All posts by Joe Duffy

Sunday Knockout

8-6-06

>>>LEVEL 2 PLAY is on FLORIDA over LA
Dodgers

Forensic team and pitching information on this game: last 3 appearances for each pitcher: 1.93 ERA,
10.61 walks/hits per game, Hendrickson 17.66 walks/hits per game,

 

The tear continues!! The Great One
has Level 2, 3 & 5 plays Sunday.

STEVIE VINCENT IS DESTROYING THE VEGAS BOOKS. THE GREAT ONE HAS
HAD WINNING WEEKS 11 OUT OF 12. HOW MANY
HAVE YOU HAD?

Your forensic
handicapper
Stevie Vincent has 4 plays Saturday: 2 Level 4
and a Level 5 inclusive.

Your URL for the new revolution in
handicapping is
http://www.knockoutpicks.com/

Sunday Computer Trends

Sunday, August 6, 2006

Have you checked out
the new
betting matchups?
Keep our information free by using one or more of our APPROVED
sportsbooks,
casinos and poker room.
We’ve
compiled a
perfect
combination of sportsbooks
for your line shopping including sharp and slower lines, low juice, free ½
points and more. Most importantly, all
have been vetted and approved. Also
remember the objective rundown
of who is hot
and who has the big plays
among the nation’s elite sports services is DAILY on the Handicappers
Sampler.

MLB

·       
LA Hendrickson 4-12 personal record, his starts
have gone under 13-6

·       
NY Mets Maine
2.45 ERA in five starts

·       
Milwaukee Capuano starts under 14-7

·       
Cubs Hill starts under 5-0

·       
San Diego Peavy 5-11
personal record

·       
San Francisco Cain starts over 14-6

·       
White Sox Contreras 10-3 personal mark

·       
Colorado
Cook under 13-5

·       
Boston Johnson 3-11 personal record

·       
St. Louis Suppan 10-2
personal record lifetime to Milwaukee

·       
Washington Hernandez 8-1 personal record
lifetime to San Diego

 

Personal record is a pitcher’s record in his decisions
including relief appearances. Team
record is how the team did in his starts whether or not he was involved in the
decision. *


CanBet.com : NFL

Saturday Sports Service Rundown

Saturday Handicapper’s Sampler for top sports service play
rundown

 

Ø     
The historic run continues at Godspicks.com.  Check out the long-term numbers for yourself,
which included 4-1 last night.  Saturday
it’s 4-0. More
details from Godspicks.com…
 

Ø     
KnockoutPicks.com  has two Level 4 and a Level 5 play, 77-38 with
such plays. More details from KnockoutPicks.com… 
  

Ø                       
ALERT: Another Super Consensus goes today, 10-3 all-time.
More details from AllianceHandicapping.com….
 

Saturday Godspicks


Join WagerWeb, another approved sportsbook. Get a 15 percent bonus when you tell them Joe.Duffy.net sent you

Saturday, August 05, 2006  

Non-clients: what is your excuse for not winning now? It
is beyond outlandish how hot The Dream Team of Godspicks.com has been
over the last eight weeks…and counting.

Ø     
4-1 Friday including Dandy Dogs Milwaukee +180,
White Sox +165 and Texas +140

Ø     
113-85 but 47 dog winners of 125 or more which
converts to a “wallet equivalent” of 145-86

Ø     
Dog winners outnumber chalk losers 74-6 in that span

Ø     
32-16 with Wise Guy plays, eight dog winners of
160 or more

We
have four plays Saturday and that includes Dandy Dogs
. Dandy dogs are
dogs of 140 or more in MLB. The ENTIRE card  is just $17 at www.godspicks.com. 

We will activate today: Get the Universal Pass: You can
now purchase TOTAL ACCESS to the top three sites on the Net, the Bet It Trinity Stevie’s Vincent’s Knockout
Picks
, top sports service plays at Alliance
Handicapping
, and the world’s greatest sports service God’s Picks
for more than 50 percent off the daily price. 
You get access to all three. Buy here or at any of the Bet
It Trinity
sites.

MLB

MILWAUKEE (SHEETS -110) St.
Louis
(Reyes)

It’s tough to not go against the Cardinals right now. They
have now lost eight straight -11.2 units. Milwaukee
is a solid 4-2 their last six. The Cards are 2-6 their last eight. St.
Louis
is hitting .230 in their last 10 contests. Ben
Sheets if off a good outing for Milwaukee
and that is good news as they are 11-5 in Sheets starts following a quality
start.

The Redbirds have lost five straight Reyes night starts.  

Saturday Knockoutpicks

8-5-06

>>>LEVEL 4 PLAY is on Mets/Philadelphia OVER

Forensic team and pitching information on this game: last 3 appearances for each pitcher: Lieber
17.67 walks/hits per game, 8.34 ERA, Glavine 18.91
walks/hits per game, 7.02 ERA, Lieber 6.09 road ERA

 

The tear continues!! The Great One
10-4 this week!! The Great One is now 77-38 with
Level 4&5 releases.

STEVIE VINCENT IS DESTROYING THE VEGAS BOOKS. THE GREAT ONE HAS
HAD WINNING WEEKS 11 OUT OF 12. HOW MANY
HAVE YOU HAD?

Your forensic
handicapper
Stevie Vincent has 4 plays Saturday: 2 Level 4
and a Level 5 inclusive.

Your URL for the new revolution in
handicapping is
http://www.knockoutpicks.com/

NFL Betting Advice for 2006-07

Online Gamblers Should Chalk Up Last Year as an Anomaly

Joe Duffy (JoeDuffy.net)

It’s no secret that the public had a sensational year last
year in the NFL as favorites covered at an unprecedented pace. Far from luck,
we had our highest number of favorites ever last year, but still fell short of
our unparallel standards. After many a discussion with experienced handicappers
and professional gamblers, I am even more convinced sharp players should stay
the course. Among our Golden Rules of
successful sports betting: never forget the oddsmakers are one step ahead of
the masses.

There are few certainties in life, but one is that
Joeybagofdonuts will love betting chalks more today than yesterday, but not
half as much as tomorrow. He will be very happy to oblige and press his luck. Sportsbooks
will very likely need underdogs to cover more than ever and one of the most
overlooked realities in sports betting is that oddsmakers know the betting
tendencies of the public and that very much factors into the point spread.

This is not to suggest one go to the other extreme and
blindly bet underdogs or even consciously pick a disproportionate number, but
last year’s results in no way represent a new trend. Our advice is simple: stay
the course.

Those of us who believe in systems, and many sharp players
do, generally have a similar basis for weighing the reliability of data. We use either return on investment (simply
how much money you would have won betting a system at one-unit per play) or
z-score (accepted mathematical formula that measures sample size and
percentage). We then see how it holds up over time: that is most of us agree a
system with a 4.7 z-score over 15 years is better than one with the same or even
slightly higher score over eight years if the latter system is not sustained
over ten or 15 seasons.

However, even the long-term proven systems are still
slanted a bit on recent performance as to compensate for changes in the game
that may strengthen or weaken the effectiveness of an angle. But I raised a red
flag when one of the top experts in artificial intelligence in sports betting
told me he would slant even more credence to very recent data, believing
outdated, but still statistically significant systems cost him last year.

We believe unless he has a change of heart before the year
gets into full swing, he may rue that decision.
Simply put, the oddsmakers need the dogs to rebound—and they set the
line. The sportsbooks more times than
not get what they want. Last year was a
major exception. We find the chances of it happening two years in a row very
remote.

The famed scorephone Tailgate Party moves to JoeDuffy.net this football
season. Early week, we have news, notes and computer trends, then on game day
we give online bettors late breaking injuries, weather, sports service plays
and more all FREE at JoeDuffy.net

Saturday Trends

Saturday, August 5, 2006

 

With football season
here, please remember
JoeDuffy.net
has advanced news and notes for the sports gambler. Check out our clipboard for early week
information, exclusively at
JoeDuffy.net.

MLB

·       
Mets Glavine 18-5 team
record

·       
Cubs Prior 0-7 team record

·       
San Francisco Lowery over 11-5

·       
White Sox Vazquez over 14-6

·       
Seattle over 13-7 with Pineiro, 8-3 lifetime
personal mark to Oakland

·       
LAA Santana 11-5
personal record, 16-6 team

·       
Cleveland Byrd over 14-7

·       
Minnesota Silva over 12-5

·       
Cubs Prior 6-1 personal lifetime to Pittsburgh

·       
Milwaukee Sheets 4-11 lifetime personal mark to
St. Louis

·       
Boston Wells 10-1 lifetime personal mark to Tampa

 

Personal record is a
pitcher’s record in his decisions including relief appearances. Team record is how the team did in his starts
whether or not he was involved in the decision.

Friday Sampler

Friday top service plays for online gamblers. NFL starts
this weekend, so get in on the Early Bird Special for football season is up now for All Bet it Trinity sites featured at JoeDuffy.net: Godspicks.com, KnockoutPicks.com  and AllianceHandicapping.com. Alternate payment available at JoeDuffy.net

Ø     
Godspicks.com is on a roll over the last
two months that 90 percent of you will never experience without Godspicks.com.  Another Wise Guy sweep last night and
tonight they go 5-0. More details from Godspicks.com…  

Ø     
AllianceHandicapping.com
goes 2-1 passing along the top plays of the top services in their highest rated
sports. Check out details of the humungous data mining super consensus. More
details from AllianceHandicapping.com….
 

Ø     
KnockoutPicks.com  is 8-3 this week and already established
as the top totals sports service in baseball, the hottest service to debut in
years will beyond doubt be the football over/under king.  But first two pro baseball goes Friday. More
details from KnockoutPicks.com… 
 

Friday Godspicks

Get 107 juice at Canbet if you tell them JoeDuffy.net sent you!

CanBet.com : National College Basketball

Friday, August 04, 2006 

Godspicks.com just rolls along, sweeping
Wise Guy plays Thursday, with dogs Philadelphia
and the LA Dodgers.  NFL STARTS THIS
WEEKEND, so get the four-day pass or better yet the Early Bird Special for
football season as featured at Godspicks.com which is:

Ø     
109-84 44 dog winners of 125 or more which
converts to a “wallet equivalent” of 139-85

Ø     
32-16 with Wise Guy plays, including eight
winners dogs of 160 or more

Ø     
No handicapper dominates any sport the way
Godspicks does the NFL.

The Dream Team of Godspicks.com has five Friday winners, all dogs or
small favorites.
The ENTIRE card  is just $17 at www.godspicks.com. 

MLB

OAKLAND (ZITO -110)
Seattle (Washburn)

Going against home favorites of 150 or less, after a game
in which their bullpen gave up no runs and facing a team whose bullpen ERA is
3.00 or less their last 15 games is 302-257 +94.3 units. Oakland
is 6-2 their last eight. Barry Zito has a road ERA of
3.27. They’ve won 6-of-7 road starts with him.

College Football Betting Preview Coached

New CFB Coaches

By Dan The Man Leach
Host of The
WagerWeb

It is never too early to start thinking about college football, the pageantry, the passion, the brilliance. Over the next month or so, I will count down the top 10 stories of the college football offseason and look ahead to the new season. Today, at No. 7, a look at teams that have new head coaches and new hope for a winning season or return to prominence.

The Big Schools

Colorado-(Old Coach)-Gary Barnett-(New Coach)-Dan Hawkins
WagerWeb

To Win The Bcs National Title)-125-1: This was by far the biggest coaching change of the year as the embattled Barnett finally left Boulder and one of the hottest coaching candidates in years, Hawkins comes in. Look for the results to show immediately as Hawkins is one of the best football minds in the country, and his scheme is just what the Buffs need to reclaim their glory in the Big 12.

Kansas State-(Bill Snyder)-Ron Prince-200-1: Snyder took this team from one of the worst programs in college football to a true national power for a stretch. His legacy will never be forgotten, and Prince has Kansas roots and will look to bridge the gap between the immortal Snyder and the fans in Manhattan who might not know just how important Snyder was to this program. Look for the ‘Cats to turn some heads right off the bat as Prince’s first recruiting class has some blue-chippers that will make this team a scoring threat from Day 1.

Wisconsin-(Barry Alvarez)-Bret Bielema-70-1: Speaking of legends, Alvarez is the Bill Snyder of the Midwest/Big Ten. Bielema is a Big Ten guy and a defensive-minded guy, so Alvarez fans will fall in love with him right away. The Badgers will definitely need to reinvent themselves as much of their success was due to Alvarez’s amazing ability to recruit, but at 36 Bielema is already viewed as a uniter who can sell water to the ocean and is committed to keeping things fresh in Madison.

Big Coach On Campus

San Diego State-(Tom Craft)-Chuck Long-45-1: A familiar football name takes over a program that has been anything but familiar on the national stage since a guy named Faulk played RB there. Long has been groomed for the past several years under Bob Stoops at Oklahoma to take over a program, and it could not have come at a better time for the Aztecs. Long was on board for the Sooners’ national title in 2000 and immediately brings credibility to the recruiting process because of that. It will be sooner (no pun intended), rather than later when we see the Aztecs making some waves nationally again.

Boise State-(Dan Hawkins)-Chris Peterson- 45-1: Hawkins built a national power on that blue turf in Boise, and Peterson will pick up right were Hawkins left off. He was the offensive coordinator and QB coach for the past five seasons under Hawkins, and many feel he has what it takes to keep pushing the Broncos higher and higher to BCS legitimacy. Look for Boise to continue to score in bunches and continue to schedule some of the toughest teams that dare play on the blue turf.

Temple-(Bobby Wallace)-Al Golden-45-1: One of the worst teams in recent I-A history has nowhere to go but up. The Owls are slated to join the MAC in 2007, but could be banished out of Division I-A altogether if they don’t get their attendance up. Golden has been a hot name in coaching the past couple of seasons, and the Temple AD is hoping that he has found the Rocky Balboa that this program needs desperately. Rocky’s odds were never has dismal as Temple’s, however.

Rice-(Ken Hatfield)-Todd Graham-45-1: The Owls have had their struggles for years now, but Graham is the kind of football mind and talent who could lead Rice out of the doldrums and into respectability in Conference USA. It has been 45 years since Rice was invited to a bowl game, but with Graham knowing the Texas landscape it shouldn’t be nearly as long as it once seemed for Rice to go bowling. Look for this team to make a gradual climb over this season to moderate respectability in C-USA.

Tragedy

Northwestern-(Randy Walker-Deceased)- Patrick Fitzgerald-45-1: Fitzgerald, 31, a former Wildcats linebacker, becomes the youngest head coach in Division I-A due to very tough circumstances as he takes over for Walker, who passed away from a heart attack at 52. Fitzgerald is loved by the players, the fans and the university and has a great opportunity to celebrate the legacy of Coach Walker as the 2006 season will be played in his memory. This may be a few years early before Fitzgerald was ready to become a head coach, but he has the talent, passion and desire to take the Wildcats to heights rarely reached before. Look for Northwestern to play truly inspired football all season in the tough and deep Big Ten.


WagerWeb