NCAA Football Handicapping: Bowling Green vs Buffalo

The Bowling Green Falcons and the Buffalo Bulls will both be trying to pick up a win on Tuesday when they battle at UB Stadium.
Oddsmakers currently have the Bulls listed as 3½-point favorites versus the Falcons, while the game’s total has not yet been posted.
Tyler Sheehan was 35-for-55 passing for 341 yards with one touchdown and one interception for Bowling Green in a 24-10 loss to Central Michigan in Week 8.
The Falcons did not cover the 10-point spread, while the final score played UNDER the day’s posted total of 61.
Ike Nduka finished with 172 yards rushing for Buffalo in a 34-31 OT loss to Western Michigan in Week 8.
The Bulls covered the 5.5-point spread, while the final score played OVER the day’s posted total of 51.5.
Team records:
Bowling Green: 3-5 SU, 3-5 ATS
Buffalo: 3-5 SU, 3-4 ATS
Bowling Green most recently:
When playing in November are 7-3
When playing on turf are 4-6
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing within the conference are 5-5

Buffalo most recently:
When playing in November are 4-6
When playing on turf are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing within the conference are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Bowling Green’s last 7 games on the road
Bowling Green is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Bowling Green is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
Bowling Green is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Buffalo is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Bowling Green
Buffalo is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Buffalo is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Bowling Green
Next up:
Bowling Green at Miami (Ohio), Thursday, November 12
Buffalo home to Ohio, Tuesday, November 10

 

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