ESPN3 Iowa vs. Penn State, Oregon vs. Stanford Sport Bet Picks

Underwhelmed by the Chad Millman “line shifts” articles? Join the crowd. Super book Bodog takes a look at ESPN3, ESPN, ESPN2, ABC and other contests.  Here is part one.

They start with Oregon vs. Stanford. The Pac-10 seems to be back in force this season, and the winner of Saturday night’s huge clash between Stanford and Oregon not only will have the inside track to the conference title (remember that USC can’t win it) but also be a major player in the national championship race. The Ducks are 7-point favorites on Bodog’s NCAA Football Odds

This could well be one of the most entertaining games of the year as Oregon leads the nation in scoring (second in yards per game, fourth in rushing) and Stanford is No. 4. Last year they combined for 93 points in a Stanford 9-point upset. Oregon has had at least one play of 60 yards or more in all four games this season. A whopping 11 of Oregon’s 24 offensive drives resulting in a touchdown have lasted 56 seconds or less and 19 have lasted 1:49 or less. Running back LaMichael James has been ridiculous so far, rushing 58 times for 455 yards (7.8 ypc) and four touchdowns despite  missing the opener.

Stanford enters off its first win at Notre Dame in 19 years and is 4-0 for the first time in 24 seasons. The Cardinal have not played in a game where both teams were ranked inside the Top 10 since 1970. That was the last time they won a game while ranked in the Top 10. This will be the first time Oregon and Stanford have faced each other as ranked teams.

The Cardinal are led by Heisman candidate Andrew Luck, who has thrown for 912 yards with 11 touchdowns and just two picks. But the Cardinal running game, even without Toby Gerhart (who crushed the Ducks last year), has been great in averaging 223.2 yards over four games. That could be a problem for Oregon, as it allowed 210 yards rushing to Arizona State last week. Last year, Stanford rushed for 254 yards against the Ducks.

Stanford leads the all-time series 44-28-1, including a 9-9 mark at Autzen, but Oregon has won seven of the past eight against the Cardinal. The Ducks’ average margin of victory at home in this series is 26.8 points dating to 2002. Since 1999, Oregon is 8-9 against Top-10 teams.

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Now one of the few sportsbooks to get the most prestigious honor of the all, “Sportsbook of the Year” by OffshoreInsiders.com takes a look at today’s top betting action with Penn State vs. Iowa.

Both Penn State and Iowa already have suffered a non-conference loss this season so a national title is out of the picture, but the winner of Saturday night’s game could emerge as the main contender to Ohio State for the Big Ten championship. The Hawkeyes are 7-point favorites on Bodog’s NCAA Football Odds

The Nittany Lions and Hawkeyes are meeting for the 23rd time, with the series deadlocked at 11-11. The visiting team has won 14 of the 22 series games, including last year, when Iowa rallied in the fourth quarter to post a 21-10 victory in Beaver Stadium. PSU has lost three in a row at Kinnick Stadium – including a crushing defeat two years ago to ruin an unbeaten season.

Penn State true freshman QB Rob Bolden didn’t fare too well in his first road game this year, going 13-for-29 for 144 yards and two picks at Alabama. And Iowa’s defense might actually be better than the Tide’s this year. Overall Bolden has completed 60 percent of his 113 passes for 823 yards with three touchdowns and five interceptions. He’s rushed 16 times for 45 yards and one score. PSU has had some trouble in the red zone. The Nittany Lions have just six touchdowns on 15 trips inside the 20, with another five ending with field goals.

Iowa leads the nation in total defense (227.5), ranks third in rushing defense (65.5) and fifth in scoring defense (12.0). Its star on that side of the ball is preseason All-American defensive end Adrian Clayborn. Last year his punt block and return for a touchdown that helped lift unranked Iowa past No. 5 Penn State. He has been double-teamed on pretty much every play this year and has just 15 tackles, 1.5 tackles for loss and two quarterback hurries with no sacks. Last year he had 11.5 sacks, 20 tackles for loss and four forced fumbles.

QB Ricky Stanzi leads the Iowa offense. He has completed 66.7 percent of his passes, throwing for 999 yards and nine touchdowns and one interception. The workhorse on the ground is Adam Robinson, who has rushed for 697 yards and six touchdowns. PSU is eighth in the nation in scoring defense (12.8) and 18th in total defense (275.8).

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