Joe Duffy is off to a 2-0 start this week with all picks. Saturday, SEC West Total of the Year among four college football Wise Guys and seven Majors. I am 17-9 in NFL including our only moneyline, a 160 winner! Sunday, 10 NFL plus Monday Night Football. Get the picks now
Your Grandmaster Joe Duffy has these free winning picks.
NFL
Steelers at 49ers
- Pittsburgh is 0-2 and off loss as a favorite, which sets up an early season overreaction angle that is 107-74-7 (Pittsburgh)
- Undefeated versus winless angle says go with undefeated Niners at 57-38-3 but 5-10 since Oct 13, 2013
- Mason Rudolph gets first start of NFL career
- San Francisco DE Nick Bosa still slowed by ankle injury but should play
- Niners QB Jimmy Garoppolo playing very well after missing 13 games last season
- Steelers big trade got Minkah Fitzpatrick from Fins
- Expected to start
- Niners with second largest margin of cover so far, covering by an average of 20 points per game
- Teams covering by an average of at least 18.5 points per game are a go-against of 70-51-4 for 57.9 percent
- Pittsburgh second worst at -15.2 points per game
- Road teams with -12 or worse ats margin are 113-78 (Steelers)
- San Francisco 1-13-2 home favorites
Pick: Pittsburgh +6.5 at Bovada live NFL lines
Saints at Seahawks
- Teddy Bridgewater gets start for Saints, though expect a ton of Taysom Hill
- Road teams off road loss versus an opponent also off road game under specific circumstances that apply today is 86-25
- Anti-splits angle in which we go with road team with much worse away winning percentage than the home team home winning percentage is 209-164-6
- Yes still applies in week 3 because early-season overreaction is huge
- Saints under 7-1 road
- Seattle third strongest public consensus in terms of percentage of bets
- Saints would be contrarian
- Saints second biggest sharp bet of week
The pick: New Orleans +4 MyBookie NFL live lines, latest odds
Rams at Browns
- Fading non-elite prime-time underdogs or small favorites is 115-74-13 (Rams)
- Fading Super Bowl loser first four weeks is 48-25 but 0-2 this year (Browns)
- Rams Todd Gurley looks like he is not his old self
- Teams off MNF blowout wins are 46-15 under specific circumstances that apply today (Browns)
- Rams biggest public consensus by far in percentage of bets and by small margin in money
- Contrarian bettors would say Browns
The pick: Cleveland +3.5 at NFL live lines, latest odds