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January 26, 2020

Free NBA Picks, Injuries, College Basketball Public Betting Consensus

Super sharp report with news, notes, NBA injuries, a free basketball pick, sharp versus square public consensus moves and more for Sunday, January 26, 2020.

NBA

Brooklyn (-1, 221.5)-New York

Nets playing back-to-back after playing in Detroit last night

Toronto (-2, 223.5)-San Antonio

San Antonio first of back-to-back games

Toronto won six straight but last loss to Spurs 

Favorites in at least six game winning streaks and in revenge are 146-124-8

Michigan St (-4.5. 140) at Minnesota

Regression to mean angle is 971-798-30 (Michigan State) 

MSU 9-10 ats -.7

Minnesota 12-7 +4.9

Winning percentage is better in conference play

MSU 5th in offensive efficiency while Minnesota #51 on defense 

Minnesota 14th in offensive efficiency with MSU #21 on defense 

Maryland at Indiana (-2 -115, 131)

Maryland matches up well on defense ranked #7, compared to Indiana #43 on offense 

Indiana 45th defensive efficiency, while Indiana #52 on offense 

Both been much better at home than road 

Indiana under 7-1 last eight

Teams under at least 7-of-8 do stay under 4631-4403-142

NBA Injuries

James Harden, HOU @ DEN is questionable

Jrue Holiday, NO vs BOS is probable

Jae Crowder, MEM vs PHX is doubtful

Jayson Tatum, BOS @ NO is questionable 

Jaylen Brown, BOS @ NO is questionable 

Patrick Beverley, LAC @ ORL is questionable 

Sunday sharp report: 

5 Dimes lives up to their name. Many of my highest rollers bet substantial amounts of money there and always get paid. They are also the #1 book for added rotation games, niche and obscure betting as well. 5 Dimes is fully vetted. The official book of high rollers!

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Memphis Grizzlies; Drake 

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Toronto Raptors, Memphis Grizzlies; Drake, Houston Cougars 

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Portland, Denver; Evansville 

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: NY Knicks opened +1.5 now -1.5; Manhattan opened -1 now +1.5

Free pick from Joe Duffy’s Picks is:

WASHINGTON +1 Atlanta 

Road teams playing a bad team and in a bad stretch of defensive efforts are undervalued at 126-74-1. Road favorites or small underdogs on a massive high scoring streak are 644-507-15. 

Top expert pick on today’s card is from Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy. He is 10-5 the last 15 and 6-2 NBA. Wise Guy underdog Sixers win in a rout. Pro Bowl winner. We rarely make picks on All-Star games, but this one is special. Three NBA led by Wise Guy and four college basketball. Yes, 8-0 in all! Get the picks now

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