All posts by Joe Duffy

Updated National Championship College Football, Heisman Odds

Top handicapping website OffshoreInsiders.com is locked and loaded for another winning football season.

SportsBetting has updated its odds to capture the College Football Playoff championship as well as the Heisman Trophy. (to access the odds without a login, expand “Football” in the left-hand menu and go to “NCAAF Futures”)

Additionally, SportsBetting the only sportsbook to have FCS title odds, and for the first time in years North Dakota State is not the favorite.

Notable movements for CFP and Heisman odds are indicated under each set.

According to data provided by SportsBetting, only one of the preseason Heisman favorites (Marcus Mariota, 2014) during the last decade has taken home the bronze statue. Five of the past 10 winners had odds of 75/1 or higher.  

National Championship Odds

Clemson  2/1
Alabama  3/1
Georgia  8/1
Oklahoma  10/1 
Michigan  10/1
Ohio State  14/1
Texas  20/1 
LSU  25/1
Florida  33/1
Utah  33/1
Oregon  33/1
Washington  33/1
Notre Dame  50/1 
Auburn  50/1
Texas A&M  50/1
Penn State  66/1
Nebraska  66/1
Miami  66/1 
Wisconsin  80/1
Mississippi State  100/1
USC  100/1
TCU  100/1
Stanford  100/1
Michigan State  100/1
Virginia Tech  150/1
Iowa  150/1 
Missouri  150/1
Florida State  150/1
Syracuse  150/1
Washington State  150/1
Baylor  150/1
Memphis  150/1
UCLA  150/1
Virginia  150/1
Army  250/1
UCF  250/1  
Kentucky  250/1
Iowa State  250/1
Purdue  250/1
SMU  250/1
South Florida  250/1
Northwestern  250/1
Utah State  250/1
Temple  500/1
North Texas  500/1
Northern Illinois  500/1
Western Michigan  500/1
Marshall  500/1
Hawaii  500/1
Buffalo  500/1
Wyoming  500/1
UAB  500/1

Notable movements in last month:

– Ohio State has gone from 9/1 to 14/1
– Michigan has gone from 16/1 to 10/1
– Oklahoma has gone from 12/1 to 10/1
– Texas has gone from 25/1 to 20/1
– Nebraska has gone from 50/1 to 66/1
– Washington has gone from 50/1 to 33/1
– Florida has gone from 25/1 to 33/1
– Notre Dame has gone from 33/1 to 50/1
– Wisconsin has gone from 50/1 to 80/1
– Mississippi State has gone from 66/1 to 100/1
– Penn State has gone from 33/1 to 66/1
– Utah has gone from 100/1 to 33/1
– UCF has gone from 150/1 to 250/1

Heisman Odds

Tua Tagovailoa  3/2
Trevor Lawrence  3/1
Jalen Hurts  8/1
Adrian Martinez  10/1
Jonathan Taylor  12/1
D’Andre Swift  14/1
Jake Fromm  14/1
Justin Fields  14/1
Travis Etienne  16/1
Justin Herbert  16/1
Sam Ehlinger  16/1
Ian Book  20/1
Austin Kendall  25/1
Jerry Jeudy  25/1
JT Daniels  25/1
Kelly Bryant  25/1
Shea Patterson  28/1
K.J. Costello  33/1
Rondale Moore  33/1

Notable movements in last month:

– A. Martinez has gone from 12/1 to 10/1
– J. Hurts has gone from 6/1 to 8/1

FCS Odds

James Madison  2/1
North Dakota State  3/2
Eastern Washington  11/2
South Dakota State 13/2
UC Davis  7/1
Jacksonville State  12/1
Maine  14/1
Weber State  16/1
Illinois State  22/1
Montana State  28/1
Nicholls State  28/1
Northern Iowa  33/1
Wofford  33/1
Towson  33/1
Kennesaw State  33/1
Indiana State  33/1
Colgate  33/1
McNeese State  33/1
Furman  40/1
Sam Houston State  40/1
Southeast Missouri State  50/1
Montana  50/1
Delaware  50/1
Elon  50/1
East Tennessee State  50/1

All at SportsBetting

Critical Inside Betting Info For Monday


Some news and notes for tonight’s portfolio from Joe Duffy, CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com

Sweet MLB run at 12-5 lately. NFL Specialist Joe Duffy has MNF side plus MLB Wise Guy dog for a two-sport sweep.  Get the picks now

Washington-Pittsburgh

Washington Joe Ross 5.91 ERA, horrid .378 OBP

  • Stunning .50 ERA, .261 OBP against last 3
  • Better on road than at home, .315 OBP compared to .455

Pirates Trevor Williams 5.25 ERA and .330 OBP

  • 11 ER last 10 IP
  • .400 OBP last three starts

Team trends

  • Pittsburgh 110-178 underdog -37.98 units

Riding hot road teams that are not underdogs of 105 or more is 234-131 since 2017 +66.96 units and 13.6 ROI

Milwaukee-St. Louis

Milwaukee Zach Davis 3.74 ERA

  • 11.77 ERA last three starts .400 OBP and 2.00 WHIP
  • Substantially better on road 2.97 ERA, compared to 4.66 road, though OBP and WHIP about the same
  • Much better at night with 2.67 ERA compared to 4.91 day, but again WHIP and OBP not as dichotomous

Dakota Watson, Cards 17-8 with him, though overall numbers are okay

  • .410 OBP last three starts
  • Numbers slightly worse at home and at night

Milwaukee lost 16-8 yesterday. Fading teams off a loss of seven or more is +107.75 units and 12.2 ROI under specific circumstances that apply today

Team trends:

  • Cards under 686-555-68 at home since 2004


Kansas City-Baltimore

Kansas City’s reliever Jorge Lopez making second straight start giving up 5 runs, 4 earned in 1.1 in initial start

  • 30 appearances, but 11 as starter
  • 6.51 ERA, 1.55 WHIP
  • Numbers less horrible on road

Baltimore’s John Means 10 ER last 7.1 IP, allowing 13 hits

  • Respectable 6-3 home, 3.00 ERA and .260 OPB against, with 1.03 WHIP

Favorites that have lost at least 12 of 13 are 21-20 all-time on runline +28 ROI

Home favorites with 45 or more losses and winning percentage of .315 or less 14-8 all-time with 6.6 ROI

Team trends:

  • Kansas City 127-218 -53 units since 2017
  • Baltimore 273-169 home favorites since 2008 for +47.92 unit

KC hitting .215 last 10, Baltimore .238

Bet Now has ability to deposit, withdraw, and bet from any mobile device. Also get up to a 100 percent initial and reload bonus. They have the lowest juice in the industry.

More Preseason Week 2 Game-by-Game Betting Previews

Sharp sports bettors have enjoyed the sports betting previews of week 2 preseason football part 1. Bills vs. Panthers, Buccaneers vs. Dolphins, Cardinals vs. Raiders, Patriots vs. Titans betting picks preview.

Part 2 is here and starts out with the Bills-Panthers wagering picks preview.

Two teams hoping to improve drastically, the Raiders-Cardinals betting picks preview is here. Huge NFL weekend released! Thursday-Sunday nine NFL winners led by the first three Wise Guys of the season. So, get Bet it Trinity or Joe Duffy’s Picks seven-day pick pack or longer. Please see “football only” weekly option! It’s all at best NFL betting and handicapping site.

Patriots vs. Titans continue betting opportunities at Bovada

The Dolphins and Buccaneers battle of Florida takes place. Both teams have an upside says Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy.

Join the biggest and best NFL Super Contest with $150,000 in prizes! The Hilton-inspired contest is simply the biggest and most prestigious in gambling.

Sportsbook: Jay Gruden First Coach to Get Fired

Jay Gruden has seemingly been on the hot seat for years, and this season the oddsmakers placed him at the top of the list to be first removed from his NFL head coach position. 

SportsBetting set odds for the first head coach to be dismissed via firing, retirement or resignation. Gruden is the favorite while Pat Shurmur comes in a close second, according to the odds.

Going into last season, Dirk Koetter and Hue Jackson were the favorites to be fired first. In 2017, it was Todd Bowles and Chuck Pagano.  

The sportsbook also has odds for the Coach of the Year and Comeback Player of the Year.

First head coach to lose his job during regular season (fired, resigned, retired)

Jay Gruden  3/1
Pat Shurmur  5/1
Doug Marrone  10/1
Bill O’Brien  12/1
Dan Quinn  12/1
Jason Garrett  15/1
Ron Rivera  15/1
Matt Patricia  20/1
Sean McDermott  20/1
Brian Flores  25/1
Adam Gase  25/1
Freddie Kitchens  25/1
Kliff Kingsbury  25/1
Matt LaFleur  25/1
Mike Vrabel  25/1
Mike Tomlin  33/1
Mike Zimmer  33/1
Anthony Lynn  33/1
Kyle Shanahan  33/1
Vic Fangio  40/1
Pete Carroll  50/1
John Harbaugh  50/1
Bruce Arians  60/1
Jon Gruden  60/1
Zac Taylor  60/1
Frank Reich  80/1
Matt Nagy  80/1
Sean Payton  80/1
Andy Reid  150/1
Doug Pederson  150/1
Sean McVay  150/1
Bill Belichick  200/1
No Coach Fired  10/1

Coach of The Year

Kyle Shanahan  10/1
Freddie Kitchens  11/1
Bill Belichick  12/1
Sean McVay  12/1
Andy Reid  14/1
Frank Reich  14/1
Sean Payton  14/1
Doug Pederson  16/1
Anthony Lynn  20/1
Bruce Arians  20/1
Dan Quinn  20/1
Matt LaFleur  20/1
Matt Nagy  20/1
Vic Fangio  20/1
Pete Carroll  22/1
Doug Marrone  25/1
Bill O’Brien  28/1
Adam Gase  28/1
Jason Garrett  28/1
John Harbaugh  28/1
Mike Tomlin  28/1
Mike Zimmer  28/1
Kliff Kingsbury  33/1
Mike Vrabel  33/1
Ron Rivera  33/1
Sean McDermott  33/1
Jon Gruden  40/1
Brian Flores  50/1
Jay Gruden  50/1
Matt Patricia  50/1
Pat Shurmur  50/1
Zac Taylor  50/1

Comeback Player of the Year

Jimmy Garoppolo  3/1
Le’Veon Bell  9/2
Devonta Freeman  9/1
Derrius Guice  12/1
Carson Wentz  12/1
Cam Newton  14/1
Earl Thomas  16/1
Jason Witten  16/1
David Johnson  16/1
Cooper Kupp  18/1
AJ Green  18/1
Greg Olsen  22/1
Everson Griffen  22/1
Hunter Henry  25/1
Jerick McKinnon  25/1
Marcus Mariota  25/1
Leonard Fournette  25/1
Antonio Brown  25/1
Josh Rosen  30/1
Travis Frederick  30/1
Keanu Neal  33/1
Joe Flacco  33/1
Eli Manning  33/1
Deion Jones  33/1
Derek Carr  33/1
Delanie Walker  50/1
Jake Butt  50/1
Marqise Lee  50/1
Tyler Eifert  50/1
Carl Lawson  50/1

OffshoreInsiders.com has best winning info for today and every day.

Free Sports Picks MLB Tuesday

Wow, what a portfolio. JDP has two MLB Wise Guy among eight baseball winners. A loaded card and one of the strongest of the season. Get the picks now

Great sportsbook MyBookie takes a peek at tonight’s baseball winners. Let’s start out with Twins vs. Brewers for Tuesday night.

Cardinals vs. Royals betting tips are also up. Have you seen betting previews of week 2 preseason NFL?

Pittsburgh-LA Angels wagering tips.

College Football Conference Previews

There are some strong preseason publications out there, but the best previews are on the internet, written long after and with more updated info than magazines that went to press months ago.

Super sportsbook MyBookie  presents “Five Fearless Predictions” for each conference. They start with the ACC

There is no disputing that the Southeastern Conference is the best in college football. Check out gutsy predictions from that super conference.

Join the biggest and best NFL Super Contest with $150,000 in prizes! The Hilton-inspired contest is simply the biggest and most prestigious in gambling.

Ballsy calls from the Pac-12 are presented.

Where are the best sports picks on a daily basis including college football? The top college football picks source traces its roots going back to the score phone days of the 1980s.

Week 2 NFL Preseason Previews

Professional football bettors know that winning begins in the preseason. MyBookie and OffshoreInsiders.com preview some of the action. Superstar Joe Duffy has unleashed the strongest premium plays. ***Huge NFL weekend released! Thursday-Sunday nine NFL winners led by the first three Wise Guys of the season. So, get Bet it Trinity or Joe Duffy’s Picks seven-day pick pack or longer. Please see “football only” weekly option! It is all on the top NFL handicapper headquarters. Also get vetted sportsbook’s.

We start out with an overall of the odds and then venture into specific games for week 2 NFL preseason 2019 betting,

Now to some of the top games to bet. The Philadelphia Eagles and Jacksonville Jaguars do battle.

Regular season will be here and the most prestigious full-season contest is online. It’s no longer the Hilton Football contest. Join the biggest and best NFL Super Contest with $150,000 in prizes!

Bengals vs. Redskins bets, free picks and preview.

One of the most interesting clashes is two of the mystery teams. Experts do not agree on how good or bad the Packers and Ravens will be. They do battle.

The New York Jets-Atlanta Falcons also do battle. Will the Falcons ever take a preseason game seriously?

Still tons of money to be made betting baseball. Low juice increases winnings and reduces losses during slumps. Bet Now is a low-juice sportsbook. Keep in mind, with college football season around the corner, they are generally the first highly rated sportsbook to release “added rotation” games in both college football and basketball betting. 

Big Changes in World Series Odds for Sports Bettors

The Indians are now tied with the Twins to take the AL Central, according to the odds.

On Monday, SportsBetting updated its World Series, pennant and division odds, and there have been some notable movements. 

Minnesota was as high as 1/15 (-1500) for the division in early June but are now a co-favorite with Cleveland.  

The Reds and Mets have also made massive jumps in terms of odds in their respective divisions. Both clubs’ championship odds have also risen sharply. Winning daily picks? OffshoreInsiders.com has that with experts who were giving you winners in the 1980s.

AL Central

Odds

Minnesota Twins 

5/6

Cleveland Indians

5/6

Chicago White Sox

1000/1

Detroit Tigers 

10000/1

Kansas City Royals 

10000/1

 

 

AL East

Odds

New York Yankees

1/1000

Tampa Bay Rays

20/1

Boston Red Sox

50/1

Baltimore Orioles

10000/1

Toronto Blue Jays

10000/1

 

 

AL West

Odds

Houston Astros

1/2500

Oakland A’s

50/1

Texas Rangers

5000/1

Los Angels

5000/1

Seattle Mariners

10000/1

 

 

NL Central

Odds

Chicago Cubs 

4/7

St. Louis Cardinals

7/2

Milwaukee Brewers

9/2

Cincinnati Reds  

14/1

Pittsburgh Pirates

5000/1

 

 

NL East

Odds

Atlanta Braves 

1/4

Washington Nationals

6/1

New York Mets 

10/1

Philadelphia Phillies 

14/1

Miami Marlins

10000/1

 

 

NL West

Odds

Los Angeles Dodgers

1/5000

Arizona Diamondbacks

1000/1

San Francisco Giants

1000/1

Colorado Rockies

2500/1

San Diego Padres

2500/1

Notable division odds on July 8:

– Twins 1/5
– Indians 4/1
– Reds 15/1
– Mets 100/1

Team

Current odds

All-Star Break odds

Preseason odds

Houston Astros

11/4

5/1

7/1

Los Angeles Dodgers

7/2

3/1

6/1

New York Yankees

7/2

4/1

6/1

Atlanta Braves

12/1

9/1

20/1

Minnesota Twins

16/1

9/1

50/1

Chicago Cubs

16/1

16/1

14/1

Cleveland Indians

16/1

25/1

12/1

St. Louis Cardinals

25/1

40/1

14/1

New York Mets

25/1

150/1

18/1

Tampa Bay Rays

25/1

22/1

33/1

Washington Nationals

25/1

22/1

16/1

Milwaukee Brewers

25/1

22/1

16/1

Philadelphia Phillies

33/1

22/1

8/1

Boston Red Sox

33/1

22/1

8/1

Oakland Athletics

50/1

40/1

33/1

Los Angeles Angels

50/1

100/1

40/1

Cincinnati Reds

50/1

80/1

66/1

San Francisco Giants

66/1

150/1

66/1

Arizona Diamondbacks

100/1

66/1

50/1

Texas Rangers

250/1

50/1

250/1

Colorado Rockies

500/1

66/1

25/1

San Diego Padres

500/1

66/1

50/1

Pittsburgh Pirates

500/1

100/1

80/1

Chicago White Sox

2500/1

250/1

66/1

Seattle Mariners

10000/1

500/1

66/1

Miami Marlins

10000/1

1000/1

500/1

Toronto Blue Jays

10000/1

1000/1

100/1

Baltimore Orioles

10000/1

5000/1

500/1

Detroit Tigers

10000/1

5000/1

250/1

Kansas City Royals

10000/1

5000/1

250/1

Notable World Series odds on August 1:

– Mets 66/1
– Red Sox 25/1
– Reds 250/1
– Angels 150/1
– Diamondbacks 250/1

American League Pennant

Odds

Houston Astros

11/10

New York Yankees

2/1

Minnesota Twins

8/1

Cleveland Indians

8/1

Tampa Bay Rays

12/1

Boston Red Sox

16/1

Oakland Athletics

25/1

Texas Rangers

125/1

Los Angeles Angels

250/1

Chicago White Sox

1000/1

Seattle Mariners

2500/1

Toronto Blue Jays

5000/1

Baltimore Orioles

5000/1

Detroit Tigers

5000/1

Kansas City Royals

5000/1

 

 

National League Pennant

Odds

Los Angeles Dodgers

10/11

Atlanta Braves

6/1

Chicago Cubs

8/1

St. Louis Cardinals

14/1

New York Mets

14/1

Washington Nationals

14/1

Milwaukee Brewers

14/1

Philadelphia Phillies

14/1

San Francisco Giants

25/1

Cincinnati Reds

33/1

Arizona Diamondbacks

50/1

Colorado Rockies

250/1

San Diego Padres

250/1

Pittsburgh Pirates

2500/1

Miami Marlins

5000/1

Sports Betting NFL Odds: AB Retirement, Kaep Signing, QB Battles

According to one sportsbook, Antonio Brown will not retire, Colin Kaepernick will not sign with a team and Daniel Jones will not start for the Giants.

On Monday, the site SportsBetting set odds for a few trending NFL topics, including Brown’s helmet standoff and cryrotherapy injury, the trio of quarterback competitions and Kaepernick’s chances to return to the league. (note: college QB battle odds will be updated later this week)

The oddsmakers are calling AB’s bluff, making his odds to retire 5-1 and his odds to not play in the season opener 3-1. They don’t expect the NFL to have any sympathy regarding his helmet either, setting the odds of him keeping his original headgear at 3-1. 

Current odds: 

Will Antonio Brown play in Week 1? 

Yes  -500

No +300

Will Antonio Brown where his old helmet in Week 1? 

Yes +300

No -500

Will Antonio Brown retire before Week 1? 

Yes +500

No -1000

Will Antonio Brown post a picture of his feet on social media before Week 1?

Yes +150

No -200

Odds for the three NFL quarterback battles were posted almost two weeks ago, and they haven’t changed much. Bettors initially backed Manning in the Giants’ competition, driving the odds from 1-10 (-1000) to -1500, but after Daniel Jones’ strong preseason performance, bettors took the rookie. Additional prop bets betwen the two QBs are below.

Case Keenum is still the favorite in the Redskins race while Dwayne Haskins is behind Keenum and Colt McCoy. 

Ryan Fitzpatrick has moved from a -250 favorite to start over Josh Rosen to -300.

Who will start for the Dolphins in Week 1?
Ryan Fitzpatrick -300  
Josh Rosen +200 

Who will start for the Redskins in Week 1?
Case Keenum +100

Colt McCoy +200

Dwayne Haskins +250

Who will start for the Giants in Week 1?
Eli Manning  -1200
Daniel Jones  +600

Who will start more games?
Eli Manning -150
Daniel Jones +110

Who will have the most passing yards?
Daniel Jones -140
Eli Manning +100

Who will have the most passing touchdowns?
Daniel Jones -120
Eli Manning -120

Who will have the most interceptions?
Daniel Jones -200
Eli Manning +150

Finally, despite his potential attempt for a comeback, SportsBetting doesn’t foresee a scenario where Kaepernick comes back to the league, setting the odds of him doing so at 2-1. 

Will Colin Kaepernick sign with an NFL team during 2019 season?

Yes +200

No -300

 

Critical Betting Intel: Packers Win NFC North in 2019-20

Joe Duffy’s news and notes for NFC North Division. Duffy says the Packers at +255 is the best bet. But in the case of Matt Stafford, when you least expect it, expect it! Duffy is the top NFL handicapper in history and has full-season pick packs up now at OffshoreInsiders.com

Bears +168 Odds

  • Among best defenses in NFL
  • Football Outsiders document how dominating defenses take a step back
  • Also third luckiest team in terms of injuries according to Football Outsiders
  • Lost DC Vic Fangio
  • QB Mitch Trubisky fantastic athlete, but must improve passing game
    • Better for defense
  • Gave up top two draft picks to get Khalil Mack
  • Expect to regress

Vikings +185 odds

  • Not a Kirk Cousins guy, but offense he will run this year similar to one he had in Washington
  • Top heavy at WR with Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs but not much depth
  • Pass coverage among best in NFL
  • Great defense, if zone-based offense clicks, could be a very good team

Join the biggest and best NFL Super Contest with $150,000 in prizes! The Hilton-inspired contest is simply the biggest and most prestigious in gambling.

Packers +255 odds

  • Matt LaFleur, new HC, breathes new life and Aaron Rodgers will be out to prove Packers better without Mike McCarthy
  • Rodgers revealed he played hurt all season
  • Has big weapon in Devonte Adams and underrated RB Aaron Jones
    • Jones led league at 5.5 yards per rush
  • TE Jimmy Graham is off bad year but big upside
  • GB added several key players on defense in free agency and top two draft picks

Lions +1250 odds

  • Never been a fan of Matt Stafford but when least expect it
    • OC Darrell Bevell the latest to try to rescue the coach killer
  • First-round rookie tight end T.J. Hockenson is stud
  • Marvin Jones and Danny Amendola good WRs
  • Detroit has few glaring weaknesses on either side of ball
  • Among most improved in free agency