Your comp winner for Friday in on UConn against Rutgers laying laying five points with a total of 44, though some books have 43. The free pick is from Matt Rivers.
It’s almost blasphemy to lay points like this in-conference on the road at night but Greg Schiano’s Rutgers program is reeling a bit of late and all in all are just not very good. The Scarlet Knights were the second ranked team in the entire nation, literally, about four years ago and ever since things have gone downhill a bit. I definitely like Schiano and his chopping wood mentality but the talent for whatever reason just does not really seem to be there. Plus quarterback Tom Savage is banged up and may or may not play tonight.
Connecticut had high hopes in the beginning of the season and then they were flattened in Ann Arbor in the opener. That looked to be an awful loss but after seeing Denard Robinson and the Wolverines a month later we now realize how Rich Rodriguez’ squad is a lot better than anybody thought they were. Therefore that defeat is not as bad as it appeared. A 20-point loss is still not good at all but it’s not as bad of a reflection as we once thought and we have been seeing just that pretty much ever since. I say “pretty much” because the defeat at Temple wasn’t great either but Al Golden has a much-improved squad and the road is never easy. The other three games were really easy for Randy Edsall’s boys and I think that high quality group will show up today.
Jordan Todman is a star running back and Zach Frazer is a solid enough signal caller who has hooked up a bunch with Michael Smith. This thing isn’t going to be easy in New Jersey as Ray Rice’ alma mater will be all sorts of fired up to get after it but they are lacking a lot as the dreadful last home loss to Tulane showed and we may be seeing the bottom start to fall out of this program.
Expect a semi defensive game and a 23-10 UConn type of a victory.
The pick: Connecticut -5
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