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GA Southern-Texas State ATS and over-under trends podcast.

Eagles vs. Giants

• Teams on a four-game or more against the spread losing streak and a playoff team previous season are 60-33 against the spread
  • 51-25-3 off loss
• Eli Manning No. 1 under QB since 2016 at under 24-13
• Eagles since Jim Schwartz become DC in 2016 have allowed 24.9 points per game road, compared to 14.9 at home
• Manning last season in two meetings: 800 yards passing and six TDs
• Depth WR Russell Shepard is out for NYG
  • 4 receptions in 8 targets, 0 TDs
• Philadelphia banged up defensively with LB Nate Gerry, LB D.J. Alexander, DT Holoti Ngata, S Corey Graham all out
• Eagles RB Darren Sproles and Jay Ajayi both out
  • Corey Clement returns after a two-game absence
• Eagles 60 percent of bets and 62 percent of the money
  • Not a large majority considering public’s love of road favorites

If you are on the outside looking in, and I know from traffic stats, many foolishly are, it is time to re-evaluate your life. Every day, every day, every day I beat the book. JDP is 33-11 in football including Tuesday Night CFB Total of the Year on UNDER Appalachian State-Arkansas State, plus Red Sox as an underdog. We are 5-0 with primetime NFL picks. NFL Thursday Night Football side. 

Friday, college football side and total. Saturday, three Wise Guys, five Majors in college football. Sunday, three Wise Guys, four Majors. And the wait is over. Rare MNF side selection! As long as you have a package through Sunday, you can access all picks posted for the weekend. Get at least the five-day pick pack of Joe Duffy or Bet it Trinity! All at OffshoreInsiders.com   

Texas Tech vs. TCU.

• Texas Tech is 6-1 against the spread with at least nine days rest
• All four games Texas Tech has played with a total of 61 or less the last four years have gone under and by an average of 10.8 points per game
• TCU QB Shawn Robinson will play, but may not start
  • 1023 yards passing, 7 TDs but also 6 INTs
• Texas Tech QB Alan Bowman is probable
  • 1680 yards, 11 TDs, 3 INTs
  • One of three QBs for Tech
• TCU -9 TO margin last three games
• Favorites of 6 or more despite turnover rate of -9 or worse last three games is 12-4 in history of our database (TCU)
• Laying 3.5 or more 15-7 including 11-3 at home
• TCU banged up on OL and could be down two starters
• Texas Tech 3-2 against the spread, but seven best margin of cover at +11.7
• Texas Tech 63 percent of bets and 58 percent of money
  • Significant in that rare for underdogs to get such support

Georgia Southern vs. Texas State

• When the current total of one team is at least 14 points less than the previous total, it goes under 305-198 but on a stunning 16-3 over run
  • Applies to Texas State
• An angle that says to fade horrible home underdogs is 177-125-6 against the spread but horrid 9-24 this season
• Georgia Southern QB Willie Jones III is expected to return
  • 4 starts 41-of-79, 517 yards passing, 3 TDs, 2 INTs
• East is 9-2 SU to West this season (favors GA Southern)
• GA Southern 5-0 against the spread, +10.9 margin of cover, 8^th best in country
• GA Southern 77 percent of bets and 78 percent of money
  • Ties for sixth biggest bet consensus but tied 11 in money consensus
  • Public especially likes favorites in prime-time games