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NFL Fantasy Football Pro Bets, QB and RB Odds

Now that we NFL betting fans have read up on training camps and caught a few exhibition games, it’s time to make a few educated guesses about player yardage. Who will lead the NFL in passing, rushing and receiving yards? Odds are courtesy of BetUs.com.

Shea Matthews picks are in bold.

MOST PASSING YARDS

Drew Brees +375

Peyton Manning +450

Matt Schaub +500

Aaron Rodgers +450

Tom Brady +650

Tony Romo +900

Philip Rivers +1000

Jay Cutler +1800

Brett Favre +2000

Kevin Kolb +2000

Safe pick: Drew Brees. The Saints air it out every year and he always hangs near the league leaders in passing yards.

Boom: Jay Cutler. If Mike Martz made Jon Kitna into a 4,000-yard guy in Detroit, imagine what he’ll do with Cutler’s talents in Chicago. The Bears may not win us money at the sportsbook but they’ll throw like mad.

Bust: Philip Rivers. Losing your top receiver and left tackle means you’ll throw for fewer yards, plain and simple.

Sleeper: Kevin Kolb. Eagles coach Andy Reid has the most lopsided pass-to-run ratio in NFL history.

MOST RUSHING YARDS

Chris Johnson +300

Adrian Peterson +500

Frank Gore +600

Ray Rice +800

Michael Turner +800

Maurice Jones-Drew +1000

Steven Jackson +1400

Shonn Green +1400

DeAngelo Williams +2000

Rashard Mendenhall +2000

Safe pick: Adrian Peterson. A 1,500-yard season qualifies as an “off” year for him. He’s a machine.

Boom: Chris Johnson. The little guy is an injury risk but there isn’t a more explosive back in football. He’s a force when it comes to yardage.

Bust: Steven Jackson. He’s talented as can be but his big body takes far too many hits. He’s no lock to play 16 games.

Sleeper: Rashard Mendenhall. Greene could be a sleeper too but Mendenhall will get more touches since Ben Roethlisberger is suspended and Greene will give way to LaDainian Tomlinson on third down.

MOST RECEIVING YARDS

Andre Johnson +400

Miles Austin +900

Larry Fitzgerald +900

Randy Moss +900

Reggie Wayne +900

Roddy White +1000

Calvin Johnson +1000

Greg Jennings +1200

Marques Colston +1500

Brandon Marshall +2000

Safe pick: Reggie Wayne. He never gets hurt and plays in a passing offense that dominates like clockwork every year.

Boom: Andre Johnson. He’s a potent combination of speed and sure-handedness. He gets the ball a ton every game and has posted back-to-back 1,500-yard seasons.

Bust: Marques Colston. He has the lowest ceiling of this group by far since New Orleans spreads the ball out so much.

Sleeper: Calvin Johnson. Megatron already posted big numbers in some anemic Detroit offenses. What will he do now that the Lions look like they could field an above-average attack? Scary for sports betting sharps to imagine.

For more information: Get the fantasy football rankings and NFL draft guide from ScoresOddsPicks.com Shea Matthews.

Redskins vs. NY Jets Bets and Preview

The Washington Redskins and NY Jets do battle in one of the top NFL match-ups, as far as bettors are concerned, this week.

Oddsmakers have posted an official and NFL Las Vegas point spread at New York -6, though they are -5.5 in many Vegas and offshore sportsbooks and casinos.

Sportsbooks online also have the moneyline posted at the New York Jets -255. Each team is 1-1 straight up in fake games. Rex Grossman, who has a 97.7 passing rating for the preseason is expected to get the start at QB for the Redskins as Donovan McNabb is out with an injury.

Also out for the Native Americans are fullback Mike Sellers (knee), wide receiver Malcolm Kelly (hamstring) and safety Kareem Moore (knee). The preseason series is deadlocked at 4 each straight up.

For first half football wagering, the numbers see NY Jets -3 -120.

NFL power lines say that NY is -3.5 giving a nice edge to the underdogs.

Top expert pick on this game: For those tired of the Dooley’s of the world stealing Dr. Bob Stohl’s tipsheet picks and chasing his steam, go where the pros go.

From the Power of 620 sports services behind every selection, the MasterLockLine is an attorney/law professor/pro bettor turned pro bettor/professional handicapper out of Tri Cities, TN is best known for being the greatest SEC handicapper of all-time. However, he is also the top NFLX totals handicapper, based on all-time units won. Supreme Selections are his highest rated plays. He’s 9-1 in NFLX so far. You know it’s legit because you got EVERY ONE OF THEM. Two NFLX over/under plays, Atlanta/Miami, Washington/Jets.

NFL Betting Intel Falcons-Dolphins

This week’s NFL schedule has a game so strong for sports betting, that a Category 5 sports bulletin has been issued for the Atlanta Falcons at Miami Dolphins.

Miami is 2-0 straight up, while Atlanta is 1-1 straight up in practice play.  Miami has won nine straight NFLX contests. Starting QB Chad Henne has a 110.4 passer rating, putting him among the leaders.

Matt Ryan and the first team offense have yet to score for the Dirty Birds.  Atlanta is 5-4 straight up in the preseason meetings.

The NFL point spread for this game has Miami -1.5 with a total of 38 though the line has gone to -2 in some shops.

Compare this to the NFL power ratings for bettors that has Dolphins -2.5, giving a negligible edge to the Fins.

The total stands at as high as 39, with 38.5 widely available as well.

Also, the first half line is Miami -.5 -105.

For moneyline wagers the Dolphins are -130.

Top expert pick on this game: It’s from Matt Rivers. It may be the preseason and I do admit that this time of the year can be a joke at times. But there are also games that can be isolated and conquered in a monster way and that is what we have here today.

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QB Rotations, Notes For Rams-Patriots, Colts-Packers

It’s preseason week three of the NFL and here is the famed primer including QB rotations for fantasy football rankings and sports betting alike

Rams vs. Patriots

Among those out for the Patriots are Julian Edelman WR, often called the next Wes Welker. He had 39 catches last year; TE Aaron Hernandez, a rookie who has been strong in the red zone, and LB Jermaine Cunningham.

The best NFL handicappers point out that the Patriots offensive line second team struggled last week. Hence they traded for Quinn Ojinnaka.

Rams prized rookie QB Sam Bradford gets his first start and will likely play the first half. A.J. Feeley, the journeyman keeping the seat warm for Bradford, is out. Bradford is a pedestrian 12-for-27 with no TDs or INTs thus far.

Tom Brady will likely play at least the first half for New England behind center. According to Bob Warner of Lines-Maker.com, most Pats starters will play into the third quarter.

Colts vs. Packers

Colts starters will play into the third quarter. WR Austin Collie is questionable for the Horses. Out are star TE Dallas Clark, C Jeff Saturday, and LT Charlie Johnson.

Statistically, Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers has been the best signal caller in the NFL preseason so far with a 154 QB rating. His offensive line has been stable all preseason. Three of the starters have at least 68 games each as starters under their belts.

The Packers are deep at WR and will match-up very well against the Colts DBs late in the game. S Atari Bigby is out though for Green Bay.

Sports betting podcasts say that Green Bay is expected to work on their running game as RB Ryan Grant is expected to get 8-12 carries.

MLB Betting – Aces Collide In Texas

Those who bet on college football will always check to see who the quarterbacks are in a matchup they’re considering betting on, and in the major leagues, starting pitchers are one of the most important things to monitor.  A pair of aces will take to the hill on Thursday when Minnesota heads to Texas to wrap up a four-game set between division leaders.

Twins Rangers Betting – Thursday, August 26, 8:05 PM ET

Francisco Liriano (11-7, 3.45) was roughed up a bit in a 7-6 win at home over the White Sox, but he took a no-decision by allowing five runs on six hits over five innings, walking four and striking out five in an inconsistent performance.  Liriano has pitched a lot over the last year or so, and the Twins are worried about a workload problem as this is the second time in three starts that he’s given up four runs or more.  The 26-year-old has faced the Rangers, making three starts, and he has a 1-1 record against them with a 4.74 ERA.  Four of his appearances have come in the Ballpark, where he earned his only decisions, and has an ERA of 4.50.

The arrival of Cliff Lee (10-7, 3.09) was big enough to make those who do offshore NFL betting stand up and take notice, and it’s made the Rangers an intriguing team to face in the playoffs.  However, he’s in a bit of a slump as he was rocked for eight runs on 10 hits over 5.2 innings in an 8-6 loss in Baltimore.  Lee was taken deep four times by the Orioles after not allowing a homer in his previous five starts, and he’s now given up 14 runs in his last 13.1 innings.  The 31-year-old southpaw is a solid 8-3 with a 3.40 ERA in 18 starts against the Twins, who saw plenty of Lee when he was in Cleveland.

MLB betting odds should favor the Rangers at the Ballpark, where they were 41-23 as of Wednesday.  Neither of these pitchers have been at the top of their game lately, for different reasons: Liriano may be being overworked, while Lee has a long (and well-deserved) leash from manager Ron Washington, and he probably should have been taken earlier in his last three starts.  Lee has also been an innings horse for last few seasons, and he is 31 years old, so it’s something to watch.  But Liriano has thrown over 200 innings in the past year after his past injury problems, so they may be getting worried.  We’re betting on Lee to get his act together before Liriano as he knows that he has to round into form before the playoffs come around.

Online sports betting pick: Texas

NCAA Football Odds: It’s Going to Be a Long Year For Michigan

Today’s college football preview from Bodog begins with the Michigan Wolverines (12/1 Big Ten odds). Rich Rodriguez’s defection to the Wolverines managed to screw over not only one but two teams; he left West Virginia in a lurch while winning just eight games for the Wolverines over the past two years. Now his job might be on the line.

The Michigan offense did make tremendous strides last year, finishing seventh in the country in yards per game. Quarterback isn’t settled heading into 2010, but whoever wins between Tate Forcier, Denard Robinson, and Devin Gardner should be very effective. They’ll have a pretty talented receiving corps to work with.

After struggling mightily on “D” last year, Michigan is switching to the 3-3-5. The Wolverines are desperate to find answers against the run after allowing over 170 yards per game last year. The secondary is green.

Get your NCAA Football Odds in the Bodog Sportsbook! Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy’s expert take: The one-time powerhouse is destined for a 7th place finish. None of our models have them finishing higher than a 5th place tie and some have them tied for eighth.

Bring back Lloyd Carr.

Texas A&M Aggies 2010 College Football Preview

The Texas A&M Aggies aren’t favorites to win the Big 12 (16/1 odds), but they should show some improvement after a 6-7 campaign. They’re next in today’s college football preview.

The Aggies were very, very young last season—they played 18 freshmen in at least one game, the second-highest total in the country. Quarterback Jerrod Johnson should be in Heisman contention; he’s a threat to throw and run the football. The line has some holes that need plugging, however, and Johnson was sacked 29 times last year.

The defense will be transitioning to a 3-4 base scheme. There are some great toys to play with, namely senior Von Miller; he racked up 17 sacks last year and will fit nicely into a fantastic linebacking corps. The pass defense leaves much to be desired, however. The poor effort is all the more perplexing considering how strong the pass rush was.

Get your NCAA Football Odds in the Bodog Sportsbook! Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy’s expert take: It is one heck of a battle for No. 3 in the Big 12 South. Texas Tech and Texas A&M will battle for the right to finish behind the Big 2 Texas and Oklahoma.

We have Tech third and A&M fourth in a photo finish.

NFL Preseason Week 3 Odds and Spreads

Courtesy of OddsShark.com: Today in the Daily Sports Roundup: The Rays continue their series against the Angels in Los Angeles, while the Reds look for a victory over the Giants out in San Francisco.

Meeting up on the diamond . . .

The American League schedule for Tuesday offers up Oakland at Cleveland, Kansas City at Detroit, the Yankees at Toronto, Seattle at Boston, Minnesota at Texas, Baltimore at the White Sox, and Tampa Bay at Los Angeles. Wade Davis (9-9, 4.45 ERA) will get the ball for the Rays on Tuesday, while the Angels counter with Ervin Santana (13-8, 3.93 ERA). Righthander Davis (sore shoulder) is expected to come off the disabled list for Tuesday’s start; he was knocked around by the Twins in his last outing on August 5, allowing six runs over six innings of work. Righthander Santana has picked up the win in each of his last three starts, holding the Red Sox to two runs on four hits over seven innings last time out. Los Angeles is 5-1 in Santana’s last six starts.

Over in the National League on Tuesday it’s then St. Louis at Pittsburgh, Houston at Philadelphia, the Cubs at Washington, Florida at the Mets, the Dodgers at Milwaukee, Atlanta at Colorado, Arizona at San Diego, and Cincinnati at San Francisco. Tim Wood (4-1, 2.51 ERA) is slated to go up against Jonathan Sanchez (9-8, 3.47 ERA) in that Reds/Giants matchup. Lefthander Wood won for the fourth straight time in his last start, surrendering just one run on four hits over 6 1-3 innings against the Diamondbacks. Lefthander Sanchez dazzled the Phillies in a win last time out, giving up just one run on two hits over his eight innings of work. Sanchez walked two and fanned seven that day.

Here are the sportsbooks odds for week 3 of preseason football

Date # Team Spread Money Line Total Points
08-26-10 251 Rams(StLouis) 7.5 (-110) -110 37.5o (-110)
7:30 PM 252 Patriots(NewEngland) -7.5 (-110) -110 37.5u (-110)
08-26-10 253 Colts(Indianapolis) 3.5 (-110) -110 44.5o (-110)
8:05 PM 254 Packers(GreenBay) -3.5 (-110) -110 44.5u (-110)
08-27-10 255 Falcons(Atlanta) 0.0 (-110) -110 37.5o (-110)
7:00 PM 256 Dolphins(Miami) 0.0 (-110) -110 37.5u (-110)
08-27-10 257 Redskins(Washington) 4.5 (-110) -110 35.0o (-110)
7:00 PM 258 Jets(NewYork) -4.5 (-110) -110 35.0u (-110)
08-27-10 259 Eagles(Philadelphia) 0.0 (-110) -110 37.0o (-110)
8:00 PM 260 Chiefs(KansasCity) 0.0 (-110) -110 37.0u (-110)
08-27-10 261 Chargers(SanDiego) 3.0 (even) -110 42.5o (-110)
8:05 PM 262 Saints(NewOrleans) -3.0 (-120) -110 42.5u (-110)
08-28-10 263 Browns(Cleveland) 2.5 (-110) -110 38.0o (-110)
5:05 PM 264 Lions(Detroit) -2.5 (-110) -110 38.0u (-110)
08-28-10 265 Bengals(Cincinnati) -3.0 (-105) -110 35.0o (-110)
6:30 PM 266 Bills(Buffalo) 3.0 (-115) -110 35.0u (-110)
08-28-10 267 Jaguars(Jacksonville) -2.5 (-110) -110 36.5o (-110)
7:30 PM 268 Buccaneers(TampaBay) 2.5 (-110) -110 36.5u (-110)
08-28-10 275 Titans(Tennessee) 3.0 (-110) -110 36.5o (-110)
8:00 PM 276 Panthers(Carolina) -3.0 (-110) -110 36.5u (-110)
08-28-10 273 Seahawks(Seattle) 5.5 (-110) -110 38.0o (-110)
8:00 PM 274 Vikings(Minnesota) -5.5 (-110) -110 38.0u (-110)
08-28-10 271 Cowboys(Dallas) 3.0 (-105) -110 40.5o (-110)
8:05 PM 272 Texans(Houston) -3.0 (-115) -110 40.5u (-110)
08-28-10 277 Cardinals(Arizona) 3.5 (-110) -110 36.5o (-110)
8:30 PM 278 Bears(Chicago) -3.5 (-110) -110 36.5u (-110)
08-28-10 279 49ers(SanFrancisco) 1.0 (-110) -110 36.0o (-110)
9:00 PM 280 Raiders(Oakland) -1.0 (-110) -110 36.0u (-110)
08-29-10 281 Steelers(Pittsburgh) -1.0 (-110) -110 36.0o (-110)
8:05 PM 282 Broncos(Denver) 1.0 (-110) -110 36.0u (-110)

It’s an indisputable fact that the top football handicappers are at OffshoreInsiders.com, but now the secrets as to why they become the nation’s No. 1 sports handicapping website are out.

Free Bet Picks

Super handicapper Matt Rivers has a free winner for Tuesday is on the Orioles +159 at BetUs against the Chicago White Sox.

Honestly, I may be getting the better team here plus a boatload. Is Chicago even a good team right now? Seriously? Sure the “good guys” had a great great 6-8 week stretch where they came back from 9 games out to claim the division lead but that is now a thing of the past as the Twins have seized control of the division and right now the ChiSox are just not very good.

Baltimore’s record may be atrocious and I’m not saying that the Orioles are good but they have been playing a lot better ball since Buck Showalter arrived and with at least a professional hurler in Jerremy Guthrie on the bump today why can’t they win another game? Gavin Floyd has been great for a few months now but this last two starts have been a disaster against the good hitting but not great hitting Twins and right now I wouldn’t consider Floyd great or am too afraid of him.

Roberts, Markakis, Wieters, Scott and Jones form a squad that is pretty dangerous. Throw these guys in a hitter’s park like US Cellular and we may see a power display for sure. I’m not saying that the O’s can’t get shut down a bit by Floyd if the righthander is on his game but at this price we have too much going for us to not give this thing a go.

The pick: Baltimore at Bodog

For more information: A rare losing day on Monday, it unfortunately happens every now and then. Now to a trio of Tuesday winners as I continue the bashing of that Crookie. My 400,000* plays have been money and have also been the most powerful play I have released over the past few months. Another one is here from Citi Field between the Marlins and Mets. Bonus 200,000* Atlanta-Colorado and 100,000* Houston-Philadelphia.  Want Matt Rivers picks? Get them now.

College Football Odds: Mountain West Conference

Make no mistake; college football betting fans never forget about the Mountain West Conference anymore. Over the last few seasons, a few upstart schools haven’t simply dominated their own conference competition; they’ve vaulted into the national title discussion. Will schools like TCU finally earn the BCS’ full respect?

Here’s a look at the top sportsbook contenders in the MWC this season.

TCU (1 to 20)

The Horned Frogs are without a doubt the team to beat in the Mountain West. They were undefeated last year and boasted the nation’s top defense in 2009. In 2010, they return quarterback Andy Dalton and four of five starters on their O-line. With a ferocious “D” and competent offense, anything less than another conference title would be a failure for TCU this year.

Utah (10 to 1)

Utah has plenty going for it too and may have a chip on its shoulder as it plays in the MWC for one more year before trying its luck in the Pac-10. Jordan Wynn and Eddie Whide, not to mention a solid O-line, will pace the offense. The problem for Utah is defense; all the Utes’ linebackers are gone. Since they can’t keep opponents off the board like TCU can, they’re behind the eight ball.

BYU (12 to 1)

Sigh. It was fun while it lasted for BYU, wasn’t it? 2009 was thrilling as can be for the Cougars – especially when they earned the MWC major sports betting respect with wins over Oklahoma and Oregon State. But it’s tough to imagine a repeat of their 11-2 record when they have new faces at all their offensive skill positions.

Air Force (20 to 1)

Could Air Force step up and become the MWC’s No. 3 team? It fits the defensive bill, having finished fifth in the country against the pass last season. But I’m not sure Tim Jefferson has the support to carry this offense – even though the triple option is exciting.

Today’s free pick

The MWC is heavy at the top and weak at the bottom, which is why only four teams get mentioned as contenders here. If any other team would challenge them, I’d guess it would be Wyoming. But TCU looks like a great pick to repeat. BYU will take a step back; Air Force is still a project. Utah isn’t a complete enough team on both sides of the ball. That leaves the Horned Frogs to dominate again.