Four NFL free picks from superstar handicapper Joe Duffy. I am 34-17 NFL and 63-36 in football! Follow my premium picks on OffshoreInsiders.com   

Jets at Ravens (-14.5, 45)

• Going with very bad underdog based on sweat barometer is 296-207-8 (Jets)
• At least a 118-point difference for season on ats margin, go with worse team is 139-95-9 as Ravens league best 11-2 by +10.2 points per game (Jets)
• Better team in short week unless they had substantially more snaps is 82-34 (Ravens)
• Go with teams with at 90 fewer snaps on the season is 208-159-10 (Jets)
• Jets final three games Ravens, Steelers, Bills 

The pick: Jets +14.5

Pats (-10, 40.5) at Bengals

• Anti-splits angle about fading road teams who have been better on road than home team has been at home is 141-104-11 (Cincinnati)
• Much worse run defense late in season is 59-31-3 (Cincinnati)
• Home underdogs of 9.5 in week 15 or later are 32-19 (Cincinnati)
• Bengals franchise WR A.J. Green considered day-to-day

The picks: Cincinnati +10

Rams at Cowboys (-3, 47)

• Surprise stat: Dallas +64 point margin on year but under .500…
• Going against teams with better points per game margin than record is 78-52-3 (Rams)
• Favorites with +15 or more edge for season in points margin, yet two fewer wins are 22-15-1 (Dallas)

The pick: Rams +3

Vikings (-3, 45) at Chargers 

• Worse turnover team is 538-407-30 (Chargers)
• Vikings WR Adam Thielen is probable after missing six of last seven games
  • Minnesota averaging 24.5 points per game without him
• Fading home underdogs off win of 21 or more is 16-6 since 2012 (Vikings)

The pick: LA Chargers +3 

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The semifinal game between LSU and Oklahoma features the second-highest spread and over/under in College Football Playoff history. 

LSU is currently a 12.5-point favorite against the Sooners, and the game’s total is 75 points.

According to closing odds from SportsBetting.ag, there has only been one higher spread and one higher total in CFP history. The complete list is below. 

The other CFP semifinal, featuring Ohio State and Clemson, shows the Tigers as 2-point favorites over the Buckeyes with an over/under of 63.5. 

The combined current total of both games is the highest for any two CFP semis in the same year.

Here are the championship odds:

LSU +125

Clemson +225

Ohio State +250

Oklahoma +1000

Current bowl odds from SportsBetting

(semifinal games are in bold/italics)

List of CFP Spreads (sorted by biggest spread)

2018/19 Orange Bowl: Alabama (-14.5) vs. Oklahoma

2019/20 Peach Bowl: LSU (-12.5) vs. Oklahoma

2016/17 Peach Bowl: Alabama (-12.5) vs. Washington

2018/19 Cotton Bowl: Clemson (-10.5) vs. Notre Dame

2015/16 Cotton Bowl: Alabama (-10) vs. Michigan State

2014/15 Sugar Bowl: Alabama (-7.5) vs. Ohio State

2014/15 Rose Bowl: Oregon (-7.5) vs. Florida State

2016/17 CFP NCG: Alabama (-6.5) vs. Clemson

2015/16 CFP NCG: Alabama (-6) vs. Clemson

2014/15 CFP NCG: Oregon (-6) vs. Ohio State

2018/19 CFP NCG: Alabama (-5) vs. Clemson

2017/18 CFP NCG: Alabama (-3.5) vs. Georgia

2017/18 Sugar Bowl: Alabama (-3.5) vs. Clemson  

2015/16 Orange Bowl: Oklahoma (-3.5) vs. Clemson

2017/18 Rose Bowl: Georgia (-2.5) vs. Oklahoma

2019/20 Fiesta Bowl: Clemson (-2) vs. Ohio State

2016/17 Fiesta Bowl: Ohio State (-1) vs. Clemson

– Favorites are 7-3 straight-up and 6-4 ATS in semifinal history

– Favorites are 8-7 straight-up and 6-9 ATS in CFP history

List of CFP Totals (sorted by highest totals)

2018/19 Orange Bowl: Alabama vs. Oregon (80.5)

2019/20 Peach Bowl: LSU vs. Oklahoma (75)

2014/15 Rose Bowl: Oregon vs. Florida State (74)

2014/15 CFP NCG: Oregon vs. Ohio State (72.5)

2019/20 Fiesta Bowl: Clemson vs. Ohio State (63.5)

2017/18 Rose Bowl: Oklahoma vs. Georgia (62.5)

2015/16 Orange Bowl: Clemson vs. Oklahoma (61.5)

2014/15 Sugar Bowl: Alabama vs. Ohio State (58)

2018/19 Cotton Bowl: Clemson vs. Notre Dame (58)

2018/19 CFP NCG: Clemson vs. Alabama (57.5)

2016/17 Fiesta Bowl: Ohio State vs. Clemson (56)

2016/17 CFP NCG: Alabama vs. Clemson (51)

2016/17 CFP NCG: Alabama vs. Washington (50.5)

2015/16 CFP NCG: Alabama vs. Clemson (50.5)

2017/18 Sugar Bowl: Alabama vs. Clemson (46.5)

2017/18 CFP NCG: Alabama vs. Georgia (45.5)

2015/16 Cotton Bowl: Alabama vs. Michigan State (45.5)  

– Overs are 8-7 in CFP history

– Overs are 4-6 in CFP semifinal history

List of CFP Upsets (sorted by biggest upset)

2014/15 Sugar Bowl: Ohio State (+7.5) over Alabama

2016/17 CFP NCG: Clemson (+6.5) over Alabama

2014/15 CFP NCG: Ohio State (+6) vs. Oregon

2018/19 CFP NCG: Clemson (+5) over Alabama

2015/16 Orange Bowl: Clemson (+3.5) over Oklahoma

2016/17 Fiesta Bowl: Clemson (+1) over Ohio State

– The CFP has had six teams reach it with undefeated records. Those teams are 4-2 straight-up and 3-3 against the spread (ATS) in semifinals and 3-4 straight-up and 4-3 ATS in the playoff overall. Clemson is the only undefeated team that has gone on to win the National Championship in the CFP era. 

All-Time CFP Records

LSU: 0-0 SU / 0-0 ATS

Ohio State: 2-1 SU / 2-1 ATS

Clemson: 5-2 SU / 6-1 ATS

Oklahoma: 0-3 SU / 0-3 ATS

– Oklahoma is trying to become the first team from the Big 12 to ever win a CFP game. The Big 12 is the only Power Five conference that has yet to win a CFP game.

– LSU is 1-0 SU and ATS against Oklahoma, winning the 2004 Sugar Bowl (LSU 21-14, LSU +6)

– Clemson is 2-0 SU and ATS against Ohio State, winning the 2016 CFP Semifinal (Clemson 31-0, Clemson +1.5) and the 2014 Orange Bowl (Clemson 40-35, Clemson +2.5)

Where to beat those SportsBetting odds? Joe Duffy of OffshoreInsiders.com is widely accepted as the greatest handicapper of all-time.  Get the picks now

Final 4 odds are set for NCAA CFP. LSU got the number 1 seed and is a prohibitive favorite over fourth-seeded Oklahoma. Also third-seed Clemson is a slight chalk over Ohio State. Get them all at MyBookie

Dec 28
241	Oklahoma	+12½	-105	350		Ov	75
242	LSU	-12½	-115	-450		Un	75
243	Clemson	-2	-110	-120		Ov	63½
244	Ohio State	2	-110	100		Un	63½
Jan 1
267	Wisconsin	-2½	-125
268	Oregon	+2½	105
269	Baylor	7	-120
270	Georgia	-7	100

Free picks in NFL, NBA, and college basketball are up from Joe Duffy. The already failed Dallas Cowboys on TNF were the biggest consensus play of the week and no shock another road favorite tops Sunday’s list, but there is big dog among the top consensus plays too. 

NFL weather is a factor, especially for MNF Giants vs. Eagles and of course there are injuries. To said injuries for fantasy football and gambling:

• Jets star RB Le’Veon Bell is out
• Raiders RB Josh Jacobs game-time decision 
  • 1061 rushing yards 
• Texas WR Will Fuller is out
  • 42 receptions for 598 yards
• Denver superstar LB Von Miller game-time decision though sources indicate he is better than 50-50
• Pats should have two key WR Julian Edelman and Mohamed Sanu
• Vikings star WR Adam Thielen is out
  • 27 catches for 391 yards 
• Eli Manning returns as starting QB for the Giants on MNF as Daniel Jones is out

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Baltimore, Green Bay, Miami, Seattle. 

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Baltimore, Atlanta

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: NY Jets, Tampa. 

Free picks start out from the NFL on the LA Chargers and Jacksonville Jaguars.

LA CHARGERS-3 Jacksonville

Going with road teams off road loss under specific circumstances that apply today is 332-241-11. Anti-splits angle in which we go with road team with much worse away winning percentage than the home team home winning percentage is 61-44-5. In this case, the teams have identical records and LA is 2-4 SU road, with Jacksonville 2-4 home. The straight up records imply an even matchup and hence the Jags “should” be three-point favorites as that is what home field is. However, they are not and many proven angles say use the oddsmakers’ knowledge directly against them. This game was bet on the NFL live lines, latest odds at MYBookie

Now to the NBA from the Grandmaster. 

DENVER -3 Brooklyn

Road favorites off loss under specific circumstances that apply today are 759-602-21. A subset that says it’s slightly better if the team we are betting on was not sizzling hot before previous loss is 692-534-20. When we are also fading a team off a win, it is 247-169-5 for 59.4 percent. 

Now to college basketball:

TENNESSEE TECH +12 Ohio

High volume based on advanced metrics from last game including rebounds, field goal percentage is 1787-1449-80. 

Top expert pick on today’s card is from the greatest handicapper in history Joe Duffy of OffshoreInsiders.com. Get 11 NFL winners Sunday led by two Wise Guys! I am 27-11 NFL. A nice 2-1 in the conference championship games. Sorry, we don’t force plays, so you’ll have to settle for 67 percent. I am 56-32 with all football picks. Three NBA led by Wise Guys. Wise Guy plays from Joe Duffy are in near unanimity considered the strongest bet in sports wagering by bookmakers, pro gamblers, oddsmakers, and fellow handicappers alike. Get them all at OffshoreInsiders.com  

NFL weather:

High Precipitation

Game	Chance of precip
New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles	81%

Winds

Game	Wind Speed
Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills	17 mph
Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns	15 mph
New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles	15 mph

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Superstar handicapper Joe Duffy and Jeff Nadu preview the AAC Championship game between Cincinnati and Memphis. Memphis is -10 at MyBookie and most other sportsbooks with a total of 57.5. This opened at -9 and 57.5. Though 58 percent of bets are on Cincinnati, 51 percent of money is on Memphis. However, 76 percent of bets and 70 percent of cash agree on the OVER. 

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No. 1 college sports, basketball and football combined makes only picks in those sports and has been winning since 2004. Only ranked service with College Football Game of the Year going today and it is on SEC Championship side UGA vs. LSU

Retired full-time handicapper Bill Tanner is now a Managing Partner with the MasterLockLine. The best basketball betting expert since being proprietor of the super popular 900-976-LOCK number, his picks are now exclusive to MLL. We release his equivalent of Platinum Play. He is one of the famed Big 3 NBA sources for picks. Platinum Play side on Pacers wins Wednesday, North Texas Thursday. Friday, he goes to 5-0 this season with NCAAB Plats on Louisville. One college basketball 

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Sports service midway between Pittsburgh and Morgantown, WV dominates Pittsburgh area college and pro teams and is widely accepted as the top regional handicapping expert for or against, over or under. CBB Game of the Month on St. Johns vs. West Virginia. Get a free sports service bet, which also has the full menu, then Get the picks now