NBA Sweat Barometer: Best Teams to Bet on and Fade so far in 2021-22

Off a rare rough day, you knew Joe Duffy would bounce back with a vengeance. I’m just getting started. 4-1 NBA last night, get two very strong college football sides using a tried and true metric, plus three more NBA and a college basketball side. Get the picks now More CBB could be on the way

Here are the best teams in the NBA ATS based on margin of cover. 

Team       ATS Record                                           ATS margin
Golden State6-3-17.3
Miami 7-35.7

Notes: Memphis is tied for the second best ATS record at 7-3 yet on average they have a -3.5 spread margin. 

The best fades this season using the same criterion. 

Team       ATS Record                                           ATS margin
LA Lakers3-8-5.5
New Orleans4-7-5.2
Atlanta 3-8-5.1

Margin of cover is a long-time tool of original cappers used to measure the reliability of the often deceptive ATS and OU records. It is much like margin of victory, except it measures margin relative to the point spread or OU. With over-under, “overs” are listed first. Some Johnny-Come-Lately handicappers call this the sweat barometer. 

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