All posts by Joe Duffy

NFL News and Notes

Sunday, November 5,
2006

 

We will update injuries and weather Sunday morning at JoeDuffy.net

NFL

Texans-Giants

Newsday

Plaxico Burress’ back spasms dropped him from probable to
questionable Friday. The Giants could face the Texans without their leading
receiver, their leader in sacks (Osi Umenyiora), their leader in interceptions (Sam Madison) and
one of their veteran defensive leaders (Brandon Short). Bet the NFL and NBA now at -107 juice! Check out the latest odds at CanBet. 

 

Cowboys-Redskins

Washington Post

Dressed in a gray sweat shirt and sweat pants yesterday,
Washington Redskins wide receiver Santana Moss effectively ruled himself out of
tomorrow’s key NFC East game with the Dallas Cowboys at FedEx Field because of
a strained left hamstring. Although Moss is quarterback
Mark Brunell’s favorite receiver, he has looked
increasingly to Randle El on third-down plays. Lloyd has been less visible,
though against Indianapolis he
caught a season-high four passes. He has 11 receptions this season.Brunell
likely will rely on tight end Chris Cooley, who caught three touchdowns against
the Cowboys at FedEx Field last season in a 35-7 Redskins win. Cooley also has
touchdown receptions in his last two games. 
Bet
this game now through BetUs.
Check out the
lines now

 

Titans-Jaguars

Times-Union

While players learn to deal with quarterback issues, this
one has several Jaguars wondering how much Garrard starting Sunday against the
Titans is because of Leftwich’s medical impairment,
and how much is a combination of Del Rio’s ire and Leftwich’s
ineffectiveness two weeks ago at Houston. Bet now through Nine. Check out the latest odds.

Dolphins-Bears

Miami Herald

The Dolphins’ secondary will undergo changes again Sunday
because the starting lineup has been changed and injuries continue to be a
factor. Coaches expect to make a game-day decision on how much to use Travis Daniels against the Bears now
that the cornerback apparently is recovered from a knee injury that sidelined
him the past two weeks. Linebacker Derrick
Pope
, who missed five of the past six games with a hamstring injury,
apparently is healthy now. We kid you not, you “can bet” both the NBA
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Chicago Sports

The Dolphins, though stumbling, have the best ranking in
yardage allowed (No. 5 overall) and second-best scoring defense (16th)
of any Bears opponent so far. We kid you not, you “can bet” both the NBA
and NFL
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Vikings-49ers

Pioneer Press

The Vikings will head to San Francisco without their
defensive signal caller and their offensive playmaker.Middle
linebacker Napoleon Harris and receiver Marcus Robinson, keys to each unit,
were downgraded Friday from questionable to out.Harris
dislocated his left wrist in the second quarter Monday against the New England
Patriots. Robinson injured his lower back in Seattle
on Oct. 22. Vikings coach Brad Childress would not put a timetable on either
player’s return, but there is optimism that both could return Nov. 12 when the
Vikings host the Green Bay Packers at the Metrodome.
Childress said Harris now wears a cast instead of a splint. We kid you not, you
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Texans-Giants

Houston Chronicle

Quarterback David Carr’s home and road numbers vary little.
Last season, he fumbled the ball three times on the road and at home. Seven of
his 11 interceptions in 2005 were thrown at Reliant Stadium.Carr’s
first two fumbles away from home this season came at Tennessee
last Sunday. He has one fumble at home.  We
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Broncos-Steelers

Post-Gazette

The Steelers are 2-5 and ready to juggle their offensive
line again, just in time for the Broncos to come to Heinz Field for a rematch
of the AFC championship game in January. This time, some of the changes are not
being mandated because of injuries. Chukky Okobi will make his first start in four years because Pro
Bowl center Jeff Hartings is out with a sprained
knee, which was injured in the loss Sunday in Oakland.
But Kendall Simmons likely will return to start at right guard in what has
become some kind of weekly rotation with Chris Kemoeatu,
who played most of the second half in Atlanta
and started against the Raiders. We kid you not, you “can bet” both the NBA
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LSU-Tennessee Betting Preview

LSU-Tennessee Highlight Great Betting Card
Saturday

Joe Duffy (OffshoreInsiders.com)

The LSU Tigers travel to Knoxville
to take on the Tennessee Volunteers in a mid-afternoon nationally televised
game on CBS Saturday afternoon. 
Pointspread bettors are keeping an eye on Vols
quarterback Erik Ainge.

According to Cy McCormick of MasterLockLine.com,
Ainge will start. 
McCormick, one of the top insiders when it comes to injury information
said Ainge practiced fully Thursday and looked sharp.

LSU is 6-2 straight up, but lost
and failed to cover each of their road games, losing 7-3 at Auburn
and 23-10 at Florida. The Tigers
are coming off a bye. Tennessee
is 7-1 SU and 6-2 in the back pocket.

According to Stevie Vincent of BetOnSports360.com,
LSU has been sensational on both sides of the ball,
but especially passing and stopping the pass. 
The Tigers get 9.4 passing yards per attempt to teams normally allowing
just 7.4 and they also hold opponents to a full 2.0 yards per pass below their
normal average.

Sports betting online aficionados should note that Tennessee
is 1-9 ATS at home to the conference the last three years. They are in fact
8-25 their last 33 home games where it really counts

Other pointspread stats say that LUS
is 36-15 after allowing less than 100 yards rushing last game.

For all the pointspread winners this weekend: Joe Duffy’s GodsTips.com, Stevie Vincent’s BetOnSports360.com and MasterLockLine.com are all now part of the OffshoreInsiders.com
Network.


Sunday Tailgate, Keep Checking For Injury Updates

11:43:59 AM It appears Damn Huard will start
Joe Duffy’s GodsTips has the NFL Game of the Year today, in the midst of yet another dominant season.
Sunday weather
Tam-NYG: winds from west 26 MPH
NYJ-Clev: winds west 24 MPH
Jax-Philadelphia: winds west 24 MPH
Injuries
Ariz: No. 1 WR Fitzgerald out, No. 2 Boldin will start despite missing Friday practice
Sea: Shaun Alexander out, Matt Hasselbeck out
KC: could be down to third QB, current starter Damon Huard game time decision
Jax: David Garrard starts at QB, WR Matt Jones game time decision
Pitts: QB Ben Roethlisberger likely starts
Phil: WR Stallworth will play, may not start, Westbrook is fine and starts
Oak: RB Jordan game time decision

The More Things Stay the Same, the More They Change

Streamlining, when employed properly, is of course
effective in every line of work. In the 1970s and 80s, a lot of gamblers would
focus on local teams and conferences where regional information was often more
accurate and punctual than what Vegas could acquire.

The Internet and the Information Age, to say the least
changed that. By no means did progress eliminate streamlining, it changed the
focal point.

At one juncture, many moons ago, one of the most
influential persons in moving a line was professional handicapper “Doc” in the
Big 10. “His plays could move the line
five, six points” says Steve Linden, one of the high rolling founders of MasterLockLine.com, the online betting
syndicate.

Times changed and team or conference experts were no
longer based on “location, location, location” but on the ability to adapt and
expose which teams were the flavor of the moment to go with or against.

Focusing on a specific team now involves ascertaining
undervalued and overvalued squads and riding them until oddsmakers caught up.

Forensic handicapper Stevie Vincent of BetOnSports360.com says teams that
inevitably become streaky spread wise are squads that have a high winning
percentage but don’t blow teams out, or losing teams that don’t get blown out
often.

Mike Godsey of GodsTips.com says
he agrees, it is part of his “dichotomous ATS and SU” theory. “We discount 98 percent of trends, but this
has proven to be the exception to the rule. Basically if a team has a great SU
record but horrid ATS record or visa versa, you ride for that to continue as it
is the sign of which teams are most under or overvalued.”

Linden says of
the professional handicappers they monitor, unlike last century, there are
fewer who simply excel by focusing on a specific team or conference, but
instead they do notice, “The elite services do consistently go for or against
the same teams for extended periods.”

With college basketball just around the corner, the number
of teams undistinguished to the masses, but crystal clear to the sharpies
increases multifold. Good times lie ahead for gamblers who streamline, but do
so a bit differently now than they did in 1986.

Joe Duffy is CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com,
which features the top handicappers from the former Freescoreboard
scorephone. His plays are part of Dream
Team at GodsTips.com


Sunday Tailgate

Philadelphia: Stallworth officially deativated
Please note, GodsTips and Bet it Trinity clients: Joe Duffy’s GodsTips
has added NFL and MLB steam. Just log in with your password. More
steam in the NFL possible
www.offshoreinsiders.com
Joe Duffy’s GodsTips, Stevie Vincent’s Knockout Picks and MasterLockLine.com are all now part of the OffshoreInsiders.com Network. Get free plays and more at OffshoreInsiders.com
Weather
Car-Cin: 20 percent chance of rain at kickoff, winds west 19 MPH (keep an eye for quarter lines)
NE-Buf: 50 percent chance of rain at kickoff, winds 17 MPH from south
Den-Cle: 40 percent chance of rain at kickoff, winds 23 MPH from southwest, it is currently raining
Injuries
Jax: Leftwich likely to start, Matt Jones, Stroud out
Philadelphia: Stallworth doubtful, sources say he’ll be inactive, Westbrook will start
Ariz: Fitzgerald out
Oak: Jordan starts
Ind: Rhodes starts

Monday Information

Monday, October 16,
2006

 

Get free sports picks from Joe Duffy’s Godspicks,
Stevie Vincent’s
Knockout Picks
and MasterLockLine.com
as well as football betting information at
OffshoreInsiders.com

MLB

Weather at Busch Stadium: 70 chance of rain, first pitch
temperature, if they start on time, is 55 degrees. Wind blowing in at 14 MPH. We
will update the weather at JoeDuffy.net

·       
St. Louis
2-8 Mondays

·       
Mets 9-2 grass

·       
Mets 2-7 Mondays

 

NFL

·       
Chicago
21-5 after allowing 250 total yards in the previous game

·       
Arizona
1-6 versus teams with a winning record

·       
Arizona
under 19-8 as home underdog