NFL Week 4 Betting Notes; Massive 100% Sign-Up Bonus From World-Class Sportsbook

Info updated Sunday morning at YouTubeFacebookPeriscopeVK, and OK. Another option is the immediate podcast rebroadcast. Alert! Alert! Alert! MyBookie is now a 100% bonus up to $1000. Yes, hurry for a limited time! Deposit $1,000 and have $2,000 to bet now at MyBookie!

Here goes the Grandmaster! (game pending) Joe Duffy is 8-3 in football the last two days, 9-4 this week. Six NFL winners, a season high, including two Wise Guys led by Sunday Night Football AFC Game of the Year. Oh the SNF total. We have passed on virtually all prime-time NFL games this season. But this one is huge.  Get the picks now

Miami-New England

  • Miami thinned at DE with Cameron Wake and Andre Branch both hurt
  • Patriots WR Josh Gordon, limited but practicing
  • Ryan Tannehill has a 121.8 QBR, not buying it
  • New England third worse margin of cover team in NFL at 1-2 -11.8
  • Teams laying at least six points despite winning percentage .500 point higher are a go-against of 27-21 (favors New England)
    • General rule of thumb, use oddsmakers knowledge against them
  • Tom Brady 11-4 against the spread to Dolphins
  • Home teams 11-1 against the spread series
  • New England 1-2 -11.8, second worst in league

Lions-Cowboys

  • Cowboys no weapons and one of the best of the lesser Cole Beasley is less than 100 percent
  • LB Sean Lee is out
  • Anti-splits angles 140-104, another 203-163 favoring Detroit
  • Home team a combined 6-0 SU in the two teams games combined
  • Cowboys second biggest UNDER team, under 3-0 at -10.2 points per game
  • Dallas second worst points per play at .141
  • Dallas under 11-1 home
  • Cowboys 6-1 favorites
  • Dallas under 3-0 by -10.2, second worst NFL

UNDER 43.5

Texans-Colts

  • Colts QB Andrew Luck 23-6 against the spread off loss
  • Texas 0-8 against the spread skid

Browns-Raiders

  • Browns are 3-0 against the spread, but by +3.8 points per game, worst against the spread margin of any 3-0 against the spread team
  • Baker Mayfield has breathed new life
  • OT game, rare win, heartbreaking loss to Saints, now travel 2154 miles, tough spot for Browns
  • Baker Mayfield makes his first start at QB for Browns
    • Last 10 QBs who were No. 1 overall picks have lost SU and against the spread in debut

Saints-NY Giants

  • New Orleans No. 2 over team going over 2-1 at +17.3 points per game
  • Saints twice given up 37 or more points
    • Last year’s defense was an aberration
  • With Barkley and Beckham, Giants will enough weapons to put up points
  • Home underdogs of win as road underdog 138-97 (Giants)
  • Saints 15-5 against the spread road
  • Saints over 2-1 by +17.3 points per game, second in NFL

Eagles-Titans

  • Home team is a combined 6-0 in both teams games
  • Anti-splits angle is 125-80 favoring road favorites Eagles
  • Home underdogs of win as road underdog 138-97 (Titans)
  • Eagles bet back RB Jay Ajayi
  • Eagles WR Alshon Jeffrey questionable to make his debut
  • Titans QB Marcus Mariota no longer on injury report
  • Underdog covered 8-of-9 Eagles games

Bears-Buccaneers

  • Winston or Fitzpatrick?
  • Trubisky off two wins, likely come out flat
  • Bears a one-point loss at Green Bay away from being undefeated
  • Tampa second in NFL in points per play at .540

Ravens-Steelers

  • Ravens second in offensive yards per point
  • Ravens allow 4.7 passing yards per attempt teams normally getting 6.3
  • Roethlisberger will throw short and safe passes, OVER number of completions (probably about 29)
  • Ravens 8-1 divisional dog, 5-4 SU
  • Baltimore 6-1 series including 4-0 Pittsburgh
  • Ravens 2-1 against the spread with league leading 11.3 margin of cover

Bengals vs. Falcons

  • Falcons RB Devonta Freeman is out
    • Ran for 865 or more yards each of the last three years

Bills vs. Packers

  • WR Randall Cobb is questionable for Packers
    • 91 percent of Packers snaps this season
  • Bills RB LeSean McCoy is probable
    • 16 carries for 61 yards this season
  • GB QB Aaron Rogers 27-12-2 home

Jets vs. Jaguars

  • Jaguars RB Leonard Fournette questionable
    • 9 carries for 41 yards

49ers vs. Chargers

  • 49ers QB Jimmy Garoppolo is out for season
    • CJ Beathard gets start
  • Chargers 4-13 home favorites of three or more, 8-9 SU

Seahawks vs. Cardinals

  • Cards Josh Rosen gets start
  • WR Larry Fitzgerald is questionable
  • Seahawks top WR Doug Baldwin will play
  • Led by DT Robert Nkemdiche, who is questionable, Arizona banged up on defense
  • Arizona under 17-5 at home
  • Arizona 1-2 with league worst -12.3 margin of cover
  • Arizona under 3-0 by league high -10.7 points per game

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