All posts by Joe Duffy

Saturday News and Notes & Weather

Saturday, September 2, 2006 

If you want to win on any of these games, you MUST check out OffshoreInsiders.com

To handicap the games yourself, the best database is at BetOnSports360.com  

CFB

Weather

Akron-Penn State:
90 percent chance of rain

Marshall-West Virginia: 50 percent chance of rain, wind
gusts to 23 MPH

Northern Illinois-Ohio
State
: 30 percent chance of
rain 

Wisconsin-Bowling Green: 40 chance of rain, winds NE 20
MPH

Virginia-Pittsburgh: 70 chance of rain

 

Here are news and notes from Godspicks.com private clipboard.  They are compiled from hometown newspapers
and the team’s own press releases.

 

Southern Cal-Arkansas

Shreveport Times

Arkansas All-SEC tailback Darren McFadden is not expected
to play when the Hogs open the season against USC at home Saturday night on
ESPN because of a broken left big toe. After surgery on July 29 a stabilizing
pin was taken out on Aug. 21, and McFadden thought his trouble was over. Until he put weight on the toe. “It was much worse than I
thought,” he said. “That’s when it really started sinking in … I might not be
ready.” Arkansas might not
either. The Hogs lost at USC, 70-17, last season. Bet now through the Greek, home of the 21 percent sign up bonus  

Utah-UCLA

Associated Press

As expected, UCLA coach Karl Dorrell
announced Monday that Ben Olson has beaten out Patrick Cowan and will start at
quarterback for the Bruins on Sept. 2 when they open the season against Utah
at the Rose Bowl. Olson played briefly in relief of starter Drew Olson last
season, completing 2-of-4 passes for 11 yards. The 23-year-old Olson enrolled
at UCLA last winter after transferring from BYU. He
had been on a church mission for the previous two years after redshirting as a freshman in 2002. Olson, a 6-foot-5,
225-pound sophomore, was one of the country’s top recruits before deciding to attend
BYU. The left-hander passed for 2.989 yards and 32
touchdowns as a senior at Thousand Oaks High in 2001.  Bet the NFL now at -107 juice!
Check out the latest odds at CanBet.
 

 

Washington State-Auburn

Associated Press

Indeed, Auburn
has lost three of its last four openers, beating only Louisiana-Monroe en route
to a 13-0 season in ‘04. (The Tigers also lost a close game at USC in 2002).

It’s a remarkable statistic for a team that has managed to
win 35 games during that four-year span. A similarly punchless
performance against Washington State
would spoil all the enthusiasm and expectations surrounding this team. Indeed, Auburn
has lost three of its last four openers, beating only Louisiana-Monroe en route
to a 13-0 season in ‘04. (The Tigers also lost a close game at USC in 2002). It’s
a remarkable statistic for a team that has managed to win 35 games during that
four-year span. A similarly punchless performance
against Washington State
would spoil all the enthusiasm and expectations surrounding this team. Both
were far better the rest of the season, leading the SEC’s best offense. Irons
only started nine games but wound up rushing for 1,293 yards and closing the
regular season with six consecutive 100-yard games. Cox posted the fourth-best
single-season passing total in school history (2,324 yards) and was the league’s
No. 2-rated passer in his first season as starter, guiding a 9-3 team. A
revamped defense will have to come through for Auburn
to stake that claim. With linebackers Tray Blackmon and Kevin Sears suspended
for an unspecified number of games – probably including the date with LSU – converted safeties Will Herring and Steve Gandy won’t
have much grace period to master their new positions.

Akron-Penn State

CSTV

The biggest change for Penn State in ‘06 unquestionably is
at quarterback, where junior Anthony Morelli faces
the task of trying to replace Big Ten Offensive MVP Michael Robinson, who put
together a tremendous season in leading Penn State back. “Michael Robinson was
as good of a college football player and had as much of an impact on our
football team as any player I’ve ever coached in all the years I’ve been
around,” Paterno said. While Robinson will be missed,
there is a great deal of optimism surrounding the new junior quarterback, who
was Robinson’s backup last season, completing 13-of-20 passes for 155 yards and
a touchdown in occasional action. With the new quarterback though, you can
expect some things to change due to the different style of play by Morelli. “Last year, Robinson could run the option or do
something with his athletic ability to get us out of a jam,” Paterno said. “We don’t have that anymore. We have a
different type of back. We have a true quarterback that’s going to have to be
able to read coverages and him
and the offense have to get comfortable with each other and we’ll see what
happens.” “Morelli is more of a pocket passer so we’re
going to have to give him a little more time and we’ll have to adjust to that,”
Brown said. “We can’t just assume that if we mess up here, that Mike is just
going to run off with the ball because he’s not back there. Morelli
is back there. So, we’ll just have to give him more time and allow him to learn
the game.” Another question mark on Penn
State
will be its offensive line,
who must replace four starters from last season. Brown returns as the only
starter and will be looked upon to lead the unit. Bet the NFL now at -107 juice! Check out the latest odds at CanBet. 

 

Hawaii-Alabama

UWire

And last season, despite a 5-7 record, the Warriors showed
us a young offense loaded with talent. Colt Brennan emerged as the clear starter
and went on to lead the NCAA in passing yards, something Jones feels will
happen again this season. Freshman wide-receivers Davone
Bess and Ryan Grice-Mullen each posted 1,000-yard seasons and became impact
players. Once Nate Ilaoa
snapped into shape, he was a bruising running back that complimented Hawaii’s
aggressive passing game.   Bet now through the Greek, home of the 21 percent sign up bonus  

Virginia-Pittsburgh

Post Gazette

The Panthers had the Big East Conference’s leading
receiver (yards per game) eight of the past nine seasons and became the first
school to produce two Biletnikoff winners (Antonio
Bryant and Larry Fitzgerald). This year’s group, however, has not progressed as
expected and, if things don’t improve in a hurry, Pitt could easily be referred
to as “Wide Receiver, Who?” The Panthers are set to finish camp tomorrow and
likely will do so with a depth chart at wide receiver that is unsettled. And
unlike other positions, such as the defensive line, where the depth chart is
cloudy because so many players have performed well, the receiver position is
unsettled because of inconsistency. Hill pointed out that the receivers’
failure to progress as fast as he would like hasn’t been
completely about a lack of ability. There have been injuries—McGee (calf) and
Turner (ankle) have missed some time—and off-field issues—Porter left the team
for a day and senior Joe DelSardo has been suspended
for two weeks—that have hindered their progress as well. The group also is
extremely inexperienced—Kinder and DelSardo are the
only two with more than five receptions in a game. But the explanations for the
state of the receiving corps don’t erase the fact that there is a game to be
played in 11 days and the Panthers have only two receivers ready to play.  Bet this game now through BetUs. Check out the
lines now

California-Tennessee

Associated Press

While playing Cal
at home might seem like a good deal for Tennessee,
the Vols want to believe the Bears have the upper
hand. The Volunteers have lost six straight game at
home to top-10 teams. Bet now
through the Greek,
home of the 21 percent sign up bonus
 

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Saturday Godspicks





WagerWeb

Saturday, September 2, 2006 

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CFB

WASHINGTON STATE
+14.5 Auburn

State was competitive in every game last year, even
outscoring their foes for the year. 
Take, for example, a 44-33 loss to Oregon
State
on Oct. 1, a game the Cougars
dominated until the fourth quarter. As it turned out, that setback was the
start of a trend.

Washington State
led UCLA 38-21 going into the fourth quarter before losing in overtime. Joe Ayoob threw two fourth-quarter touchdown passes to give California
a 42-38 win on Oct. 22. Oregon
drove the length of the field before Paul Martinez’s 19-yard field goal gave
the Ducks a 34-31 win. Graduation and suspensions have
Auburn’s defense vulnerable.

Auburn is 1-3
in openers the last four years, 34-2 in all other games. Auburn
has a strength in their offensive coordinator, but Washington
State
coach Bill Doba, a longtime WSU defensive
coordinator who spent years plotting against Al Borges’ offenses in the Pac-10
Conference, knows his offense as well as anyone.

This game goes down to the wire.

Saturday Computer Trends

Saturday, September 2, 2006

News, notes, late breaking injuries, weather and more on
Saturday’s college football at www.sportsline360.com  Information compiled by Stevie Vincent of www.offshoreinsiders.com

CFB ATS Trends

Akron-Penn State

Penn State
is 7-1 their last eight overall, while Akron
is 9-20 as a road double digit dog, but they are 8-3 their last 11 as a dog
overall

Louisiana Tech-Nebraska

LA Tech is 2-10 their last 12 as a road underdog and 8-20
their last 28 road.  Nebraska
has gone under 20-9 as a favorite

Utah-UCLA

Utah 23-5 as
an underdog, but 0-6 run at night, UCLA 16-7 their
last 23 and over 16-7 their last 23

California-Tennessee

California
15-7 on the road, but 1-10 their last 11 as a favorite of a FG
or less, Tennessee 5-23 run at
home

Southern Miss-Florida

S Miss 11-4 road, but 1-4 their last five to the SEC, under
27-12 road

Friday Offshore Insiders Report

NFL betting picks and college football betting to beat the
online sportsbooks for Thursday,
August 31, 2006

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Thursday Godspicks

Thursday, August 31,
2006

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CFB

South Carolina-Mississippi
State
OVER 40

Say what you want about South
Carolina
’s head coach Steve Spurrier, but the man
knows how to use this strength’s on offense.
Mississippi State
is much better on the defensive line than USC is on the offensive line. But Spurrier has two weapons.

Blake Mitchell is back at quarterback after passing for
2,370 yards and 18 touchdowns last year. The difference-maker is Sidney Rice, a
sophomore wide receiver who had 70 catches for 1,143 yards and 13 scores a year
ago.

The Cocks won’t be able to nickel and dime, but they will
be able to do a quick strike. We look
for big plays each way, be it a pick six or quick six.

MSU though should do well
against a young and not overly impressive South Carolina
offense. Seven starters are gone and an eighth has been moved to offense.

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games at www.sportsline360.com, and
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around the sports gambling world at www.casinobettingnews.com
and the most thoroughly recommended and vetted sportsbooks
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Labor Day Weekend Previews

Expected Blowouts and Close Games Saturday Offers Opportunity
for Online Gamblers This Weekend

Joe Duffy (JoeDuffy.net)

If you want a Labor Day “Winathon”, you must remember our
theme song: “You’ll never win alone”. 
With some help from the editors of Sportsline360.com, we take a look at
some big games Saturday, at least from the standpoint of the bettor.

North Texas-Texas

North Texas’ chance of pulling off
the upset of historic proportions took a serious hit when it was announced
their starting QB Daniel Meager has not fully recovered from a concussion.  Sophomore Matt Rivers gets the start.  Rivers did practice well, throwing four
touchdowns in three scrimmages.

Stevie Vincent, one of the handicappers on OffshoreInsiders.com notes the
numbers favor the defending National Champions. North Texas
is 0-9 to the number in non-conference games the last three years, while Texas
is 10-1 ATS on grass.

Notre Dame-Georgia Tech

The Irish come in with very high hopes, ranked No. 2 in
the country. But their high powered offense goes up against a GA Tech team
ranked 13th against the run last year on defense. Tech has a recent
history of winning games they were not expected to.

The Irish defense returns nine starters. Checking the
databases at BetOnSports360.com, we
see that Tech has covered both series meetings the last 10 years.  

Akron-Penn State

Everything went right for Penn
State
last year, but they must
replace QB Michael Robinson, the Big Ten offensive MVP. New starter Anthony
Morelli will have four fellow new starters in front of him on the offensive
line. Note that Penn State
has gone under 26-11 to non-conference foes since 1992.


NY Giants Preview

NFL Team Preview: Giants

By Mike Brody

WagerWeb

Contributing Writer

After finishing 11-5 and winning the NFC East last season, expectations are very high in New York for the Giants. New York addressed its 26th-ranked defense from a year ago by overhauling its secondary in the offseason and adding depth at linebacker. QB Eli Manning has another year under his belt and plenty of weapons on offense. If they can survive the competition from the toughest division in the NFL, the Giants just might fulfill those lofty expectations.

Key Additions: DBs Quentin Harris, Jason Bell, Will Demps, R.W. McQuarters and Sam Madison, LBs Brandon Short and LaVar Arrington, QB Rob Johnson, DE Mathias Kiwanuka, WR Sinorice Moss.

Key Subtractions: DTs Kendrick Clancy and Kenderick Allen, DBs Shaun Williams and Will Allen, LB Nick Greisen.


WagerWeb

Sportsbook Odds: The Giants will again be a playoff and Super Bowl contender. If they win their division again, they will be a favorite to reach the Big Game heading into the playoffs. They could be a value bet at this point in the season.
WagerWeb

has New York as +$175 to win the NFC East, +$700 to win the NFC championship and +$1400 to win Super Bowl XLI.

Player to Watch: As Manning enters his third season — second as a full-time starter — he should continue to improve and make better decisions. But the key player for the young QB and the Giants will again be RB Tiki Barber. The All-Pro is coming off his best NFL season, rushing for 1,860 yards and 9 TDs and another 540 yards and 2 TDs receiving. Barber should have another huge year and knows that his window to reach his ultimate goal is closing quickly. “There is probably more sense of urgency for me now, as I approach the season, because I know there isn’t a lot of time left for me to be ultimately successful, and win a Super Bowl,” said Barber, who, despite getting better with age, has withstood 10 seasons of pounding. “It’s not a big window, ever, for a player or a team in this league. For me, I’d say two years, and that’s probably it. I’ll be 33 then and … well, you know.”

Outlook: The Giants improved their biggest weakness by adding Madison, McQuarters and Demps to the secondary. Kiwanuka has looked like a young Michael Strahan in the preseason, and Arrington will only help a solid linebacking corps. If the defense improves to at least middle of the pack, the offense should again be one of the better ones in the NFL, making the Giants a team to reckon with. Manning will need to take a little bit of the load off of Barber by stretching the field. The team is hoping Moss will fit that bill as TE Jeremy Shockey and WRs Plaxico Burress and Amani Toomer move the chains. The Giants could be a very dangerous team and will have a say in the NFC playoff picture.