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Monday News and Notes

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Monday, July 17, 2006

 

Online sports bettors
ca win free sports service plays and $100 in sportsbook money by answering
select sports trivia.  It’s all at www.joeduffy.net
 

MLB

·       
Pittsburgh Wells 0-4 team record

·       
St. Louis Weaver 3-10 personal record for the
year, 5-0 lifetime team record to Atlanta

·       
Tampa Corcoran 4-0 personal record

·       
Washington Armas 3-9
personal lifetime mark to Florida

·       
San Francisco Schmidt 4-0 personal record at
home with 2.05 ERA in nine starts

·       
Boston Wakefield home ERA 3.11 and home team
record of 6-3

 

Personal record is a pitcher’s record in his decisions
including relief appearances.  Team
record is how the team did in his starts whether or not he was involved in the
decision.

Sports Gambling Strategy Articles

Go Against and With in the Second Half

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Overvalued and Undervalued Second-Half Pitchers and Teams

Joe Duffy (JoeDuffy.net)

As we’ve said a gazillion times—and make it a gazillion
and one—we do not ever blindly bet any one system, theory et al, but we have
copious starting points.  A case in point
would be teams or pitchers we believe will be good value for sports bettors to
go against or with.

Here are some highlights of that list:

Undervalued:

Atlanta,
the Braves are already turning it up.  As
you know, we have had great success in handicapping the mental part of the
game.  Even with stars like Greg Maddux
and Tom Glavine long gone, the fact that Atlanta
has won 14 straight division titles gives them the feeling of invincibility. However
Tim Hudson could be an exception as trusted opinions tell me they think he
could be fighting an injury.

Jeff Weaver, Cardinals
starter. The sportsbooks have not taken into account his move back to the NL
puts him in a pitcher friendly park. 
Wise sports gamblers know that 90 percent of pitchers perform better
knowing they are likely to get run support. Pitching for the Redbirds accomplishes
just that.

Felix Hernandez,
Mariners starter. Here is a guy we faded when he was overvalued, now he has
actually pitched better than his numbers. 
Hitters are producing twice the number of ground balls as fly balls
against him, so look out.

Chris Young,
Padres starter.  Young actually has
middling numbers at home, but he’s much better than he has shown.  History proves that pitchers with (relatively
speaking) more impressive road numbers have much more of an upside. He is also
ranked much higher in WHIP than ERA, the single best precursor to a pitcher who
will raise the bar.

Dave Bush, Brewers
starter.  Though we must admit, he’s
better at home, Bush is another guy who ranks much higher in WHIP than ERA.

Overvalued:

Francisco Liriano,
Twins starter. How many times have we crushed the sportsbooks by fading Second
Comings who proved not to be?  Liriano no
longer is pitching under the radar. The burden of high expectations is new
territory for him.   

Detroit,
few argue they are far and away the surprise of the first half. Manager Jim
Leyland has always been his best in getting teams to play with emotion.  But as we are in the dog days, talent
overrides emotion.  It’s much more of a
case of everything going right for the Tigers than everyone being wrong about
how good this team is.

Houston, they have underachieved as much as
any team and have a great upside. 
Repeat, we are big believers in the mental aspect, so adding stopper
Roger Clemens can be a boost overall, not just when he’s on the hill.

The famed
scorephone Tailgate Party goes high tech this football season at JoeDuffy.net We start the
week out with advanced news and notes from Joe Duffy of Godspicks.com , top computer trends from forensic handicapper  Stevie Vincent of KnockoutPicks.com, live weather radar,
sportsbook contests, free sports service picks, late breaking injuries on game
day, and more to “beat the screen” on the sports information superhighway at JoeDuffy.net 

Press Releases

Fantasy Baseball

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By Chris Goudey
Contributing Writer
WagerWeb MLB Baseball Odds

If you are still in contention to win your fantasy baseball league title, the All-Star break was the time to determine your end-game strategy. We are now slightly more than halfway through the season, and you should know if you have a shot at winning. If you do still have a chance at the title, there are several things you can do to help your chances.
The first thing you need to take a look at is your current rank in each specific category, and how far you are from moving both up and down within that category. For instance, if you are in sixth place in wins but could move up to second with just 2-3 more, then that is something to target. Likewise, if you are barely ahead of three other teams in stolen bases, it is imperative that you focus on that and make sure you have enough speed so you don’t lose precious points in that category.
At this point in the season there isn’t going to be a ton of help available on your league’s waiver wire, so the best way to acquire the help you need is via trade. Let’s say most of your closers lost their job or were hurt early in the year, so you are last in saves. If you are really far behind the teams just in front of you, it would be wise to just punt the category altogether and trade whatever closers you have left for help elsewhere.
If you need help in the other pitching categories, a solid starter is going to help you much more than holding a closer. Good starting pitchers eat up innings, so they will help your ERA/WHIP much more than a closer will. Also, if your league counts strikeouts, then that’s a fourth category you can get help in. Trade those closers for help in other categories.
Likewise, if you are strong in steals and think you can maintain your rank while trading a steals source, target a good power hitter if you need help there. A team with a lot of power and good numbers in HR/RBI is probably lacking in steals, so a trade where both teams are getting what they need makes a lot of sense. Batting average and runs scored can be acquired from power hitters and speed guys, so there is no real advantage either way. Obviously if you are low in average, runs and steals, a player like Ichiro is perfect for you, as he will be among the league leaders in all three. A player like Albert Pujols will get you the help in every category except steals, but he will obviously be much harder to trade for.
One more thing you can do to find a trade target is to look a player’s career numbers for the second half. There are lots of players who are much better in the second half than the first historically, so you might find a diamond in the rough if you do your research. All of the major sports sites and MLB.com have this information. The other thing you can do is to read the daily player notes on many roto-based sites or in USA Today. These notes will give you updates on playing time and injuries that can be crucial as we get down the stretch.
Trading is a delicate thing, especially if you are in a league with friends. Obviously you want to get the best of the trade, but at the same time you don’t want to develop a reputation as someone who is difficult to deal with. The best trade is one that helps both teams, but you just a little bit more than your trading partner. You want to try to make sure the person is getting value, but you don’t want to hurt your bottom line, which is your chance to win the title. If you’re trading with someone who is above you in the standings, don’t give them what they need to beat you. Usually you’ll want to try to trade with someone who is below you in the standings so they don’t hurt you long-term. As a rule I try to put myself in the other team’s shoes when I offer a trade. I look at their standing within each category and try to make sure they’re getting something they need. There’s no point in offering a closer to a guy who already leads the league in saves. It’s just a waste of time and will get you a bad reputation.
The stretch run is about to begin, and while the real pennant races are beginning to heat up so is your fantasy race. Be smart about what you need to do to get yourself over the top, and hopefully both you and your favorite team will be holding the trophy at the end of the season
Chris Goudey
WagerWeb MLB Baseball Odds

Press Releases

Poker Tip of the Week

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Poker Tip of the Week: Bad Beats »
By Chris Goudey
WagerWeb Casino

“#$%(&%#(&$)@&!!!”, I said for what seemed like the 10th time. Yes, I just got sucked out again on the river by a 2-outer and have now lost my last four sit-and-go tournaments in the same way. The donkey across the table has pulled one of the two or three cards in the deck that they needed to beat me after the flop. Those are known as bad beats, and as any player who plays regularly can tell you it seems to happen all the time.
Bad beats happen to the best poker players, the worst poker players, and everyone in between. There really isn’t a definition of what a bad beat is, but I would say it’s any time that you have your money in the pot and have at least a 75 percent chance of winning the hand. There are plenty of times where you have a 50/50, 55/45 or 60/40 chance of winning and you lose, but those aren’t really bad beats. They’re just part of the game. The times when you are in a “race” with someone, meaning one of you has a pocket pair and the other has two cards larger than your pair, are really not much more than a 50-55 percent chance for the person holding the pair to win. Also, a situation similar to this, where you have one overcard and your opponent has two cards higher than your kicker, you are only a 60 percent favorite to win.
The bad beats I’m talking about are the ones where you dominate your opponent, either with a higher pocket pair than his, a pair with a higher kicker or some other situation where he is a huge underdog once all the money goes in. Those are the ones that make you feel like you’ve been punched in the gut when you lose, and your reaction to these bad beats can make or break you as a poker player.
There is actually some good news in a continued string of bad beats. Bad beats happen to good players more often than they do to bad ones because the good players realize they have the best of it and get all their money in with the best hand more often. While a long run of beats will hurt your bottom line, you can take solace in the fact that you are playing solid poker. In the long run, getting your money in with the best hand a large percentage of the time is going to make you a ton of money. It’s hard to remember that sometimes when you’ve just been rivered, but if you can control your emotions and not go on tilt, you’ll be much better off. The key is just to tell yourself you made the right play and get on with it.
One way to lessen the effect of a bad beat in a tournament is to try to stay away from going all-in as much as possible. I can’t tell you how many times I’ve suffered a stomach punch but still had enough chips to come back and do well. In fact, just the other day I was down to $40 in chips in a sit-and-go and came back to win. The saying “a chip and a chair” really does apply, so while you do want to maximize your profits when you have the best of it, you also want to try to insure that you don’t get yourself knocked out of a tournament if the fish catches what he’s looking for. You can be aggressive without over-betting.
As I said, bad beats happen to everyone who sits down at the table, but if you can remember that they are part of the game, don’t go on tilt when they do happen, leave yourself some wiggle room, and know that you are actually playing very well, you can live to fight another day.
Chris Goudey

WagerWeb Casino

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Sunday Sampler

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HEADLINE:
 The nation’s top sports service
all-sports combined, all-time ROI is Godspicks.com  Stats
are out of 620 services and syndicates monitored, rankings based on total net
units won based on ONE unit per play. Sizzling hot, they have the NL Game of
the Month Today        

Sunday, July 16, 2006

·       
Godspicks.com the No. 1
all-time sports service and currently the hottest has their NL Game of the Month

·       
The Dutchman is a former professional tout who
in 1996 retired to a Hawaiian getaway. However the Dutchman still bets up to
$10,000 per game and in an EXCLUSIVE he must report by contractual agreement
every 10K personal real money best bet.
He releases about 15 or so per year. He has another today and it’s exclusively
here.  Such plays are 11-2 the last 13
over the past 15 months. You know it’s legit because you got EVERY ONE OF THEM.
 

 

 

 

We search our database of more than 620
handicappers from the Internet, scorephones, television, 800 number late
telephone services, 900 number handicappers, tip sheets and other sources and
give you their top plays more times than not at a fraction of the cost. REDUCED
PRICES FOR ALL PLAYERS: Today’s full menu is $12, a week $67, and monthly $200.

 

#

 

7-16-06

SUNDAY
SPECIAL: Purchase the 1, 3, 7 or 31 day (monthly) package TODAY and it get it
automatically DOUBLED! 

We told you that The Great One
had one of his strongest cards this year with 5 big winners Saturday. Your forensic handicapper  Stevie Vincent sweeps the board. 

The Great One has 3 Sunday winners
including a Level 5 play. 

Get the Universal Pass: You can now purchase TOTAL
ACCESS to the top three sites on the Net, the Bet It Trinity Stevie’s
Vincent’s Knockout Picks, top
sports service plays at Alliance
Handicapping, and the world’s greatest sports service God’s Picks for more than 50 percent off
the daily price.  You get access to all
three. Buy here or at
any of the Bet It Trinity sites.

Knockout Picks is a revolutionary site using the science of forensic
handicapping.  Premium selections are rated Level 1 to Level 5.  They are available for $25 per day, cheaper long term. 

Your URL for the new revolution in handicapping is http://www.knockoutpicks.com/ 

#

 

 

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 #

Sunday, July 16, 2006 

There are a small number of gamblers who think credibility
among handicappers is defined by those who talk about losers.  We are at an extreme disadvantage there
because we have very few losing days to talk about.  Well, guess what—man bites dog last
night.  Godspicks went 1-2 to have one of
our worst performances in more than a month.

As always the books must pay. Severely.
Dog bites man again today as The Center of the Handicapping Universe Godspicks.com has three, yes THREE Wise Guy plays including
the NL Game of the Month. We also have a Major. Godspicks.com is 67-49 but with 33 dog winners of 125 or more
which converts to a “wallet equivalent” of 89-51.

Go 4-0 now. The ENTIRE card  is just $17 at www.godspicks.com. 

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MVP Sportsbook Trivia Contest

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For $100 in MVP
Sportsbook money and four free days of premium winners to Godspicks.com , here is your Sunday
question.  Random winners will be chosen
all day.

Here is the question: Alonzo Mourning, who announced he will return next year
for the Miami Heat, played at what college?

1.  If you know the
answer, email it to mvpcontest@joeduffy.net.
We will choose at random correct answers to win the accounts.

2.  All winners get a
free $100 betting account at MVP
Sportsbook. We will tell you when we ask the question which handicapping
site you will win a subscription to.

3.  ****YOU MUST BE A
FIRST TIME CLIENT TO MVP Sportsbook.
However you can be a current or previous client to any Bet it Trinty
sites featured at JoeDuffy.net: Godspicks.com, AllianceHandicapping.com, KnockoutPicks.com    In
fact, if you are a current client to one of the sites you will not only get the
days added to the end of your subscription but a special bonus you will also
get the remaining days on your subscription (up to 10) DOUBLED.

4.  ***MVP Sportsbook must first confirm you
are a new client to MVP Sportsbook before you get the free sports service
plays.

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Sunday Godspicks

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Get 107 juice at Canbet if you tell them JoeDuffy.net sent you!

CanBet.com : National College Basketball

Sunday, July 16, 2006 

There are a small number of gamblers who think credibility
among handicappers is defined by those who talk about losers.  We are at an extreme disadvantage there
because we have very few losing days to talk about.  Well, guess what—man bites dog last
night.  Godspicks went 1-2 to have one of
our worst performances in more than a month.

As always the books must pay. Severely.
Dog bites man again today as The Center of the Handicapping Universe Godspicks.com has
three, yes THREE Wise Guy
plays including the NL Game of the Month. We also have a Major. Godspicks.com is 67-49 but with 33 dog
winners of 125 or more which converts to a “wallet equivalent” of 89-51.

Go 4-0 now. The ENTIRE card  is just
$17 at www.godspicks.com. 

MLB

ST.
LOUIS
(REYES -122) Los Angeles
(Penny)

The Cardinals have won six straight while LA has lost
5-of-7. The Dodgers are 2-12 the last 14. The Cards are 11-1 in St.
Louis in the series.

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SUNDAY KNOCKOUTPICKS

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7-16-06

SUNDAY SPECIAL: Purchase the 1, 3, 7 or 31 day
(monthly) package TODAY and it get it automatically DOUBLED! 

We told you that The Great One
had one of his strongest cards this year with 5 big winners Saturday. Your forensic
handicapper  Stevie Vincent sweeps the board. 

The Great One has 3 Sunday
winners including a Level 5 play. 

Get the Universal Pass: You
can now purchase TOTAL ACCESS to the top three sites on the Net, the Bet It Trinity Stevie’s Vincent’s Knockout
Picks, top sports service plays at Alliance
Handicapping, and the world’s greatest sports service God’s
Picks for more than 50 percent off the daily
price.  You get access to all three. Buy here or at any of the Bet It Trinity sites.

Knockout Picks is a revolutionary site using the science
of forensic handicapping.  Premium selections are rated Level 1 to Level 5.  They are available for $25 per day, cheaper long term. 

Your URL for the new revolution in
handicapping is http://www.knockoutpicks.com/ 

YOU HAVE SEEN THE FUTURE OF
HANDICAPPING ARRIVE. WE HAVE REACHED THE POINT WHERE EVERYONE WHO WANTS TO WIN
NOW CAN THANKS TO KNOCKOUTPICKS.COM.

Remember the Great One
has already clearly established himself as the top totals handicapper on the
World Wide Web and baseball is perhaps his best sport knowing walks/hits per
game is the most important statistic.

FORENSIC HANDICAPPER
STEVIE VINCENT HAS BECOME THE TALK OF THE HANDICAPPING WORLD CHANGING THE
COMPLEXION OF HANDICAPPING AS HE PROMISED.

Knockout
Picks is a revolutionary new site using the science of forensic handicapping.  Premium selections are rated Level 1 to Level 5.  They are available for $25 per day, cheaper
long term

PRO BASEBALL

>>>FREE PLAY is on
Houston/Florida UNDER

Forensic team and pitching information on this game: last
3 appearances for each pitcher:  Buchholz
2.79 ERA, 6.98 walks/hits per game, Olsen 2.65 ERA, 11.65 walks/hits per game,

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Sunday Computer Trends

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Sunday, July 16, 2006

 

JoeDuffy.net  has become the ultimate source for daily free
gaming news
and notes both daily and advanced, top sports
service plays and more. 

MLB

·       
LA Penny has a 10-2 personal record

·       
KC Elarton 5-14 team
record for the year, but 7-3 team lifetime record to Detroit

·       
Baltimore Lopez 5-10 personal record

·       
Colorado Fogg 6-1
personal, 8-3 team record lifetime to Cincinnati

·       
LAA Colon 8-1 to Tampa
lifetime, 0-3 team home record this year

·       
Milwaukee Bush 2-7 team record

·       
Detroit Miner 6-1

 

Personal record is a pitcher’s record in his decisions
including relief appearances.  Team
record is how the team did in his starts whether or not he was involved in the
decision.

Uncategorized

Saturday Sampler

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HEADLINE:
 Out of 620 sports services and
syndicates monitored, two stand head and shoulders
above the rest in 2006 MLB: KnockoutPicks.com and the Pan-Asian
Syndicate, both maintaining overwhelming leads over the remaining 618 entities.
KnockoutPicks.com
does not have a Level 5 today, but the Syndicate has 2 pro baseball.      

Alliancehandicapping.com
http://www.alliancehandicapping.com/ gives you the highest rated plays from the highest
rated handicappers in their highest rated sports. We search our database of
more than 620 handicappers from the Internet, scorephones, television, 800
number late telephone services, 900 number handicappers, tip sheets and other
sources and give you their top plays more times than not at a fraction of the
cost.

Saturday, July 15, 2006

·       
EXCLUSIVE:   THE PAN-ASIAN SYNDICATE HAS NOW HIT 14 of 16.   Today
they have 2 more winners.

·       
Exclusive feature: We’ve developed data mining software that finds
out what happens when two or more top sports services agree in the same side.  Godspicks.com
is the No. 1 all sports combined of all-time. Team Vegas in ranked No. 4 in MLB
this year and No.2 since May 1.  When both
services have the same play it’s 39-21 this year +20.4
as most have been dogs. They agree on
another today

 

We search our database of more than 620
handicappers from the Internet, scorephones, television, 800 number late
telephone services, 900 number handicappers, tip sheets and other sources and
give you their top plays more times than not at a fraction of the cost. REDUCED
PRICES FOR ALL PLAYERS: Today’s full menu is $12, a week $67, and monthly $200.

 

#

 

Saturday, July 15,
2006

Online sports bettors, we told you if we only we could
stop getting boned with two-out walkoffs and extra
innings, we’d never lose.  Promises Made, Promises Delivered as now
we not only dominate most games, we are even winning with games with dramatic
finishes.  Arizona
comes in last night for the sharpest sports gamblers, all who are clients of Godspicks.com.

The latest numbers to inferior betting odds investors may
seem modest at 66-49, but that includes 33 dog winners of 125 or more which
converts to a “wallet equivalent” of 88-50. 
Saturday sports gamblers get three MLB winners and that includes a Dandy Dog. Dandy
dogs are dogs of 140 or more in MLB.

Beat the betting odds now. The ENTIRE card  is just
$17 at www.godspicks.com.  NETELLER SPECIAL:  Limited time only by sending money directly via Neteller to neteller@joeduffy.net.  LAST
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process. 

#

 

 

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BetUS.com has a reputation for being one of the most solid sportsbooks on the
internet. It has been in business for over 10 years and
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bonuses. BetUS.com offers top quality sports betting, casino games, and poker.

 #

 

7-15-06

The Great One
has one of his strongest cards this year with 5 big winners Saturday.

Get the Universal Pass: You
can now purchase TOTAL ACCESS to the top three sites on the Net, the Bet It Trinity Stevie’s Vincent’s Knockout
Picks, top sports service plays at Alliance
Handicapping, and the world’s greatest sports service God’s
Picks for more than 50 percent off the daily
price.  You get access to all three. Buy here or at any of the Bet It Trinity sites.

Knockout Picks is a revolutionary site using the science of forensic handicapping. 
Premium selections are rated Level 1 to Level 5.  They are available for $25 per day, cheaper
long term. 

Your URL for the new revolution in
handicapping is http://www.knockoutpicks.com/ 

YOU HAVE SEEN THE FUTURE OF
HANDICAPPING ARRIVE. WE HAVE REACHED THE POINT WHERE EVERYONE WHO WANTS TO WIN
NOW CAN THANKS TO KNOCKOUTPICKS.COM.

Remember the Great One has already clearly established
himself as the top totals handicapper on the World Wide Web and baseball is perhaps
his best sport knowing walks/hits per game is the most important statistic.

FORENSIC HANDICAPPER
STEVIE VINCENT HAS BECOME THE TALK OF THE HANDICAPPING WORLD CHANGING THE
COMPLEXION OF HANDICAPPING AS HE PROMISED.

Knockout
Picks is a revolutionary new site using the science of forensic handicapping.  Premium selections are rated Level 1 to Level 5.  They are available for $25 per day, cheaper
long term

Sports betting blog with sports handicapping picks from the best sports handicappers, pregame betting information, sports handicapping articles, links to live odds, free picks, sportsbook information and more. All pro gamblers go to this betting blog before placing a bet.