Yet Another Miserable and Hot Summer For Bookmakers

Oops, we did it again. Joe Duffy’s Picks 8-3 the last two days. It will be such a long and hot summer for the bookmakers. Again. Too bad. This is what you pay us to do!



HOUSTON +10.5 Golden State

Truthfully I wish overrated Dwight Howard was out and the line adjusted. He is overrated, though from a straight up standpoint, of course they are better with him. Big playoff underdogs off a loss have been a great bet.

The Warriors got their win, so there is not a sense of urgency for a blowout. The Rockets clearly have been resilient. This game goes down to the wire.


Wise Guy

LA ANGELS (SHOEMAKER +101) Toronto (Dickey)

The Angels are 10-4 the last 14. Toronto is 2-9 the last 11. The road team is 6-1 in Shoemaker starts and Toronto is 12-1 with him on the road since last year. Toronto is 2-6 with RA Dickey. Dickey has been lit up for 13 ER in 11 IP. Dickey has a 7.34 ERA in his last five starts.

Going back to last year, Angels are 54-24 in their last 78 vs. a team with a losing record.

Philadelphia-Colorado OVER 9.5 (Williams-De La Rosa)

Day Total of the Month

One of those teams or both could put the game over the total themselves. Jorge De La Rosa has a home ERA and WHIP of 11.45 and 2.455. Jerome Williams road numbers are 8.16 and 1.954. But of course playing at Coors Field will be the cure, right? Philly has an OPS of .819 their last seven games.


TAMPA (COLOME -109) Oakland (Chavez)

This is a sharp versus square, which is when our Vegas, offshore, and outlaw contacts tell us the majority of sharp money is betting one team, the square money the other. We go with the smart money as contrarian betting is used by many professional gamblers.

We have reduced the number of such picks after refining the metrics to raise the winning percentage. In short we have more sources that must validate it is widely authenticated.



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