Quite a few people have asked me if my systems and angles used at GodsTips, anchor of OffshoreInsiders.com comes from the SportsData. Apparently the two-page ad in Mark Lawrence’s Playbook football annual has sparked some interest. Regular clients have successfully bet my angles going back to the scorephone days.
Yes, we did very much see the article—which came across as an advertorial in ESPN the Magazine via ESPN Insider.
A few of the reasons my interest was piqued, then once I scratched the surface became disinterested:
So how do the “owners” of this alleged powerful database perform?
According to Power of 620 sports services behind every selection, the MasterLockLine, Tom Stryker, Right Angle Sports, and Al McMordie each have one Top 25 finish in any sport for a full season since 2006. Only RAS has a Top 10: 2008 in college football and 2009 in college basketball.
Dr. Bob Stohl was a major force in the early part of the century and in the 1990s, but his following among sportsbook whales has all but disappeared. A consistent top performer for a decade, his star is no longer shining.
In addition, most of that statistics quoted fall well short of uniformly most powerful unbiased (UMPU), statistical significance: tools used by statisticians to measure the reliability of data. They also fall short of the simple test we apply: return on investment (ROI).
If at one unit per bet, minus 10 percent juice, the angle falls below 80 units, it must have a z-score of 4.5 or above for us to consider worthwhile. Those who utilize the so-called Buckeye Database rarely, if ever, quote angles of that magnitude.
Conversely public databases such as SportsDataBases (not to be confused with the aforesaid SportsData), do have systems that meet the criterion of effect-size statistics.
They don’t cost $15,000 to get in and certainly don’t take days to learn. They are quite user friendly and we’ve unearthed angles much better than any I’ve seen quoted. Still if and when it goes public, we will make final judgment.
So far, it sounds like anyone who would pay 15 dimes for such a database may also believe they have a Nigerian aunt who just left them $1 million USD.
For sports picks that utilize statistically significant angles coupled with other factors including the revolutionary Performance Gap Analysis, check out the world class handicappers at OffshoreInsiders.com