MichiganState takes on Connecticut in the first game of the Final Four from Ford Field.The winner will take on the victor of Villanova-Connecticut. The 2009 Final Four Vegas odds and point spread has Connecticut as a four-point favorite according to BetUs Sportsbook with the total at 135 at Sports Betting Sportsbook.
The elite sports handicappers have compiled the official betting preview of that game. The Spartans come in 30-6 straight up and 19-13 against the spread. Stevie Vincent, Senior Handicapper at OffshoreInsiders.com and the founder of the revolutionary forensic sports handicapping reminds us, “MichiganState is not exactly playing on a neutral court,” as the Final Four is in their home state.
Connecticut is 31-4 straight up and 17-14 to the Las Vegas betting odds. MichiganState enters hotter spread wise, covering 12-of-15. Though the Huskies have cashed the ticket in all four NCAA Tournament games, they are still just 5-6 their last 11 against the sportsbooks.
Connecticut has the edge in the statistical categories professional bettors utilize most: offensive and defensive field goal percentage net ratio. MichiganState makes 3.1 percent more of their shots than their opponents normally allow, but that’s compared to 4.9 for UConn.
On defense, MSU holds teams to 4.6 percent below their normal shooting percentage, but the Huskies have an even better net ratio of 6.4.
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As far as some against the spread records: the Spartans have covered six straight non-conference games and are a fantastic 23-6 versus an opponent winning percentage of .600 or greater. The Huskies are 41-20 as a favorite of 6.5 or less.
Over/under bettors will want to note that MichiganState has gone under 8-2 off a spread win. Conversely, Connecticut has gone over 7-1 in the Big Dance as a favorite and over 22-8 on neutral courts.
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