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Texas vs. Rice Betting Picks Preview with @JeffNadu

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Texas plays Rice in a neutral site game and Jeff Nadu and Joe Duffy preview the contest. Texas is -32 at Bovada with a total of 56.5 after opening at -30.5 and 57.5 Betonline, home of the opening line.

Eighty-two percent of tickets written are on Texas as well as 89 percent of the money. Though 55 percent of bets are on the under, 52 percent of money is on the over. It is early, so check Twitter sports betting for updates later in the week.

Joe Duffy already has Thursday NFL and Friday college football winners at the top sports betting website.

Texas 2-8-1 after allowing less than 275 total yards in previous game. Texas has gone under 25-11.

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NFL Free Pick Week 1

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Joe Duffy’s Picks 11-2 NFL! Sunday, NFL three Wise Guys. This is very rare for week 1, but the portfolio is that strong (two side, one total) and Major.  Get the picks now

Free NFL pick:

WASHINGTON +10 Philadelphia

Several week 1 overreaction angles based on previous year’s records apply here. Among them one that is 67-33 ATS, including Packers on Thursday night. In fact, it is even better divisional at 30-9-3. 

$250 NFL welcome bonus from betted bookie! All this and more at Bovada 

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Week 2 College Football Sharp Bets, Line Moves, Public Consensus, Sportsbook Liabilities

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It is week 2 of college football and time for the super popular sharp report in college football.

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Central Florida, Penn State, Appalachian State, Texas Tech

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Illinois, Texas Tech, Central Florida

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: San Jose State

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Penn State opened -24 now -30.5, Maryland from +2.5 now -1.5, LSU -2.5 now -6.5 at MyBookie

Weather:

Game

Wind Speed

Minnesota at Fresno State

16 mph

Oregon State at Hawaii

19 mph

Akron at Central Michigan

18 mph

Idaho at Wyoming

15 mph

Top expert pick on today’s card is from Joe Duffy. He is 13-7 in football. Shorter-term he is 11-2 in NFL since preseason. Saturday, nine Wise Guys, three Majors led by Non-Power 5 Interconference Total of the Year and Non-Conference Underdog of the Year. Sunday get NFL three Wise Guys. This is very rare for week 1, but the portfolio is that strong (two side, one total) and Major. Get the picks now   

 

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Redskins vs. Eagles NFL Bets Predictions

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NFC East rivals clash on opening week NFL betting. GTBets has the odds at Philadelphia -10 but shop around because some books like Bovada have the line at -9.5. It is a must to shop around. The total is 45.5 across the board. Philadelphia opened at just -7.5 and 46. Sixty-three percent of bets and 60 percent of money is on the Eagles.

Seventy-seven percent of bets and a stunning 99 percent of money is on the UNDER.

The UNDER has hit in 8 of the last 12 Eagles games and given that the Redskins might struggle on the offensive side of the football, that may be a good pick again in this one. The Eagles have won their last 4 meetings with Washington by an average of more than 15 points, so a straightforward pick here.

Get the projected final score and more in the link below.

Big week already up from the Grandmaster! Here. We. Go. NFL, we enter the regular season off another great preseason. Yep 10-2 NFL. We are 12-6 overall in football. First Wise Guys of college football and big time. Thursday NFL side. Friday, Wise Guy and Major. Saturday, eight Wise Guys, three Majors led by Non-Power 5 Interconference Total of the Year. Oh, I am not done. Sunday, NFL Wise Guy and Major. College could be done, but more NFL likely from Joe Duffy at OffshoreInsiders.com.

Washington is 1-5 in week 1. The Eagles enter the season on a five-game spread winning streak. The favorite covered seven straight in the series. Eagles have gone under 10-3 at home.

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Thursday Night Football Packers vs. Bears Winning Picks

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2019 NFL regular season betting kicks off–literally on Thursday Night Football. It’s the Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears. Chicago is -3 -115 at GTBets with a total of 46.5. It opened at -4 and 45.5 at Betonline, home of the opening line.

Though 57 percent of bets are on Green Bay, 56 percent of cash is on da Bears. Likewise, a slight discrepancy on the total as 52 percent of tickets are on the over, but 56 percent of money on the under.

QB Mitchell Trubisky didn’t throw a single pass in the preseason, so fans will get their first chance to weigh in on the quarterback’s progress Thursday night. Trubisky has tended to perform at his best against Green Bay. In his fifth professional start, Trubisky had one of the best games of his rookie season, completing 21 of 35 passes for 297 yards and a touchdown. He has yet to throw an interception against the Packers.

Full preview below!

Green Bay is 2-7-1 ATS in road games, while the Bears have covered an incredible seven straight to the NFC North. They are 16-5 at home and 9-2 overall. However, the Packers are 16-5 ATS in Chicago and 12-5 overall in the series.

Big week already up from the Grandmaster! Here. We. Go. NFL, we enter the regular season off another great preseason. Yep 10-2 NFL. We are 12-6 overall in football. First Wise Guys of college football and big time. Thursday NFL side. Friday, Wise Guy and Major. Saturday, eight Wise Guys, three Majors led by Non-Power 5 Interconference Total of the Year. Oh, I am not done. Sunday, NFL Wise Guy and Major. College could be done, but more NFL likely from Joe Duffy at OffshoreInsiders.com.

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Most Heavily Bet Teams for Super Bowl, Divisional Champs, MVP, More

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Data provided by a couple of sportsbooks could create some interesting storylines for this week’s NFL content.

According to information from SportsBettingand Betonline the Super Bowl favorites are getting plenty of action, but some aren’t the teams books will be rooting against the most this season. It is interesting to compare the differences between the two books.

The three players with the most action to win MVP are 24 years old or younger, and while the guy with the most bets is a bit of shocker, the fact that all three are quarterbacks is not.

The teams getting the most over/under bets for their regular season win totals hints at who the professional bettors think will outperform and underperform this year. Also, a few of the bet counts for the division odds are a bit surprising.

Also below are current Super Bowl, AFC, NFC, division and win total odds.

Teams that have received most bets to win Super Bowl:

(Report from SportsBetting)

1. Cleveland Browns (8.5 percent of all wagers)
2. New England Patriots (7.4)
3. Philadelphia Eagles (6.7)
4. Kansas City Chiefs (6.3)
5. Chicago Bears (5.1)

(Report from Betonline)

1. Kansas City Chiefs (9.0 percent of all wagers)
2. New Orleans Saints (7.0)
3. New England Patriots (6.3)
4. Cleveland Browns (5.8)
5. Chicago Bears (5.6)

However, just because a team has attracted the most bets doesn’t necessarily mean it could be the book’s largest liability. Sometimes this is the case, but often it isn’t as bets are placed at different odds. For example, if an underdog has received the sixth-most bets that team could be the book’s biggest exposure.

Teams that will incur largest loss for the sportsbook if they win Super Bowl:

(Report from SportsBetting)

1. Browns
2. Eagles
3. Colts

(Report from Betonline)

1. Browns
2. Bears
3. Packers

Teams that have received fewest bets to win Super Bowl:

(Remainder of data from SportsBetting)

1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0.8 percent of all wagers)
2. Tennessee Titans (1.2)
3. Cincinnati Bengals (1.3)
4. Miami Dolphins (1.3)
5. Arizona Cardinals (1.4)

Teams that have received most bets to win conference:

AFC
1. Chiefs
2. Browns
3. Patriots

NFC
1. Eagles
2. Bears
3. Cowboys

Teams that have received most bets to win division (ranked from most to least):
 

AFC East

AFC North

AFC South

AFC West

1. Bills

1. Browns 

1. Colts

1. Raiders 

2. Patriots

2. Steelers

2. Jaguars

2. Chargers

3. Jets

3. Ravens

3. Texans

3. Chiefs

4. Dolphins

4. Bengals

4. Titans

4. Broncos

 

 

 

 

NFC East

NFC North

NFC South

NFC West

1. Eagles 

1. Bears

1. Falcons

1. Niners

2. Cowboys

2. Packers

2. Panthers

2. Cardinals

3. Giants

3. Lions

3. Buccaneers

3. Seahawks

4. Redskins

4. Vikings

4. Saints

4. Rams

Teams that have received most bets to go OVER their regular season win total:

1. Bills
2. Colts
3. Panthers

Teams that have received most bets to go OVER their regular season win total:

1. Raiders
2. Redskins
3. Dolphins

Players that have received most bets to win MVP:

1. Deshaun Watson
2. Baker Mayfield
3. Patrick Mahomes
4. Aaron Rodgers
5. Carson Wentz

Players that have received most bets to win Offensive Rookie of the Year:

1. David Montgomery
2. Kyler Murray
3. Josh Jacobs

Players that have received most bets to win Defensive Rookie of the Year:

1. Devin Bush
2. Josh Allen
3. Nick Bosa

 

Division odds

 

AFC East

AFC North

AFC South

AFC West

Patriots -400

Steelers +125

Texans +165

Chiefs -160

Jets +550

Browns +165

Jaguars +210

Chargers +175

Bills +800

Ravens +325

Titans +350

Broncos +1000

Dolphins +2000

Bengals +1600

Colts +400

Raiders +1600

 

 

 

 

NFC East

NFC North

NFC South

NFC West

Eagles -150

Bears +190

Saints -150

Rams -150

Cowboys +200

Packers +190

Falcons +350

Seahawks +250

Giants +1000

Vikings +225

Panthers +450

49ers +450

Redskins +1000

Lions +800

Bucs +900

Cardinals +1600

 

Conference odds

 

AFC

 

 

NFC

 

New England Patriots

7-2

 

New Orleans Saints

9-2

Kansas City Chiefs

4-1

 

Los Angeles Rams

6-1

Los Angeles Chargers

7-1

 

Philadelphia Eagles

6-1

Cleveland Browns

8-1

 

Chicago Bears

7-1

Houston Texans

8-1

 

Green Bay Packers

8-1

Pittsburgh Steelers

8-1

 

Dallas Cowboys

10-1

Jacksonville Jaguars

12-1

 

Minnesota Vikings

12-1

Baltimore Ravens

16-1

 

Seattle Seahawks

12-1

Indianapolis Colts

25-1

 

Atlanta Falcons

14-1

Oakland Raiders

25-1

 

San Francisco 49ers

14-1

Tennessee Titans

25-1

 

Carolina Panthers

20-1

Buffalo Bills

33-1

 

New York Giants

33-1

Denver Broncos

33-1

 

Detroit Lions

40-1

New York Jets

33-1

 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

40-1

Cincinnati Bengals

80-1

 

Arizona Cardinals

50-1

Miami Dolphins

80-1

 

Washington Redskins

80-1

 

Super Bowl odds

 

New England Patriots

7-1

Kansas City Chiefs

8-1

New Orleans Saints

8-1

Chicago Bears

12-1

Los Angeles Rams

12-1

Philadelphia Eagles

12-1

Los Angeles Chargers

14-1

Cleveland Browns

16-1

Green Bay Packers

16-1

Houston Texans

16-1

Pittsburgh Steelers

16-1

Dallas Cowboys

22-1

Jacksonville Jaguars

25-1

Minnesota Vikings

25-1

Seattle Seahawks

25-1

Atlanta Falcons

28-1

San Francisco 49ers

28-1

Baltimore Ravens

33-1

Carolina Panthers

33-1

Indianapolis Colts

50-1

Oakland Raiders

50-1

Tennessee Titans

50-1

Buffalo Bills

66-1

Denver Broncos

66-1

New York Jets

66-1

Detroit Lions

80-1

New York Giants

80-1

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

80-1

Arizona Cardinals

100-1

Cincinnati Bengals

150-1

Miami Dolphins

150-1

Washington Redskins

150-1

 

Team

Win Total

 

 

New England Patriots

11

Kansas City Chiefs

10.5

New Orleans Saints

10.5

Philadelphia Eagles

10.5

Los Angeles Chargers

10

Los Angeles Rams

10

Chicago Bears

9.5

Green Bay Packers

9.5

Pittsburgh Steelers

9.5

Cleveland Browns

9

Dallas Cowboys

9

Minnesota Vikings

9

Atlanta Falcons

8.5

Baltimore Ravens

8.5

Houston Texans

8.5

Seattle Seahawks

8.5

Carolina Panthers

8

Jacksonville Jaguars

8

San Francisco 49ers

8

Tennessee Titans

8

Buffalo Bills

7.5

Indianapolis Colts

7.5

New York Jets

7.5

Denver Broncos

7

Detroit Lions

6.5

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

6.5

Washington Redskins

6.5

New York Giants

6

Oakland Raiders

6

Arizona Cardinals

5.5

Cincinnati Bengals

5.5

Miami Dolphins

4.5

 

Best picks on a weekly basis is from OffshoreInsiders.com 

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Alabama vs. Duke Winning Free Bet and Info

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Duke is at Alabama on Saturday. Not surprisingly Alabama is a stunning -32 with a total of 56.5 at Bet Now. This is after opening at -32 and 63. Offshore and Las Vegas has 72 percent of bets and 79 percent of money on the Crimson Tide. However, the total is more dynamic with 60 percent of bets on over, yet 61 percent of the money on the under.

Alabama should be a favorite to win the National Championship. The Crimson Tide returns quarterback Tua Tagovailoa and a group of amazing wide receivers. The rushing attack as always will be stellar while the defense as always will be one of the top units in college football.
Bama’s head coach Nick Saban, no doubt, learned a lot from the loss to Clemson in the 2019 National Championship. Saban won’t let the Crimson Tide rest on their laurels this season. The quest for another title starts by beating Duke by more than 40 points.

See entire article below

The power of 620 sports services will have all the top sports service bets, perhaps including this clash.

Duke is 35-16-1 ATS outside the conference. Alabama is 0-4 outside conference.

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Northern Iowa vs. Iowa State Betting Pick Preview

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North Iowa vs. Iowa State has Iowa State -19.5 with a total of 41. An overwhelming 87 percent of bets and 84 percent of money in on Iowa State.

This series dates all the way back to 1889. The Cyclones lead the series 22-6-3, but UNI has won two of the last four meetings. They last played in 2017 and ISU won 42-24. UNI’s last win was in 2016.

Complete article click below

Football only and all-sports specials up for Joe Duffy’s Picks through Super Bowl Join the biggest and best NFL Super Contest with $150,000 in prizes! 

Road teams getting at least 19.5 in a game where the total is 42 are 37-22 ATS. North Iowa currently fits into that system.

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Inside Betting Info For Baseball

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Entire card at 9:45 ET or later.  Steam added at 2:06 ET. I am winning in everything. I am 32-13 in MLB including MLB Game of the Year +147. I am 5-1 in all football, 6-2 in preseason including Preseason Game of the Year winner. Two MLB sides including Wise Guy continues the roll.  Get the picks now 

Here is Joe Duffy’s Pitcher’s Report Card

Pittsburgh-Philadelphia

Bucs Joe Musgrove 9.00 ERA last four starts

  • ERA is better on road at 4.02 compared to 5.35 at home but WHIP and OBP similar
  • Best numbers at night at 4.10 ERA, .294 OBP and 1.17 WHIP

Phillies Jason Vargas 3.99 ERA , .307 OBP,

  • Substantially better at home, especially ERA where it’s 2.95 compared to 5.23 road

Anti-splits angle is 1462-975 on runline +169.84 units and 4.4 ROI

  • Phillies 10 games over .500 at home, Pirates 12 games under road

PITTSBURGH +1.5 -160

Arizona-San Francisco

Alex Young .289 OBP for season and 1.14 WHIP despite 4.04 ERA

  • Says he is much better than ERA and undervalued
  • Yet a horrid 7.53, .382, and 1.81 last three starts
  • ERA better on road 3.27 compared to 4.67 home, though WHIP and OBP close

Tyler Beede last seven games 6.35 ERA, 1.70 WHIP

  • Numbers a bit worse on road, but slightly better at night

The pick: OVER 9

Oakland-Kansas City

Homer Bailey 5.06, .327 OBP against

  • One run last two starts over 12.2
  • Atrocious road numbers 6.98 ERA, .350 OBP and 1.53 WHIP
  • Home team is 16-9 in HOMEr Bailey’s starts

Brad Keller 7-13 though decent 3.95 ERA and .325 OBP

  • KC 8-19 with him
  • 3 ER last two starts over 12 IP, allowing just 11 baserunners
  • Numbers also much better at home with .286 OPB and 1.12 WHIP compared to road at .349 and 1.46

Bad teams off a win +205.29 units

Less successful pitcher based on season-to-date numbers is +231.43 and 6.7 ROI

When both apply 17.7 ROI (big pitcher and team regression) but just 1-4 this season -2.5 units

Pick: Kansas City +138

Since Oct 20, UNDER 47-34-3 58 percent, 10 percent ROI

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Sportsbooks: Clay Helton First Coach Fired

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Vegas has firmly planted Clay Helton on the hot seat.

The sportsbook SportsBetting has set odds for who will be the first college football coach fired. The options reflect head coaches from every Power 5 program, as well as Notre Dame and BYU.

Helton has the shortest odds going into his fourth full year at USC. Unsurprisingly, Dabo Swinney and Nick Saban have the longest odds of being canned first.

“USC has a real chance of carrying a losing record after the first five weeks of the season, and that would really put a lot of pressure on the administration,” said Adam Burns, head linesman at SportsBetting.

Clay Helton (USC)

5-1

Chris Ash (Rutgers)

6-1

Lovie Smith (Illinois)

9-1

Gus Malzahn (Auburn)

10-1

Kalani Sitake (BYU)

12-1

Ed Orgeron (LSU)

14-1

Justin Fuente (Virginia Tech)

14-1

Willie Taggart (FSU)

16-1

Mike Gundy (Oklahoma State)

16-1

Tom Allen (Indiana)

20-1

Kevin Sumlin (Arizona)

20-1

Derek Mason (Vanderbilt)

22-1

Steve Addazio (Boston College)

22-1

Chad Morris (Arkansas)

22-1

Matt Luke (Ole Miss)

25-1

Barry Odom (Missouri)

28-1

Herm Edwards (Arizona State)

33-1

Jeremy Pruitt (Tennessee)

33-1

Justin Wilcox (Cal)

33-1

Will Muschamp (South Carolina)

40-1

Jonathan Smith (Oregon State)

40-1

Joe Moorhead (Miss State)

40-1

Dave Clawson (Wake Forest)

40-1

Jim Harbaugh (Michigan)

40-1

Tom Herman (Texas)

40-1

Brian Kelly (Notre Dame)

40-1

Mario Cristobal (Oregon)

40-1

Matt Wells (Texas Tech)

40-1

PJ Fleck (Minnesota)

40-1

Chip Kelly (UCLA)

40-1

Chris Klieman (Kansas State)

40-1

Pat Narduzzi (Pitt)

40-1

Mack Brown (North Carolina)

40-1

Mark Stoops (Kentucky)

50-1

Ryan Day (Ohio State)

50-1

Neal Brown (WVU)

50-1

Matt Campbell (Iowa State)

50-1

Les Miles (Kansas)

50-1

Bronco Mendenhall (Virginia)

50-1

Mike Leach (Washington State)

50-1

Mike Locksley (Maryland)

50-1

Geoff Collins (Georgia Tech)

50-1

Scott Satterfield (Louisville)

50-1

Manny Diaz (Miami)

50-1

David Cutcliffe (Duke)

50-1

Mel Tucker (Colorado)

66-1

Pat Fitzgerald (Northwestern)

66-1

Dave Doeren (NC State)

66-1

Jeff Brohm (Purdue)

66-1

Matt Rhule (Baylor)

66-1

Paul Chryst (Wisconsin)

75-1

Dan Mullen (Florida)

75-1

Scott Frost (Nebraska)

75-1

Dino Babers (Syracuse)

75-1

Mark Dantonio (Michigan State)

75-1

James Franklin (Penn State)

75-1

Kyle Whittingham (Utah)

100-1

Chris Petersen (Washington)

100-1

Lincoln Riley (Oklahoma)

100-1

Gary Patterson (TCU)

100-1

David Shaw (Stanford)

100-1

Kirk Ferentz (Iowa)

100-1

Jimbo Fisher (Texas A&M)

100-1

Kirby Smart (Georgia)

125-1

Dabo Swinney (Clemson)

200-1

Nick Saban (Alabama)

250-1

Joe Duffy’s Picks, anchor of OffshoreInsiders.com remains the No. 1 place where sharps go for winners.