This is what being a professional gamblers looks like. This is what Joe Duffy’s Picks of OffshoreInsiders.com winning day 7-of-8 overall ad 15-of-21 in MLB looks like. Two of the “losing” days were simply juice. Ready to raise the bar higher than you ever have before?
CLEVELAND +1.5 Golden State
These teams have in every sense of the world played dead even with the series tied at 1-1 and for the first time in history, the first two games went into OT. Yes Golden State is the deeper team, but the Cavs have the best player on earth.
Cleveland is a city hungering for a championship and I do not think there will be a bigger home court advantage than one will see tonight. Yes during the regular season you won a ton with an angle that says to go with big road favorites with a road winning percentage less than their home team home winning percentage. But in the playoffs, small home underdogs with a better home winning percentage than the foes away winning percentage are a strong bet. In fact since 2013 such teams are 12-5-2.
NY YANKEES (TANAKA -117) Washington (Scherzer)
Washington is back struggling. As teams with so much preseason hype do, they are horrid losing 5-of-6 and 8-of-10. New York has won six straight and 10-of-13. Masahiro Tanaka has a .818 WHIP on the year and in his last three starts his ERA is 0.89 with a WHIP Of .492.
In their last five games New York has a slugging percentage edge of .522 to .366. In their last 10 games the edge is still .098.
TAMPA (KARNS -101) LA Angels (Shoemaker)
This is a sharp versus square, which is when our Vegas, offshore, and outlaw contacts tell us the majority of sharp money is betting one team, the square money the other. We go with the smart money as contrarian betting is used by many professional gamblers.
We have reduced the number of such picks after refining the metrics to raise the winning percentage. In short we have more sources that must validate it is widely authenticated.
WHITE SOX (RODON +125) Houston (Keuchel)
Yes Houston has one of the best pitchers in MLB on the mound, which is why they are heavy road favorites. But overachieving Houston is regressing to the mean having lost five straight including the previous start by Dallas Keuchel.
Home underdogs with a starting pitcher averaging five or more strikeouts per start and stranding 6.9 or fewer runners per game is 303-243 +109.5. Going with a team averaging .35 or fewer stolen bases per game versus an opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.000 or less in his last three starts is +125.8 units, though admittedly this year it has not been profitable. Still an angle that has won that much long-term is sensational.
CINCINNATI (DESCLAFANI -134) Philadelphia (Harang)
It is an outsourced pick, previous called a competitor consensus, but renamed to more accurately reflect the parameters. If we have a lean one way and one of the few sports services or sources we respect has a big pick on a certain side or if we are neutral on a pick, but at least two elite sources or contacts have a bet sans any conflicting bets from said sources, it is a bet for us as an outsourced pick.