OffshoreInsiders.com Senior Sports Handicapper Matt Rivers has an NBA lock tonight on the New Jersey Nets (+5.5) at Detroit.
New Jersey isn’t a very good basketball team, I fully get that, but the Pistons aren’t exactly reliving their glory days right now and for them to be laying half a dozen or so to anybody is a bit rich if you ask me. Don’t get me wrong I will pick my spots with the boys from MoTown as I do think they still have some game with experienced veteran guys like Rip Hamilton, Tayshaun Prince, Rodney Stuckey and a few others but Stuckey is banged up and may not play and as a favorite I could never trust this current Detroit outfit.
The Nets’ record is terrible at 15-35 but they at least have won a game in their last four, unlike the Pistons, and do have talent themselves with borderline All-Stars in Brook Lopez and Devin Harris. Plus Avery Johnson’s team is a perfect 2-0 so far this season in the series including an easy 15 point victory a few weeks ago.
I like to use a certain analogy every now and then and it fits perfectly in this spot. This play is akin to a game of Black Jack. I readily admit that we are the poor hand of six. But when the dealer is a 16, which the Pistons are, then all of a sudden our six is looking a whole heck of a lot better. Overall the six isn’t good but when put into this type of a spot it very easily may be good enough
For more information: Matt Rivers nailed a 300,000* Oregon State plus 13 outright by 12 and the 200,000* Heat were pretty much never in doubt. That’s how it’s done and that’s how one atones for a rare poor day. All is once again right as usual and now I’m raising that bar with a major 400,000* release in the MAAC between Manhattan and Siena along with another 200,000* winner from the Association involving the Mavericks and Celtics. Feeling great and ready to bury that Crookie as I do many, many more times than not! Get the card now at OffshoreInsiders.com
So who are the NBA’s best “margin of cover” (+/- how much they did or did not cover by) teams, renamed the “sweat barometer” by some of the Johnny-come-lately handicappers?
MOC is similar to scoring margin, but it is measured by how much a team covers or fails to cover the point spread.
Many sports handicappers believe MOC is invaluable in isolating under and overvalued teams.
The Bulls top the list of best:
Team Margin of Cover
Chicago +3.1
Philadelphia +2.7
New Orleans +2.2
Memphis +2.0
Now to the worst—or best to bet against:
Team Margin of Cover
Cleveland -4.4
Utah -2.4
Which NBA teams are best to bet on after a straight up win? Here we go:
Team ATS Record
New York 19-6
Philadelphia 14-7
Dallas 20-10
LA Clippers 12-6
As it turns out there is only one clear-cut team to bet against off an outright win:
Team ATS Record
Washington 1-12
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