America’s Greatest is America’s Hottest AGAIN

Saturday, February
18, 2006

It must be time to heat up for March Madness baby and that
we are.  America’s
greatest sports service the Dream Team
at Godspicks.com completely sweeps the board on Friday
as Nevada and High
Point
both cash the ticket.   We have a season high of seven Wise Guy plays Saturday among 11 early
report winners.
  Buy
by
noon EST to fully enjoy the windfall.

It’s been winning days in 4-of-5 so far this week.  Already well established as the nation’s No.
1 sports service, 15 months ago we took it to another level. Since Thanksgiving
Day 2004, the demarcation point from where our mastery of modern technology
made the gap between us and the rest of the industry insurmountable.

Among the reasons our uncanny super systems that applied
to non-conference NCAA hoop games. 
Bracket Buster Saturday opens a can of enormous opportunity with all the
inter-conference contests. The ENTIRE card is just $17 at www.godspicks.com.  We now
take virtually every credit card, PayPal and eCheck.
  Click on the link at Godspicks.com for advanced news and notes, gaming
articles and more at the Joe Duffy Online blog.
 

CBB

 

FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON +3’ Wisconsin Green
Bay

 

The Massey Comparison Ratings, which include Sagarin and
arguably better though lesser known computer rankings among 15 that form a
consensus has Angie’s boys as the higher rated
team.  They are also the hotter squad.  Green Bay
packed it in during the second half of their last game and it has been
disheartening. Wisconsin GB is coming off a tough
63-57 home loss to
Butler Monday night. The Phoenix led by nine in the first half and held the Bulldogs to 25
percent shooting, including 1-of-14 from 3-point.

 

The Phoenix are not in a river of confidence.
This is the third consecutive season that
UW-Green
Bay
is competing in a game selected from the BracketBusters presented by eBay pool. The Phoenix is 0-2 in its previous two contests in the series, both
played at the
Resch Center. UWGB fell to Northern Iowa
82-75 Feb. 21, 2004 and dropped a 79-69 decision to
Illinois
State
Feb. 19, 2005.

 

However their opponents today are
confident from very recent and last year’s history. The Knights advanced to the
2005 NCAA Tournament, falling to top-seeded
Illinois 67-55 in the first round. The Dicks have won 10 straight as
they enter this game.

 

It’s  Fairleigh fairly easy . 

Saturday News and Notes

Saturday, February
18, 2006

 

It must be time to heat up for March Madness baby and that
we are.  America’s
greatest sports service the Dream Team
at Godspicks.com completely sweeps the board on Friday
as Nevada and High
Point
both cash the ticket.   We have a season high of seven Wise Guy plays Saturday among 11 early
report winners.
  Buy
by
noon EST to fully enjoy the windfall.

It’s been winning days in 4-of-5 so far this week.  Already well established as the nation’s No.
1 sports service, 15 months ago we took it to another level. Since Thanksgiving
Day 2004, the demarcation point from where our mastery of modern technology
made the gap between us and the rest of the industry insurmountable.

Among the reasons our uncanny super systems that applied
to non-conference NCAA hoop games. 
Bracket Buster Saturday opens a can of enormous opportunity with all the
inter-conference contests. The ENTIRE card is just $17 at www.godspicks.com.  We now
take virtually every credit card, PayPal and eCheck.
  Click on the link at Godspicks.com for advanced news and notes, gaming
articles and more at the Joe Duffy Online blog.
 

Arizona State-California

Press Notes

ASU leads the Cal
series 31-29 as the home team has won 21 of the past 29 games, but the Golden
Bears won in Tempe on Jan. 19 88-58 in a game that was
somewhat closer than the final score would indicate. ASU
ranks first in the league in three-point percentage, hitting 122-of-311 (.392),

Washington State-Oregon

Press Notes

Oregon
is 11-14 overall, 5-8 in the Pacific-10. Oregon
leads the Pac-10 in 3-point field goals made (6.60 per game). In the series the
Ducks have won last nine meetings and 17 of the last 18. Oregon
has won 10 straight over WSU in Eugene. 

Connecticut-Seton Hall

Press Notes

The Huskies were 11-0 before losing Jan. 3 at Marquette
in their Big East opener. They won 11 straight again before the Villanova loss.
The Huskies have little time to dwell on the loss. The Villanova game was the
second in a three-game Big East road trip. It began at Seton Hall and ends
Saturday at No. 11 West Virginia, now tied with Villanova atop the 16-team conference.The league historically has tried to avoid
scheduling teams for three straight road games but with more teams this season,
it’s more frequent.

Toledo-Detroit

Press Notes

The Rockets will be looking to match their season-best win
streak of four games with a win over the Titans. UT will have a formidable
challenge on its hands to do that as Detroit
has posted a 10-1 win-loss mark on its homecourt this season. Toledo
is coming off a perfect three-game homestand during
which it posted wins over Central Michigan (78-62), Kent
State
(60-44) and Bowling Green (72-64). During this
stretch, the Rockets registered a 53.1 FG% and
limited their opponents to a 41.2 shooting mark.

New Mexico State-Pacific

Press Notes

Pacific is 18-6 overall, 8-2 in the Big West Conference. New
Mexico
State
,
former member of the Big West Conference, is 10-12 overall, 6-5 in the Western
Athletic Conference. The Aggies hold a 27-8 edge in
the all-time series, although the Tigers have a 9-6 series edge in Stockton.

Indiana State-Western Michigan

Indiana Statesmen

ISU is coming off a thrilling
61-60 over the Northern Iowa Panthers Tuesday at Hulman Center.
Western Michigan recorded a 67-64 victory over
conference rival Eastern Michigan on Wednesday. The
Broncos currently carry a record of 11-13 and are tied for first place with an
8-6 record in the weak Mid-American Conference West Division.

The Sycamores also carry an 11-13 record and are eighth
place with a 4-12 record in the Missouri Valley Conference. ISU
holds an 11-4 advantage in the all-time series with the Broncos

Cal Santa Barbara-San
Jose State

Press Notes

UC Santa Barbara Saturday’s game
at San Jose State
with an overall record of 11-11 and a Big West record of 4-6. On Thursday
night, the Gauchos won their fourth straight game with a 64-37 drubbing of
visiting Cal Poly. Last weekend, UCSB had its most
successful road trip of the season with a 60-59 win at UC
Irvine on Feb. 9 and an 81-78 victory at Long Beach
State
on Feb. 11. Santa
Barbara
is 7-5 in non-conference games this season.
Finally, the 11 wins equals UCSB’s
2004-05 total. UCSB is 3-8 on the road this season,
but has won three out of four and two straight since starting the year with
seven straight road losses. UCSB’s win at UC Davis on Jan. 15 ended a nine-game road losing streak
that dated back to the final two road games of the 2004-05 season. After a loss
at Cal Poly on Jan. 21, the Gauchos won consecutive road games at UC Irvine and Long Beach
State
and thus they will take a
two-game road winning streak into their game at San
Jose
State
. It
marks the first time since the 2003-04 season that UCSB has won consecutive road games. UCSB
was 2-13 in true road games last season and 1-1 in neutral site games.

George Mason-Wichita
State

Press Notes

After that 1-2 start, the Patriots are 19-3 and lead the
Colonial Athletic Association in scoring defense (57.6 points), shooting
defense (37.7 percent) and are third in three-point defense (30.4 percent).
George Mason, like WSU, is balanced on offense. Five
Patriots average 10 or more points.

Bucknell-Northern Iowa

WCF Courier

After sailing through the first 10 weeks of the season at
19-3, UNI has hit a rough patch.
Going into Saturday’s 11 a.m. Bracket
Buster home contest against 24th-rated Bucknell,
the Panthers (21-6, 11-5 MVC) have lost three of
their last five, including two straight.
Injuries have taken a toll. Crawford is still trying to work his way back from
a broken bone in his right foot. Sparkplug John Little, questionable for
Saturday, has not practiced the past two days because of a badly sprained
ankle, and reserve Tyler Griffin has been sidelined all week due to a similar
injury.

 

 

 

 

Handicapping the Conference Tournaments in March Madness

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Many handicappers have
authored various articles on March Madness. 
Frankly
America’s greatest sports service the Dream Team at
Godspicks.com we think tops the list. 
However a “March of Dimes” must begin with triumph in the conference
tournaments.

Here is an inventory of
parameters to look for:

New beginnings: So often you hear us quote the famed Yogi-ism of “90
percent of the game is half-mental.” Teams that underachieved especially late
in the year recurrently mentally regroup come conference single elimination
time. It’s time to get those preseason coaches polls and contrast them to the regular
season final standings. If season ending injuries or players being kicked off
the team are not rationale for the major divergence, bet the
differentiation.  Teams like
Missouri and Florida come to mind as line-ups that will rise to the
occasion.

Bubble favorites: Teams that need an impressive run in the conference
playoffs leave nothing to chance against the inferior teams. We have found no
real value going for or against “bubble” dogs, but actually the more points the
capricious team is laying, the stronger stake they are.

Read the previous day’s boxscores: Every
now and then the obvious is true.  When
teams are playing two, three or even four consecutive days, depth and how many
minutes their key players have played is inestimable enlightenment. Nagging
injuries are magnified.

Go against top seeds
that need rest more than wins:
As
Godspicks clients remember one of our biggest plays all of last year was UCLA
over
Arizona in the Pac-10 Tournament.  Considering Wildcats boss Lute Olson already
announced he would just as soon lose early in the Pac 10 playoffs so his
players could get rested for the Big Dance, wiseguys were laughing when
everyone else called it a huge upset. 
Sharp players listened. This is a major intangible that local newspapers
will shed light on—which coaches admit they won’t play their star players 38
minutes per game just to get the official automatic bid when a high seed is
already clinched regardless.

Recent shooting
percentages:
The single most
foretelling statistic may surprise some people, but it’s the shooting
percentage by a team in their previous five games relative to the cumulative
defensive average of their opponents in that span. Foxsheets is the best
database for this. Squads in a shooting groove are the toughest opponents in
the postseason.  It’s chic to preach
teams playing great defense and riding such teams is important too, but a
red-hot shooting team can exploit the best defenses more than visa versa.

Don’t sleep, surf: In the competition to get your business, sportsbooks
are posting lines earlier and earlier and in fact are handicapped in that they
can’t use the prescriptions discussed here when making the line.  Hence key overlooked information comes in the
morning papers, on Sportingnews and ESPN Radio and on
the teams’ own sites.  Sharp information
is much more prevalent in the conference celebrations than the regular season
or Big Dance.

Duffy’s plays are part of the Dream Team at Godspicks.com.  He is perhaps the most published and
respected author on sports gambling theory and has been featured as a regular
guest as the handicapping expert on the Rick Ballou
Show on Sporting News Radio, Gamblers Zoo national radio show, the Meat and
Potatoes gambling show,  Gridiron
Gamblers, Pro Fantasy Sports Internet radio and Grogan’s Fantasy Football show.  Get daily free news and notes, including
advanced notes at www.joeduffy.net

 

 

Dance To a Winning Tune in March Madness

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It is the time of the year when the casual player emerges
from the woodwork but like the rest of the year, only the Wise Guys and the
bookmakers surface with extra change. As many of our articles have reminded
gamblers, so often going against the conventional logic is the way to win while
the sucker money subsidizes our spoils.

In many cases for example what won us money during the
regular season will do so in March, but many new angles are additionally there
for the money grubbing.

Pit the Selection
Committee Against Roxy and
Company



Excluding the ninth seed laying points to the eighth seed,
we still love going with lower seeded favorites to higher seeded teams. That being
said with the caveat of excluding the four-abovementioned games in which the seedings could have been flip-flopped anyway, there have
been tournaments where this does not apply.

But we will more than happily put our money on the
linesmakers exploiting false higher seeds.

Emotion in Short
Run, Talent in the Long Run



When betting half-time lines we have a rare case of what
appears too apparent to actually be true. But the public’s infatuation with
betting the big chalk has prevented this from being a cash cow for the average
Joe. Going with the number 16 seed in the first half has definitely gotten my
associates and I some nice spare change over the
years.

Before making a final decision, I scout the game on the
dish, but very often I will then bet the top seed in the second half. For the
most part, the bottom seeds have guys playing in the biggest game of their
lives bar none. The seniors on the team are in many cases playing in their
final game of organized ball at any level. Others have the ultimate showcase
for the scouts of the foreign leagues.

Finally there is not one guy on the lower seeded teams
that have not dreamt of starring in college hoops version of Lake
Placid
or becoming part of the biggest upset in Big Dance history.

All those intangibles for about 20 minutes usually do go a
long way to compensating for the talent deficiency. But over 40 minutes having
infinitely more talent and depth mean, as Dick Vitale would say “Blowout
City
baby” in the second half.

Plus if the bottom seed makes the game look interesting
for a while, it serves to wake up the top seed at halftime. The second half
represents an epiphany for the team that spent the first 20 minutes more
concerned with playing two days later. Then the to-be-anticipated bubble-burst happens.

Once the faster, stronger deeper top seed goes on that
inevitable 10-0 burst all the delusions of grandeur come crashing down on Squid
State
. The emotional roller coaster
makes its descent. We cash in with the sixteen side in
the first half and the huge chalk in the second.

Beware of the “Guards
Dominate” Trap



I hear it all the time that “It’s a guard dominated game”.
Then a conclusion to the effect, “Handicap the guards first” generally follows.
This conviction is not so much a myth as it is a matter of inductive rather
than deductive reasoning.

The simple fact is that there are a lot more guards out
there than there are centers so just based on pure numbers there will be more
guard-oriented teams that advance. Of course there will be more guard-oriented
teams whose bubble bursts too come selection time. In fact look at the bottom
of each conference and you will find a lot of guard-oriented teams.

If truth be told, the teams that have the big men are the teams that will have
biggest mismatches-literally and figuratively. However again, the
guard-oriented lovers are not falling into a classic go-against trap
completely. In point of fact, smart players handicap teams in their totality.

 

Sure teams that have great three-point shooters are the
best “shot in the dark” teams on the money line, but conversely if they go cold
can also be great to go against in “pleasers”. They are high risk/high return,
but there are high return/low risk options too.

Don’t Fall in Love With Seniors



It is a simple syllogism: teams with the best players win,
the best players with few exceptions do not stay until their senior year, thus the best teams are not senior laden.

This indisputable truth is becoming more so every year. I
will take the team with talent over the team with experience.

In fact I would be leery of senior-laden favorites over a
young team with a bigger upside and nothing to lose.

Conversely by no means do I suggest always betting against
the more seasoned team. If you are talking about a team that is about a
ten-point dog (that is a team that is not completely overmatched but getting a
decent number of points) there is sufficient reason to bet them to cover,
though not blindly.

The hypotheses of playing in one’s last game in organized ball and showcasing
for the

European scouts can inspire a competitive team to claw to
the end, but I would much rather invest in a team like Arizona,
short on postseason familiarity but high on ability.

Fade the Chic Teams



One of the first questions that the so-called “experts”
take on after the pairings are announced is “Who will the dark horse teams be”.
So often Billy Packer on one network,

Dick Vitale on another, the USA Today on Monday and so
many media hacks and talking heads pick the same team. One year they all love Eastern
Michigan
, the next Princeton.

Dark horse teams have the element of surprise and the “no
respect” motivational factor. Once all the regurgitating paparazzi make up its
mind what the flavor of the month is for March, they are no longer dark horses
now are they?

Not only is there no element of surprise, but also what
better way to insure his higher-seeded team does not overlook their opponent
then to point out that the media has labeled their foe as one of the potential
Cinderella teams?

In fact, sight and opponent unseen I would not be surprised if Gonzaga the
three-time bearer of the glass slipper now becomes an early causality because
for the first time they face the burden of high expectation.

 

Do Not Talk Yourself Into Betting Every Game

I do realize there are casual gamblers who do bet, as I
like to call it “lunch money” on games. As long as they are risking mere
entertainment money to insure that a game is interesting to them, it is
harmless. And there is always a book happy to help out.

However when it comes to betting from ones bankroll, do
not feel that you have to bet whatever game is being televised in your area.
Get DirecTV or go to a sports bar to watch the good investments. Do not check
the morning sports page to see what is on your local channel and convince
yourself it is one of the strongest games on the board. Plus if you choose the
sports bar option, you may get Final Four caliber waitress. Just do not let the
wife know.

But the only true secret to winning in March is of course
visiting Godspicks.com.

It will be yet another Million Dollar March at www.godspicks.com where we burn the midnight oil all month long.  FREE news and notes,
winners, and more at www.godspicks.com
every day.

Friday News and Notes

Friday, February 17,
2006

 

We nail our only play last night, a Wise Guy winner.  Tonight we have two Majors. We have a huge
one-day sale going today, 45
days for the price of one month.
For those not ready to commence being
among the sharps, we also have four-days for just $55.  We don’t gamble on superstition but we must
admit after a long stretch of brutal losses, finally winning a close one on Oregon
last night was an omen we’ve been waiting on to signal continuation of the
windfall.

Go 2-0 Friday to start out a huge weekend with tons of
bracket buster domination ahead. 
Remember many of our top systems deal with non-conference games and
that’s why the bracket busters have been a “Godspicks-send” since the concept
started. The ENTIRE card is just $17 at www.godspicks.com.  We now
take virtually every credit card, PayPal and eCheck.
  Click on the link at Godspicks.com for advanced news and notes, gaming
articles and more at the Joe Duffy Online blog.

CBB

Princeton-Cornell

Press Notes

Cornell, who enters the weekend in third place in the
Ancient Eight standings with a 5-3 record, faces second place Princeton.

Akron-Nevada

Press Notes

Following a 50-49 come-from-behind victory over Louisiana
Tech on Monday night, the Nevada Wolf Pack (19-5, 9-3 WAC)
takes a break from conference action to play host to Mid-American Conference
East Division leader Akron (19-5,
12-2 MAC) on Friday night in the BracketBusters. Akron
brings a 19-5 overall record into Friday night’s game with the Wolf Pack and
has won 14 of its last 16 games.

Providence-Cincinnati

Cincinnati Enquirer

The University
of Cincinnati
’s victory over Syracuse
on Wednesday night really was a thing of beauty. Players who haven’t been
shooting well found their range. The Bearcats dominated the boards, scored
frequently in transition and stymied the Orange
defensively. The Bearcats (17-9 overall, 6-6 Big East) could use the same kind
of effort when they face Providence (11-11, 4-7) at 8 p.m. at Fifth Third Arena
in a game they simply can’t afford to lose if the Syracuse win is going to mean
as much as it should for their improving NCAA Tournament chances. The win over Syracuse
jumped UC from No. 33 in the Ratings Percentage Index
to No. 23. And three of UC’s last four games area at
home, where the Bearcats are 11-3 this season.

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Friday, February 17,
2006

 

We nail our only play last night, a Wise Guy winner.  Tonight we have two Majors. We have a huge
one-day sale going today, 45
days for the price of one month.
For those not ready to commence being
among the sharps, we also have four-days for just $55.  We don’t gamble on superstition but we must
admit after a long stretch of brutal losses, finally winning a close one on Oregon
last night was an omen we’ve been waiting on to signal continuation of the
windfall.

Go 2-0 Friday to start out a huge weekend with tons of
bracket buster domination ahead. 
Remember many of our top systems deal with non-conference games and
that’s why the bracket busters have been a “Godspicks-send” since the concept
started. The ENTIRE card is just $17 at www.godspicks.com.  We now
take virtually every credit card, PayPal and eCheck.
  Click on the link at Godspicks.com for advanced news and notes, gaming
articles and more at the Joe Duffy Online blog.

CBB

ALBANY +8’ VCU

The teams have the same records, but Albany
is playing their best hoops of the year winning six straight while VCU has flopped in 3-of-4.  Remember the Danes played UCLA tough losing by
eight.

For a team that could head to the Big Dance, this is a
huge statement game for Albany as a
blowout loss would be devastating. “I think it shows how durable our team is
just to play out of conference in the middle of our conference season,” senior
forward Levi Levine said. “This is trying to lift the program to a higher level
and gives us a little more credibility.”

 

Huge ONE Day Sale For Friday

It’s a one-day sale at the Center of the Handicapping Universe Godspicks.com. Hop
on board for our annual Million Dollar March but start the winning now. 
The Lord of the Dance Friday is extending the monthly package to a full
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We will burn the midnight
oil to again ensure yet another historic March Madness.  Last year, the Dancing Machine at Godspicks,
had one of the greatest March Madness performances in history, from small
conference tournaments to UNC and the under sweep in
the championship game.  Yet it was our
third most prolific March ever.  A
majority of the greatest college basketball seasons are at Godspicks including
our scorephone 900 number days at the Cadillac Club. Buy now.

Even if you insist on betting on your own, every day we
have our news and notes (WHICH INCLUDES ADVANCED intel for upcoming days), free picks, gaming articles
and more all linked at www.godspicks.com.
 We have both the best ***FREE*** information (no password needed) and the best premium information at
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for the price of 31 now.

 

Handicapper’s Sampler For Thursday

***We apologize as many were falsely getting their credit
cards declined.  Our programmer was
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assured the propeller heads fixed the problem. 
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It’s 61-15 the last 76 (pushes not counted).  You know it’s legit because you got every
play at Sports-Handicapper.com!!!

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  This uncanny winning exclusive
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news and notes
as well as gaming articles are at www.joeduffy.net
 

Thursday, February
16, 2005

 

Today is the most popular day for the four-day pass. It is
mid-February where the statistical significance of year to day data peaks.  Our famed $1 Million March is less than two
weeks away.   Thursday it’s one of our
famed quality over quantity days.  We have one play, but it’s a Wise Guy and it
does not get bigger than that. The ENTIRE card is just $17 at www.godspicks.com.  We now
take virtually every credit card, PayPal and eCheck.
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Union
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play, every sport for a year is $2,450. 
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Today’s good stuff:

Today’s news and notes, as well as advanced news and notes
are up now.
 We
have very interesting information for first and second half bettors on the
Washington-Oregon game.

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Thursday News and Notes; Still Working On More

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Thursday, February
16, 2005

Arizona-California

Press Notes

Chris Rodgers was reinstated by Arizona
coach Lute Olson on Monday after the senior guard was kicked off the team three
weeks ago for undisclosed disciplinary reasons. Rodgers started 13 of the 16
games he played before being dismissed, averaging 10.8 points and 2.3 rebounds.
Rodgers was expected to fill scoring void for Arizona
this season left by Salim Stoudamire’s
departure.

Washington State-Oregon
State

Press Notes

The Washington State
men’s basketball team looks to snap a seven season losing streak at the Oregon
schools when it faces Oregon State.
The Beavers are 10-14 overall, 3-10 in the Pacific-10. Oregon
State
leads the Pac-10 in blocked
shots averaging 4.79 per game and sit second behind the Cougars in field goal
percentage defense (41.9). Beavers have won 11 of the last 14 in the series,
including the last seven in Corvallis.

Arizona State-Stanford

Press Notes

Stanford leads the overall series 33-26, but ASU notched its first sweep of the Cardinal since 1993-94
last year with a 74-67 win on Feb. 3,
2005
.

Georgetown-Marquette

Press Notes

The Hoyas, who
have won seven of the last eight games and 14 of the last 17 overall.

Miami-Boston College

Press Notes

Boston College
enters the game with a record of 20-5, 7-4 in the ACC. Miami (14-10, 6-5 ACC)
is coming off back-to-back home losses to NC State and North
Carolina
, and is playing the third of four
consecutive games against ranked teams. The Eagles lead the all-time series
17-8.

 

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