Joe Duffy has six NFL and a night MLB winner Thursday night at OffshoreInsiders.com He is widely accepted as the top sports bettor of all-time. Here is a look at his news and notes.

MLB critical intel presented as well.

Thursday, August 8, 2019

Broncos-Seahawks

• Broncos have a game under their belt
• Broncos TE Jeff Jeuerman is questionable
  • 31 receptions last year in just 11 games
• New Broncos QB Joe Flacco gets the start, though won’t play much
• Geno Smith starts at QB for Sattle as starter Russell Wilson will sit
  • Paxton Lynch will follow as he tries to salvage his career

Falcons-Dolphins

• Falcons with game under their belt
• Atlanta’s rebuilt OL has struggled in camp
• Dolphins have one of the best QB battles with Ryan Fitzpatrick and Josh Rosen
  • Fitzpatrick starts tonight
• Falcons starting QB Matt Ryan will start, but not play much
• WR Julio Jones and LB among 8-10 starters who will not play for Atlanta
• Miami far and away most lopsided bet in money percentage at 89 percent

Titans-Eagles

• Eagles oft-injured starting QB Carson Wentz is doubtful as precaution
• Talented Eagles backup QB Nate Sudfeld will get substantial playing time

Cowboys-49ers

• Cowboys franchise RB Zeke Elliot is out with contract dispute
• Niners big offseason acquisition RB Jerik McKinnon is out
• 49ers prized rookie DE Nick Bosa is out for preseason

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Colts-Bills

• Colts franchise QB Andrew Luck is out as will be most Indy starters
• Bills are very deep at RB
• Colts biggest consensus in percentage of bets at 67
• Bills expected to play starters for a quarter

Chargers-Cardinals

• Chargers OL is among the worst in the league and now without Russell Okung
• Debut of Cardinals Air Raid offense under questionable hire head coach Kliff Kingsbury
• Prized Cards rookie QB Kyler Murray will play one series

Patriots-Lions

• Pats Hall-of-Fame QB Tom Brady doubtful
• Pats rookie QB Jarrett Stidham has gotten rave reviews in camp and should see significant playing time
• Brian Hoyer will also get some playing time and Danny Etling could see mop-up duty
• Patriots need to establish pass catchers

Texans-Packers

• Packers LB Preston Smith is questionable with nagging injury
  • 24 sacks in 64 games
  • Prized free agent in offseason
• Houston has a battle of unproven players clashing for backup RB behind Lamar Miller
• Packers have a new head coach in Matt LaFleur
• Texans backup QB A.J. McCarron is doubtful with thumb injury

Redskins-Browns

• Browns RB Duke Johnson is out
  • 40 carries for 201 yards last year, a big drop-off from season before
• Washington could be pass-happy as three-way battle for starting QB: Colt McCoy, Case Keenum, and Dwayne Haskins

Jets-Giants

• New Jets franchise RB Le’Veon Bell is out
• Giants controversial draft pick rookie QB Daniel Jones has played well in camp

Cubs-Reds 

Cole Hamels 1.18 WHIP for season, 1.23 last three

• Slightly worse on road at 1.31 and at night 1.41
• Cubs 12-6 when he starts

Alex Wood 1.15 WHIP in two starts

• Reds won both of his starts

Team trends

• Cubs 44-56 since June 17, 2018 on the road -17.68 units and -14.6 ROI
• Reds are 10-5 lately and 11-3 on runline, the latter a stunning 45.8 ROI
• Cubs under 16-10-3 road

Phillies-Giants

Aaron Nola 10-2 on year, Phillies 16-8 in his starts

• Allowed 1 ER or less in 7-of-9 starts
• .97 WHIP last three starts
• Is worse both on road at a night
• Phillies over 15-8 with home

Madison Bumgarner .297 OBP against, .270 at home, though .320 at night

• Giants over 14-7 with Bumgarner

Team Trends

• Phillies under 6-2 road
• Giants under 16-7 lately

Indians-Twins

Mike Clevinger .276 overall OBP, though .309 at night, .321 road

• Cleveland 7-3 in his starts

Kyle Gibson generous .307 OBP, 1.25 WHIP

• .277 OBP at home and 1.08 WHIP
• Twins 15-7 in this starts

Team trends:

• Cleveland under 60-35-4 since 2015 road underdogs
• Indians 39-16 overall run +16.74 units, 18.5 ROI
  • ROI is 19.2 on runline
• Twins over 12-5 lately

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Books have set odds on the possibility of players such as Ezekiel Elliott and Melvin Gordon holding out beyond the preseason. 

Additionally, the site SportsBetting has rolled out odds to capture the NFL’s passing, receiving and rushing titles.

Matt Ryan and Patrick Mahomes are favored to lead the league in passing while Julio Jones sits atop a lengthly list of players for the receiving title. Elliott is just ahead of Saquon Barkley for the odds to be the rushing leader for the second straight season.

According to the numbers, oddsmakers anticipate that Elliott and Jadeveon Clowney will end their holdouts and play in Week 1 of the regular season, but they don’t expect Melvin Gordon or Trent Williams to be suited up for their respective teams. 

Will Ezekiel Elliott play for Cowboys in Week 1 of regular season?
Yes -200
No +150

Will Melvin Gordon play for Chargers in Week 1 of regular season?
Yes +200
No -300

Will Jadeveon Clowney play for Texans in Week 1 of regular season?
Yes -250
No +170

Will Trent Williams play for Redskins in Week 1 of regular season?
Yes +200
No -300

Which player will report to current team first?
Ezekiel Elliott -300
Melvin Gordon +200

Passing yards

Matt Ryan  4-1
Patrick Mahomes  4-1
Andrew Luck  6-1
Ben Roethlisberger  8-1
Jameis Winston  8-1
Aaron Rodgers  15-2
Baker Mayfield  12-1
Drew Brees  12-1
Carson Wentz  12-1
Tom Brady  20-1
Phillip Rivers  20-1
Deshaun Watson  20-1
Jared Goff  22-1
Kirk Cousins  33-1
Matthew Stafford  33-1
Kyler Murray  33-1
Derek Carr  33-1
Jimmy Garoppolo  33-1
Russell Wilson  66-1
Cam Newton  75-1
Dak Prescott  75-1
Sam Darnold  75-1
Mitchell Trubisky  100-1
Andy Dalton  100-1
Nick Foles  100-1
Ryan Fitzpatrick  100-1
Josh Rosen  125-1
Joe Flacco  125-1
Josh Allen  150-1
Dwayne Haskins  150-1
Marcus Mariota  150-1
Case Keenum  150-1
Ryan Tannehill  200-1
Lamar Jackson  200-1
Eli Manning  250-1
Colt McCoy  250-1
Daniel Jones  250-1
Drew Lock  250-1
Will Grier  250-1

Receiving yards

Julio Jones  6-1
Odell Beckham  8-1
Michael Thomas  8-1
DeAndre Hopkins  9-1
Mike Evans  10-1
Tyreek Hill  10-1
JuJu Smith-Schuster  10-1
Davante Adams  10-1
Antonio Brown  12-1
TY Hilton  14-1
Adam Thielen  16-1
Keenan Allen  18-1
Amari Cooper  28-1
Stefon Diggs  30-1
Brandin Cooks  30-1
Kenny Golladay  30-1
Travis Kelce  40-1
Tyler Lockett  40-1
Tyler Boyd  40-1
Robert Woods  50-1
George Kittle  50-1
Sammy Watkins  50-1
Zach Ertz  50-1
Calvin Ridley  66-1
Julian Edelman  66-1
Desean Jackson  66-1
Robby Anderson  66-1
Demaryius Thomas  75-1
Chris Godwin  75-1
Courtland Sutton  75-1
DJ Moore  75-1
Sterling Shepard  80-1
Marvin Jones  80-1
Allen Robinson  80-1
Alshon Jeffrey  80-1
Marquise Goodwin  80-1
Cooper Kupp  100-1
Jarvis Landry  100-1
N’Keal Harry  100-1
Mecole Hardman  100-1
DK Metcalf  100-1
Mike Williams  100-1
Corey Davis  100-1
Christian Kirk  100-1
Geronimo Allison  100-1
Emmanuel Sanders  125-1
Kenny Stills  125-1
Tyrell Williams  125-1
Will Fuller  125-1
Adam Humphries  150-1
Devin Funchess  150-1
John Brown  150-1
Larry Fitzgerald  150-1
Mohammed Sanu  150-1
Qunicy Enunwa  150-1
Randall Cobb  150-1
DeVante Parker  150-1

Rushing yards

Ezekiel Elliott  4-1
Saquon Barkley  11-2
Joe Mixon  10-1
Nick Chubb  10-1
Todd Gurley  12-1
Derrick Henry  12-1
Le’Veon Bell  14-1
Christian McCaffrey  16-1
Melvin Gordon  16-1
Leonard Fournette  20-1
Dalvin Cook  20-1
Marlon Mack  22-1
David Johnson  25-1
James Conner  25-1
Phillip Lindsay  33-1
Kerryon Johnson  33-1
Chris Carson  33-1
Sony Michel  33-1
Devonta Freeman  40-1
Alvin Kamara  40-1
Josh Jacobs  40-1
David Montgomery  40-1
Derrius Guice  40-1
Damien Williams  40-1
Mark Ingram  50-1
Aaron Jones  50-1
Jordan Howard  50-1
Rashaad Penny  50-1
Ronald Jones  66-1
Lamar Miller  75-1
Latavius Murray  75-1
Tevin Coleman  75-1
Kenyan Drake  80-1
Adrian Peterson  80-1
Carlos Hyde  100-1
LeSean McCoy  100-1
Matt Breida  100-1
Peyton Barber  100-1
Tarik Cohen  100-1
Jerrick McKinnon  100-1
Royce Freeman  100-1
Kyler Murray  100-1
Lamar Jackson  100-1
Josh Allen  100-1
Miles Sanders  100-1
CJ Anderson  150-1
Dion Lewis  200-1
Frank Gore  200-1
James White  200-1

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