|
Divisional bragging rights will be on the line on Wednesday when the Seattle Mariners and the Texas Rangers meet at Rangers Ballpark.
The Mariners will pin their hopes on the pitching of righthander Felix Hernandez in this game. Hernandez has a 9-8 record and a 3.27 ERA this season.
Starting this game for the Rangers will be Dustin Nippert. The righthander has a 9.65 ERA to go along with a 0-2 record this season.
NewBodog oddsmakers currently have the Rangers listed as 103-moneyline favorites versus the Mariners, while the game’s total has not yet been posted.
Josh Hamilton went 3-for-4 with three runs batted in to lead the Rangers past the Mariners 6-4 on Tuesday night.
Hank Blalock was 2-for-4 with two RBIs for the Rangers, while winning pitcher Brandon McCarthy gave up two runs over six innings for
Raul Ibanez knocked in two runs for
Team records:
Texas: 68-72 SU Seattle most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 5-5 Before playing NY Yankees are 1-9 After playing Texas are 2-8 After a loss are 4-6 Texas most recently: A few trends to consider:
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games Seattle is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing Texas Texas is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Seattle Texas is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games Texas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home Next up:
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Monthly Archives: September 2008
Orioles-Red Sox Preview
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The Baltimore Orioles will be fighting to snap a losing streak on Wednesday when they take on the Boston Red Sox at
The Orioles will trot Lance Cormier out to the mound in this one. Righthander Cormier has a 0-0 record and a 0.00 ERA as a starter this season.
Cormier’s opponent in this one will be Daisuke Matsuzaka. The Red Sox righthander has a 2.82 ERA to go along with a 16-2 record this season.
Odds aren’t yet posted for this game, so check back later for the opening line and total.
Dustin Pedroia went 3-for-5 with a three-run jack and five runs batted in to lead the Red Sox over the Orioles 14-2 on Tuesday night.
David Ortiz was 3-for-3 with four RBIs for the Red Sox, while winning pitcher Jon Lester allowed one run over five innings for
Kevin Millar and Alex Cintron knocked in runs for
Current streak:
Team records:
Boston: 81-57 SU Baltimore most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 2-8 Before playing Oakland are 2-8 After playing Boston are 2-8 After a loss are 2-8 Boston most recently: A few trends to consider:
Baltimore is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Boston Baltimore is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Boston Baltimore is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road Baltimore is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Baltimore Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Baltimore Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games Next up:
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Braves-Marlins Who Will Cover?
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The Atlanta Braves and the Florida Marlins will both be gunning for a victory on Wednesday when they meet at Dolphin Stadium.
Righthander Jorge Campillo will take the mound for the Braves to start this game. Campillo is 7-7 this season with a 4.06 ERA.
Campillo’s opponent in this one will be Chris Volstad. The Marlins righthander has a 3.31 ERA to go along with a 3-3 record this season.
NewBodog oddsmakers currently have the Marlins listed as 130-moneyline favorites versus the Braves, while the game’s total has not yet been posted.
Ruben Gotay’s RBI-double in the top of the ninth inning was the difference, as the Braves outgunned the Marlins 16-14 on Tuesday night.
Kelly Johnson was 4-for-5 with four runs batted in for the Braves, while Jorge Julio picked up the win in relief of starter Charlie Morton for
Alfredo Amezaga went 2-for-6 with five RBIs for
Team records:
Florida: 70-69 SU Atlanta most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 5-5 Before playing Washington are 5-5 After playing Florida are 5-5 After a win are 2-8 Florida most recently: A few trends to consider:
Atlanta is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing Florida Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Florida Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road Florida is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games Florida is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta Florida is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing Atlanta Florida is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games at home Next up:
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Yankees-Rays Pointspread Pointers
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The New York Yankees and the Tampa Bay Rays will meet on the field at Tropicana Field on Wednesday in a battle of division rivals.
Righthander Carl Pavano will take the mound for the Yankees to start this game. Pavano is 2-0 this season with a 3.27 ERA.
It’ll be Edwin Jackson toeing the rubber for the Rays in this contest. Righthander Jackson is 11-8 with a 3.81 ERA so far this season.
NewBodog oddsmakers currently have the Rays listed as 125-moneyline favorites versus the Yankees, while the game’s total has not yet been posted.
Xavier Nady hit a two-run homer, as the Yankees dumped the Rays 7-2 on Tuesday night.
Alex Rodriguez went 2-for-3 with a solo shot for the Yankees, while Mike Mussina gave up two runs over six innings to earn the victory for
Cliff Floyd and Shawn Riggans plated runs for
Current streak:
Team records:
New York most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 7-3 Before playing Tampa Bay are 7-3 After playing Tampa Bay are 5-5 After a win are 5-5 Tampa Bay most recently: A few trends to consider:
NY Yankees are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games on the road NY Yankees are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay NY Yankees are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay NY Yankees are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games Tampa Bay is 3-6 SU in their last 9 games when playing at home against NY Yankees Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Yankees Next up:
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White Sox-Indians Preview
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If familiarity breeds contempt, there should be animosity aplenty on Wednesday when the Chicago White Sox and the Cleveland Indians meet at Progressive Field.
Javier Vazquez will be the starting pitcher for the White Sox on this day. Righthander Vazquez is 10-12 this season with a 4.38 ERA.
Meanwhile, it’ll be Jeremy Sowers who starts for the Indians. Lefthander Sowers is 2-7 with a 6.41 ERA so far this season.
NewBodog oddsmakers currently have the White Sox listed as 140-moneyline favorites versus the Indians, while the game’s total has not yet been posted.
Victor Martinez smashed a two-run homer, as the Indians rolled past the White Sox 9-3 on Tuesday night.
Asdrubal Cabrera went 3-for-4 with two runs batted in for the Indians, while Fausto Carmona allowed three runs over 5 2-3 innings to get the win for
Nick Swisher and Juan Uribe drove in runs for
Current streak:
Team records:
Cleveland: 67-70 SU When playing on Wednesday are 4-6 Before playing LA Angels are 4-6 After playing After a loss are 6-4
A few trends to consider:
Chi White Sox are 9-3 SU in their last 12 games when playing Cleveland Chi White Sox are 8-15 SU in their last 23 games when playing on the road against Cleveland Chi White Sox are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games on the road Chi White Sox are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games Cleveland is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games Cleveland is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home Cleveland is 15-8 SU in their last 23 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox Cleveland is 3-9 SU in their last 12 games when playing Chi White Sox Next up:
Chi White Sox home to LA Angels, Friday, September 5 |
NFL Spreads Are Not the Only NFL Odds to Beat: Don’t Forget Moneylines
It was somewhere around 25 years ago – an eon in the prospering life of modern sports betting – that Nevada’s licensed bookmakers first began employing money lines. The action was one of necessity as bet takers, in an effort to limit their susceptibility at being caught between two numbers (a situation called being middled or sided) sought a profitable (for them) but reasonably attractive (for bettors) alternative to moving pointspreads.
With money lines, (which are the wagering standard for baseball), players don’t lay or take points; they lay or take a price. For example, if the Colts are a 3-point favorite over the Broncos, on the money line,
“The time when a money line is really used in force is on a game such as the Super Bowl where a side or a middle literally could cost you millions of dollars,” explained a noted
“The time that a money line is really valuable is when the line is -3. Rather than moving the spread to -2 ½ or -3 ½, I like using a money line, especially if my jeopardy is going to be around seven figures.”
Of course, a bookmaker’s jeopardy or risk is a relative factor.
“Again, it’s up to the guy running the joint,” pointed out the bet taker. “Obviously, if you’re on -3 and you’re $2 million high, if you go to -3 ½ you know you’re going to get money back. How much do you want to risk? It all comes down to how much belly you have.”
Bookmakers also use money lines when they hang halftime lines, a game within a game where pointspreads based solely and independently on single halftime scores are offered.
“Halves are pretty treacherous,” admitted the bookmaker. “Using a money line is a tactical move because I think that’s the only way you can really book halftimes. If it’s pick with the money line and the game comes tied, all you do is give the money back. But it’s dangerous to go from pick to 1, pick to a ½ or pick to 1 on the other side because, quite obviously, if the game winds up 7-7 at the half, you’re going to lose a lot of money.
“That’s a strategic move because there are a lot smarter people betting the halftime than in a normal situation. When you take decent sized bets – say $10,000 to a number – using the pick money line pointspread for a halftime, I believe, is the best theory.”
Sports betting action usually dictates change but pointspreads don’t always move in tandem with money line shifts, and vice versa.
“It all depends,” said another bookmaker who also felt a bit squeamish discussing internal oddsmaking deliberations and demanded anonymity. “If wiseguys (informed bettors) are laying a side up, yeah, most of the time I will move the pointspread. But if it’s square (unsophisticated) money that moving the number, I’ll just leave it there because I don’t want to kill all the action. Sometimes, if you leave it there, they’ll bet that up, too. But if games are moving, especially in college, a point, a point and a half, two points a crack in an afternoon, you’ve got to move the money line. With the NFL, you can stay a little longer and take a hit.”
If there’s a player edge with money lines it’s probably in taking the odds with small underdogs. Since NFL games are decided by 1 or 2 points only about a combined seven percent of the time, some gamblers feel if you like the underdog you might as well forget the points and take a plus on the money line.
In the end, money lines are just another option sports betting option.
MONEY LINE VERSUS POINTSPREAD
|
Pointspread |
Money Line |
Range |
|
Pick |
-110 |
-110 |
|
|
||
|
1 |
-115 |
-125 |
|
|
||
|
1 ½ |
-120 |
-135 |
|
|
||
|
2 |
-125 |
-145 |
|
|
||
|
2 ½ |
-140 |
-160 |
|
|
||
|
3 |
-150 |
-170 |
|
|
||
|
3 ½ |
-160 |
-180 |
|
|
||
|
4 |
-170 |
-200 |
|
|
||
|
4 ½, 5, |
-180 |
-240 |
|
|
||
|
6 |
-200 |
-260 |
|
|
||
|
6 ½ |
-220 |
-280 |
|
|
||
|
7 |
-260 |
-350 |
|
|
||
|
7 ½ |
-300 |
-400 |
Today’s Sports Betting
The Yankees will be looking to keep their slim playoff chances alive on Tuesday night when they continue their series in
Event of the day . . .
Mike Mussina has never won 20 games in a single season, but he still has a shot at doing it this year if he can put together a win streak over the month of September.
Mussina (16-7, 3.41 ERA) was denied his 17th victory of the season last time out against the Red Sox despite holding the opposition to two earned runs on five hits over seven innings of work. The Yankees, though, still got the win in that game, and overall they’ve won each of Mussina’s last six trips to the mound (and eight of his past 10).
Countering Mussina for the Rays on Tuesday night will be Matt Garza (11-7, 3.53 ERA), who is coming off a strong performance against the Blue Jays in which he tossed 7 2-3 shutout innings in a win.
Non sports event betting…
The Levi Johnson and Bristol Palin pregnancy, improved government response to the overblown Hurricane Gustav—none of that has affected the political betting odds on the US Presidency. Since NewBodog reposted the line, Barack Obama has remained a steady -200 to win the White House.
Who would think Fox News commentator Liz Trotta would beat Keith Olbermann and Bill Mahr to the punch, being the first to grab headlines for attacking Sarah Palin over her decision to run for Vice President despite having a pregnant daughter?
We are sorry to see the passing of Don Lafontaine, one of the best voiceover talents in
Week 1 NFL picks…
The NFL odds, often referred to as the NFL lines or NFL Spreads are up. One of the best ever with NFL picks, Stevie Vincent of OffshoreInsiders.com tells us that NFL schedule is looking pretty and this will be one of the best opening NFL weekends as far as beating the NFL spread.
As, Cy McCormick informs us that the new AP Top 25 in college football means that StatMaven Sports will have a sensational system play this weekend that applies to teams ranked in the AP poll in college football (college football odds). Don’t forget the famed Tailgate Party to beat the pointspreads in college and professional football.
Non-event of the day . . .
Ian Snell and Aaron Harang were expected to be their team’s aces this season, but neither of them has performed up to expectations. Snell is 5-10 with a 5.77 ERA so far this year, while Harang is an ugly 4-14 with a 5.27 ERA. At most one of those two pitchers will be able to add to their loss total on Tuesday, however, as Harang’s Reds play host to Snell’s Pirates in the opener of a three-game divisional series.
Betting event of the day…
Hello, it’s no-brainer time. It’s not going to get bigger than this.
Also on the schedule . . .
The key games between playoff contenders in the National League on Tuesday are the Mets at
Over in the American League the Red Sox will be keeping their eyes on the Yankees/Rays results as they play host to the Orioles on Tuesday. Rounding out the
Finally, there are three WNBA games on Tuesday as that league gets closer to the end of its regular season. At
News from the wire . . .
Major League Baseball teams were able to expand their rosters on Monday, with many minor leaguers getting the call to the show . . . Dodgers second baseman Jeff Kent was placed on the disabled list with a knee injury; no timetable has been set for his return . . . Bengals wide receiver Chad Johnson says his shoulder is at 100 percent . . . Bills quarterback Trent Edwards has recovered from his quad injury and will start Week 1.
Peek at the future . . .
It’ll be Carl Pavano (2-0, 3.27 ERA) taking on Edwin Jackson (11-8, 3.81) in the Yankees/Rays matchup on Wednesday . . . the Patriots are the NFL’s biggest Week 1 favorites, as they’ve been given a line of -16.5 to beat the Chiefs at home on Sunday afternoon . . . Clint Bowyer has a slim lead on David Ragan in the Sprint Cup standings heading into the final pre-Chase race of the season on Saturday at Richmond.
Moneylines in Betting the NFL Odds
It was somewhere around 25 years ago – an eon in the
prospering life of modern sports betting – that Nevada’s licensed bookmakers
first began employing money lines. The action was one of necessity as bet
takers, in an effort to limit their susceptibility at being caught between two
numbers (a situation called being middled or sided) sought a profitable (for
them) but reasonably attractive (for bettors) alternative to moving
pointspreads.
With money lines, (which are the wagering standard for baseball), players don’t
lay or take points; they lay or take a price. For example, if the Colts are a
3-point favorite over the Broncos, on the money line,
might be -160 (bet $160 to win $100) while
is +140 (bet $100 to win $140). No pointspread is involved.
”The time when a money line is really used in force is on a game such as the
Super Bowl where a side or a middle literally could cost you millions of
dollars,” explained a noted
bookmaker with vast knowledge of the intricacies of money line management who
asked not to be identified. “At a really large sportsbook, getting sided on the
Super Bowl could cost the house well over $1 million.
”The time that a money line is really valuable is when the line is -3. Rather
than moving the spread to -2 ½ or -3 ½, I like using a money line, especially
if my jeopardy is going to be around seven figures.”
Of course, a bookmaker’s jeopardy or risk is a relative factor.
”Again, it’s up to the guy running the joint,” pointed out the bet taker. “Obviously,
if you’re on -3 and you’re $2 million high, if you go to -3 ½ you know you’re
going to get money back. How much do you want to risk? It all comes down to how
much belly you have.”
Bookmakers also use money lines when they hang halftime lines, a game within a
game where pointspreads based solely and independently on single halftime
scores are offered.
”Halves are pretty treacherous,” admitted the bookmaker. “Using a money line is
a tactical move because I think that’s the only way you can really book
halftimes. If it’s pick with the money line and the game comes tied, all you do
is give the money back. But it’s dangerous to go from pick to 1, pick to a ½ or
pick to 1 on the other side because, quite obviously, if the game winds up 7-7
at the half, you’re going to lose a lot of money.
”That’s a strategic move because there are a lot smarter people betting the
halftime than in a normal situation. When you take decent sized bets – say
$10,000 to a number – using the pick money line pointspread for a halftime, I
believe, is the best theory.”
Sports betting action usually dictates change but pointspreads don’t always
move in tandem with money line shifts, and vice versa.
”It all depends,” said another bookmaker who also felt a bit squeamish
discussing internal oddsmaking deliberations and demanded anonymity. “If
wiseguys (informed bettors) are laying a side up, yeah, most of the time I will
move the pointspread. But if it’s square (unsophisticated) money that moving
the number, I’ll just leave it there because I don’t want to kill all the
action. Sometimes, if you leave it there, they’ll bet that up, too. But if
games are moving, especially in college, a point, a point and a half, two
points a crack in an afternoon, you’ve got to move the money line. With the
NFL, you can stay a little longer and take a hit.”
If there’s a player edge with money lines it’s probably in taking the odds with
small underdogs. Since NFL games are decided by 1 or 2 points only about a
combined seven percent of the time, some gamblers feel if you like the underdog
you might as well forget the points and take a plus on the money line.
In the end, money lines are just another option sports betting option.
MONEY LINE VERSUS POINTSPREAD
|
Pointspread |
Money Line |
Range |
|
Pick |
-110 |
-110 |
|
|
||
|
1 |
-115 |
-125 |
|
|
||
|
1 ½ |
-120 |
-135 |
|
|
||
|
2 |
-125 |
-145 |
|
|
||
|
2 ½ |
-140 |
-160 |
|
|
||
|
3 |
-150 |
-170 |
|
|
||
|
3 ½ |
-160 |
-180 |
|
|
||
|
4 |
-170 |
-200 |
|
|
||
|
4 ½, 5, |
-180 |
-240 |
|
|
||
|
6 |
-200 |
-260 |
|
|
||
|
6 ½ |
-220 |
-280 |
|
|
||
|
7 |
-260 |
-350 |
|
|
||
|
7 ½ |
-300 |
-400 |
|
|
||
This article was written by Luken Karel for http://www.thegreek.com.