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January 28, 2020

Jan 27 Free Pick, NBA Injuries, Who Public is Betting On

Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy of OffshoreInsiders.com has four free picks in college basketball.

Nova (-2,143) at St John’s 

Nova 19th in the nation on offensive efficiency, while St. Johns 38th on defense 

Nova 46th on defense. St. John’s 100th on offensive efficiency 

Red Storm has won 2-of-3 SU in series 

Villanova Jermaine Samuels (11.1 points, 5.0 rebounds) is questionable 

Home teams that have won three or less of previous 8 yet at least 8 games over .500 463-374-20 (Red Storm)

432-337-16 if not getting more than four points

Computer projections from three independent sources: Villanova 72-70; 73-71; 72-69

The pick: St. John’s +2

FSU at UVA (Virginia -1, 115)

Virginia needs signature win as on bubble 

Underdogs ranked 7th or higher yet underdogs to unranked team are 157-110-4 (FSU) and 21-5 last two years

First meeting many turnovers Virginia 18, FSU 16

Points tough to come by for both

Virginia 4th in defensive efficiency, while FSU 31st on offense 

FSU 37th in defensive efficiency, Virginia 236 on offense 

Virginia slowest pace in nation

Computer projections from three independent sources: FSU 55-54; 57-56; 57-55

The pick: Florida State

Purdue at Rutgers (-3, 123)

Rutgers No. 6 defense, Purdue 51st offense

Purdue 11th on defense, Rutgers 72nd on offense 

Hunted rather than hunter, top 25 for first time since 1979

Big home court edge 

Computer projections from three independent sources: Rutgers 58-55; 61-59; 63-58

The pick: UNDER

Pitt at Duke (-16, 137)

Duke 5th on defense, Pitt 115th on offense

Duke 2nd offense, Pitt 56th defense

Inconsistent freshman Matthew Hurt, 6-9 big man getting into groove for Duke 

Pittsburgh little depth in front court and Duke will attack inside

Blue Devils wear them down 

Computer projections from three independent sources: Duke 80-57; 77-60; 75-59

The pick: Duke -16

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NBA injuries

Joel Embiid, PHI vs GS, Questionable 

Jayson Tatum, BOS @ MIA, Doubtful

Ricky Rubio, PHX @ DAL, Questionable 

Jae Crowder, MEM vs DEN, Questionable 

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: New Orleans; Villanova, Florida, Virginia Tech, Rutgers 

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Golden State, Atlanta, Cleveland UNDER; Virginia Tech, Villanova, George Mason

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Memphis Grizzlies; Georgetown

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: none

Top expert pick on today’s card is from Joe Duffy. JDP is 10-3 NBA. It is about to get better. Five NBA winners, led by two Wise Guys. Promises made, promises delivered.  Get the picks now

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