All posts by Joe Duffy

Official Betting Preview of South Carolina-Vanderbilt


Here are news and notes and computer trends, as we take a
look from a bettor’s standpoint, the Vanderbilt and South
Carolina
televised on ESPN.  South Carolina
is a 10 point road favorite with a total of 41 according to BetUs Sportsbook.

The Gamecocks will start backup quarterback Chris Smelley. However, Jimmy Ashton of Lines-Maker.com says that is not
necessarily bad news for USC. Starting QB Tommy Beecher threw four
interceptions in his first career start to NC State last week. Smelley came in and completed all five passes en route to
two scoring drives.

This is a huge revenge game for USC. Last year they were
6-1 and ranked sixth in the country, but were beaten in Columbia
by the Commodores 17-6. USC Running back Mike Davis starts after a token
non-start, but non-benching last week in which he carried just 14 times, but
rushed for 101 yards.

Vanderbilt will likely be without starting running back
Jeff Jennings because of a shoulder injury. This further depletes an offense
that has several injuries at wide receiver including starter George Smith.

Without any question, the biggest bet from a proven world
class handicapper is from Stevie Vincent, the father of forensic sports
handicapping
. He has the ESPN SEC Game of the Quarter Century on the side.
More details are at the home page of OffshoreInsiders.com   

For those who bet college football
quarters
note that Vanderbilt has little depth on the defensive line. Any
injury could be devastating.

Here are computer betting trends, all records are against
the spread. Vanderbilt is 2-11 off a win of 21 or more points. However, they
are also 10-2 in the month of September

As far as over/under trends, South
Carolina
has gone under 13-3 on the road after a game
in which they committed three or more turnovers.

 

 

 


Moneylines in Betting the NFL Odds




It was somewhere around 25 years ago – an eon in the
prospering life of modern sports betting – that Nevada’s licensed bookmakers
first began employing money lines. The action was one of necessity as bet
takers, in an effort to limit their susceptibility at being caught between two
numbers (a situation called being middled or sided) sought a profitable (for
them) but reasonably attractive (for bettors) alternative to moving
pointspreads.

With money lines, (which are the wagering standard for baseball), players don’t
lay or take points; they lay or take a price. For example, if the Colts are a
3-point favorite over the Broncos, on the money line, Indianapolis
might be -160 (bet $160 to win $100) while Denver
is +140 (bet $100 to win $140). No pointspread is involved.

”The time when a money line is really used in force is on a game such as the
Super Bowl where a side or a middle literally could cost you millions of
dollars,” explained a noted Las Vegas
bookmaker with vast knowledge of the intricacies of money line management who
asked not to be identified. “At a really large sportsbook, getting sided on the
Super Bowl could cost the house well over $1 million.

”The time that a money line is really valuable is when the line is -3. Rather
than moving the spread to -2 ½ or -3 ½, I like using a money line, especially
if my jeopardy is going to be around seven figures.”

Of course, a bookmaker’s jeopardy or risk is a relative factor.

”Again, it’s up to the guy running the joint,” pointed out the bet taker. “Obviously,
if you’re on -3 and you’re $2 million high, if you go to -3 ½ you know you’re
going to get money back. How much do you want to risk? It all comes down to how
much belly you have.”

Bookmakers also use money lines when they hang halftime lines, a game within a
game where pointspreads based solely and independently on single halftime
scores are offered.

”Halves are pretty treacherous,” admitted the bookmaker. “Using a money line is
a tactical move because I think that’s the only way you can really book
halftimes. If it’s pick with the money line and the game comes tied, all you do
is give the money back. But it’s dangerous to go from pick to 1, pick to a ½ or
pick to 1 on the other side because, quite obviously, if the game winds up 7-7
at the half, you’re going to lose a lot of money.

”That’s a strategic move because there are a lot smarter people betting the
halftime than in a normal situation. When you take decent sized bets – say
$10,000 to a number – using the pick money line pointspread for a halftime, I
believe, is the best theory.”

Sports betting action usually dictates change but pointspreads don’t always
move in tandem with money line shifts, and vice versa.

”It all depends,” said another bookmaker who also felt a bit squeamish
discussing internal oddsmaking deliberations and demanded anonymity. “If
wiseguys (informed bettors) are laying a side up, yeah, most of the time I will
move the pointspread. But if it’s square (unsophisticated) money that moving
the number, I’ll just leave it there because I don’t want to kill all the
action. Sometimes, if you leave it there, they’ll bet that up, too. But if
games are moving, especially in college, a point, a point and a half, two
points a crack in an afternoon, you’ve got to move the money line. With the
NFL, you can stay a little longer and take a hit.”

If there’s a player edge with money lines it’s probably in taking the odds with
small underdogs. Since NFL games are decided by 1 or 2 points only about a
combined seven percent of the time, some gamblers feel if you like the underdog
you might as well forget the points and take a plus on the money line.

In the end, money lines are just another option sports betting option.

MONEY LINE VERSUS POINTSPREAD

Pointspread

Money Line
Low

Range
High

Pick

-110

-110

 

1

-115
-105

-125
+105

 

1 ½

-120
Even

-135
+115

 

2

-125
+105

-145
+125

 

2 ½

-140
+120

-160
+140

 

3

-150
+130

-170
+150

 

3 ½

-160
+140

-180
+160

 

4

-170
+150

-200
+170

 

4 ½, 5,
and 5 ½

-180
+160

-240
+200

 

6

-200
+170

-260
+220

 

6 ½

-220
+180

-280
+230

 

7

-260
+220

-350
+280

 

7 ½

-300
+250

-400
+300

 

This article was written by Luken Karel for http://www.thegreek.com.


Sports Radio: Mark Lawrence, Brandon Lang, Scott Spreitzer, Bobby Ventura and Others


We get a lot of questions about sports handicapping radio
shows. Let’s give credit to Mark Lawrence, one of the pioneers in radio handicapping
with his “Against the Spread” radio show. Mark and Lenny Stevens, whom I was a
guest many times, are probably the two pioneers. Journeyman Mike Lett is another.

Now Scott Spreitzer, Brandon
Lang, and Bobby Ventura spend a lot of money doing infomercial appearances. Spreitzer and Lang (AKA Brandon
Lane
) both are solid broadcasters who bring
information and personality to the table, but Ventura
is “painful to listen to. It is radio at its worst,” reports Brian Gould of ScoresOddsPicks.com.

SportsByline with Ron Barr used
to have some of the SportsMemo handicappers on
satellite radio and was pretty useful.

Still, we use sports radio hosts who have great
overlapping information for the sports bettor. Norm Hitzges of The Ticket in
Dallas, the recovering Jody McDonald of WPEN ESPN Radio in Philadelphia, Billy Werndl off the “Too Much Show” in San Diego, Mike Francesa
and even the Mad Dog of WFAN in New York, Mitch Levy
of KJR in Seattle.

Others report they like Stoney &
Wojo, Howard Eskin of WIP in Philadelphia
(a favorite of Lines-Maker.com
staffer Rex DeStephano), the Dennis and Callahan Show
on WEEI in Boston,
Mike and Mike (Mike Goldberg and Mike Golic) of ESPN
Radio, Tony Rizzo of WKNR in Cleveland,
among many others.

Either way, nobody disputes the premier source of sports
betting experts is OffshoreInsiders.com   


Don the Best Sports Handicappers Picks


There are two big college football games today Kentucky
and Louisville as well as Colorado
taking on Colorado State
(purchase
college football tickets
). Several elite sports handicapping services are
unleashing on tonight’s football and MLB betting.

Let’s start out with the top football service in the land
as we give the objective rundown of who is hot and who has the big plays.

The greatest sports
service
in the land, GodsTips has both the Kentucky-Louisville and Colorado-Colorado
State

side selections up now. We have just added the Sunday MLB Game of the Year
among three MLB sides. Go 5-0 now with the best handicapper in the land. Click now to
purchase

The Sunday Game of the Year includes going against a team
that is 0-11 off a win. Perhaps too many hints, but it’s a play that will win
from Joe Duffy’s GodsTips.

Onwards to MasterLockLine.com, which has the top plays from the top sports service in their
highest ranked sports.
     

Kongpop
Sukhibomrong, head of the famed Pan-Asian Syndicate which dominated Asian and
European soccer for years has now taken over the North American sports scene.
His group has now merged with Danny Ying of SuperLockLine fame. Pop’s syndicate is the most
requested source of winners in the history of the SuperLockLine and
MasterLockLine.
 Today get both NCAAF
totals and the top two pro baseball
over/under

The Duke, Jonathan Mardukas built up a large scorephone following over
the last dozen or so years.  He now has
an elite group of high rolling clients and the Duke is the most expensive
sports service in the world.  With a database that goes back to 1980, he is
the top ranked college and pro football handicapper EVER.
Stats are out of more than 900 current and
former services and syndicates monitored, rankings based on total net units won
based on ONE unit per play.
Get his biggest opening release ever in NCAAF, a one million star winner
on Kentucky/Louisville.

The hottest sports betting service both in college
football and in college and NFLX
combined is a handicapper out of suburban Detroit.
He’s 7-0 in college football this year and on a 15-2 run including NFLX. Best Bet of the Week
Colorado/Colorado State

Bill Tanner is the No. 3 all-time handicapper all
sports combined. He’s having his best MLB season ever and on his greatest run
ever. Get four MLB Platinum picks. All the MasterLockLine plays are
at OffshoreInsiders.com   


What Bettors Need to Know: Kentucky-Louisville, Colorado-Colorado State


With the short card, the staff of OffshoreInsiders.com
will combine the betting primer with the computer trends. All trends are against
the spread unless over/under noted.

Colorado-Colorado State

Notes: It’s appropriate that both teams are 0-0 because
this may be the proverbial “throw out the records” series. The Buffalos have
won 4-of-6 but all six were decided by a touchdown or less and a combined 25
points. Five have been by five or less.

CSU quarterback Billy Farris makes his first start. He has
thrown just 39 passes, but look for a lot of running says Cy
McCormick of MasterLockLine.com because he is
supported by one of the deepest backfields in the nation.

Against the spread trends:

Kentucky-Louisville

Notes: Both teams have a ton of question marks. Louisville
will be without WR Trent Guy who was shot. Another WR JaJaun Spillman
and CB Rod Council have been kicked off the team.

Against the spread trends: Kentucky
is 4-0-1 outside the conference. Louisville
is 21-8 outside the conference, but 1-4 their last five on grass overall. The home
team has covered four straight in the series.

Sports bettors know to check out GodsTips before betting
either of these games. The top football betting service off all-time has both
of these winners for just $17. Click now to
purchase

Get the college football version of the Tailgate
Party
which features college football live odds, plus
scores and betting trends (who the public is betting),
more NCAA football against
the spread
angles, free picks, game previews
written for bettors, weather, injuries, motivational factors, CFB Halftime Lines,
the StatFox matchups, and the Chalk Gaming
version.


NCAAF Halftime Lines

Sports Betting at the Sportsbook

How excited am I? It’s the first full weekend of regular
season football. I bought a few new televisions for my home office. Ironically,
while I wish watch dozens of games this weekend, perhaps off all the football scoring
updates
I’m most excited about is Division II as I will watch in minutes,
my alma mater, the California University of Pennsylvania Vulcans
put a hurting on the West Chester cheesesteaks.

I have the satellite
radio
ready as well, but I’ll wait until after the Cal Vulcans
game. Don’t forget most sportsbooks
have NCAA football halftime
betting lines
to enhance the winning sports picks you got at OffshoreInsiders.com   


Saturday Betting Rundown

Sports Betting at the Sportsbook

It’ll be Red Sox/White Sox action on Saturday night as Boston
plays host to Chicago at Fenway Park
in a key American League series.  Here’s your Daily Sports Roundup . . .

Event of the day . . .

Josh Beckett was supposed to start the opener of the Sox/Sox series for Boston
on Friday, but he was scratched and Daisuke Matsuzaka was moved up in the
rotation instead. That meant the Red Sox needed to find a pitcher for a spot
start against the White Sox on Saturday night – and they seem to have settled
on Michael Bowden for the job. Righthander Bowden
will be making his Major-League debut in that contest.

The White Sox will send veteran Mark Buehrle (11-10, 3.86 ERA) to the mound
on Saturday night. Chicago has
managed to pick up the win in each of the lefthander’s last four starts. That
includes an outing against the Red Sox back on August 8 when Buehrle gave up
just a single earned run on four hits over his seven innings pitched.

Sports betting event of the day…

It’s tough to single game out one, as the world’s best handicappers have
sundry sports
picks
. Sports bettors are checking out betting
news and notes
for Saturday (exclusive)
computer against
the spread
trends (exclusive)
and a free betting winner up.

Only Michael Phelps wins more than sports handicappers featured on MasterLockLine.com  

Non-event of the day . . .

Hands up if you missed the WNBA
during its Olympic break.
Ok, hands up if you even knew the WNBA had an Olympic break. The summer’s
afterthought-of-a-league has four games on its Saturday schedule, including San
Antonio
at Los Angeles.
Also on the slate: Atlanta at Indiana,
Washington at Minnesota,
and Houston at Sacramento.

New hotties

Thanks to those who have sent in nominations for the OffshoreInsiders.com
top hottie. Recent accepted proposals including CBS correspondent
Lara Logan (somebody come up with a good joke that her husband’s name is Jason Siemon), buxom bombshell Amy Sedaris, ageing but still
attractive actress Tanya Roberts. As far as 40-plus women, even liberals can
agree that Sarah Palin is one fine looking middle
aged woman.  

Also on the schedule . . .

Francisco Liriano (4-3, 3.83 ERA) will be looking to continue his impressive
comeback when he pitches in Oakland
for the Twins on Saturday night. Also on the American League
schedule:
Toronto at the Yankees (at 1:05pm ET), Baltimore at Tampa Bay, Seattle
at
Cleveland, Kansas City at Detroit, and Texas at the Angels.

Over in the National League the top pitching matchup is in Arizona,
where it’ll be the Dodgers’ Chad Billingsley (12-10, 3.15 ERA) vs. the D-Backs’
Dan Haren (14-6, 3.10 ERA). Rounding
out the NL slate:
Philadelphia at the Cubs, Milwaukee at Pittsburgh, St. Louis at Houston, Atlanta at Washington, the Mets at Florida, San Francisco at Cincinnati, and Colorado at San Diego.

Finally, college football stages its first Saturday of wall-to-wall action,
with No. 1 Georgia playing Georgia
Southern in an expected blowout. Other notable matchups
for the day include Hawaii vs.
No. 5 Florida (-34.5), No. 24 Alabama vs. No. 9 Clemson (-4.5), No. 20 Illinois
vs. No. 6 Missouri (-8.5), and No. 3 Southern California (-19.5) vs. Virginia.        

The top football handicapper in the world Joe Duffy has his first Wise Guy
play on Utah and Michigan.
Will there be mutiny on the bounty for Rich Rodriquez, the new Michigan
head coach?

The impending Hurricane Gustav has already affected the sports world as LSU
has moved their game up to early Saturday to aid those who want to participate
in their favorite event before fleeing the Gulf
Coast
on the three-year anniversary
of Hurricane Katrina.

News from the wire . . .

Outfielder Mark Kotsay made his debut for the Red
Sox on Thursday, collecting one hit in four at-bats . . . the Blue Jays have
sent veteran outfielder Matt Stairs to the Phillies and recalled top prospect
Travis Snider . . . Tight end Todd Heap returned to action for the Ravens on
Thursday . . . Colts head coach Tony Dungy fully expects quarterback Peyton
Manning to be ready to play for the team in its season opener next week.

Peek at the future . . .

The Sunday night baseball game this week is Los Angeles at Arizona, with
Derek Lowe (10-11, 3.81 ERA) facing Brandon Webb (19-5, 2.96 ERA) . . .
Coverage of the Pepsi 500 at Auto Club Speedway begins at 7:00pm ET on Sunday .
. . the Giants are listed as 3.5-point home favorites against the Redskins in
next Thursday’s NFL kickoff game.


All Top Handicapping Picks For Saturday

Featured handicapper on a Seattle
based website has hit 11-of-12 “Rolex Releases”. He has a Rolex Release for
Saturday college football and he’s charging $50. We have it part of the $16
package. Florida Atlantic-Texas

A long time handicapper says for the first time in his 39
years in the business he is releasing a 100-unit play in the opening week in
college football. He says this side should win by about 50 points because they
have the edge in all 47 categories in their handicapping process. He’s charging
$50 as well. Get this historic release on Michigan State-California

The top ranked satellite radio handicapper in the business
has his 20* NCAAF Upset Special and he’s charging
$49. Ah, you thought we’d tell you the play didn’t you? Well we will tell you
that there will be an upset on one of the following games: Ohio-Wyoming, Boston
College-Kent, USC-Virginia, or UL Lafayette-Southern Miss.

Statmaven Sports is No. 1 all-time on as far as plays that
have risen to the level to be re-released. Rankings trace back to the 976-LOCK
scorephone days through the SuperLockLine and are all-sports combined.  In other words, their highest rated plays
have proven since 1980 to be as good as any sports service.   Their second best college football super
system is +194 units. It’s on the game you will watch, Alabama-Clemson

Bo Eason is the No. 2 all-time sports service, all sports
combined. He has two of his highest rated 10* going Saturday on Virginia
Tech-East Carolina and another major contest.

All these plays are on the MasterLockLine Click now to
purchase
from OffshoreInsiders.com

Please note that plays released are generally not every
play released by the service.  We pass
along ONLY the top rated plays from the top rated sports services in their
highest rated sports.  Even if a top
ranked service has a highly rated play, we may cancel it’s re-release because
of conflicting information from other top services.

Our rankings are based on:

ROI—based on units risked versus units won ratio, minimum
50 units risked to qualify. This category also takes into consideration
multiple unit picks

Total net units won—how much money a service won based on
one unit per play including the juice

Winning percentage—self explanatory, minimum of 50 plays
in quoted category to quality for rankings


Saturday Free Handicapper Winner


It’s not often that the Center of the Handicapping
Universe GodsTips releases a big chalk, but 1-0 with free plays so far, they
have Arizona -27 against Idaho.
Here is what the top service in football betting says about the game:

The Wildcats have the talent advantage and motivation to
blow this game wide open. How bad is Idaho?
Out of 120 FBS teams, they
are ranked 119th by MRatings.com and 155th by Sagarin ratings which includes subdivision
teams and ranked below teams like Lehigh and Eastern Kentucky.

The Vandals have lost 18-of-19 to the Pac-10 by an average
of 42-15. Arizona has an easy
schedule, so no need to overlook Idaho.
Last year their non-conference opener saw them humiliated by LSU, so motivation
should not be an issue reports

Arizona is
considered by some a sleeper, so head coach Mike Stoops would love to make a
statement.

Arizona
averaged 28 points and 372 yards in 2007, up 12 points and nearly 130 yards
from the previous season.  They have 10
starters on offense back. Idaho
gave up 37 points and 419 total yards per game in 2007.

Indisputable fact is that GodsTips is the single greatest
football betting service of all-time. They have five college football sides
going today and if they have late steam, those plays are of course inclusive in
the $17 price. So will MLB, which are pending at press time. Get at least five
college football betting
winners now. Click
now to purchase

 


College Football Betting Information For Saturday



Bet at 5Dimes


Here is an early look at the first week of college
football betting for 2008 found the staff of OffshoreInsiders.com
These news and notes go with our previously released computer against
the spread
trends.   

Saturday, August 30,
2008

Bowling
Green-Pittsburgh

For those looking for a moneyline upset, perhaps not here
is not the place to look. The Panthers are 10-1 in season openers the last 11
years and 25-5 the last 30. They are 25-2 to the MAC, but both losses were on
the road.

Utah-Michigan

Don’t let the non-BCS tag fool you, Utah
is tough. Based on “others receiving votes” Utah
is No. 28 in the coaches’ poll and No. 29 in the AP. They do well in
non-conference marquee games winning seven straight bowl games and are 10-1-2 straight up on ABC and 10-4 on
ESPN2.

Utes quarterback Brian Johnson is as healthy as he’s been
since 2005 when he finished No. 4 in the nation in total offense.

Arkansas
State-Texas A&M

Aggies running back Jorvorskie Lane is
questionable because of lingering effects of a neck injury. He rushed for 780
years and 16 touchdowns last year. His backup Nick LaMantia
has a sprained ankle but it probable.

Hawaii-Florida

Florida
returns eight starters on defense, but will likely be without firs-team All-SEC
LB because of an injured foot. Heisman Trophy winner Tim Tebow
could be without his speedster WR Percy Harvin.

Hawaii lost
star QB Colt Brennan and head coach June Jones.

Alabama-Clemson

Clemson has had to replace 4-of-5 starters on the OL. Stevie Vincent, the founder of forensic sports
handicapping
has his first Level 5 play of the NCAA football season and it
goes Saturday. It’s a Blue Ribbon play, which are 77 percent lifetime in
collegiate football. Get Vincent’s Saturday card Click now to
purchase
.

Virginia
Tech-East
Carolina

Virginia Tech will almost definitely be without their top
defender Macho Harris. Tech is also rebuilt at WR,
where they have little or no proven talent.

Idaho-Arizona

How bad is Idaho?
Out of 120 FBS teams, they are ranked 119th
by MRatings.com and 155th by Sagarin ratings which
includes
subdivision teams and ranked below teams like Lehigh and Eastern
Kentucky
.

The Vandals have lost 18-of-19 to the Pac-10 by an average
of 42-15. Arizona has an easy
schedule, so no need to overlook Idaho.
Last year their non-conference opener saw them humiliated by LSU, so motivation
should not be an issue reports Brian Gould of ScoresOddsPicks.com  

USC-Virginia

We will keep an eye on the latest weather as rain is
expected. Virginia has just 10
starters back, but no clear choice at quarterback and they lost their best
player, Chris Long, the second pick in the NFL draft.

Washington-Oregon

Washington
will not have the services of starting TE Michael Gottlieb, though starting QB
Jake Locker has overcome a hamstring injury and will be available.

Syracuse-Northwestern

This is one of Northwestern’s better teams, though there
are questions on the offensive line, where they have three new starters. The
good news is they play a Syracuse
team that was last in the country last year in sacks.

Oklahoma State-Washington State

Washington State
is going to a brand new no-huddle offense. Indisputable fact is that GodsTips is
the single greatest football betting service of all-time. They have five
college football sides going today and if they have late steam, those plays are
of course inclusive in the $17 price. So will MLB, which are pending at press
time. Get at least five college football betting
winners now. Click
now to purchase
GodsTips, led by Grandmaster sports handicapper Joe Duffy, the only
American to ever achieve said status.  

Memphis-Ole
Miss

The Tigers receivers Duke Calhoun and Carlos Singleton
combined for 113 catches last year and have a huge height advantage over Memphis
smallish secondary. However, new Mississippi
coach Houston Nutt will have all four starters back in the secondary. They
ranked 10th out of 12 teams in pass defense.