Joe Duffy’s Picks goes 8-1, the only loser was by .5 point. The winners Arizona +130, Toronto -120, Colorado +108, and the White Sox. In hockey we laid -1.5 on Pittsburgh and won back +265! This is what you get from Joe Duffy’s Picks every day!
NBA
Wise Guy
INDIANA -4.5 Washington
As we have proven, the so called NBA zig-zag theory is a virtual wash. It is above .500 long-term but a slight loss with the juice. However, various bounce back angles which take several other factors into consideration do win long-term.
Home favorites of four or more off playoff loss are 132-93 for 58.7 percent.
OKLAHOMA CITY -5.5 LA Clippers
As we have proven, the so called NBA zig-zag theory is a virtual wash. It is above .500 long-term but a slight loss with the juice. However, various bounce back angles which take several other factors into consideration do win long-term.
Home favorites of four or more off playoff loss are 132-93 for 58.7 percent.
As we have proven, the so called NBA zig-zag theory is a virtual wash. It is above .500 long-term but a slight loss with the juice. However, various bounce back angles which take several other factors into consideration do win long-term.
When a team fails by at least 15 points against the spread in a zig-zag situation, they are 97-74-1.
Combining the two, home faves of four or more off 15-point or more spread playoff setbacks are 37-13.
NHL
Wise Guy
PITTSBURGH -1.5 +265 New York Rangers
The Rangers literally cannot score. Their power play is a joke and now 5-on-5 is horrid. One days rest is not enough for a team that became the first squad since 1989 to play seven playoff games in 11 days.
The Penguins will get more wins than the Rangers get goals from this point on.
MLB
Wise Guy
SEATTLE (HERNANDEZ -116) Oakland (Straily)
Oakland has lost 4-of-5. Seattle is 9-2 the last 11. When a team has their odds at +/- 125 and an AL squad averaging 4.7 or fewer runs per game after allowing eight or more runs they are 589-440, +109.1 units. Felix Hernandez has 21-10 team mark to Oakland with an ERA of 2.60 and a WHIP of 1.102.
In four starts to Seattle Dan Straily has an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 1.768. Seattle has beaten him three straight. In seven starts King Felix has ERA and WHIP of 2.53 and 0.971.
MIAMI (KOEHLER -112) NY Mets (Wheeler)
NL Weekday Afternoon Game of the Month
The Marlins are 7-1 the last eight. The Mets have lost 5-of-6. The Mets for the season batting average and OBP of .229 and .302. Miami is 15-5 at home batting average and OBP of .305 and .369. In three road starts Zach Wheeler has ERA and WHIP of 7.05 and 1.696.
The home team is 6-0 in Tom Koehler starts. His home ERA and WHIP of 0.90 and 0.950, both epic numbers. The home team is 9-2 in the series. In five starts to th Mets Koehler has an ERA of 3.19 and a WHIP of 1.129.
Major
ARIZONA (ARROYO +130) Milwaukee (Peralta)
This is a sharp versus square, which is when our Vegas, offshore, and outlaw contacts tell us the majority of sharp money is betting one team, the square money the other. We go with the smart money as contrarian betting is used by many professional gamblers.
TORONTO (BUEHRLE -120) Philadelphia (Lee)
This is a sharp versus square, which is when our Vegas, offshore, and outlaw contacts tell us the majority of sharp money is betting one team, the square money the other. We go with the smart money as contrarian betting is used by many professional gamblers.
COLORADO (DE LA ROSA +108) Texas (Lewis)
Colorado is 9-2 the last 10 and 14-5 last 19. Texas is 2-6 going back further. When a team has their odds at +/- 125 and an AL squad averaging 4.7 or fewer runs per game after allowing eight or more runs they are a go-against at 712-548, +108.9 units.
Colorado for the season batting average and OBP of .307 and .356. Colorado has won three straight with Jorge De La Rosa. Last five games Colorado has a slugging percentage of .644 to .417 for Texas. In their last 10 games it is .594 to .335.
Colorado 6-1 to teams with a winning record. Texas 3-11 home to teams with a winning record.
WHITE SOX (DANKS -105) Cubs (Wood)
Go against a starting pitcher who gives up .5 or fewer home runs per start, after a game in which the bullpen gave up four or more earned runs is 922-834, +100.6 units.
The Cubs are 11-20 batting average and OBP of .228 and .293. On the road, it is a more rancid .222 and .269. In two road starts Travis Wood ERA and WHIP of 5.56 and 1.852.
