The pre-show notes about the effectiveness of contrarian betting. Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy, CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com reveals why this handicapping tool is making a comeback and how to exploit it. Beat sportsbooks like MyBookie with this intel.
What is Contrarian Betting
- Betting against the public
- Uses basic rule of oddsmaking: odds not a prediction, but to get balanced action
- Lines shaded to public biases
- Betting percentages reveal public biases
How to Calculate Contrarian Betting
- Most effected based on percentage of bets not money
- $5 bet counts same as $5,000
- Smaller bettors best for contrarian info
- Public loves favorites and overs
- Sliding scale to consider that
- 55 percent on 6.5-point dog roughly equal to 70 percent on 6.5-point favorite
Public Sources of Contrarian Betting
- Sports Insights/Action Network
- Pregame
- Oddsshark
- Fanduel
- Sportsbook Review
- BetNJ
- Etc. plus…
- Covers Consensus
- Yes contest site, perfect for unskilled bettor intel
Making Big Comeback
- Legalization means media sites large and small making picks
- Hire entry level writers who know nothing about gambling and post quintessential square plays
- Tailed by gamblers
- More neophyte gamblers than ever
Conclusion
- Best as corroborating but gaining traction as percentage of tenderfoot cappers increase
- Get Joe Duffy’s Picks at OffshoreInsiders.com exploiting all proven weapons