

SAN ANTONIO -4.5 Oklahoma City 

Go against teams on a straight up winning streak against teams on a straight up losing streak under certain circumstances is 489-360-13. 

PORTLAND +6.5 LA Clippers

Rest dynamics generally benefit the home team. However, when the road team is more rested, it nullifies the normal home court advantage and creates an off line to the tune of 242-175-9.

San Antonio-Oklahoma City OVER 214.5

Two cumulative under teams tend to go over 796-605-25. It is even better since 2015.

Saturday College Football Winning Picks

I continue to kill it with named plays at 42-17! ABC Total of the Year among four Wise Guys and seven Majors in college football for Saturday. You cannot possibly still be on the outside looking in. Okay then. Keep the bookies in business for the rest of us. I continue to kill it with named plays at 42-17! ABC Total of the Year among four Wise Guys and seven Majors in college football for Saturday. You cannot possibly still be on the outside looking in. Okay then. Keep the bookies in business for the rest of us. 

Saturday College Football Winning Picks

I continue to kill it with named plays at 42-17! ABC Total of the Year among four Wise Guys and seven Majors in college football for Saturday. You cannot possibly still be on the outside looking in. Okay then. Keep the bookies in business for the rest of us. I continue to kill it with named plays at 42-17! ABC Total of the Year among four Wise Guys and seven Majors in college football for Saturday. You cannot possibly still be on the outside looking in. Okay then. Keep the bookies in business for the rest of us. 

NFL Week 10 Free Pick Raiders-Chargers Side

A big day for bettors as it’s the Los Angeles Chargers vs. Oakland Raiders, plus UL Lafayette-Coastal Carolina and Temple-South Florida. Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy, CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com has it all for you. 

Chargers at Raiders

  • Teams off consecutive wins as an underdog then posted as road favorites are a go-against of 15-1, 11-5 SU (Go with Raiders
  • Underdog 6-3 SU in Chargers games
  • Better team in short week unless they had substantially more snaps previous week is 80-32 (Chargers)
  • Fading bad defenses off win is 140-85-4 (Chargers)
  • Chargers third road game in four weeks while Oakland playing back-to-back home games 
  • Raiders S Erik Harris is probable with illness but has missed practice 
    • One of four Cal Vulcans in NFL 

The pick: Chargers -1 at MyBookie

Winning College Football Betting Picks For Week 11

Joe Duffy has free winning college football picks for this weekend’s action. Thursday, it is NFL and college football totals. Friday college football total. Saturday, ABC Total of the Year among six college football, three of them Wise Guys. More coming, but lock in now at OffshoreInsiders.com    

Stanford at Colorado

  • Numbers suggest closer than records indicate 
  • When comparing yards per play to what opponents normally allow get
  • Stanford -.4 on offense to Colorado -.1
  • Stanford -.2 defense, Colorado -.5
  • K.J. Costello is back for Stanford
    • Substantially better with him at QB
    • Was most efficient QB in Pac-12 last year
  • Stanford won 3-of-4, while Colorado lost five straight 

The pick: Stanford -3.5

Louisville at Miami

  •  Hassan Hall, the Cardinals leading kick returner and back up running back is questionable 
  • Cards one more win to be bowl eligible 
  • Cards HC Scott Satterfield 19-5 SU in final month of season at App State
  • Cards off bye week, while Miami could have letdown off road wins at Pittsburgh and Florida State
  • Fading home favorites off consecutive wins as road underdog is 31-18 (Louisville)
  • Louisville averages 218.1 rushing yards per game, but the Hurricanes have allowed just three teams to rush for over 100 yards this season
    • 4.9 yards per rush to teams that normally allow 4.3
  • Miami’s defense holds teams to .8 yards per play below normal average 

Pick: Louisville +6.5

Wake Forest at Va Tech

  • VA Tech QB Hendon Hooker missed one-point loss to Notre Dame, questionable 
  • Tech honoring long-time DC Bud Foster who is retiring 
  • WF QB Jamie Newman leads conference at 337.7 yards of total offense
  • WF R Sage Surratt league-high 9 TDs and averages 118.5 ypg
  • Wake over 400 yards in offense 10 straight games, going back to last year
  • Despite averaging 320 passing yards per game, Wake under 5-1 last six
  • Only Wake’s third road game
  • AF of two or more playing just third or fewer road game in game 9 or later are 98-77-2 for 56 percent

The pick: Wake Forest -2.5

Free pick and critical intel sponsored by Bovada sportsbook. Among the advantages

  • For horse racing, they have 94 tracks to bet on
  • Been paying all clients on-time since 2011
  • Over 4 billion slot spins since their inception
  • Blackjack tables approaching 2 million rounds
  • Post sports lines before most and carry what many have off the board

All this and more at Bovada Other sportsbooks we love MYBookie | Intertops |Betonline SportsBetting