Category Archives: Uncategorized

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Monday NBA Injuries, Added Rotation College Basketball Pick, More

January 27, 2020 Joe Duffy Leave a comment

Added rotation college basketball winner. 5 Dimes is our preferred bookie for added games.

Key NBA injuries:

Jimmy Butler, MIA vs ORL, questionable

Bam Adebayo, MIA vs ORL, probable

Tony Snell, DET vs CLE , questionable

Derrick Rose, DET vs CLE, probable

Contrarian and consensus intel:

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Miami Heat, Dallas

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Minnesota Timberwolves

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Detroit Pistons

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: none in NBA or college basketball

Free pick from Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy.

ARKANSAS PINE-BLUFF +15 Texas Southern

Horrible road teams on the road is 1727-1514-67. Underdogs in a stretch of low-scoring games are 555-438-18. When both apply, it is 195-131-7.

Top expert pick on today’s card is from Joe Duffy. Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy has a named play, a 64 percent proposition in the history of betting since JD made his debut on the free scorephones in 1988 as lead handicapper for the Amazing Cadillac Club. Western Conference Game of the Month among two NBA. Plus that “high volume” super system in college basketball is on a roll, producing a college basketball side. Get the picks now

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Free NBA Picks, Injuries, College Basketball Public Betting Consensus

January 26, 2020 Joe Duffy Leave a comment

Super sharp report with news, notes, NBA injuries, a free basketball pick, sharp versus square public consensus moves and more for Sunday, January 26, 2020.

NBA

Brooklyn (-1, 221.5)-New York

Nets playing back-to-back after playing in Detroit last night

Toronto (-2, 223.5)-San Antonio

San Antonio first of back-to-back games

Toronto won six straight but last loss to Spurs

Favorites in at least six game winning streaks and in revenge are 146-124-8

Michigan St (-4.5. 140) at Minnesota

Regression to mean angle is 971-798-30 (Michigan State)

MSU 9-10 ats -.7

Minnesota 12-7 +4.9

Winning percentage is better in conference play

MSU 5^th in offensive efficiency while Minnesota #51 on defense

Minnesota 14^th in offensive efficiency with MSU #21 on defense

Maryland at Indiana (-2 -115, 131)

Maryland matches up well on defense ranked #7, compared to Indiana #43 on offense

Indiana 45^th defensive efficiency, while Indiana #52 on offense

Both been much better at home than road

Indiana under 7-1 last eight

Teams under at least 7-of-8 do stay under 4631-4403-142

NBA Injuries

James Harden, HOU @ DEN is questionable

Jrue Holiday, NO vs BOS is probable

Jae Crowder, MEM vs PHX is doubtful

Jayson Tatum, BOS @ NO is questionable

Jaylen Brown, BOS @ NO is questionable

Patrick Beverley, LAC @ ORL is questionable

Sunday sharp report:

5 Dimes lives up to their name. Many of my highest rollers bet substantial amounts of money there and always get paid. They are also the #1 book for added rotation games, niche and obscure betting as well. 5 Dimes is fully vetted. The official book of high rollers!

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Memphis Grizzlies; Drake

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Toronto Raptors, Memphis Grizzlies; Drake, Houston Cougars

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Portland, Denver; Evansville

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: NY Knicks opened +1.5 now -1.5; Manhattan opened -1 now +1.5

Free pick from Joe Duffy’s Picks is:

WASHINGTON +1 Atlanta

Road teams playing a bad team and in a bad stretch of defensive efforts are undervalued at 126-74-1. Road favorites or small underdogs on a massive high scoring streak are 644-507-15.

Top expert pick on today’s card is from Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy. He is 10-5 the last 15 and 6-2 NBA. Wise Guy underdog Sixers win in a rout. Pro Bowl winner. We rarely make picks on All-Star games, but this one is special. Three NBA led by Wise Guy and four college basketball. Yes, 8-0 in all! Get the picks now

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Sports Betting Notes Super Bowl LIV Chiefs vs. 49ers

January 24, 2020 Joe Duffy Leave a comment

Top betting and sportsbook site OffshoreInsiders.com has betting news and notes for Super Bowl LIV.

Niners vs. Chiefs

82 percent of bets, 84 percent of money on OVER

52 percent of bets, 52 percent of money on Kansas City

Teams that won at least 9-of-10 SU yet not laying at least a FG are a go-against 48-23 including 2-1 in Super Bowl (San Francisco)

Super Bowl teams with lower winning percentage but not big dog are 11-1 (KC)

Fade better rushing team late in season and playoffs is 86-52-2 (favors KC)

In the playoffs, fade drastically improved teams from previous year is 30-15

San Francisco gets 7.9 yards per pass teams normally allowing 6.8

KC passes for 7.9 yards per pass teams normally allowing 6.9

Niners hold teams to .8 yards per play below normal average, KC .2 below

Tevin Coleman RB questionable

137 rushing attempts for 544 yards, 6 TDs, 180 yards receiving

ATS trends:

KC 8-0 ats explosion

OU trends:

San Francisco over 9-3

Teaser:

KC 38-1 on ten-point teaser when averaging 27 or more previous three games

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NBA Injuries, College Basketball Betting Inside Info and Free Pick

January 24, 2020 Joe Duffy Leave a comment

College basketball betting notes, plus NBA injuries from OffshoreInsiders.com

Wisconsin at Purdue

Totals of 116 or less go over 360-291-10 rate

However total has climbed as high at 116.5 at MYBookie after opening at 111 at Betonline

After averaging 7.3 points in his first nine games of the season, sophomore forward Trevion Williams is averaging 14.8 over his past 10 games for Boilermakers

Purdue struggling on defensive boards

Purdue’s struggles mean they may up the pace

Marquette at Butler

Marquette 14^th in offensive efficiency, but Butler 16^th on defense

Marquette very good from perimeter, but Butler outstanding defending 3

Warriors 187^th in second-chance points, while Butler 12^th in allowing points off offensive rebounds

But Marquette third on defensive rebounding second chance points, while Marquette middle of road crashing offensive boards

Not much scoring unless both teams light it up

Butler 335^th in pace of 353 teams

Northern Kentucky at Wright St

Wright State 229^th in field goal percentage while NKU solid #113 on defense

NKU 31^st in converting turnovers into points

Wright State vulnerable defensively inside, but NKU does not have offense to exploit that

Northern Kentucky slow-down game, ranked 295^th in pace

The pick: UNDER

Jimmy Butler, MIA vs LAC, questionable
Jayson Tatum, BOS @ ORL, questionable

Andre Drummond, DET vs MEM, probable
Trae Young, ATL @ OKC, questionable
Jaylen Brown, BOS @ ORL, questionable

Kendrick Nunn, MIA vs LAC, questionable
Michael Porter Jr., DEN @ NO, questionable

Patrick Beverley, LAC @ MIA, questionable
Bruce Brown, DET vs MEM, questionable
Gary Harris, DEN @ NO, questionable
Wesley Matthews, MIL @ CHR, probable
Lauri Markkanen, CHI vs SAC, probable
Steven Adams, OKC vs ATL, questionable

Top expert pick on today’s card is from Joe Duffy, off a sweep! Second straight 3-0 sweep tonight is led by two Wise Guys among three NBA winners. I’ve been a pro handicapper since 1988 and “for fun” years before that. I don’t make promises I can’t keep. We had a brief slump and knew from decades of winning, the payback was coming. So I sweep last night, a perfect 3-0 and only one game was close. Get the picks now

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Critical NBA Injuries For Betting and Fantasy Sports, Free Sports Pick ATS

January 23, 2020 Joe Duffy Leave a comment

Academy Awards, Vegas live dealer, Super Bowl odds and props, the Royal Rumble and so much more up now at 5 Dimes

Washington-Cleveland

Cleveland third worst margin of cover at -2 and 19-24

Washington over by 4.5 points per game, tied for third highest in league and over 26-17

Lakers-Brooklyn

Nets have dropped four straight games and 11 of their past 13.

Off Philly, Milwaukee, Sixers then at Detroit and New York on back to back

Lakers in middle of five game road trip

Dallas-Portland

Mavericks second best ats team based on margin of cover at +3.5 at 22-19 ats

Portland second worst at -2.5 and 16-27 ats tied for worst

When a road team has a net ats margin of 6 or better on game 42 or later, superior road team is 24-16 for 60 percent including 9-1 if team we are betting on is off loss

Dallas over 26-17 by league leading 5.4 points per game

Tennessee Martin-Eastern Illinois

Tennessee Martin 5-10 ats -4.3

Eastern Illinois, though 6-10 is +3.3 margin of cover

Regression to mean 967-794-29

UT Martin ranked 113^th in offensive efficiency, while EIU is 203^rd in defensive efficiency

Eastern Illinois very inconsistent this season

Pick: Tennessee Martin +8.5

Stevie Vincent is an all-time great and he is officially the hottest handicapper on earth following another sweep led by College Basketball Game of the Half Century on South Dakota State. Big 12 Game of the Year leads another sweep. Get the picks now

NBA injuries

Kyrie Irving, BKN vs LAL, probable

CJ McCollum, POR vs DAL, questionable

Hassan Whiteside, POR vs DAL, probable

DeAndre Jordan, BKN vs LAL, questionable

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Critical NBA Injuries For Fantasy Sports and Gambling

January 22, 2020 Joe Duffy Leave a comment

OffshoreInsiders.com NBA injuries. The Grandmaster has a big Wednesday portfolio with eight NBA winners led by Interconference Game of the Month. Two Wise Guys in all. Joe Duffy’s exclusive proprietary information continues to lap the industry. Get the picks now

NBA injuries for Wednesday, January 22, 2020

Zion Williamson NO vs SAN Probable

Anthony Davis LAL at NY Probable

Kawhi Leonard LAC at ATL Out

Jimmy Butler MIA vs WAS Probable

Paul George LAC at ATL Out

Andre Drummond DET vs SAC Questionable

Derrick Favors NO vs SAN Probable

Gary Harris DEN at HOU Questionable

Duncan Robinson MIA vs WAS Questionable

Kemba Walker BOS vs MEM Will play

Reggie Jackson DET vs SAC Will play

Marvin Bagley SAC at DET Out

Trae Young ATL vs LAC Questionable

Jaylen Brown BOS vs MEM Out

Marcus Morris NY vs LAL Questionable

Lauri Markkanen CHI vs MIN Probable

Steven Adams OKC at ORL Questionable

Glenn Robinson III GS vs UTA Probable

Alert! Alert! Alert! MyBookie is now a 50 percent sign-up bonus. They always pay on time.

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Free NBA Bet From #1 Ranked Sports Handicapper

January 22, 2020 Joe Duffy Leave a comment

Joe Duffy, the Grandmaster has a big Wednesday portfolio with eight NBA winners led by Interconference Game of the Month. Two Wise Guys in all. Joe Duffy’s exclusive proprietary information continues to lap the industry. Get the picks now

Free pick:

MINNESOTA -1 Chicago

Road favorites off loss under specific circumstances that apply today are 777-617-23. A subsystem takes it to 56.4 percent over nearly 1,300 games. Road favorites despite inferior record is 212-176-4.

Alert! Alert! Alert! MyBookie is now a 50 percent sign-up bonus. They always pay on time.

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Zion Williamson Betting Props, Spurs-Pelicans Side, Total

January 22, 2020 Joe Duffy Leave a comment

Joe Duffy has the total, Stevie Vincent the side for San Antonio vs. New Orleans at OffshoreInsiders.com

The long-awaited regular season debut for Zion Williamson is finally here.

The Pelicans will take on San Antonio at home Wednesday night on ESPN, and SportsBetting has created some cool prop bets based around Zion’s performance.

The oddsmakers expect the first field goal of his career to be a dunk, and they’ve set the over/under for his dunk total at 1.5.

Zion’s projected point and rebound totals are low as Alvin Gentry said that his rookie will come off the bench and play limited minutes. You can find the full list of Zion prop bets below and here at SportsBetting

Will Zion Williamson’s first FG be a dunk?

Yes -150

No +110

Total dunks by Zion Williamson

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

Total points by Zion Williamson

Over 9.5

Under 9.5

Total rebounds by Zion Williamson

Over 5.5

Under 5.5

Total minutes played by Zion Williamson

Over 15.5

Under 15.5

The latest NBA Finals odds have the Bucks with the lowest odds (3/1) to win the championship. Milwaukee has been a co-favorite with the Lakers previously this season, but never the sole favorite.

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Free Winning College Basketball Pick

January 21, 2020 Joe Duffy Leave a comment

Get the Big 12 Game of the Year from Joe Duffy and it’s on ESPN2. It is our first of the season in college basketball. No way we can match our named plays in college football some may say. Oh not so fat. Strongest bet in the industry bar none. Get the picks now

CBB

DUKE -18 Miami Florida

Squares love to talk “revenge” as in betting on the team revenging a loss is a good think. We sharps can test theories. Fact is fading teams in same season revenge under specific circumstances that apply today is 196-145-5. Bounceback angle for quality teams off a loss is 153-120-3. Incredibly, it’s only the second time both applied in the same game but is 1-0 as on February 10 of 2015 Kansas crushed Texas Tech 73-51 laying -10.5.

Alert! Alert! Alert! MyBookie is now a 50 percent sign-up bonus. They always pay on time.

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First Wave of Super Bowl 54 Props Released Niners-Chiefs

January 20, 2020 Joe Duffy Leave a comment

The first of the Super Bowl props have been released by 5 Dimes, vetted sportsbook and home of the high roller.

San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs – Super Bowl LIV – Propositions – Hard Rock Stadium – Miami Gardens, FL

Sun 2/2 115 SF scores first +100

6:30PM 116 KC scores first -120

Sun 2/2 117 SF scores last -105

6:30PM 118 KC scores last -115

Sun 2/2 135 Game goes to overtime +975

6:30PM 136 No overtime -1475

Sun 2/2 139 First score a TD -175

6:30PM 140 First score not a TD +155

Sun 2/2 351 SF wins coin toss -101

6:30PM 352 KC wins coin toss -101

Sun 2/2 353 Coin toss lands tails -101

6:30PM 354 Coin toss lands heads -101

Sun 2/2 357 Player to call coin toss is correct -101

6:30PM 358 Player to call coin toss is wrong -101

San Francisco 49ers win first half & San Francisco 49ers win in regulation

Sun 2/2 2001 SF HT & SF FT +238

6:30PM 2002 Any other result -278

San Francisco 49ers win first half & Kansas City Chiefs win in regulation

Sun 2/2 2003 SF HT & KC FT +590

6:30PM 2004 Any other result -880

San Francisco 49ers win first half & game goes to overtime

Sun 2/2 2005 SF HT & goes OT +2500

6:30PM 2006 Any other result -4000

Game tied at half & San Francisco 49ers win in regulation

Sun 2/2 2007 Tied at Half & SF FT +1850

6:30PM 2008 Any other result -2850

Game tied at half & game goes to overtime

Sun 2/2 2009 Tied at Half & goes OT +4500

6:30PM 2010 Any other result -8000

Game tied at half & Kansas City Chiefs win in regulation

Sun 2/2 2011 Tied at Half & KC FT +1850

6:30PM 2012 Any other result -2850

Kansas City Chiefs win first half & game goes to overtime

Sun 2/2 2013 KC HT & goes OT +2500

6:30PM 2014 Any other result -4000

Kansas City Chiefs win first half & San Francisco 49ers win in regulation

Sun 2/2 2015 KC HT & SF FT +705

6:30PM 2016 Any other result -1105

Kansas City Chiefs win first half & Kansas City Chiefs win in regulation

Sun 2/2 2017 KC HT & KC FT +169

6:30PM 2018 Any other result -212

Sun 2/2 2019 SF wins 1st half & wins game +205

6:30PM 2020 Any other result -245

Sun 2/2 2021 SF wins 1st half & loses game +584

6:30PM 2022 Any other result -867

Sun 2/2 2023 1st half a tie & SF wins game +1525

6:30PM 2024 Any other result -2350

Sun 2/2 2025 1st half a tie & KC wins game +1547

6:30PM 2026 Any other result -2393

Sun 2/2 2027 KC wins 1st half & wins game +158

6:30PM 2028 Any other result -190

Sun 2/2 2029 KC wins 1st half & loses game +650

6:30PM 2030 Any other result -1000

Best Super Bowl bets from the top handicappers at OffshoreInsiders.com

Sports betting blog with sports handicapping picks from the best sports handicappers, pregame betting information, sports handicapping articles, links to live odds, free picks, sportsbook information and more. All pro gamblers go to this betting blog before placing a bet.