All posts by Joe Duffy

Clinton Likely to Win Indiana Primary

Playboy spring sale

Hillary Clinton is heavily favorite
to win the Indiana Democratic Primary. According to the
Vegas political betting odds, or more accurately the offshore odds, Clinton
is -600, while Barack Obama is +350.

When betting on elections, Grandmaster sports handicapper Joe Duffy says
he always compares the betting odds to the consensus polls at RealClearPolitics.com. The RCP average has Clinton
+5.0 percentage points, though Zogby Tracking has
Obama up by two points.

This is a clear, well Real Clear,
change from about a week ago when Obama held the three-point lead.

Clinton has
been aided by his slow initial condemnation of the racist and anti-American
rants of Obama’s former pastor Reverend Jeremiah Wright.

Obama is still expected to get the nomination as he is a prohibitive
4/13 favorite to be the Democratic candidate for the White House. Clinton
is given a punchers chance at 4/1.

The General Election odds are tightening up. Arizona
Senator John McCain, the presumptive Republican nominee actually barely trails
Obama. McCain is 5/4 compared to Obama at 6/5. Clinton
is still given a chance at 4/1, oddly (so to speak) the same as her chances of
being the nominee.


O’Reilly Courts Clinton as Hillary and Bush Court the Gullible

Cuban Crafters Cigars

There were statements made by politicos recently that had
serious direct ramifications to the gambling rights community. One avowal was
made by the current President of the
United States
, George W. Bush. The other assertion was by one of the final
three contenders for the White House, Hillary Rodham Clinton.

In his State of the Union,
President Bush claimed, “The people’s
trust in their government is undermined by congressional earmarks—special
interest projects that are often snuck in at the last minute, without
discussion or debate. Last year, I asked you to voluntarily cut the number and
cost of earmarks in half. I also asked you to stop slipping earmarks into
committee reports that never even come to a vote. Unfortunately, neither goal
was met. So this time, if you send me an appropriations bill that does not cut
the number and cost of earmarks in half, I’ll send it back to you with my
veto,” said Bush to applause from both sides of the aisle.

The “To Bet a
Man Square Massacre” was a result of the so-called
Unlawful Internet
Gambling Enforcement Act, a pork barrel favor to conservative
traitor
Bill “Jesus” Frist attached to the completely unrelated Security and
Accountability For Every Port Act of 2006.

Knowing that respecting the democratic process would mean
defeat, Frist was able to circumvent debate and discussion by waiting until midnight on the final night before Congress
adjourned for the 2006 elections.

Could there possibly be a better (if not bettor) example
of as Bush said “special interest
projects that are often snuck in at the last minute, without discussion or
debate”? What the President failed to
mention is he signed the bill.

More recently, Democratic President hopeful Hillary
Clinton sat down with Bill O’Reilly of Fox News in what appeared to be more of
a courtship between forbidden lovers than a no-spin interview.

In response to how she would control spiraling oil prices,
Clinton answered, “Nine of the 13
biggest oil-producing countries that are in OPEC are also members of the WTO. I would file complaints.”

The direct implication that statement has on online gambling is that the United
States
deemed the World Trade Organization
irrelevant when the international body rightfully ruled that the US
unfairly targeted offshore websites by passing the anti-gambling rights act
while making an exemption for US firms that offer off-track betting on horse
racing.

In his two-part love fest with Clinton,
O’Reilly opted to follow up with scripted softballs instead of challenging Clinton’s
courting of the WTO.

Would it not make imperative that Clinton
insist we honor the WTO rulings against America
before appealing to them for assistance against OPEC? Why should OPEC respect a
ruling against them anymore than the US
has?

O’Quixote opted not to derail
his dalliance with Clinton. He sidestepped
asking her what say she about the obvious conundrum. Get a room you two.

Frankly the chances of a potential President Clinton
making good to the WTO is about the same as Bush
refusing to sign Frist’s earmarks.

If politicians on either side of the aisle actually
practiced what come out of their big mouths, the right to gamble would never
have been infringed on to begin with.

The author Joe Duffy is CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com and
widely accepted as one of the all-time great sports handicappers of all-time.


Sports Gambling Report For Sunday

Cole Hamels and the Philadelphia Phillies will be
looking to knock Tim Lincecum and the San Francisco
Giants for a loss on Sunday afternoon. Here’s your MLB Gameday
for sports handicappers:

Chicago
White Sox at
Toronto
Blue Jays,
1:07pm ET
Jose Contreras (2-2, 3.98 ERA) vs. Roy Halladay (2-4, 3.26 ERA)

Contreras hasn’t been striking out a lot of batters so far this season (just
16 over his first five starts), but he’s been a pretty solid pitcher for the
White Sox. The righthander gave up four earned runs
in each of his first two outings versus the Tigers, another four earned runs
versus the Yankees on April 22, and he’s held the Orioles to one run twice.

Halladay has been tagged with a loss in each of his past three starts,
although he did manage to go the distance in each of those contests. In fact,
the righthander has tossed four straight complete
games with only a 1-3 record to show for those outings. Halladay has walked
just seven batters while striking out 31 over his six starts so far this
season.

San Francisco
Giants at
Philadelphia
Phillies,
1:35pm ET
Tim Lincecum (4-1, 1.73 ERA) vs. Cole Hamels (3-3, 2.70 ERA)

Lincecum is helping Giants fans forget about the
struggles of Barry Zito. The young righthander has gone 4-1 with a no-decision in his six
starts this season, and he’s managed to keep his ERA under 2.00. Lincecum’s worst outing of the year came on Tuesday versus
the Rockies, but he gave up just three earned runs over
seven innings.

Hamels bounced back from a couple of rough outings
to pitch a strong game against the Padres last time out (7 1-3 innings, two
earned runs on five hits, six strikeouts). The lefthander gave up just two
earned runs over his first three starts of the year, but he then surrendered
nine earned runs over consecutive losses to the Mets and Brewers.

Los Angeles
Dodgers at
Colorado
Rockies, 3:05pm ET
Derek Lowe (2-1, 2.88 ERA) vs. Aaron Cook (4-1, 2.41 ERA)

Lowe gave up six runs in a no-decision versus the Marlins last time out, but
only three of those runs were earned. That kept the righthander’s
ERA under 3.00 for the season. Lowe has allowed three or fewer earned runs in
each of his six starts so far in 2008, but he’s only managed to pick up two
wins for his troubles, with one defeat and three NDs.

Cook has been on fire for the Rockies, as he’s earned
the victory in each of his last four outings. The righthander
surrendered just six earned runs over 28 innings in those starts to drop his
ERA below 2.50 in 2008. Cook held the Giants to just two unearned runs on
Tuesday, giving up 10 hits and two walks and fanning three over seven innings. Handicapper
Stevie Vincent has this game among six pro baseball winners. Click now to
purchase

New York
Mets at
Arizona
Diamondbacks,
4:10pm ET
Johan Santana (3-2, 3.12 ERA) vs. Dan Haren
(4-1, 3.13 ERA)

Santana could only manage a no-decision in his start versus the Pirates on
Tuesday, but he allowed just two earned runs on two hits over 5 2-3 innings of
work and struck out seven batters. The lefthander has allowed more than three
earned runs in only one start so far this season (on April 12 versus the
Brewers), and he’s struck out 39 batters.

Haren has also allowed more than three earned runs
in only one start this year – that came on April 23 when the Dodgers got to him
for five earned runs over 4 2-3 innings. The righthander
has picked up either a win or a no-decision in each of his other five outings,
and he only walked seven batters (while striking out 29) in his six starts in
April.


American Idol, Dancing With the Stars and Hell’s Kitchen Odds Update

Though most American Idol watchers in our unscientific
survey agree that the American Idol winner will be “one of the two Davids,” a popular prediction site suggests that long shot Syesho Mercado may beat the betting odds.

DialIdol.com’s often accurate
software indicates that Syesha Mercado at 50/1 is
gaining momentum and could stun co-favorites David Archuleta and David Cook,
both who are now 20/21. The other finalist, Jason Castro checks in at 25/1.

Another popular reality show has sports handicappers intrigued.
ABC’s Dancing With the Stars has narrowed down the
field and like American Idol, the initial favorite is holding strong. Kristi
Yamaguchi is still the overwhelming choice according to the sportsbooks at 4/11.

Former Miami Dolphin Jason Taylor is 2/1, Mario is 10/1
(no word on Luigi) while the long shots are Cristian
de la Fuente and Marissa Jaret
Winokur at 40/1.

NewBodog offers
odds on whether George Clooney will reprise his role in the 15th
season of ‘ER’. No is -130 with yes at -110.

The betting line is
also heating up for Hell’s Kitchen as Christina remains the choice at 5/6. Louross at 4/1 and Jen at 7/1 are place and show favorites.

More odds are posted at OffshoreInsiders.com


Kentucky Derby Odds, American Idol Betting and US Presidential Odds for the White House

It’s without question one of the great days of the year
for sports bettors and sports handicappers. The San Antonio Spurs open up the
Western Conference NBA Finals against the New Orleans Hornets, while in the
Eastern Conference, the not-exactly-Eastern Detroit
Pistons host the Orlando Magic.

The ‘Most Exciting Two Minutes in Sport’ arrives on
Saturday with the 134th running of the Kentucky Derby at Churchill
Downs. According to sports
betting expert
Joe Duffy, the only Grandmaster sports handicapper in the world, “It’s
the most profitable two minutes in sports.” He says the chalk won’t win today
and he has the win, place and show at GodsTips on OffshoreInsiders.com

Out of the 20-horse field entered in the Derby,
Big Brown has been singled out as the favorite at 3/1. Trained by Richard Dutrow Jr. and ridden by two-time Derby
winner Kent Desormeaux, Big Brown has gone undefeated
as a three-year-old with three victories which includes an impressive win in
the Florida Derby. However, if Big Brown does win he’ll have to go against
history to do it. Big Brown was unlucky in the post draw and drew the outside
No. 20 post. In the Derby’s lengthy
history, only one horse has won out of the No. 20 post in 15 attempts. That
lone winner was Clyde Van Dusen way back in 1929.

Big Brown’s bad luck in the post draw could provide an opening for Colonel
John or Pyro to pull off an upset. Colonel John
follows Big Brown on the odds list at 4/1. Colonel John won the Santa Anita
Derby early last month, but the Derby
will be the first race he has ever run on a dirt track. All of Colonel John’s
previous races were run on synthetic tracks, which could put him at a
disadvantage in poor conditions. Pyro was considered
to be a perennial favorite after winning his first two races of the season, but
a disappointing 10th-place finish in the Toyota Blue Grass Stakes
has lowered his stock a little. Even with the questions after his Blue Grass
finish, Pyro is still listed at 6/1 in the Derby.

There are a number of other interesting stories scattered throughout the
rest of the field of 20, including Eight Belles. Listed at 20/1, Eight Belles
is the first filly entered in the Derby
since 1999 when Excellent Meeting finished fifth and Three Rings was 19th.

Trainer Barclay Tagg, who trained 2003 Derby
champion Funny Cide, pins his hopes for a return to
the winner’s circle on Tale of Ekati. The 15/1
underdog won the Wood Memorial earlier this season to make him an interesting
dark horse on Saturday. Tagg also has Big Truck in
the Derby, but he’s already been
written off after receiving the worst odds in the field at 50/1.

Trainer Todd Pletcher failed to snap his long Derby
drought last year and he’ll try again with a pair of horses this year. At
0-for-19 in the Derby, Pletcher’s best chance at breaking that streak appears to
be Monba, who won the Blue Grass Stakes earlier this
year and enters the Derby at 15/1. Pletcher’s other entry is Cowboy
Cal
at 20/1.

Two other horses listed at 20/1 which are noteworthy include Visionaire and Denis of Cork. Visionaire
is this year’s entry for trainer Michael Matz, who
trained 2006 winner Barbaro. Oddly enough, Visionaire drew the eighth post, the same position Barbaro started from the year he won. Denis of Cork will be
ridden by Calvin Borel, who rode Street Sense to
victory in last year’s Derby. The
last jockey to win the Derby in
back-to-back years was Ed Delahoussaye on Gato Del Sol in 1982 and on Sunny’s
Halo in 1983.

Odds to win Kentucky
Derby
(updated live)

Big Brown 3/1
Colonel John 4/1
Pyro 6/1
Gayego 15/1
Monba 15/1
Tale of Ekati 15/1
Z Fortune 15/1
Bob Black Jack 20/1
Cool Coal Man 20/1
Court Vision 20/1
Cowboy Cal 20/1
Denis of Cork 20/1
Eight Belles 20/1
Recapturetheglory 20/1
Smooth Air 20/1
Visionaire 20/1
Adriano 30/1
Anak Nakal 30/1
Z Humor 30/1
Big Truck 50/1

Other key betting odds see that for the first time the American Idol Las
Vegas odds
say that David Archuleta is more likely to not win American Idol
by -130 then to win at -110. Also thanks
to the racist, anti-American rants of his pastor Jeremiah Wright, Barack Obama is
no longer considered a lock for the Democratic nomination for the President of
the United States
betting line.
Hillary Clinton is within striking distance at 5/2.

However, Obama is still in a dead heat with John McCain in the POTUS odds at 8/7.

 


Bet On Next NFL Player Arrested

Whenever the NFL off-season rolls around the league and
its fans begin to hold their breath.  The reason for this being that history
has shown a pattern of bad behavior on behalf of the league’s players.  In
the past, incidents with big name stars like Michael Vick, Ricky Williams, and
just about every member of the Bengals that have either landed them in jail, or in the courtroom have made off-season drama the
rule and not the exception.

The recent arrest of Colts running back Kenton Keith and incidents involving
other NFL’ers have shown that this off-season is no
different.  This being the case fans across the country are wondering who
will be next, and what will they get in trouble
for.  Looking for answers they have been flooding the largest most
successful sportsbook on the web, BetUs, where
oddsmakers have posted odds on all things NFL player behavior.

”The NFL is part of the fabric of the lives of fans in America
and their interest in their teams and players goes far beyond the field,” said BetUs spokesman
Reed Richards.  “This is illustrated by the number of fans who come to us
looking for analysis and predictive information regarding which star or team
will be in hot water next.”

Oddsmakers at BetUs
Sportsbook
osted
the following odds on NFL player behavior:

Team to have next player arrested
Dallas
Cowboys              
15/1      
New York
Giants             
25/1  
Philadelphia Eagles          15/1
Washington Redskins       25/1
Buffalo Bills                     
25/1
Miami
Dolphins                
10/1
New England Patriots        25/1
New York
Jets                 
25/1
Arizona
Cardinals            
25/1
San Francisco 49ers         25/1
Seattle
Seahawks            25/1
St Louis Rams                 
25/1
Denver
Broncos                
20/1
Kansas City Chiefs          
20/1
Oakland
Raiders              
20/1
San Diego Chargers          25/1
Chicago
Bears                 
25/1
Detroit
Lions                    
18/1
Green Bay Packers           25/1
Minnesota
Vikings            
20/1
Baltimore
Ravens             
25/1
Cincinnati
Bengals            
5/1
Cleveland
Browns             
25/1
Atlanta
Falcons                
8/1
Carolina
Panthers              
25/1
New Orleans Saints          
25/1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers       25/1
Houston
Texans              
25/1
Indianapolis
Colts            
15/1
Jacksonville
Jaguars           25/1
Tennessee
Titans             
25/1
 
Next NFL player arrested will be for
DUI         3/1
Robbery   15/1
Assault    4/1
Tax evasion   25/1
Dog fighting    20/1
Drug possession  2/1
Firearm possession 4/1
Breaking and entering 10/1

Will there be more arrest in the 08-09Reg Season or Offseason
Regular Season    5/12
Offseason           
19/10

Total Number of In-Season Arrests
Over 7.5 2/3
Under 7.5 11/10

Will an NFL Player be arrest multiple times before end of 08-09 Regular Season
Yes  5/8
No    1/1

 
Next Professional Sport to Have an athlete arrested
NFL  2/3
NBA  2/1
MLB   5/1
NHL   8/1

For more sports and entertainment odds, visit BetUs Sportsbook

 




Betting Odds on 2008 Run for the Roses

We already took a preview of the Kentucky Derby 2008 proposition
betting opportunities.

Now OffshoreInsiders.com
takes a peek at the odds to win the Run for the Roses. Currently the Las
Vegas
odds are similar to the more accurate offshore
betting odds.

Unlike last year, there is no clear cut favorite. Big
Brown is 3/1, while Colonel John is 4/1. Pyro is next at 7/1 followed by a long
list of long shots, such as Denis of Cork at 14/1.

Adriano, a popular among the aforesaid proposition lines,
is 20/1. Big Truck checks in a 25/1. Eight
Belles, the only filly in the 20 horse field, is 16/1.

Here is how the post position draw went in order:
Visionaire (16/1), Big Truck, Colonel John, Z Fortune (10/1), Pyro, Eight
Belles, Anak Nakal (100/1), Court Vision (20/1), Z Humor (50/1), Monba (20/1),
Smooth Air (25/1), Adriano, Bob Black Jack (50/1), Denis of Cork, Cowboy Cal (50/1),
Big Brown, Tale of Ekati (25/1), Cool Coal Man (50/1), Recapturetheglory (25/1)
and Gayego (25/1).

Kentucky Oaks odds have also been posted at OffshoreInsiders.com. The morning line and updated line are live.


Betting the 2008 Kentucky Derby Odds: Lines on Props

As is usually the case, online sports bettors have many
options for betting the Kentucky Derby beyond just the pari-mutuel offerings.

The 2008 Kentucky Derby
betting odds
are posted. Chances are that your favorite OTB
betting establishment does not offer such options as which gate the winner will
come from.

More serious horse racing handicappers will prefer the
match-ups, such as who will win head-to-head between Big Brown (-600) or
Adriano? Pyro, Colonel John, Tale of Ekati, Z Fortune, Recapturetheglory,
and Monba are all paired in betting propositions
against Adriano.

In fact, all of the favorites are paired up one-on-one in
“fantasy” style betting match-ups

One can wager on if the winning time will be over or under
2.01.30. Of course, the magic question is asked, “Will there be
a Triple Crown Winner” in 2008. Sports
betting expert
Joe Duffy admits, “As much as I hate chalk, laying the $800
to win $100 is as tempting as small returns on investment can get,” referring
to the “no” option.

Even the inevitable fun questions, such as betting on
whether the recitation of “My Old Kentucky Home” will be more than three
minutes, are ready for betting prosperity.

Gamble on the number of horses to start, the crowd
attendance, number of scratches, length of victory and more. Odds are from NewBodog and
updated in real-time at OffshoreInsiders.com


Betting the NFL Draft

It’s a football weekend. Yes the NFL draft is this
weekend. OffshoreInsiders.com has
posted betting odds
for the draft.

Who will be the second QB drafted? Brian Brohm -120, followed by Chad Henne
at +170 and Joe Flacco at +175. The field is +400. Virtually all projections of course have Matt
Ryan going first. The sportsbooks
odds are in line with Rivals.com rankings as well as most projections, which also
have Brohm going second at the signal calling
position.

One can even bet on which position teams will pick. The
Dallas Cowboys are rumored to be trying to trade up to draft Arkansas
running back Darren McFadden. Not surprisingly running back is the most likely
position they will draft first, but an interesting proposition is “any other
position” other than running back, wide receiver or cornerback at +200.

Which team will draft Illinois
ball control running back Rashard Mendenhall? The
Detroit Lions are even money, followed by Chicago at +250, and Houston at +275.

Philadelphia Eagles fans are chomping at the bit to draft
a wide receiver. Gamblers can wager in which round they will pick one. If you bet
not in the first four rounds and are right, collect +500.

One can wager which side of the ball the Indianapolis
Colts will draft. Will Chad Johnson be traded during the draft? When will the
Atlanta Falcons draft a quarterback?

Check out OffshoreInsiders.com
for more betting options for the NFL draft, American Idol Vegas odds, Stanley
Cup playoffs, and NBA playoff betting odds as well.


NBA Playoff Betting Odds, Eastern Conference

The Boston Celtics are overwhelming favorites to win the
NBA championship according to the latest Vegas betting odds as well as the more
accurate offshore
betting line
.

Curt Thomas is Chief NBA Analyst for GodsTips of OffshoreInsiders.com. He
is also the only full-time NBA handicapper in sports betting. The fact Boston
is the favorite is no surprise, but Thomas expressed shock at how relatively
little respect Detroit gets at 9/4.

“With Richard Hamilton, Antonio MyDyess,
Chauncey Billips, Richard Hamilton, and Tayshaun Prince, the Pistons are the better team (than
Boston) from top to bottom,” says Thomas, though conceding that Boston’s Paul
Pierce, Kevin Garnett, and Ray Allen are the “league’s best threesome.”

Last year’s conference titlist Cleveland is next at 9/1,
tied with Orlando, even though the
Magic finished a full seven games ahead of the Cavs in the standings.

Explains Grandmaster sports handicapper Joe Duffy, “We
look back no further than last year to see that LeBron James can carry the
Cavaliers, plus the blockbuster mid-season trade in which they got Ben Wallace
should pay off.”

At 25/1 Washington
is given little chance, but they at not as big of a dark horse as the Toronto
Raptors at 30/1 or the Philadelphia
76ers at 50/1. Coming up the rear are the Atlanta Hawks at 75/1.

“Athletic teams like Atlanta
give Boston trouble,” warns Cy McCormick of the online betting syndicate MasterLockLine.com