All posts by Joe Duffy

Ryder Cup

By Tom Brew

WagerWeb.com Contributing Writer

The golf world swings back to regular old stroke-play
events this week, so you can figure Tiger Woods will be back on top again.

Woods and the gang tee off Thursday in the World Golf
Championship series American Express Championship at The Grove in Hertfordshire,
England
. Woods has won
the event four times on four different courses and is ready to see if he can
keep his winning streak going. Prior to the Ryder Cup and HSBC
Match Play, Woods had won five straight medal-play tournaments.

Can six be next? Maybe. But what about seven and eight and beyond? Can anyone win 11
in a row like the great Byron Nelson, who just passed away Tuesday at the age
of 94?

No way, says Woods, and he rarely says no to anything.

“The competition is so much deeper now,” said Woods, who
has won six in a row before, from 1999-2000. “I mean, back in [Nelson’s] day—I
actually talked to him about this—he said he had to beat four or five guys
every week, and when you’re hot that’s not that hard to do. That’s not the case
anymore. It’s 40 or 50 now, so it’s a lot different.”

Woods says he barely notices his winning streak, being so
focused on one shot at a time, one round at a time, one tournament at a time.

“I thought about one tournament at a time,” Woods said of
the current streak. “When you win one, you can move on to the next one, try and
win that one. You win the next, then move on to the
next.

“[Nelson’s] record is still remarkable that particular
year, his 12th event he finished second and then he won the very
next one, so it’s 12 out of 13, and the worst finish was second. So that’s
pretty good. And 18 (wins) in a year—I don’t play that many tournaments, so I
can’t get 18.”

Woods expects a birdie-fest this weekend.

“You’re going to have to make a bunch of birdies,” Woods
said. “The golf course is ample wide off the tee, but if you miss the fairways,
you’re going to have a hard time getting to the green. The greens are somewhat
undulating, but they’re really smooth. So with them being smooth, you figured
guys are going to make some putts.

“So that being said, if there’s no wind at all, expect the
scores to be really low this week.”

Woods has won 11 of his 21 World Golf Championships
starts, and he has successfully defended a title 15 times, so you’ve got to
consider him a huge favorite here. With the devastating Ryder Cup loss behind
him, he’s ready to move forward.

“I’m starting to hit the ball a little bit better now,”
said Woods, who was the Americans’ leading point-getter with three. “I didn’t
play well on Saturday morning. I played really well Saturday afternoon, then played well again on Sunday. So I just had one bad day
out of five.

“So that being said, at least I started turning it around,
started hitting the ball better and started putting better, which is nice,
which gave me a little bit of confidence going into this week.”

Woods will get to play with good friend Darren Clarke on
Thursday, so expect him to be in a good comfort zone. The WagerWeb.com odds on
Woods are short as usual at 2.5 to 1, but how can you bet against him? We’ve
sort of kept that trend through this column the last few months and it’s good logic.

Want some long shots, though?

You know I’ve been on this Sergio Garcia bandwagon for a
while, and he certainly didn’t disappoint during the Ryder Cup. At 14 to 1,
that’s a nice number and worth a gamble.

Another guy playing well who might really have something
to prove this week is England’s
Ian Poulter at 30 to 1. He surprisingly didn’t
qualify for the European Ryder Cup team, and then wasn’t a captain’s pick,
although Clarke and Lee Westwood certainly acquitted themselves well. But Poulter has been playing great and this might be a perfect
time to shine in a world-wide event.

Keep a good eye on him.




WagerWeb

Big East Notebook

WagerWeb.com Contributing Writer

Big East Notebook

Thirty years ago, the Toronto Blue Jays were created, the
Olympics were in Austria,
Jimmy Carter defeated Gerald Ford to win the presidential race, and the Rutgers
Scarlet Knights were ranked.

The birthplace of college football is ranked again.

“I’m not going to downplay it. It is significant
considering where we started,” Rutgers coach Greg Schiano told the Associated Press. “It shows we’re making
progress in the right direction.”

The Knights have benefited from a weak schedule so far—three
I-A opponents with a combined 4-8 record and a I-AA
team, but it wasn’t too long ago that they couldn’t beat anyone.

Much of the success can be credited to Schiano
and RB Ray Rice, who ranks fourth in the nation in
rushing yards per game (151) and T-3rd in scoring (13.5 ppg).

The opportunistic defense can also be attributed to the
Scarlet Knights’ success. Rutgers has forced turnovers
on 13 different occasions—good for second in the
nation.

Recap: It was another good week for the Big East. The
conference’s teams went 6-2 overall, which has jolted their non-conference
record to 22-7. The only losing team in the conference is Cincinnati
(1-3), which has lost to a pair of ranked teams—Ohio
State
and Virginia Tech.

Defensive Cardinals: With Brian Brohm
and Michael Bush going down with injuries, it has been the defense that has
answered the call for Louisville.
Through four games, the Cardinals have allowed an average of 52 yards per game
on the ground—sixth in the nation. The two ranked opponents that remain on
Coach Bobby Petrino’s schedule are run-happy Rutgers
and West Virginia. West
Virginia
’s squad ranks No. 3 in rushing offense,
averaging 300 yards per game.

New Beginnings: Syracuse
ended its 11-game losing streak two weeks ago with a 31-21 win over Illinois.
The Orange began a winning streak
Saturday after knocking off Miami of Ohio 34-14. Greg Robinson’s squad has been
stellar putting pressure on opposing quarterbacks. The Orange
have sacked opponents 19 times, tying them for first
in the nation with Arizona State.

A Look Ahead: Rutgers opens
conference play this week at South Florida (Rutgers
is -4 at WagerWeb.com). The Scarlet Knights look to keep their Top 25 ranking
and seek revenge against a Bulls team that beat the Knights 45-31 last year.
… The Big East and MAC have a pair of matchups as Pittsburgh
and Cincinnati host Toledo
and Miami of Ohio, respectively. … Could Syracuse
win a third straight game, this time against a Wyoming
team that is
1-3? The Orange are
-5 at WagerWeb.com



WagerWeb

Sports Handicapping and Emotion

I write this article knowing there is nothing joyful about
 benefiting from tragedy in sports betting, albeit in this case indirectly. But every now and then
off field tragedy causes an emotional response from players that cannot be manufactured 
or duplicated, nor should be ignored by gamblers, as impure as it seems.

I keep hearing after-the-fact experts telling us that “no
team was going to beat the New Orleans Saints” in their Monday night game 
against the Atlanta Falcons, the first game in New Orleans in the post-Katrina 
era.

We told you all that before the game as New
Orleans was our Monday Night
 Game of the Year. In short, New Orleans
 was playing in no uncertain terms, the biggest game in franchise history, while 
Atlanta was simply in the way.

While I do not mind bragging I have to admit, I am an
after-the-fact Bill Buckner and Jacky Smith all wrapped into one in missing the
 Rice “intangible”. Before I go in any further, I will again acknowledge, there
is a certain level of unease in exploiting tragedy in sports handicapping, but
ignoring such angle benefits only the bookmakers.

Rice, a double-digit dog, crushed Army 48-14. They were riding the emotion of freshman 
defensive back Dale Lloyd collapsing earlier in the week at practice and
passing away.

In 2001, our MLB Game of the Year was when the NY Mets
 played their first home game since 911, and were a home dog to Atlanta. 
True, the Mets had to get a dramatic walk off home run from Mike Piazza to win, 
but the seemingly scripted ending was reflective of how the Mets were simply
not going to be denied victory that night.

One of my first NHL regular season selections was November 15, 1985. I bet on the
 Philadelphia Flyers in their first game back after star goaltender Pelle Lindbergh was killed in a car accident. The Flyers,
as a big underdog, dominated the then seemingly invincible Edmonton Oilers.

I even decided to retroactively test this theory. Is there
a more poignant sports speech in history than Lou Gehrig’s “luckiest man in the
world” speech? Honestly I didn’t know
the game score was that day, but I researched it convinced there was no way the
Yankees lost. I was right; they crushed
the Washington Senators 11-1 following that historic speech on Independence Day
1939.

Emotion should never be underestimated and simply can’t be
 contrived. Regrettably opportunity 
knocks when real-life circumstances transcend sports. But it is opportunity nonetheless.

 

Sunday Tailgate

11:38:39 AM
Terrell Owens is in uniform and warming up.
Sources tell us he will play

Check out EVERY top service play at OffshoreInsiders.com . It
includes two Wise Guy plays from Joe Duffy’s Godspicks

Dallas: Owens
expected to start

Tennessee: Vince
Young starts at QB

Carolina: Dan
Morgan out

St. Louis: Orlando
Pace out

Seattle: Shaun
Alexander out

Chicago: Desmond
Clark between probable and questionable. Game time decision

 

Weather

Dal-Ten: 20 percent chance of rain
at kickoff

Ind-NYJ: 30 percent chance of rain
at kickoff, it is raining now

Mia-Hous: 20 chance of rain at
kickoff

Min-Buf: 20 chance of rain at
kickoff

No-Car: 20 chance of rain at kickoff

Jac-Was: 20 chance of rain at
kickoff

 


OffshoreInsiders Saturday

OffshoreInsiders.com  for: Saturday,
September 30, 2006

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Saturday OffshoreInsiders.com Godspicks

Saturday, September 30, 2006

Joe Duffy’s Godspicks  

USF, UCF, SAINTS
THIS WEEK AS FOOTBALL WISE GUYS 8-1, NONE
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CFB

Mississippi State-LSU UNDER 41

Miss State
is tremendous defensive team with no offense. Miss
State
gets only 5.0 yards per play
against teams normally allowing 6.5.  As
bad as their run game has been, they don’t allow others to move the ball on the
ground allowing just 3.1 yards per carry. LSU’s
numbers are even better. The Tigers lead the SEC and the nation in points
allowed, just five per game, and rank second nationally by allowing just 185
yards a game. We don’t know if MSU scores and we
don’t see LSU getting a ton of points.

 


Saturday Computer Trends

Saturday, September 30, 2006

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CFB

·       
Louisiana Tech 4-13 on the road

·       
Tennessee
5-12 run

·       
Wyoming
is 3-7 their last 10

·       
New Mexico
14-3 on the road

·       
Wake Forest 2-8 their
last 10 at home

·       
Arizona
State
8-3 to Oregon

·       
Rice 1-7 on the road

·       
Arkansas
State 3-7 their last 10

·       
FIU 0-5 road skid

·       
North Texas 5-0 to Middle
Tennessee

·       
New Mexico
State
1-6 ATS road


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MLB

PITTSBURGH (DUKE -112) Cincinnati
(Harang)

SPECIFY DUKE. The home team is 27-6 in Duke’s games.  Duke has a 1.22 ERA in his last four games. It’s
a chance for the Bucs to play spoiler, though the Reds need quite the miracle
to make the postseason.

The Reds are hitting just .244 on the road with an OBP of .315.  They
are hitting just .248 their last seven games. Pittsburgh is hitting .284 at
home.