NCAA Football Handicapping: Michigan vs Michigan State

The fans at Spartan Stadium will be treated to a game between the Michigan Wolverines and the Michigan State Spartans when they take their seats on Saturday.
Oddsmakers currently have the Spartans listed as 3½-point favorites versus the Wolverines, while the game’s total has not yet been posted.
Tate Forcier’s 26-yard pass to Martavious Odoms with 2:29 left lifted Michigan to a 36-33 win over Indiana in Week 4.
The Wolverines failed to cover as heavy 18-point favorites, while the final score played OVER the day’s posted total of 53.5.
Both Kirk Cousins and Keith Nichol threw two touchdown passes for Michigan State in a 38-30 loss to Wisconsin in Week 4.
The Spartans did not cover the 1.5-point spread, while the final score played OVER the day’s posted total of 52.5.
Current streak:
Michigan has won 4 straight games.
Michigan State has lost 3 straight games.
Team records:
Michigan: 4-0 SU, 3-1
ATS
Michigan State
: 1-3 SU, 1-2 ATS
Michigan most recently:
When playing in October are 6-4
When playing on grass are 5-5
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing within the conference are 3-7

Michigan State most recently:
When playing in October are 5-5
When playing on grass are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing within the conference are 7-3

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Michigan’s last 8 games on the road
Michigan is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Michigan State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Michigan’s last 5 games
Michigan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Michigan State’s last 5 games when playing Michigan
Michigan State is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
Michigan State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Michigan
Michigan State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Michigan
Next up:
Michigan at Iowa, Saturday, October 10
Michigan State at Illinois, Saturday, October 10

 

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