Baseball Odds: Reds-Phillies MLB Picks

OffshoreInsiders.com Senior Sports Handicapper Matt Rivers has free pick for Monday and it is on the Cincinnati Reds (+156) to Philadelphia.

Reasoning: Certainly Cincinnati had a rough last series at Cleveland against the surging Indians and to be honest with you the Reds aren’t all that good right now. But with that said I am going to continue to fade the Phillies as Charlie Manual’s offense is the worst in baseball at this time. Yes I said it, the worst in baseball. Without Shane Victorino the Fightin’ Phils have absolutely no fight, none as in zero, nyet, nil. This team is hard pressed to get a hit no less score a run. Ryan Howard, Jimmy Rollins, Raul Ibanez, Placido Polanco and the rest of Charlie Manual’s club is in a collective offensive tailspin and that’s being ultra kind.

The Phils were shut out yesterday and have now averaged about a run and a half in the last 9 games, literally. Sure Cole Hamels can be total money and well superior to Bronson Arroyo but the way the Phils have performed with the lumber I will continue to be more than fine with going against them at an exorbitant price like this.

Joey Votto and the Reds are mediocre at best right now and not very trustworthy. But the bottom line is to get such a handsome price back against a team struggling the way Philadelphia is makes me alright with this dog. If Hamels is great, which he could be, and the Phils once again prevail in the neighborhood of 1-0 or 2-1 then so be it. But I don’t see them all of a sudden doing a 180 and busting out with the sticks so in the end I’m just fine backing the defending NL Central champs and fading the offensively challenged NL East champs.

Top expert pick on this game: Yup, the title above says it all. I have isolated and will back a rare cheaper than cheap baseball chalk that will win going away. The price is at least 40-50 cents off and I’m going to expose this with conviction in the highest play that I possess, a 500,000* B-O-M-B Bomb!

Matt has had nine-of-13 winning days and 49 of the last 78 for a profit of plus 6.7 million* after the rare poor Sunday. Two plays today, 500,000* Cheap Chalk Game of the Year plus a bonus 200,000* on the hardwoods between the Mavericks and Thunder. Click now to purchase

MLB Bets: Rangers vs. Phillies Odds and Betting Advice

OffshoreInsiders.com Senior Sports Handicapper Matt Rivers has another winner to beat the sportsbooks Sunday is on the Texas Rangers (+133) to Philadelphia.

No doubt the Phillies pitching staff shoved it up my butt in the first two games of this series shutting down Ron Washington’s bats but once again this current Philadelphia Phillies offense is fairly non-existent and I can’t help but grab a solid price back today in fading them.

Roy Oswalt is certainly a borderline great pitcher and better than Matt Harrison but the Texas lefthander has been very good for the bulk of this season and should be at least that tonight against the beyond scuffling Phillies. Ryan Howard did go deep yesterday but he is still not the Ryan Howard we have known in years’ past and the rest of the offense is extremely mediocre right now, and that is being kind,  without Chase Utley and Shane Victorino. In fact in the past eight full games they have not been able to eclipse the three run mark once and have averaged less than two runs per game. Certainly with their pitching staff that could be enough and has been enough in the first two games of this series but come on. No team can consistently win with that lack of offense and it’s going to get them at some point and today could be that point.

Texas is certainly not overachieving right now at 23-23 as Josh Hamilton has been a major loss but there are still potent bats in the lineup with Young, Kinsler and Beltre and in the end I’ll go back to this well, even if it has been a tad dry of late.

Look for Harrison to be just fine against Charlie Manual’s poor offense and for the Rangers to avoid the broom and get out of the city of Brotherly Love on a winning note.

Top expert pick on this game: Texas from Matt Rivers

For more information: A quality Sunday and some more jack in my pocket that is what I can promise. Two winners today including one on the hardwood and one on the diamond. Just look above at the numbers, I may not win every single day but I certainly win most days making me love my chances once again today.

300,000* Bulls-Heat along with a 200,000* Twins-Diamondbacks. Are you ready? Because I know I am. Get Rivers best bets

Top 10 Post Rapture Discoveries

Well I made it to heaven via the Rapture. From the home offices of OffshoreInsiders.com here are the Top 10 early observations from eternal life

10. Led Zepplin has the No. 1 all-time song up here too

9. Hooters girls not as friendly. One already told me to go to hell.

8. Awkward moment: I confused Marilyn Monroe and Marilyn Manson

7. Founders of Heavenly Ham about to be slapped with large copyright infringement lawsuit

6. Telling somebody they are “down to earth” is considered a major insult up here

5. Chick Fil-A has limited Sunday hours

4. Michael Moore is working on a movie “Fahrenheit 521” that proves George Bush could have prevented the Armageddon but chose not to

3. Billy Jean King was not Michael Jackson’s lover, but is now. It was a match made in heaven

2. Milk and honey have no expiration dates

And the No. 1 early observation from eternal life is….

1. That Carly Simon song…It was about Karl Malden

Preakness Stakes Morning Line

Here is the morning line for the Preakness Stakes. The top four finishers from the best horse racing and sports handicapper of all-time is also up

Rot All Wagers are Action No Refunds Moneyline
1 Astrology +1200
2 Norman Asbjornson +2500
3 King Congie +1800
4 Flashpoint +1600
5 Shackleford +1000
6 Sway Away +1500
7 Midnight Interlude +800
8 Dance City +1000
9 Mucho Macho Man +500
10 Dialed In +300
11 Animal Kingdom +250
12 Isn’t He Perfect +2200
13 Concealed Identity +1900
14 Mr Commons +2500
Pimlico.

Sports Betting: Mavericks vs. Thunder Vegas Odds and Predictions

The Dallas Mavericks are at the Oklahoma City Thunder in Game 3 of the Western Conference Finals.  The point spread is Oklahoma City (-3) with a total of 202. The best-of-seven game series is deadlocked at a game apiece.

Dallas enters with a 66-28 straight up mark, 55-37 against the spread going over 54-29. On the road they are 31-15 outright, 30-16 to the sportsbooks going over 27-19. In the postseason, they are 9-3 outright, 11-1 to the number.

Oklahoma City is 64-32 straight up and 50-43 to the number. At home they are 36-12 straight up and 24-22 spread wise. In OKC, they have exceeded the total at a 29-19 rate. In the playoffs, they are 9-5 and 7-6 respectively.

For the year Dallas makes 47.5 percent of their field goals to teams that normally allow 45.9 while allow 45.0 to teams normally getting 45.8.

The Thunder make 46.2 percent from the field to defenses that permit 45.9. They allow 45.4 to teams that usually get 46 percent.

Spread betting trends (all records are against the spread): The Mavericks are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog of 0.5-4.5, 12-3 to teams with a winning record.

Oklahoma City 6-1 versus an opponent with a winning percentage of .600 or above, but 3-8 home versus an opponent with a winning road record. Road team is 18-7 in the series.

Over/under trends: Oklahoma City over 8-2 road underdogs.

Top expert pick on this game: The wunderkinds of The Canadian Crew have the biggest release by any sports betting service all postseason. It’s the 2011 NBA Playoffs Total of the Year. The Crew has never had a losing month and is well on the way to a May treasure chest.  Get the picks

Tampa Rays-Florida Marlins MLB Wagering Odds Pick

OffshoreInsiders.com Senior Sports Handicapper Matt Rivers has a free pick winner for Friday is on the Tampa Rays (+137) to Florida.

Anibal Sanchez of late has looked like the guy who threw that no-hitter a few seasons back but with that said the number is still too high.  Florida is all in all not as good as they played over the first six or so weeks. Hanley and the boys flew out of the gate to a well above .500 record but they are just not 24-16 type good, no how no way. Certainly I like Ramirez and the upside of Mike Stanton and Logan Morrison among a few others but the fish are not an elite type squad at this point and will come back down to Earth as we have seen in these last few games.

Tampa Bay meanwhile stunk the first week of the season but has been really good since. Andy Sonnanstine isn’t great but he is good enough to hold his own as we saw a few seasons back in the World Series season when he was actually very good at times. With Evan Longoria back the Rays have been solid and Joe Maddon is once again proving to be a top-notch manager.

If Sanchez twirls another gem tonight which he has done the past few starts then so be it but both of those were against the fairly weak and banged up Nationals and today I expect the right-hander to be in some more jams against the surging Rays.

This game is once again the epitome of how to win betting baseball. It’s not an absolute lock of my life or anything of that nature. In fact after 9 innings we may lose this thing. But Tampa Bay most definitely can win this game and if this situation plays out 1,000 times we will win more than enough to make money against this too high price and that is a value, period.

Top expert pick on this game: Tampa from Matt Rivers

For more information: It’s now eight of 10 winning days and 48 of the past 75 with the profit being 7.6 million stars after the 2-1 winning Thursday. The 200,000* Thunder won outright and the 300,000* Rockies won by a billion in a small winning day but another winning day.

Three more winners today in a rare 900,000* Underdog 3Pack. A trio of evening 300,000* Baseball underdogs that will smack around that Crookie one more time! Click now to purchase

Indians vs. White Sox Odds

The free pick Wednesday is on the Cleveland Indians (+105) White Sox.

Reasoning: I am not at all going to call this price a value because going to Chicago with this Cleveland team, no matter what the records say, is not going to be easy. Sure the Indians are playing out of their minds and definitely appear to be the far better team right now but they are still a bit of a little brother in this relationship as the White Sox have been the far superior team for a few years now. With that said though Ozzie Guillen’s boys have been sketchy for the bulk of the season and I just do not trust Jake Peavy at all anymore making me all right with Cleveland.

Justin Masterson was pitching lights out until that last start at home against Tampa. That egg erased seven straight quality starts and I’ll give the tall right-hander a mulligan for that performance and chalk it up to something that will just happen every now and then to every pitcher in the league. The guy has been striking out a ton of batters and just flat out dominating. Peavy used to fit that description but after all of the injuries and time off who the heck really knows what this guy even has anymore. I would say five or six decent innings would be about the ceiling today for the former Padre.

Grady Sizemore is on the shelf again but Santana, Hafner, Choo, Cabrera and the visitors are playing at a ridiculously high level and in a complimentary type play I’ll jump on their bus today against the “good guys”.

Top expert pick on this game: Cleveland

For more information: It’s now seven of eight winning days and 47 of the past 73 with the profit at 8.3 million stars. Just sit back a second and think about those numbers, rather freakin’ gaudy, huh? But once again I am far from content as today is the day that I must get. That is the past and meaningless as far as I am concerned.

Two more fire hot locks with another 400,000* involving Miami and Chicago on the hardwoods. I’m already 1-0 in this series and about to be 2-0. Bonus 300,000* from the City of Brotherly Love in the game on the diamond between the Rockies and Phillies. 2-0? Heck yes! Click now to purchase

MLB Free Pick Twins vs. Mariners

Your free pick winner for Tuesday is on the Minnesota Twins (+170) at Seattle.

Reasoning: I backed Minnesota yesterday in this spot and I’m going to do the exact same thing for pretty much the exact same reason despite getting burned. No matter how bad Ron Gardenhire’s Twinkies have been to start the season and no matter how good Seattle’s starting pitcher Felix Hernandez is tonight the Mariners are still an awful ballclub that can’t be laying such a number to anybody anywhere.

Yes Hernandez is the reigning Cy Young award winner and a guy that can be as filthy as they come but his supporting offense is as weak hitting as there is in baseball and even Ichiro isn’t great anymore. Certainly these guys have the better record than their opponent as today’s visitors continue to implode without Joe Mauer but I’m truly hard pressed to believe that this Twins squad has just completely lost it. Guys like Morneau, Kubel, Young and Span are quality ballplayers including a former MVP and if we get the good Francisco Liriano could get a total steal of a price.

Liriano was not sharp in that last outing but it is somewhat excusable as he hurled that no-hitter in the previous start. The southpaw isn’t the same electric superstar before all of the injuries but he still has a world of upside and in the end I’ll certainly grab the price with the Twins and be just fine with it, win or lose.

Top expert pick on this game: Minnesota

For more information: It’s now six of seven winning days and 46 of the past 72 after the 400,000* bomb on Shaun Marcum and the Brewers took care of business. The net profit is now a whopping 8 million stars as I have once again completely bashed that Crookie upside his head. This year has been so great I can’t even put it into words anymore. With that said I am far from content as today is the most important day of all and one that I will get!

Four winners including a pair of baseball plays on the diamond led by a 400,000* involving the Phillies and Cardinals along plus a bonus 200,000*. Another 200,000* with Oklahoma City and Dallas on the hardwoods plus an ultra rare 100,000* on the ice from Beantown between Tampa Bay and Boston. Three sports, four winners, more profit! Click now to purchase

Twins at Mariners Betting Odds

OffshoreInsiders.com Senior Sports Handicapper Matt Rivers has a free pick winner for Monday is on the Minnesota Twins (+147) to Seattle.

Reasoning: Ron Gardenhire’s Twinkies have had one of the worst six or so weeks to a season that I have ever seen them have. I don’t know how Minnesota is as bad as they are, even knowing that Joe Mauer has been injured, but they are not good at all right now and it shows in the dismal record. I’m sure these guys will pick it up a bit at some point and make a run but more than likely it will be too little too late.

Meanwhile Seattle had played a little better at times than expected and didn’t appear to be as horrific as some thought they would be but then came this current six game losing skid and the M’s are currently a bad 16-23 overall and proved once again to be one of the weaker teams in all of the major leagues. Even Ichiro doesn’t seem to be the same hitting machine, base stealing threat that he used to be and the franchise as a whole just seems to be plummeting.

Michael Pineda has been really good this season and a rare bright spot. He is a guy who should once again hold his own against the struggling Twins. Pineda has literally hurled a quality start in each of his seven trips to the hill this season and may continue that trend today. But Scott Baker is not bad at all and in what I believe will be a pitcher-dominated affair I can see the visitors poke across an extra run and pull this thing out. After all the Twins still have Morneau, Cuddyer, Young and Kubel and have to be a better overall ballclub that they have been displaying, they just have to be.

This Minnesota organization has been too good to believe they are all of a sudden regressing to this point. Baker had four great starts before that rough last outing. I expect him to atone for that here against a very weak hitting opponent and in the end to get a hefty takeback like this against a bad team is a must play, period.

Top expert pick on this game: Minnesota from Matt Rivers

For more information: It’s now five of six winning days and 45 of the past 71 after the solid 3-2 Sunday which included da 300,000* Bulls by a zillion along with the 200,000* White Sox plus 150! The profit is now north of 7.5 million stars in the past few months as the Crookie is getting his clocked cleaned as per usual!

Only one play needed today as it’s a dead solid lock from the left coast. 400,000* Brewers-Dodgers for all the marbles. Think I’ll get it? Damn straight I will! Click now to purchase

Preakness Stakes 2011 Odds: Animal Kingdom Favorite But Triple Crown Long Shot

Top sports handicapping website OffshoreInsiders.com is reporting that the Kentucky Derby winner Animal Kingdom is the favorite on the 2011 Preakness Stakes odds at Pimlico.

Here is the latest line for the 2011 Triple Crown second leg, the Preakness Stakes.

Sat, May 21, 2011 EST

Rot All Wagers are Action No Refunds Moneyline
1 Animal Kingdom +250
2 Dialed In +350
3 Nehro +450
4 Mucho Macho Man +600
5 Shackleford +900
6 Astrology +1000
7 Concealed Identity +2200
8 Dance City +1000
9 King Congie +2000
10 Mr Commons +2000
11 Norman Asbjornson +1600
12 Sway Away +1500
13 Flashpoint +1200
16 Isn’t He Perfect +3500
17 Midnight Interlude +1800
19 Ruler On Ice +2700
20 Saratoga Red +3500
Pimlico.

Speaking of Animal Kingdom winning the Triple Crown 2011, of course there are odds posted on that.

Rot All Wagers are Action No Refunds Moneyline
1 Yes Animal Kingdom Wins Triple Crown +600
2 No Animal Kingdom Does Not Win Triple Crown -1000
Pimlico.

For winning point spread picks, Joe Duffy has his picks part of GodsTips, anchor of OffshoreInsiders.com A long-time veteran of the sports betting industry, Duffy got his start at Dial Sports 976 Dial It service and eventually became the most decorated scorephone handicapper in history.