Free Sports Pick, NFL Pros vs. Joes, Biggest Line Moves Vegas, Sportsbook Liabilities

Super sharp intel for week 7 NFL. Strongest service pick: I am the best. That is the No. 1 reason why I win more than everyone else. But I also don’t force bets. Some Sundays I’ve had nine and 10 picks. Today, there are three NFL winners that rise to the level of premium pick. It is led by a Wise Guy. I am 53-23 in football. Brutal loser on Army OVER but still 6-4 yesterday. Get the picks now

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Kansas City, New England, Minnesota; Detroit OVER, Carolina OVER, Cleveland OVER

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Minnesota, Baltimore, Indianapolis; Cleveland OVER, San Francisco OVER,

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Baltimore; Kansas City UNDER, NY Jets UNDER, Cleveland OVER

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Dallas -2 but now +1

Best teams to bet on in terms of margin of cover (against the spread record followed by margin): Baltimore 4-2 by +10.2, Kansas City 6-0 by +7

Best teams to bet against in terms of margin of cover (against the spread record followed by margin): Arizona 3-3 by -8.2, Oakland 2-4 by -7.5

Biggest over teams (over-under record followed by margin; number of OVERS listed first): New Orleans 3-2 by +12.4, Kansas City 4-2 by 12.2, Tampa 5-0 by +11.8, Atlanta 5-1 by +8.2

Biggest under teams: (over-under record followed by margin; number of UNDERS listed first): Tennessee 4-2 -8.8, Baltimore 5-2 -6.2

Free pick from Joe Duffy, CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com

DETROIT -3 Miami

Road favorites off bye 63-29. Go with teams in a nice stretch of not turning ball over is 160-106. Two anti-splits angles: one is 147-99 another 126-82. Again anti-splits is when home/road records suggest home team should be favorite but it not or is not as big of a favorite as splits imply.

 

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