Tag Archives: college football picks

College Football Week 1 Line Moves: Texas vs. Ohio State Headlines Non-Conference Showdowns

The wait is over. Week 1 of the 2025 college football season brings us the kind of matchup fans and bettors dream about: the Texas Longhorns vs. the Ohio State Buckeyes. It’s SEC vs. Big Ten. Power vs. power. No. 1 against No. 2 in one poll (No. 1 vs. No. 3 in the AP). And you don’t even need to wait until Saturday night—the game kicks off at 12 p.m. ET.

But that’s not the only marquee non-conference clash. The schedule is stacked with LSU vs. ClemsonNotre Dame vs. Miami, and Alabama vs. Florida State. For sports bettors, Week 1 offers everything: line movement, public perception angles, and sharp betting value.

And if you want expert guidance on how to attack these lines, Joe Duffy’s Picks at OffshoreInsiders.com is where the smart money goes.


How the Lines Have Moved

Oddsmakers at SportsBetting.ag released Week 1 numbers in May, and we’ve seen some significant shifts since then:

  • Biggest Spread: Penn State (-44) vs. Nevada
  • Tightest Line: Oregon State (-1.5) vs. California
  • Largest Road Favorite: Alabama (-13.5) at Florida State
  • Favorite Flips: Temple, TCU, and Georgia Southern all switched to the chalk side since open.
  • Biggest Movers:
    • Hawaii/Arizona moved 7 points toward Arizona (-18).
    • TCU/UNC flipped 5.5 points from UNC -2 to TCU -3.5.
    • Ohio/Rutgers jumped 5 points in Rutgers’ direction (-15.5).
    • Temple/UMass flipped 4 points to Temple.

Tracking line movement is vital for bettors—but interpreting it correctly is even more critical. Public money pushes numbers in one direction, while sharp action forces a different adjustment. Knowing which is which? That’s what separates casual bettors from pros.

👉 Get that edge instantly with premium betting picks from OffshoreInsiders.com.


Spotlight: Texas vs. Ohio State (Saturday, Noon ET)

Ohio State opened as a 3-point favorite. The market has nudged it slightly to -2.5, showing respect for Texas’ depth and balance.

  • Texas Strengths: Elite quarterback play, an experienced offensive line, and SEC speed that matches up well with anyone.
  • Ohio State Strengths: Arguably the best WR room in the nation and a defense loaded with NFL-level talent.
  • Betting Factors: Neutral-site feel? No—this is in Columbus. Expect a true home-field advantage.

This is the type of game where casual bettors lean one way (usually toward the bigger brand or public darling), but sharp bettors find their edge by analyzing matchups, pace, and weather conditions.

And yes—we’ve already locked in a premium play on this game at Joe Duffy’s Picks.


Other Notable Non-Conference Matchups

LSU vs. Clemson (-3.5)

Early money leaned slightly toward Clemson at home. LSU’s defensive front will test Clemson’s rebuilt offensive line.

Alabama (-13.5) at Florida State

This line hasn’t budged. Bettors respect Nick Saban, but Florida State isn’t the pushover they were a few years ago.

Notre Dame (-2.5) at Miami

Unchanged from open—clear indication oddsmakers feel this is a true coin-flip rivalry matchup.


Betting Angles That Matter

  1. Line Moves – Don’t assume movement = smart money. Sometimes it’s just volume from the public.
  2. Public Bias – Teams like Ohio State and Alabama attract square money every week. Value often exists on the other side.
  3. Weather & Neutral Sites – Games in Atlanta or Arrowhead can feel neutral, but travel and crowd mix matter.
  4. Spot Value – Week 1 is tricky; overreactions to last season’s results create soft numbers.

For those who want to turn theory into profit, this is where OffshoreInsiders.com shines. Decades of systems, contrarian betting strategies, and AI-driven models go into every selection.


Why Choose Joe Duffy’s Picks?

  • Decades of Proven Winning: Since the scorephone era, Joe Duffy has been the go-to for serious bettors.
  • Data + Experience: Proprietary power ratings, contrarian intel, and simulation models converge into elite picks.
  • Guaranteed Profits: Every premium package at OffshoreInsiders.com comes with a profit guarantee.

Whether you’re a beginner learning about line moves or an experienced bettor hunting for Wise Guy plays, OffshoreInsiders has the right package.


Ready to Profit on Week 1?

Week 1 is the perfect time to get in. Oddsmakers are adjusting to new rosters, transfers, and coaching changes—and mistakes happen. This is when sharp bettors feast.

👉 Don’t just watch the games. Beat the sportsbooks.
Get today’s premium picks at OffshoreInsiders.com and start cashing tickets from the very first kickoff.


Final Word

This week isn’t just about Texas vs. Ohio State—it’s about opportunity. With so many line moves, neutral-site games, and powerhouse matchups, the edge is out there. The only question is: will you have it?

Join the winning side today at Joe Duffy’s Picks – OffshoreInsiders.com.

Free College Football Pick, Week 0

Joe Duffy’s Picks is off a winning day, including 2-1 NFL, a powerhouse Saturday is here—2 college football sides, backed by the proven systems we’ve been cashing together for years. Add in 7 NFL winners, and this card is stacked for profit. When the Grandmaster loads up, you don’t want to miss it! OffshoreInsiders.com

Free pick:

Hawaii-Stanford UNDER 50.5

We have an angle that says when winds are above 13 mph, games go under at a 706-527-37 rate. Wind speed is definitely the single most important factor when it comes to handicapping weather. Follow us on all socials at @OffshoreInsider as I will have early week weather reports as well as before gametime. 

Also check out our new Economy Line to make the best handicapper on earth accessible to even smaller players.  Check out real-time odds, breaking injury news, and line alerts 

Free College Football Pick on Army-East Carolina

Free winning college football pick bet Saturday is from Joe Duffy of OffshoreInsiders.com

ARMY -16 East Carolina at MYBookie  

Army fits into a momentum angle that is 137-67-6. Plus, Army has a legit chance at a Cinderella season along with appropriately Navy. Thus, you can see how they can use style points as much as anyone. While NFL and NBA are about regression to the mean, college football is the biggest momentum sports in betting. 

Big bets this weekend!

🚨 Ton of football! 🏈 3 on Friday, led by Wise Guy.

🔥 11 Saturday winners led by a season-high of FIVE Wise Guys.

💥 9 of the 11 Saturday winners are sides!

🔥 Thursday NFL OU, but Sunday brings one of the strongest portfolios in a long time. 🏈 Lions vs. Vikings is the NFC North Game of the Year.

🤯 Get ready to have your mind blown when we reveal the pro betting system that is a staggering 18-1 ATS this century.

✨ 6 Sunday winners led by 2 Wise Guys, the strongest bets in gambling.

🔒 Named plays from Joe Duffy as close to a true lock in gambling as there is. This is all at OffshoreInsiders.com

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Week 2 College Football Betting Odds, Breakdowns Released

Week 2 of the 2024 college football season brings an array of intriguing matchups that are sure to capture the attention of bettors. As always, lines for games involving FBS teams versus FCS opponents will typically emerge later in the week, but several key games already have odds set. Here’s a look at the lines and some early thoughts on what to watch for from OffshoreInsiders.com

Friday, September 6, 2024

  • BYU at SMU (-10½): SMU is favored by double digits at home against BYU. This matchup could hinge on how well SMU’s explosive offense performs against a traditionally tough BYU defense.
  • Duke at Northwestern (-3): A narrow line here reflects the expected competitiveness of this game. Northwestern, playing at home, gets the slight edge, but Duke’s rising program under Coach Mike Elko could present a serious challenge.

Saturday, September 7, 2024

  • Georgia Tech (-3) at Syracuse: Georgia Tech is a slight road favorite against Syracuse. The Yellow Jackets’ improvement under Coach Brent Key is evident, but the Carrier Dome is always a tough venue for visiting teams. MYBookie is one of the best sportsbooks in the world! Check out the review of MyBookie
  • Kansas State (-10) at Tulane: Kansas State is favored by ten points in what could be a tricky road game against Tulane. The Green Wave have been known to pull off upsets, so this line might see movement as the week progresses.
  • Bowling Green at Penn State (-33): Penn State is heavily favored by 33 points against Bowling Green. This should be a straightforward win for the Nittany Lions, but the spread could test the resolve of bettors.
  • Troy at Memphis (-17): Memphis is expected to cover a 17-point spread at home against Troy. Memphis’ high-powered offense should give them the edge, but Troy’s defense could keep it closer than expected.
  • Pittsburgh at Cincinnati (-1): A virtual toss-up with Cincinnati favored by just a single point. This could be one of the closest and most exciting games of the week.
  • Akron at Rutgers (-23): Rutgers is favored to win comfortably at home against Akron. The Scarlet Knights will look to dominate early and cover the sizable spread.
  • Army at Florida Atlantic (-2½): Florida Atlantic is a slight favorite at home against Army, but the Black Knights’ triple-option offense could present challenges for FAU’s defense.
  • Texas (-7) at Michigan: This line opened with Texas as a 3-point favorite, but it’s already moved to -7. The Longhorns will be looking to prove themselves against a Michigan team that is always tough at home.
  • Arkansas at Oklahoma State (-7½): Oklahoma State is favored at home by just over a touchdown. Arkansas, however, has the potential to make this a close contest.
  • California at Auburn (-14): Auburn is a two-touchdown favorite against Cal. The Tigers’ SEC pedigree should see them through, but Cal’s defense could keep the margin in check.
  • Jacksonville State at Louisville (-28): Louisville is expected to win big against Jacksonville State. A 28-point spread reflects the disparity between these programs.
  • Temple at Navy (-13): Navy is a 13-point favorite at home against Temple. The Midshipmen’s option offense is tough to prepare for, which could make it difficult for Temple to stay within the spread.
  • Baylor at Utah (-15): Utah is favored by 15 points against Baylor in a matchup that could see defensive battles on both sides. Utah’s home-field advantage is significant in this one.
  • South Carolina at Kentucky (-9½): Kentucky is favored at home by just under ten points. South Carolina’s offense will need to step up to stay in this game.
  • Charlotte at North Carolina (-21½): North Carolina is heavily favored against Charlotte, with a spread of 21½ points. The Tar Heels’ potent offense should be too much for Charlotte to handle.
  • Northern Illinois at Notre Dame (-29½): Notre Dame is a near 30-point favorite at home against Northern Illinois. The Fighting Irish will aim to dominate early and put this game out of reach.
  • Eastern Michigan at Washington (-25): Washington is expected to cruise past Eastern Michigan with a 25-point spread in their favor.
  • Massachusetts at Toledo (-19½): Toledo is favored by nearly three touchdowns against UMass. The Rockets should be able to cover, but UMass could fight to keep it closer.
  • Iowa State at Iowa (-3): The battle for the Cy-Hawk Trophy is expected to be close, with Iowa favored by a field goal. This rivalry game often comes down to the wire.
  • Michigan State at Maryland (-10): Maryland is favored by ten points at home against Michigan State. The Terrapins’ offense will be key to covering this spread.
  • UTSA at Texas State (-2½): Texas State is a slight favorite at home against UTSA. This line reflects the anticipated tight nature of the contest.
  • Middle Tennessee State at Mississippi (-41½): Ole Miss is a massive 41½-point favorite against Middle Tennessee State. The Rebels should win comfortably, but covering this large spread could be a challenge.
  • Marshall at Virginia Tech (-17): Virginia Tech is favored by 17 points at home against Marshall. The Hokies’ defense will need to shine to cover this spread.
  • Central Michigan (-4) at Florida International: Central Michigan is a 4-point favorite on the road. This line suggests a closer game than one might expect.
  • East Carolina (-1) at Old Dominion: East Carolina is barely favored by a single point in what is expected to be a closely contested game.
  • South Alabama (-1½) at Ohio: South Alabama is slightly favored on the road, indicating a potential nail-biter in Ohio.
  • Sam Houston St at Central Florida (-23½): UCF is favored by more than three touchdowns against Sam Houston State. The Knights should cover, but Sam Houston State’s defense could keep it interesting.
  • South Florida at Alabama (-31): Alabama is heavily favored by 31 points at home against South Florida. The Crimson Tide should have no trouble, but the spread is sizable.
  • Buffalo at Missouri (-34): Missouri is a 34-point favorite at home against Buffalo. This line reflects the Tigers’ dominance.
  • Virginia at Wake Forest (-2): Wake Forest is a slight favorite in this ACC matchup, suggesting a potentially close contest.
  • Kansas (-5½) at Illinois: Kansas is favored by less than a touchdown on the road. The Jayhawks will need to perform well to cover this spread.
  • Georgia Southern (-2½) at Nevada: Georgia Southern is a narrow favorite on the road against Nevada. This could be a tough game to call.
  • San Jose State at Air Force (-6½): Air Force is favored by just under a touchdown at home against San Jose State. The Falcons’ unique offense will be key.
  • UAB (-12) at UL Monroe: UAB is a 12-point favorite on the road, which indicates confidence in their ability to handle UL Monroe.
  • Tulsa at Arkansas State (-7): Arkansas State is favored by a touchdown at home. This game could be closer than the line suggests.
  • UL Lafayette (-14½) at Kennesaw State: UL Lafayette is favored by two touchdowns plus a half-point against Kennesaw State. This line shows confidence in the Ragin’ Cajuns.
  • Western Michigan at Ohio State (-39): Ohio State is a 39-point favorite against Western Michigan. The Buckeyes should dominate, but covering nearly 40 points is a tall order.
  • Colorado at Nebraska (-7½): Nebraska is favored by more than a touchdown at home against Colorado. This rivalry game could be closer than the spread indicates.
  • Tennessee (-7½) at NC State: Tennessee is a slight favorite on a neutral field in Charlotte. This game has potential to be one of the weekend’s best matchups.
  • Houston at Oklahoma (-29½): Oklahoma is nearly a 30-point favorite at home against Houston. The Sooners should win big, but the spread is large.
  • Appalachian State at Clemson (-17): Clemson is favored by 17 points at home against Appalachian State. The Tigers should cover, but App State is known for putting up a fight.
  • Boise State at Oregon (-18): Oregon is an 18-point favorite at home against Boise State. The Ducks’ offense will be key to covering this spread.
  • Texas Tech at Washington State (-1): Washington State is favored by just a single point in what is expected to be a close game against Texas Tech.
  • Liberty (-22) at New Mexico State: Liberty is favored by 22 points on the road. The Flames should cover, but New Mexico State’s home field could factor in.
  • Oregon State (-4) at San Diego State: Oregon State is favored by 4 points on the road. The Beavers will need to play well to cover this spread.
  • Mississippi State at Arizona State (-4): Arizona State is favored by 4 points at home against Mississippi State. This could be one of the tighter games of the weekend.
  • Utah State at USC (-28): USC is favored by 28 points at home against Utah State. The Trojans should cover, but a blowout isn’t guaranteed.

Final Thoughts

As the week progresses, expect these lines to move as bettors weigh in with their wagers. Factors like injuries, weather conditions, and public perception will play a significant role in how these lines shift.

🔥 Joe Duffy is off to a 16-10 start in college football bets and wrapped up the NFL preseason at 12-7! 🏈💪

🎯 Full-Time Handicapper & Pro Bettor Since 1988 📅 🚨 Thursday & Friday NFL Sides Up! Plus Friday night college football side! 🎉 Saturday is staggering with FIVE Wise Guy bets and a stunning 14 majors on the college gridiron! 🏈🔥

🔥 The Top NFL Capper in History, by Far! 🔥⭐️ Sunday: NFL Best Bet of the Week among five Wise Guys and four Majors🔒 Wise Guys from Joe Duffy = The strongest bet in gambling! 🏅 Best Bet of the Week backed by a 44-1 system. 📊 The most statistically significant betting angle in gambling history! It is all at OffshoreInsiders.com

Army-Navy Free Picks, Betting Preview

It’s the annual Army-Navy contest and two of the greatest experts in betting preview the contest. Jeff Nadu and Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy, CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com have you covered—literally. Army is -10.5 with a total of 41, after opening -10.5 sans a total. Early money at sportsbooks such as 5 Dimes has underdog Army with 59 percent of bets and 51 percent of money. It is too early for meaningful totals stats as most books have it off-the-board with reports of possible bad weather. Here is the preview. 

Joe Duffy says early indicators are it is going to not only be another great bowl season, it is all but certain to be even better than usual. But that’s no surprise considering his advanced analytics system just keeps getting better. His picks are at OffshoreInsiders.com  

Parlay Bets: Week 6 College Football Betting Breakdowns

And now to week 6 college football picks. Parlay bettors will make some quick cash with those fantastic tips to crush MyBookie.

Of course an overview of the betting portfolio is a must for all sharps.

For those of you serious players who need more than side selections daily. Oh sorry for that bad imitation of Chris Jordan who begat OC Dooley, journeyman tout.

Then again, nothing beats the greatest picks from the greatest handicapper. Joe Duffy and Jeff Nadu, of SBR and Big Man on Campus fame.

If and only if you are ready for the best picks in gambling, Joe Duffy is loaded for the weekend. 15 college and NFL Wise Guys up Friday-Monday and more coming. Big Ten East Total of the Year and NFC Divisional Total of the Year among them. 33-16 NFL since preseason is the Grandmaster.Get the picks now

@JeffNadu and Joe Duffy Break Down Oregon vs. Stanford

Oregon-Stanford preview from Jeff Nadu, the Big Man on Campus and legendary handicapper Joe Duffy. Oregon is laying 10.5 with a total of 58.5 at Bovada with a total of 58.5. The contest opened the Ducks laying 8 with a total of 60.5.

A stunning 88 percent of bettors and 89 percent of wagers are on the OVER. Even more earth-shattering is that 75 percent of bets and 99 percent of cash is on the under.

Saturday, SEC West Total of the Year among four college football Wise Guys and seven Majors. Sunday, 10 NFL plus Monday Night Football. Get the picks now

NCAAF ATS Picks: Nebraska-Colorado, New Mexico St-Alabama, Texas A&M-Clemson

Saturday college football betting picks and previews sees Nebraska-Colorado. At MyBookie the odds has Nebraska laying -4.5 on the road with a total of 64. Sixty-five percent of bets and 69 percent of the money is on the Cornhuskers.

Junior JD Spielman recorded his second career punt return touchdown with a 76-yard yard score in the third quarter. The Huskers also got a fumble return for a touchdown by Alex Davis on forced fumble by Cam Taylor-Britt on the first play of the fourth quarter. It was Nebraska’s first fumble return for a touchdown since Josh Mitchell had a 57-yarrd fumble return for a touchdown against Miami in 2014.
It marked the first time Nebraska had three non-offensive touchdowns in a game since the Huskers had three defensive touchdowns against Wake Forest in a 31-3 win in 2005.
Offensively, Nebraska managed just 276 total yards, including just 66 in the second half. South Alabama produced 314 total yards on 79 plays, including 222 yards on 47 plays after halftime. Husker sophomore quarterback Adrian Martinez completed 13-of-22 passes for 178 yards on the day.

Full preview linked below

Joe Duffy’s picks Saturday with nine Wise Guys, three Majors led by Non-Power 5 Interconference Total of the Year and Non-Conference Underdog of the Year. Get the picks now   

Bovada has odds on New Mexico State vs. Alabama with Alabama laying a stunning 55.5 with a total of 64.5. Though 73 percent of bets are on New Mexico State, 60 percent of the funds are on Alabama.

NM State returns 17 starters from last year’s squad. The defense brings back nine starters from a year ago, paced by redshirt senior linebacker Javahn Fergurson, the nation’s reigning leader in tackles per game. Fergurson started all ten games he played in last year, leading the entire country in tackles per game (13.2). He finished the year with 132 total tackles (42 solo, 90 assisted), recording double-figure tackles in eight of the ten games he played in.

Full preview below.

Texas A&M is one of the few teams expected to give Clemson a quality game this season. Still the Aggies are getting two-touchdowns and a field goal, instilled as 17 point underdogs to the Crimson Tide at Bovada. Seventy-six percent of picks and 82 percent of money is on the large underdogs.

The sharp bettors preview is from Joe Duffy and Jeff Nadu. Screw the SPAM you get from HankWins and RJ Sports.

Football Odds Preview East Carolina vs. Navy With @SBR_Meg

Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy has a huge Saturday portfolio led by a Wise Guy side in college football. Get five sides and three totals on the collegiate gridiron. The intel is going to blow your mind. Well actually many have been with us for decades and should come to expect it. So when are you ready to raise the bar. Get eight college football winners now.

Detroit wins as yet another named play Wise Guy. Despite mostly underdogs in MLB, we go to 28-13 with Wise Guy plays and we go 2-1 overall Friday. Raise the damn bar, would you? Get the picks now

Also get East Carolina-Navy preview