All posts by Joe Duffy

Stanford vs. Central Florida Preview with @JeffNadu

The Big Man on Campus, Jeff Nadu and Joe Duffy preview the Stanford vs. Central Florida matchup. UCF is a 7.5-point favorite at Bovada and most sportsbooks. There are some 7s out there. The total is 58.5. The game opened at Central Florida -6 and 58 at Betonline, home of the opening line.

The Twitter sports betting feed will update as the week goes on, but early money is coming on on the favorite as 86 percent of bets and 97 percent of money is on the Knights. But again, stay tuned as public consensus is updated.

Joe Duffy has Thursday and Friday football picks up already and another wave is highly possible before Tuesday is done at OffshoreInsiders.com 

Stanford is a sensational 17-4 to the number off a straight up loss. UCF is 23-9 on grass and 41-19 after holding their previous opponent to less than 100 yards rushing. The Cards over 7-1 after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game but under 55-27 off spread loss.

Texans vs. Saints MNF Sports Picks Preview, Best Bets

The Houston Texans are at the New Orleans Saints in the first of two MNF games for opening week. New Orleans is -6.5 with a total of 52.5 at MyBookie. The game opened New Orleans -7 and 53. There is a divide in public bets versus public money.

Though 59 percent of wagers are on the Saints, 57 percent of the cash is on the underdog Texans. Many believe this makes Houston a sharp bet.

The Texans went 5-3 on the road last season, but just 2-2 overall in non-conference games. This is a team that starts slow, going 1-4 SU in their last 5 September games. They are also 0-4-1 ATS in games played against teams from the NFC. That said, they have won 5 of their last 6 road games.

Full preview below

Biggest bets are on MasterLockLine.

Sports service out of Delaware is back to #1 NFL was #1 NFL last year. NFL Game of the Week on Bengals part of a 3-0 start to NFL season. NFL Total of the Week tonight

Sports service out of Delaware is back to #1 NFL was #1 NFL last year. NFL Game of the Week on Bengals part of a 3-0 start to NFL season. NFL Total of the Week tonight

#1 football capper for 2019 with a 16-4 record including 4-0 NFL regular season! The former right-hand man of a once-great handicapper on the cities affiliated scorephones then on Freescoreboard 866-FREE-866 scores is No. 1 all-sports combined since going on his own in 2001. NFL Game of the Week on Houston vs. New Orleans side.  Get the picks now  

Houston is 3-10 ATS on MNF and 3-7 recently on the road. New Orleans has dropped five straight ATS. New Orleans has gone under 7-2 overall.

NFL Free Pick Week 1

Joe Duffy’s Picks 11-2 NFL! Sunday, NFL three Wise Guys. This is very rare for week 1, but the portfolio is that strong (two side, one total) and Major.  Get the picks now

Free NFL pick:

WASHINGTON +10 Philadelphia

Several week 1 overreaction angles based on previous year’s records apply here. Among them one that is 67-33 ATS, including Packers on Thursday night. In fact, it is even better divisional at 30-9-3. 

$250 NFL welcome bonus from betted bookie! All this and more at Bovada 

Week 1 NFL Sharp Picks Info: Public Consensus, Live Moves, Top Picks

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Baltimore, Kansas City, LA Rams, Detroit (the public loves road favorites in the NFL and has for decades)

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Baltimore, Detroit, Houston

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Carolina, Tennessee, New York Giants

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds at MyBookie: Oakland -2.5 to +2.5, LA Chargers -3 to -6.5, Baltimore -4 to -7, Detroit P to -2.5.

One could argue week 1 NFL line moves are the most deceptive because the lines have been up for months. Oakland was because of the Antonio Brown circus and release. The Colts because of Luck retirement. Dolphins because of trades in which they are tanking for Tau.

Top expert pick on today’s card is from Joe Duffy’s Picks. We are 11-2 NFL! Sunday, NFL three Wise Guys. This is very rare for week 1, but the portfolio is that strong (two side, one total) and Major.  Get the picks now

 

 

Week 2 College Football Sharp Bets, Line Moves, Public Consensus, Sportsbook Liabilities

It is week 2 of college football and time for the super popular sharp report in college football.

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Central Florida, Penn State, Appalachian State, Texas Tech

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Illinois, Texas Tech, Central Florida

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: San Jose State

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Penn State opened -24 now -30.5, Maryland from +2.5 now -1.5, LSU -2.5 now -6.5 at MyBookie

Weather:

Game

Wind Speed

Minnesota at Fresno State

16 mph

Oregon State at Hawaii

19 mph

Akron at Central Michigan

18 mph

Idaho at Wyoming

15 mph

Top expert pick on today’s card is from Joe Duffy. He is 13-7 in football. Shorter-term he is 11-2 in NFL since preseason. Saturday, nine Wise Guys, three Majors led by Non-Power 5 Interconference Total of the Year and Non-Conference Underdog of the Year. Sunday get NFL three Wise Guys. This is very rare for week 1, but the portfolio is that strong (two side, one total) and Major. Get the picks now   

 

Syracuse-Maryland, North Illinois-Utah, California-Washington Daily Wagers

More betting previews for your daily wager from your grandmaster Joe Duffy and elite online bookmaker MyBookie. Syracuse versus Maryland is among the contests we preview. Maryland is -1.5 at Bovada, with a total of 57.5 a significant line move after Syracuse opened at -2.5 at Betonline, home of the opening line. The starting total was 58.

Fifty-six percent of bets and 59 percent of handle is on Maryland.

A win for the Maryland Terrapins last weekend was not totally unexpected, but it would certainly have been a bit of a relief after they closed out last season with 4 straight losses. Yes, it was a game against lowly Howard in the opening week, but a 79-0 win is nothing to be sneezed at, no matter who the competition is.

More details in link below

Onward to a preview of Northern Illinois vs. Utah. Utah is -21.5 and 44.5 at MyBookie. This opened at Utah -23 and 43.5. Sixty-three percent of bets are on Utah, but 53 percent of the money is on NIU.

S you can see by the point spread for this one, this is a game that is going to be a bit of an uphill battle for the Huskies. They are, though, coming off a 24-10 win over Illinois State, a game that they started as a 7-point favorite. If you are looking to wager a little money on the Huskies this weekend, it may well be against the spread where your best betting opportunities exist.
Northern Illinois are 8-3 SU, but the strength of opposition here makes a straight win seem unlikely. The Huskies have been a very solid bet away from home, covering the spread in 4 of their last 5 road games. They are also a healthy 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games played in Week 2. In September games, 4 of the last 5 have gone UNDER for the Huskies.

Full game preview in tweet below

Joe Duffy is 13-7 in football. Shorter-term he is 11-2 in NFL since preseason. Saturday, nine Wise Guys, three Majors led by Non-Power 5 Interconference Total of the Year and Non-Conference Underdog of the Year.Sunday,NFL three Wise Guys. This is very rare for week 1, but the portfolio is that strong (two side, one total) and Major. Get the picks now   

A big battle in the Pac-12 rages on as California takes on Washington. Washington is -13.5 with a total of 43.5. The public likes the favorite as usual with 72 percent of bets and 60 percent of cash on the Huskies. The game opened at -12.5 and 44.5.

Cal won their regular season opener by getting past he UC Davis Aggies 27-13 last weekend after largely struggling the entire first half. After going into the break up, just 13 on UC Davis, the Bears put two touchdowns on the board in the second half while shutting down the Aggies to the tune of just one, second half field goal. Quarterback Chase Garbers passed for 238 yards with two touchdowns and one interception, but it was running back Christopher Brown’s big day that lifted the bears to victory by rushing for a career-high 197 yards and one score on 36 carries.
“We knew Chris would get the ball a lot,” Bears coach Justin Wilcox said. “That’s what we expect of him. He’s a big, physical guy and this is his type of game. Give it to him and let him break tackles. Probably more touches and more yards than he had all last year. He’s been preparing for this.”

Best bet info below.

NCAAF ATS Picks: Nebraska-Colorado, New Mexico St-Alabama, Texas A&M-Clemson

Saturday college football betting picks and previews sees Nebraska-Colorado. At MyBookie the odds has Nebraska laying -4.5 on the road with a total of 64. Sixty-five percent of bets and 69 percent of the money is on the Cornhuskers.

Junior JD Spielman recorded his second career punt return touchdown with a 76-yard yard score in the third quarter. The Huskers also got a fumble return for a touchdown by Alex Davis on forced fumble by Cam Taylor-Britt on the first play of the fourth quarter. It was Nebraska’s first fumble return for a touchdown since Josh Mitchell had a 57-yarrd fumble return for a touchdown against Miami in 2014.
It marked the first time Nebraska had three non-offensive touchdowns in a game since the Huskers had three defensive touchdowns against Wake Forest in a 31-3 win in 2005.
Offensively, Nebraska managed just 276 total yards, including just 66 in the second half. South Alabama produced 314 total yards on 79 plays, including 222 yards on 47 plays after halftime. Husker sophomore quarterback Adrian Martinez completed 13-of-22 passes for 178 yards on the day.

Full preview linked below

Joe Duffy’s picks Saturday with nine Wise Guys, three Majors led by Non-Power 5 Interconference Total of the Year and Non-Conference Underdog of the Year. Get the picks now   

Bovada has odds on New Mexico State vs. Alabama with Alabama laying a stunning 55.5 with a total of 64.5. Though 73 percent of bets are on New Mexico State, 60 percent of the funds are on Alabama.

NM State returns 17 starters from last year’s squad. The defense brings back nine starters from a year ago, paced by redshirt senior linebacker Javahn Fergurson, the nation’s reigning leader in tackles per game. Fergurson started all ten games he played in last year, leading the entire country in tackles per game (13.2). He finished the year with 132 total tackles (42 solo, 90 assisted), recording double-figure tackles in eight of the ten games he played in.

Full preview below.

Texas A&M is one of the few teams expected to give Clemson a quality game this season. Still the Aggies are getting two-touchdowns and a field goal, instilled as 17 point underdogs to the Crimson Tide at Bovada. Seventy-six percent of picks and 82 percent of money is on the large underdogs.

The sharp bettors preview is from Joe Duffy and Jeff Nadu. Screw the SPAM you get from HankWins and RJ Sports.