NFL Schedule Week 4 Trends, Part 2 Against the Spread

The podcast version of college football and NFL trends are up for NFL week 4 odds and predictions.

We continue our Week 4 NFL betting trend breakdown with the late games and Monday nighter. It’s pretty clear what the game of the week is.


Colts (2-1) vs Jaguars (0-3)

For all the talk over the years about the Colts having a strange problem beating Jacksonville, it doesn’t apply at the sportsbook. Indy is 4-1-1 against the spread in its last six meetings with the Jaguars. The road team has also beaten the spread six straight times in this AFC South rivalry.

Cardinals (2-1) vs Chargers (1-2)

Though the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings between Arizona and San Diego, the two teams haven’t met for several years, so bettors shouldn’t necessarily pounce on Arizona’s line. Also, the Chargers should come out angry at home after a frustrating loss to Seattle. They’re 5-0 ATS over their last five games following an ATS loss. The OVER looks like a solid play here; it’s 5-1 over San  Diego’s last six home games.

Redskins (1-2) vs Eagles (2-1)

The game of the week pits Donovan McNabb against his former team, the Philadelphia Eagles, who have the piping-hot Michael Vick leading them under center. But is the spread too wide for a divisional rivalry game? The road team (and underdog) is 5-1-1 over the last seven meetings. But Washington is 1-4-1 ATS over its last six overall.

Bears (3-0) vs Giants (1-2)

The hosting Giants are one of the colder teams around in betting circles. They’re 1-8 ATS over their last nine against teams with winning records. The road team has also beaten five straight spreads in this series. To top it off, Chicago is 4-1 ATS over its last five games. Could the Mike Martz era be a success?


Patriots (2-1) vs Dolphins (2-1)

The Dolphins don’t take underdog status likely. They’re 7-1 ATS over their last eight games as a dog. They also relish divisional rivalry, having gone 8-2 ATS over their last 10 against the AFC East and 4-1 ATS over their last five against the visiting Patriots. The road team is, however, 5-1 ATS over the last six meetings between these two squads.

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