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ESPN Odds: Expert NFL Picks in on Eagles-Redskins Spread and Total

If your bets continue to look worse than Brooke Hundley’s MySpace pics, then you have only yourself to blame. The nation’s best sports handicappers continue to roll and now here is the objective look at which handicappers are hot and who has the big plays.

Betting on ones own can prove to be more costly than Ivanka Trump wedding photos.

With NBA Vegas odds starting tomorrow, the no-brainer to bet with is Stevie Vincent as mastering over/under continues to be his specialty.

Sensational handicapper Stevie Vincent is 9-1 for 90 percent over the last four days.

He has his Monday Night O/U of a GENERATION on the Redskins/Eagles. It’s all on OffshoreInsiders.com

How about the greatest betting expert ever, Grandmaster sports handicapper Joe Duffy of GodsTips, anchor of OffshoreInsiders.com? Yesterday was another classic day of GodsTips not only winning you money but saving it. Face it, without us you likely would have jumped on the s-u-c-k-e-r bet on the Falcons. Luckily we explained why the Cowboys, a Wise Guy winner, would blow out the Birds. We are 5-1 the last six sides as the beat goes on.

This legend has the Monday Night Football side, Eagles-Redskins.

Big plays—oh it does not get bigger than the Duke, Jonathan Mardukas. Jonathan’s stone cold lock is on the Philadelphia-Washington total.

The Duke, Jonathan Mardukas built up a large scorephone following over the last dozen or so years.  With a database that goes back to 1980 the MasterLockLine say he is the top ranked college and pro football handicapper EVER. He has his biggest prime time NFL total ever in all his years of betting on the Eagles/Redskins.

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UNIVERSAL PASS: Get total access to the “Bet It Trinity”: Stevie Vincent’s BetonSports360, and the MasterLockLine, and Joe Duffy’s GodsTips for just $64 per pick and even less for long-term pick packs.

NFL Odds: Eagles vs Redskins

The division rival Philadelphia Eagles and Washington Redskins are set to renew hostilities on Monday when they meet at FedExField.
Oddsmakers currently have the Eagles listed as 8-point favorites versus the Redskins, while the game’s total is sitting at 37½.
The Eagles lost to Oakland 13-9 as a 14.5-point favorite in Week 6. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (40.5).
Donovan McNabb passed for 269 yards for Philadelphia and Brian Westbrook rushed for 50 yards on six carries.
The Redskins lost to Kansas City 14-6 as a 6.5-point favorite in Week 6. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (36.5).
Jason Campbell passed for 89 yards with an interception for Kansas City and Clinton Portis rushed for 109 yards on 15 carries.
Current streak:
Washington has lost 2 straight games.
Team records:
Philadelphia: 3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS
Washington: 2-4 SU, 1-4-1 ATS
Philadelphia most recently:
When playing in October are 5-5
When playing on grass are 6-4
After being outgained are 7-2-1
When playing within the division are 5-5

Washington most recently:
When playing in October are 5-5
When playing on grass are 4-6
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing within the division are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Philadelphia’s last 8 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia’s last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia’s last 6 games when playing Washington
Philadelphia is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington’s last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington’s last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington’s last 8 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington’s last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Next up:
Philadelphia home to NY Giants, Sunday, November 1
Washington at Atlanta, Sunday, November 8

 

The Single Dumbest Stat in Sports Betting Still Getting Regurgitated

Sports gambling posting boards are generally good for a few laughs but rarely for worthwhile information. The most comical case of wasting bandwidth is the futility of the “just pick the team that wins outright” cliché.

Now a sport betting website pays tens of thousands of dollars to have FoxSports.com carry their infomercial videos and the guy starts out telling you how amazed he is that “the team that wins outright covers 85 percent of the time.”

No offense but these would be handicappers don’t know what they are talking about and we can only hope they can get enough clients to subsidize the bookmakers.

“When an underdog wins they cover 100 percent of the time,” reminds Max Hartman of Lines-Maker.com.  The favorite cannot cover unless they win outright.  It’s impossible.  The only scenario in which a team can win and not cover against the Vegas odds is when the favorite wins but by a smaller margin than the spread. 

Not shockingly the numb nuts who perpetuate unscientific preposterousness almost always quote stats relevant to the NBA or NFL betting.  In college sports there are more mismatches and hence larger spreads where the margin is larger for a favorite to win and not cover.

If a team is a 3.5 point favorite the only way the team that wins will not cover is for the favorite to win by one, two or three points. Any other result will have the team that wins covering.  At what percentage do these half-wits think a team should win and not cover?

Obviously the stupidity of this widely circulated inductive blather can be refuted from now until eternity.  Or at least until an underdog wins but fails to cover, whichever comes last.  But to those who subscribe to it as if there is any logic, thanks for keeping the books in business for the rest of us.

Since the prevailing premise behind this urban myth is “it’s so much easier to pick the SU winner than the spread winner” why don’t these fancied geniuses just pick dog winner after dog winner on the moneyline?

There are plenty of underdogs that win outright, many huge dogs in fact.  If one wants to postulate how much easier it is to pick the SU winner, why waste such foreknowledge on collecting $100 for every $110 risked?  Just keep picking those 250 dogs and get your money’s worth.

I don’t want to ruin this fool’s gold with such a logical question, but like I keep saying, I guess those pipe dreamers are needed to keep the sportsbooks in business for the rest of us.  

No oddsmaker will go broke underestimating the intelligence of the betting public. Wow, we just discovered that the team that scores the most points wins more than 99 percent of the time. Let me purchase valuable webcasting time on Fox Sports to impress you with my discovery.

The author Joe Duffy is CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com, the single most respected sports handicapping site on the World Wide Web.

Lakers vs. Clippers TNT NBA Betting Lines

The Clippers vs. Lakers NBA odds are up for TNT action. The Los Angeles Lakers are -10 with a total of 2-9 at BetUs Sportsbook

The top NBA handicappers will have picks up each and every day on OffshoreInsiders.com. NBA trends are also up.

Because the MasterLockLine monitors each and every one of the nation’s top sports service, handicappers, tip sheets and syndicates, you will get every Game of the Year play worth betting. Every last one in the industry is yours. That’s why you get more legitimate service Games of the Year on the MasterLockLine than anyone else.  

Follow power of 620 sports services behind every selection, the MasterLockLine all year long in the NBA.

 

NBA Lines: Rockets vs. Trail Blazers

The Rockets vs. Trail Blazers NBA Vegas odds are up for opening night. Bodog has Portland -9.5 and 188.

All of tonight’s NBA schedule trends and spread records are up. Joe Duffy is CEO of the top sports NBA handicapping website.  He has twice been Chair of a worldwide search committee to compile the world’s top sports services, once for the Freescoreboard scorephone and now at OffshoreInsiders.com. His picks are part of the Dream Team of GodsTips, anchor of that site.

 

NBA Spread: Wizards vs. Mavericks

NBA point spreads are up on the Wizards vs. Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks are -8.5 and 205 at SportsBook.

NBA trends against the spread are up on this and all the other games.

In NBA and college basketball, Bill Tanner and Castlegate Sports are beyond debate the top 2 services.  They rank 1-2 in ROI, total net units won, and winning percentage in the NBA and overall going back any time period of at least three years.  Only Statmaven Sports has a higher ranking in college. To say the least, we will ride these services for your benefit again this basketball season as we have in previous years.

They are featured on The MasterLockLine, which has the top plays from the top sports services in their highest ranked sports. It is part of OffshoreInsiders.com   

NFL Injuries Week 7 For Fantasy Football and Betting

Here are week 7 NFL injuries for fantasy football and for NFL picks. The top expert football picks are up for week 7 NFL betting and several elite handicappers have free picks up against the spread.

Bills vs. Panthers

Bills QB Trent Edwards is out. Ryan Fitzpatrick gets the start. Jonathan Stewart is questionable to probable for the Panthers.

Cowboys vs. Falcons

Dallas will have all three of their top RBs and both Marion Barber and Felix Jones will play.

Bears vs. Bengals

DT Tommy Harris is out for Chicago. He is a three-time Pro Bowler and will likely be replaced by second-year pro Marcus Harrison.

49ers vs. Texans

San Francisco RB Frank Gore is probable. He missed last week. The 49ers top pick WR Michael Crabtree makes his presence felt.

Vikings vs. Steelers

CB Antonio Winfield is out for the Vikings. Steelers defensive leader Troy Polamalu is expected to start. He returned last week but missed practice team this week.

Buccaneers vs. Patriots

New England starting OT Matt Light is out. New England has only four active receivers.

Cardinals vs. Giants

Arizona WR Anquan Boldin is questionable as he’s been limited in practice.

Falcons vs. Cowboys

Dallas WR Roy Williams is questionable. He said that he will play.

Bet On Sports NFL Picks Week 7

Week 7 NFL picks are up from the top Vegas experts. Another free pick NFL is up from sensational handicapper Matt Rivers.

The pick is the Chargers -5 at Kansas City at BetUs Sportsbook.

Not that I’m a big fan of San Diego, but they are the superior team and certainly in need of a breakout game. The Chiefs are just what they need. Chargers coach Norv Turner is not much of a head coach but he is a good play caller and good at exploiting mismatches.

With Vincent Jackson and Legedu Naanee, they have a big size advantage at WR over the Chiefs DBs.

As always we were right about the Chargers running game: LaDainian Tomlinson’s days of being one of the best RBs in the league are over and Darren Sproules is too much feast or famine. Yet they are still better than their stats.

But the Chiefs defense, which is always on the field, will give up the big play. Look for the 1-2 running back punch to have a huge breakout game.

KC will have a bit of a letdown after finally winning—but against equally pathetic Washington.

Like we said, the Bolts need to build some confidence and momentum. With the Chiefs and Raiders in back to back weeks, it’s now or never. We bet now.

For more information: America’s Greatest is 9-3 with all football Wise Guys. Long time clients (and we have more than any handicapper ever) know we think whining is for losers and winning is for winners. But if having a 2.5 point favorite nearly double their opponent in yardage and win by only two isn’t a bad beat…

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