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Sunday, February 4, 2006
America’s greatest sports service the Dream Team at Godspicks.com of course nailed Philly and the under last year in the Super Bowl and we finish off one of the great two year runs preseason to the Super Bowl ever recorded. We have the Wise Guy side and a Major on the total on Super Bowl XL plus all your prop plays. Steam plays added in the morning are included in the price. Just enter your password and plays are also emailed to you.
The ENTIRE card is just $17 at www.godspicks.com. We now take virtually every credit card, PayPal and eCheck. Also we now have yearly and other packages available via Western Union. Every play, every sport for a year is $2,450. Email us at godspicks@bellsouth.net to make arrangements or for Neteller payments.
NFL
Super Bowl XL
Steelers-Seahawks
Canoe.ca
Much of the talk during Super Bowl week has centered on the Pittsburgh Steelers’ and Seattle Seahawks’ offence and the exploits of quarterbacks Ben Roethlisberger and Matt Hasselbeck and running backs Shaun Alexander and Jerome (The Bus) Bettis.
But make no mistake, defense will be a determining factor in which team is left holding the Lombardi Trophy on Sunday night. Seattle’s defense led the NFL in sacks with 50, proof the unit knows how to pressure opposing quarterbacks. Pittsburgh counters with an athletic 3-4 alignment that’s anchored by fiery outside linebacker Joey Porter, who has been deadly in the playoffs coming in on the blitz.
Scorephone.com
The Steelers and Seahawks have taken far different paths to reach the Super Sunday stage. Pittsburgh barely made the playoffs and was forced to beat the AFC’s top three seeds on the road, while Seattle had a postseason berth wrapped up around Thanksgiving and enjoyed a couple of home games against Wild Card teams in the playoffs. And though the Seahawks were the NFC’s top seed and have won more games than the Steelers, it should be Pittsburgh that is a bit more sure of itself on Sunday night.
CBB
Pittsburgh-Georgetown
Pitt News
Pitt (17-2 overall, 6-2 Big East) travels to the nation’s capital and battles the up-and-coming Georgetown Hoyas (15-4, 6-2) at the MCI Center in Washington, D.C., to comprise the “other” game on Sunday for the city of Pittsburgh. The Hoyas, coached by John Thompson III, have won five in a row to earn national rankings of No. 17 in the Associate Press poll, and No. 22 in the ESPN/USA Today Coaches poll. One of those wins was against then-No. 1 Duke, giving them their first and only loss of the season.
Pitt, ranked No. 9 in both polls, will have to adjust its defense to a very versatile. Georgetown team. Four Hoyas, center Roy Hibbert, forwards Brandon Bowman and Jeff Green and guard Ashanti Cook, all average double figures in points per game.
Oklahoma-Kansas
Scout.com
Kansas leads the series against Oklahoma 129-64, but the Sooners have won three of the last four and four of the last six games. KU is the only Big 12 program to lead the all-time series against OU. Sooner head coach Kelvin Sampson is 0-6 against the Jayhawks in Lawrence and 6-10 overall.
Iowa State-Colorado
WQAD.com
Iowa Iowa State needs to turn its season around quickly or risk missing the N-C-A-A tournament. The Cyclones opened the season ranked in the Top 25. After posting wins over Iowa and Northern Iowa, a Big Dance bid seemed a foregone conclusion.
But the Cyclones have since lost four of their last six games. The next chance to get back on the winning track comes Sunday at home against Colorado. The Buffaloes have won five straight to improve to 15-and-3 overall and 5-and-2 in the Big 12. The Cyclones are 13-and-7 overall and 3-and-4 in conference play.
Saturday Free Pick
Saturday, February 4, 2005
The CBS Game of the Year is among two overnight Wise Guy releases in college hoops, plus we have two Majors. The rest of the card is inclusive in all purchases. Just use your password to access. If you happen to be waiting to see what the Industry Standard has among our late steam keep checking the Top Sports Service Report at JoeDuffy.net.
The ENTIRE card is just $17 at www.godspicks.com. We now take virtually every credit card, PayPal and eCheck. Also we now have yearly and other packages available via Western Union. Every play, every sport for a year is $2,450. Email us at godspicks@bellsouth.net to make arrangements or for Neteller payments. Advanced news and notes, picks articles and more FREE www.joeduffy.net
We always urge line shopping to compliment the sharpest plays in the world and release plays as early as possible to ensure more success. Wise Guy plays from Godspicks are widely accepted by high rollers, bookmakers, linesmakers, and fellow handicappers as the biggest play in the handicapping abyss. This is just fact.
Since Thanksgiving Day 2004, the demarcation point from where our mastery of modern technology made the gap between us and the rest of the industry insurmountable.
CBB
NORTHWESTERN +7’ Michigan State
The road has not been kind to MSU in conference play. They are 1-3 SU on the road and the home team is 6-1 SU in their games. It’s also a tough spot for the Spartans. Michigan State hits the road for the fifth time in its first eight Big Ten contests. In fact, this game marks the beginning of a stretch that will see the Spartans play three of their next four games on the road. They won’t get much help for Northwestern. Northwestern leads the Big Ten in assist-to-turnover ratio (1.28) and ranks second in the conference in scoring defense (58.5 ppg) and steals (7.95 spg).
It’s also an easy game to overlook. Michigan State opened the Big Ten season with five straight games against teams currently ranked in the ESPN/USA Today Coaches Poll at the time of the game, including three games on the road (at No. 6 Illinois, at No. 24 Wisconsin, No. 8 Indiana, at No. 16 Ohio State and No. 25 Iowa). The Spartans are the only team in the nation to open conference play with as many as four games against ranked opponents.
Sports-Handicapper For Saturday
This is your Sports-Handicapper.com report for Saturday, February 4, 2006. Sports-Handicapper.com has now had winning days 30-of-35 and 43 of 52. In the process it’s a 36-9- run with top sports service plays.
Sports-Handicapper.com gives you the highest rated plays from the highest rated handicappers in their highest rated sports. We search our database of more than 620 handicappers from the Internet, scorephones, television, 800 number late telephone services, 900 number handicappers, tip sheets and other sources and give you their top plays more times than not at a fraction of the cost.
• Jared Lindsey a handicapper out of Sarasota, FL is among the Top 5 handicappers all sports combined since 1995-present. Stats are out of 620 services monitored, rankings based on total net units won based on ONE unit per play. We release his 5* plays. He’s hit seven straight. He has THREE Saturday
• Top computer plays are on a 22-6 run. Another goes today
• No. 3 NBA/CBB service combined for 2005/06 has their College Game of the Year. Stats are out of 620 services monitored, rankings based on total net units won based on ONE unit per play. We give you this play at ½ their cost
Today’s full menu is $40, 3 day is $95, a week $200 and long term as little as $13.70 per day at Sports-Handicapper.com. Today’s late breaking information as game time approaches, and advanced news and notes as well as gaming articles are at www.joeduffy.net
Saturday Godspicks STEAM; 12-0
Saturday, February 4, 2005
***HANDICAPPING ALERT: Steam plays are done. We have the CBS Game of the Year and the ACC Game of the Year among four CBB Wise Guy plays, five Majors, two NBA Wise Guy plays and a Major. It’s 12-0 Saturday from The Center of the Handicapping Universe Godspicks.com
The ENTIRE card is just $17 at www.godspicks.com. We now take virtually every credit card, PayPal and eCheck. Also we now have yearly and other packages available via Western Union. Every play, every sport for a year is $2,450. Email us at godspicks@bellsouth.net to make arrangements or for Neteller payments. Advanced news and notes, picks articles and more FREE www.joeduffy.net
The winning streaks always have and always will outnumber the losing streaks at The Center of the Handicapping Universe Godspicks.com. Since Thanksgiving Day 2004, the demarcation point from where our mastery of modern technology made the gap between us and the rest of the industry insurmountable.
Don’t forget our three-day pass for $45 or our four-day package at a huge discount of $55. You can always pre-buy our plays. That way the plays are emailed to you the split second we are done or you can just use your password which is activated all day. Joe Duffy is the first and only person to earn the title of Master Handicapper. The Wise Guy moves originate here.
Wise Guy plays from Godspicks are widely accepted by high rollers, bookmakers, linesmakers, and fellow handicappers as the biggest play in the handicapping abyss. This is just fact.
Godspicks For Friday, February 3, 2006
Today’s free winner (no password needed), late breaking information as game time approaches, and advanced news and notes www.joeduffy.net
Friday, February 3, 2006
It’s the MAAC Total of the Year tonight among 7-0. Remember on Monday our OVC Total of the Year was a piece of cake on Tennessee-Martin and EKU going way over the total. We improve to 2-0 with conference Total of the Year plays tonight.
Not only does a weekend pass get you the Super Bowl Wise Guy side, plus total and props, but also we will likely have a conference Game of the Year going Saturday! Start out with 6-0 tonight.
The ENTIRE card is just $17 at www.godspicks.com. We now take virtually every credit card, PayPal and eCheck. Also we now have yearly and other packages available via Western Union. Every play, every sport for a year is $2,450. Email us at godspicks@bellsouth.net to make arrangements. Advanced news and notes, picks articles and more FREE www.joeduffy.net
TODAY IS THE LAST DAY: In order to ensure you get every play in every sport, including March Madness conference, NCAA and NIT, plus sample our MLB dog prowess, we are temporarily extending our two-month package to 75 days! This comes out to $7.98 per day. You will renew because unprecedented winning is contagious. Begin the rest of your gambling life now before we come to our senses.
Today’s free winner (no password needed), late breaking information as game time approaches, and advanced news and notes www.joeduffy.net
Don’t forget our three-day pass for $45 or our four-day package at a huge discount of $55. You can always pre-buy our plays. That way the plays are emailed to you the split second we are done or you can just use your password which is activated all day. Joe Duffy is the first and only person to earn the title of Master Handicapper. The Wise Guy moves originate here. As dominating as we are in all sports, no handicapper in the history of the business dominates any sport the way we do the NFL preseason to the Super Bowl.
Sports-Handicapper For February 3
This is your Sports-Handicapper.com report for Friday, February 03, 2006. Sports-Handicapper.com has now had winning days 30-of-34 and 43 of 51. In the process it’s a 34-7-7 run with top sports service plays.
Sports-Handicapper.com gives you the highest rated plays from the highest rated handicappers in their highest rated sports. We search our database of more than 620 handicappers from the Internet, scorephones, television, 800 number late telephone services, 900 number handicappers, tip sheets and other sources and give you their top plays more times than not at a fraction of the cost.
• Sports-Handicapper.com EXCLUSIVE: Sportscrew.com is the nation’s premier sports gambling site. When at least 14 of their 18 in-house handicappers agree on a play or if at least 10 agree with no conflicting opinions, it’s a Sportscrew.com in-house consensus. It improves to 15-2 tonight after another winner on Thursday
• Jared Lindsey a handicapper out of Sarasota, FL is among the Top 5 handicappers all sports combined since 1995-present. Stats are out of 620 services monitored, rankings based on total net units won based on ONE unit per play. We release his 5* plays. Friday he has TWO.
Today’s full menu is $40, 3 day is $95, a week $200 and long term as little as $13.70 per day at Sports-Handicapper.com. Today’s late breaking information as game time approaches, and advanced news and notes as well as gaming articles are at www.joeduffy.net
Friday, February 3, 2006
Late breaking information as game time approaches, and advanced news and notes www.joeduffy.net
Friday, February 3, 2006
It’s the MAAC Total of the Year tonight among 7-0. Remember on Monday our OVC Total of the Year was a piece of cake on Tennessee-Martin and EKU going way over the total. We improve to 2-0 with conference Total of the Year plays tonight.
Not only does a weekend pass get you the Super Bowl Wise Guy side, plus total and props, but also we will likely have a conference Game of the Year going Saturday! Start out with 6-0 tonight.
The ENTIRE card is just $17 at www.godspicks.com. We now take virtually every credit card, PayPal and eCheck. Also we now have yearly and other packages available via Western Union. Every play, every sport for a year is $2,450. Email us at godspicks@bellsouth.net to make arrangements. Advanced news and notes, picks articles and more FREE www.joeduffy.net
TODAY IS THE LAST DAY: In order to ensure you get every play in every sport, including March Madness conference, NCAA and NIT, plus sample our MLB dog prowess, we are temporarily extending our two-month package to 75 days! This comes out to $7.98 per day. You will renew because unprecedented winning is contagious. Begin the rest of your gambling life now before we come to our senses.
CBB
Iona-Canisius
Press Notes
The Griffs are 3-6 on the road this season, including 2-2 in league play, and are 3-2 in their last five overall on the road. Iona had a seven-game win streak snapped at home Monday night with a 76-72 loss to Saint Peter’s. The Gaels have won eight of their last 10.Nine of Canisius’ last 12 contests have been decided by double digits, and the last three games have been decided by 19 points or more. The Griffs are giving up 41 points a game in the second half and are getting outscored by an average of 4.7 points a contest in the final 20 minutes. Canisius has held the lead at halftime in 11 of the last 17 games but is 4-7 in those contests.
DePaul-South Florida
Press Notes
The Blue Demons, 8-11 on the season, with a Big East conference record of 1-7, have been in a horrible slide of late, losing six straight. Their latest defeat came at the hands of the Georgetown Hoyas, who welcomed the Blue Demons to the Big East with a 64-44 victory. The Bulls have not had much better luck in their first year in the Big East, as they enter into the contest with a 6-14 record, including a 0-7 mark in the Big East. It has been a difficult year for the Bulls, and that is not only on the court. The Bulls shooting guard Bradley Mosley lost his battle with cancer just prior to the season, and have been cursed with the injury bug as well. Starting guard Collin Dennis missed time earlier this year with injury, and freshmen Chris Howard and Zaronn Cann are both out for the season with injuries. However, even with all this adversity, the Bulls have been a tough team to contend with. No more was this evident than their game on January 24, against Villanova, when the Bulls were able to stay with ‘Nova until the very end, and suffered a 3 point loss. As a whole, five of the Bulls seven conference losses have come by means of a margin of six or less points.
NBA
Magic-Hawks
Orlando Sentinel
Orlando has lost three consecutive games, falling to the New York Knicks, the Philadelphia 76ers and the Los Angeles Clippers. PG Jameer Nelson (sprained right foot) will meet the team in Atlanta but will not play. Atlanta has a two-game winning streak — rare any time of the season for the struggling Hawks. They are coming off victories against the Knicks and the banged-up Charlotte Bobcats.
Pistons-Sixers
Columbus Dispatch
Allen Iverson probably won’t play in Philadelphia’s game against Detroit on Friday night, the fourth straight game he will miss because of an injured left ankle.
Iverson, second in the NBA in scoring at 33.6 points per game, has missed three straight games since he was hurt in the fourth quarter against Orlando last Thursday.
Iverson did not practice yesterday and team president Billy King said a magnetic resonance imaging Tuesday showed the All-Star had a bone bruise.
Iverson could play Saturday at Cleveland.
This Left Me Speechless
Ratings, Rankings, Raw Numbers In Offshore Drilling
The disparity is even more explicit in college sports, but it is colossal in professional sports handicapping as well. Rankings are just that, teams are ranked in specific categories first to last. Ratings have teams “rated” in various categories comparative to a mean number. For example, let’s say Clemson is playing Maryland in football. This is explained in more detail in the Gospel eBook of sports betting.
Clemson runs for 252.4 (raw number) yards per game to rank (rankings of course) No. 7 in the country. Maryland as an illustration averages 239.8 to rank 18th. According to those “rankings” and “raw numbers” Clemson has a better rushing offense. However rankings and raw numbers don’t scratch the surface. Conversely a rating would say the cumulative average of Clemson’s previous opponents’ defense allows 232.2 rushing yards per game.
That would mean Clemson rushes for 20.2 more yards per game than their opponents normally allow (+20.2). If Maryland’s cumulative foes allow only 197.8 that would put them at (+40.2). The inferior raw numbers make it look like Clemson is the better run offense by 12.6, but in the much more telling ratings, it’s actually Maryland by 20 yards per game.
So again, using the hypotheticals, here is a comparison (all illustrative rushing totals). The “advantage” numbers are ALL CAPS:
Raw numbers: CLEMSON 252.4; Maryland 239.8
Rankings: CLEMSON No. 7; Maryland No. 18
Ratings: Clemson +20.2; MARYLAND +40.2
Furthermore rating both offenses and defenses is most accurate using yards per play, yards per pass and yards per rush. These are much more telling as to whether teams outplay or underplay their stats. In short, games in which the proverbial “they have dominated them everywhere but on the scoreboard” are priceless to the handicapper.
The more deceptive a won/loss record is, the more opportunity. Team stats in those categories are a much greater precursor of future performance than points per game. Maybe Maryland runs the ball 16 more times per game than Clemson. Yards per rush puts the raw numbers into better perspective, but yards per rush relative to the cumulative average of their opponents makes the stats rise to the level of truthful for handicapping excellence. In basketball, shooting percentages offensively and defensively are more accurate than points per game.
This is true in no small part do to the fact that half court teams will have lower scoring games than up-tempo. This is in no way to imply that ratings under this circumstance are flawless. Slow down teams will both get fewer easy baskets and give up fewer, but in also weighing points per game, the flaws of each statistic can cancel out some of the deficiencies of the other.
In short, pro betting picks ratings put raw numbers into perspective much more so than rankings. By no means whatsoever do we disregard rankings, but the square player is shockingly oblivious to the value of the more judicious numbers. Yet again we must emphasize mere statistics are only part of the equation. But only a small percentage of handicappers are acute enough to use more precise ratings rather than the not to be trusted rankings. Everything though we said about the strength and weaknesses of power ratings applies here. The learned player must make adjustments for injuries both for a team and that of their previous opponents.
Statistics can be used and statistics can be abused. But knowing the right valuations to use is just as important as knowing how to adapt them.
Cliches About Pitching and Defense
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Clichés About Pitching and Defense Are So Offensive to Real Handicappers
Joe Duffy (www.godspicks.com)
We recently wrote an article on WHIP versus ERA in handicapping. Despite the fact that baseball in the interest of the gambler is predominated by football and basketball, the questions we got in regards to that article exceeds the response of even our most popular NFL writings.
The prevailing area under discussion was inquiring how to weigh offensive statistics relative to pitching.
There is an old cliché that pitching and defense are 80 percent of the game. A similar timeworn saying is that good pitching beats good hitting. Putting that to the test we find that Randy Johnson, Tom Glavine, Greg Maddux and Pedro Martinez must not be all that good because they have a combined sub .500 record in the postseason. The two with the best winning percentage would be Clemens and Martinez who clearly had the best bats as support. All five have a higher ERA in the postseason than the regular season and 3-of-5 by .30 or more.
The supporters of this apocryphal footnote point towards how low scoring postseason games often are. This inductive thought process never analyzes why such is. They ignore pretty important facts such how managers can greatly shorten their pitching staff, but cannot do the equivalent offensively. A five man pitching staff becomes three, but a skipper cannot condense his batting order from nine to just five or six. It is commonplace for an ace to pitch three games in a seven game playoff series. How often do you ever see it during the regular season? Sans rainouts or in a very rare case of the All-Star break, the answer is never.
No question the pitcher is the most important player on the field, but to say he and his teammates gloves are four times as important as their bats is poppycock but a boon for the books.
Most importantly there are two supremely substantial components relevant to the handicapper that do not enter the equation when run of the mill baseball fans are arguing this point over a cold brew. The referenced “good pitching” does not always come from good pitchers. Likewise, good pitchers don’t always bestow good pitching.
It is well beyond semantics that there is a major distinction between the axioms, “good pitching beats good hitting” than uttering “good pitchers beat good hitters.”
I will seize investing on hot pitching from a second-rate pitcher against besieged bats from a great offense, just as I would lay a wager against a slumping stud hurler especially when encumbered with nose-diving run support.
The value is there. We have ridden the likes of Pat Rapp, John Snyder, Scott Sanders, Rick Krivda…the list goes on as far as big dogs while they were in “the zone”. No handicapper on the planet has had more success going against future Hall-of-Fame pitchers under the right state of affairs.
We have written several articles on how fantasy and gambling information often overlap. One thing the roto player gets a great sense of is how much pitching can be a total crapshoot. If one were to compile a list of the biggest surprises and disappointments every baseball season, there will always be a disproportionate number of pitchers on that list. Oddsmakers asymmetrically make their line based on this fluid dynamic, which gives sharp players wide-open opportunity.
All that leaves value for us. As Mike Foreman, Sports Product Manager for MVP Sportsbook.com points out, “books have had to offer ‘Listed Pitchers’ and ‘Action’ wagers because a pitching change can make such a huge difference.” However you can’t specify, “Bonds must play”.
We remind you again the basic math that makes a win-loss record almost irrelevant in baseball. You need only hit 40 percent of 150 dogs (your price after the juice) to break even, but 60 percent of 150 favorites. The difference between the sharps and squares in baseball is so often the sharps know how to win hitting 46 percent, while the squares often hit 65 percent and get buried.
The gambling aristocrats are those who anticipate when “good pitching” comes from inferior pitchers or when high society hurlers come up with bad pitching and/or get minimal run support. As one need not have an above .500 record to have a winning record in baseball handicapping, and the whiz kids know they must anatomize how the oddsmakers assay the varying factors.
Substantiating which pitchers and teams the oddsmakers over or undervalue has one prerequisite that the dumb bunnies disregard—how much the linesmakers evaluate each dynamic to begin with.
Ah, but how to specifically handicap offense? Guess what our next article is regarding?
Duffy’s plays are part of the Dream Team at Godspicks.com. He is perhaps the most published and respected author on sports gambling theory and has been featured as a regular guest as the handicapping expert on the Rick Ballou Show on Sporting News Radio, Gamblers Zoo national radio show, the Meat and Potatoes gambling show, Pro Fantasy Sports Internet radio and Grogan’s Fantasy Football show. His Wise Guy Plays available exclusively at www.godspicks.com where daily sports handicapping information is available to crush the sportsbooks.