West Virginia-North Carolina State Odds, Vegas Spread Preview

By JoeDuffy.net Administrator

It’s North Carolina State vs. West Virginia in the Champs Sports Bowl, which ironically is from Citrus Bowl Stadium in Orlando. Here is the official betting preview.

WVU is laying 2.5 or three-points, so bettors need to check out various sportsbooks for the best lines. The total is 49, pretty much across the board.

NC State is 8-4 straight up and 9-3 to the number, while the Mountaineers are 9-3 s and 7-5 against the spread.

The Wolfpack get 3.5 yards per rush to teams that normally allow 3.9, 6.8 yards per pass to 6.9, but thanks to special teams, they have a little more competitive 5.3 yards per play to 5.3.

NC State is outstanding to the run, holding teams to a full yard below their normal average, though they allow .3 more yards per pass. Overall, they allow 5.3 yards per play versus squads that earn 5.5.

West Virginia gets 3.9 yards per rush against squads that normally accumulate 4.0, an excellent 7.5 yards per pass to 6.7, and 5.4 yards per play to 5.2.

Their defense is nothing short of remarkable allowing 2.7 yards per rush to teams normally getting 3.8, 5.7 yards per pass to 6.5 and 4.2 yards per play to 5.0.

Spread betting trends (all records are against the spread): Wolfpack are 21-8 as an underdog and 21-8 on grass. WVU is 4-12 to ACC, 7-1 to teams with a winning record.

Over/under trends: West Virginia has gone over 5-1 in the bowls.

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categoriaSports Betting News | commentoNo Comments dataDecember 28th, 2010
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Saints vs. Falcons Point Spread MNF on ESPN

By JoeDuffy.net Administrator

Saints vs. Falcons in one of the best live football scores for bettors to exploit this week in football is the conflict on ESPN Monday Night Football. Atlanta is a 2.5 point favorite with a total of 50, though it’s up to 50.5 in some shops.

The most excellent football betting service skilled practitioners bring into play distinct key handicapping numbers than the losing bettor. Here is an analysis of that game from a wagering perspective.

To contrast yards per rush on offense, the pre-eminence from a arithmetical angle goes to New Orleans by the most narrow .1.

Passing yards per completion is another yardstick consumed by sports investors. The lead is owned by the Saints by .2.

Perhaps the most made use of number by certified gamblers is yards per point. From the offensive examination the better integers are is in the column of the Atlanta Falcons rise up by 1.7.

Insofar as the key records on the defensive side of the ball. The yards per rush guide says the healthier run defense is the Saints by .2.

The better-quality passing yards per completion data on defense give the upper hand to New Orleans by just .1.

In terms of yards per point, the transcendent defense is Atlanta by 1.7. The Falcons have a whopping advantage in the turnover category by 19.

Yards per point is determined by diving total yards by number of points. Offensively a lower number is considered more efficient. On defense, a higher number is better.

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Spread betting trends (all records are against the spread): New Orleans 16-5 off straight up loss, but 3-8 road and 3-8 inside the NFC South. They are 0-6 as an underdog of three or less.

Atlanta is 6-0 overall, 6-0 off a win, and 7-0 following a SU win of more than 14 points. However, they are 9-19 in home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Over/under trends: New Orleans has gone over 31-14 in road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

The Falcons have gone over 7-1 overall but under 20-7 after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.

categoriaSports Betting News | commentoNo Comments dataDecember 27th, 2010
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NFL Injuries From Week 16

By JoeDuffy.net Administrator

GA Tech vs. Air Force, Saints at Falcons picks against the spread and even the Vikings at Eagles top gamblers immediate worries, but NFL injuries will affect week 17 odds.

Week 16 saw its share of injuries but they were primarily to players from out-of-contention teams. Still, that can affect the NFL betting landscape. Let’s have a look.

Don’t worry about: Calvin Johnson (ankle), DeAngelo Hall (hamstring), Russell Okung (ankle)

Matt Hasselbeck, Seahawks: HIP

It’s ridiculous to say it, but the 6-9 Seahawks are playing for a playoff berth against the Rams next week. So losing Hasselbeck to a hip injury actually is a big deal for them. It’s too early to tell but there’s a solid chance that Seattle will turn to Charlie Whitehurst with its season on the line in Week 17.

Jon Kitna, Cowboys: OBLIQUE

Kitna took a physical and emotional beating from the Arizona Cardinals Saturday, tossing two pick-sixes before leaving with an oblique injury. Considering that Stephen McGee looked good in relief, it would make sense for the Cowboys to sit Kitna in Week 17.

Knowshon Moreno, Broncos: RIBS

This injury occurred the week prior but Moreno tried to play through it in Week 16. He totalled 41 yards on eight touches  before halftime but couldn’t finish the game. Denver pulled off the sports betting upset anyway.

Mike Tolbert, Chargers: HEAD/NECK

The bulldozing runner was a godsend for the Chargers and fantasy football general managers this season but may have played his last game of 2010 yesterday. He was carted off after a helmet-to-helmet hit from Bengals safety Reggie Nelson. Even if he feels well enough to play next week, the Chargers would be silly to put him in harm’s way now that they’re eliminated from playoff contention.

Arrelious Benn, Buccaneers: KNEE

It’s too bad the Bucs won’t have Benn, a rapidly improving rookie wideout, next week when they try to squeak into the playoffs. He took a helmet to the knee yesterday, tore a ligament and has been placed on injured reserve.

categoriaSports Betting News | commentoNo Comments dataDecember 27th, 2010
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Air Force vs. GA Tech Picks

By JoeDuffy.net Administrator

Your free pick winner for Monday is on the under 56 in the Bowl game between Georgia Tech and Air Force.

I am not going to write War and Peace here because there are a few simple factors that I am buying into here and that is enough for me to believe there will be less points than the oddsmaker seems to believe.

For one, both teams run this triple option attack and therefore both defenses play against it on a daily basis in practice and also have had a few extra weeks to prepare for it in this game which can be nothing but advantageous. This is not a regular week where an opponent gets its three or four days to prepare for a much different offense. These squads have had ample amount of time to figure out what they pretty much already know. Certainly executing is another step in defending today’s foe but both defenses will be as prepared as any team ever could be against the option.

I also am all about the under as throwing the ball is not the norm for either squad and therefore we will see a lot of running and consequentially a lot of the clock ticking down. In the college game the clock obviously will stop when there’s a first down but we are going to see a lot of runs leading to a lot of time running down. With both teams understanding the opposing offense I just do not see big plays being the norm here, I really don’t. The defenses should be fairly disciplined and stay with their assignments until the end of plays limiting those 50 yard gallops.

It’s unusual to see a game like this and I really believe it is keeping the oddsmakers a bit off balance. Look for the defenses to be a step in front and for this thing to not get into the 50’s in the end.

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categoriaSports Betting News | commentoNo Comments dataDecember 27th, 2010
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Air Force-GA Tech Independence Bowl Predictions and Point Spread

By JoeDuffy.net Administrator

It’s GA Tech vs. Air Force in the Independence Bowl and here is the official sports betting picks preview. Air Force is laying three-points with a total of 56.

The Yellow Jackets come into this game at 6-6 straight up and 5-6 against the spread. Air Force is 8-4 outright, but just 4-7 according to the sportsbooks.

The Ramblin’ Wreck average 5.6 yards per rush teams that normally allow 4.6, but get just 6.8 passing yards per attempt to 7.0 and accumulating 5.9 yards per play defenses that allow an average of 5.5.

Tech has been benevolent on defense allowing 4.6 yards per rush to teams normally getting just 4.1, 7.3 yards per pass to 6.8 and 5.8 yards per play to 5.4.

Air Force generates a sensational 5.5 yards per rush versus squads usually permitting 4.7, a fantastic 9.9 passing yards per attempt to 7.5 and 6.2 yards per play to 5.8.

The Falcons are generous against the run, but stingy against the pass. They allow 4.8 yards per carry teams that usually get just 4.1 but a miserly 6.1 passing yards per attempt to 7.2 for 5.3 yards per play to 5.4.

Spread betting trends (all records are against the spread): GA Tech is 1-6 off spread win.

The Falcons are 2-7 as a favorite of 0.5-3.0, 2-7 overall, 1-7 after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game, and 0-5 off straight up win.

Over/under trends: Tech has gone under 9-2 as an underdog of 0.5-3.0 and under 36-16 overall as a pup. Air Force has gone under five straight laying three or less.

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categoriaSports Betting News | commentoNo Comments dataDecember 27th, 2010
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Jets vs. Bears NFL Picks

By JoeDuffy.net Administrator

NFL Weather is wreaking havoc. As of 11:17 EST, the Eagles-Vikings game was still one, but the NFL offices have admitted that is the one game in jeopardy. As it turns out, the snow was supposed to start at 7 AM in Philadelphia and still has not commenced four-plus hours later.

The hottest sports service in NFL betting history has a premium pick winner.

New York Jets at Chicago Bears (-1) – Sunday at 1:00 p.m. ET

The Bears (10-4, 7-6-1 ATS) have clinched the NFC North, so they’re gunning for the second-seed in the NFC. They’re on a pretty good roll after crushing Minnesota 40-14 last week, winning their sixth game in seven tries. The offense achieved nice balance against the Vikings; Jay Cutler completed 14 of his 24 passes for three touchdowns and a pick while Matt Forte carried 17 times for 92 yards. The defense has been excellent, particularly against the run; Chicago is surrendering just 89 yards per game on the ground.

New York (10-4, 8-6 ATS) took care of business against Pittsburgh, winning 22-17 to end a disastrous two-game losing streak. Excluding the meltdown against New England a few weeks ago, the defense is playing pretty well, holding three of its last four opponents to 17, 10 and 10 points. Unfortunately, the offense looks rather sluggish. The ground game is slowing (just 106 yards on 27 carries against Pittsburgh) while Mark Sanchez has turned into a turnover machine. Last week was the first time in eight games he didn’t throw a pick.

At the end of the day, there’s more on the line for the Jets. Chicago is just coming off clinching the division title, whereas New York is playing for its live. New York has the defense to create a few turnovers and limit Chicago’s attack.

Top expert pick on this game: Take the Jets.

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categoriaSports Betting News | commentoNo Comments dataDecember 26th, 2010
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NFL Weather Week 16, NFL Free Pick

By JoeDuffy.net Administrator

NFL weather is going to be a major factor in Philadelphia, Buffalo and Cleveland for sure as New England and both New York teams are on the road. Winds are 13 mph in Buffalo with the chance of snow at 50 percent. The Jets at Bears has 90 percent chance of snow. Baltimore and Cleveland 17 mph wins with 64 percent chance of snow. The Colts-Raiders has 54 percent chance of rain. Chargers-Bengals will have 13 mph winds and a 39 percent chance of snow.

The biggest game time weather is in Philadelphia in the Vikings-Eagles. There is a 100 percent chance of snow and it will be significant. Winds are at 20 mph.

Matt Rivers Week 16 NFL picks for Sunday is on the NY Giants +3 to Green Bay.

Nobody loves Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay offense more than I do as the Pack are as dangerous as they come. Meanwhile the Giants blew that game in horrendous fashion last week at home against Philadelphia. So why do I like the boys from New York? Because Tom Coughlin is a tough and gritty coach who should have his guys ready to respond in a big-time way.

There is no doubt that the G-Men completely destroyed themselves last week in the loss to the Eagles and put themselves in pretty much a must win spot today if they want to make the playoffs. Some teams would shrivel up and just quit. I really do not see this blue collar hard hitting New York team doing that though, I just don’t.

The Giants have a front four as good as anybody and have already put something like five quarterbacks out of commission. Do you not think they are licking their chops rushing a guy that just suffered his second concussion of the season? Do you not think that Rodgers may release the ball a tad quicker than normal knowing what is barreling down at him? Rodgers may make a few big plays with Greg Jennings but let’s not forget how the Pack have still struggled running the ball and losing Jermichael Finley earlier in the season will make things a lot more difficult today against the men in blue.

Eli Manning may not be as great as his brother but the guy is really good and a Super Bowl winning MVP. He has a quality running game and a receiver in Hakeem Nicks who is blowing up in a good way along with a guy in Mario Manningham that was awesome last week. Coughlin’s crew is a well rounded team that may not have the explosive offense of the Pack but in a cold weather game at Lambeau and with Rodgers coming back from the noggin injury I will take my chances on these visitors as this barking dog is backed into a corner.

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categoriaSports Betting News | commentoNo Comments dataDecember 26th, 2010
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Lions vs. Dolphins Week 16 NFL Lines

By JoeDuffy.net Administrator

We contrast the key success indicators used by pro bettors against both the college football schedule and in successful wagering on the NFL for the Lions vs. Dolphins.

The superior team in terms of rushing yards per attempt on offense is Detroit by .3.

Also on offense, when it comes to yards per reception the figures give the eminence to Miami by .7.

Vegas sharps exploit yards per point. Data says the more adroit team in that classification is Detroit by a large 3.2.

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Defensively on yards per rush, the disparity favors Miami by a whooping 1.1, no small margin.

The better team at stopping the air attack according to passing yards per completion is Detroit, but by just .1.

Yards per point dictates the shrewder defense belongs to Miami forcing 1.3.

In net turnovers, the preeminence is the Lions by nine.

Yards per point is determined by diving total yards by number of points. Offensively a lower number is considered more efficient. On defense, a higher number is better.

categoriaSports Betting News | commentoNo Comments dataDecember 26th, 2010
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Week 16 NFL: Raiders Host Colts

By JoeDuffy.net Administrator

This week’s football schedule includes a contest between the Colts vs. Raiders. Indianapolis is -3 on the road with a total of 47.5.

OffshoreInsiders.com takes a look at the football betting match-up using key numbers employed by professional gamblers.

In comparing yards per rush on offense, the better numbers belong to Oakland by .7.

As far as passing yards per completion on the offensive side of the ball, the upper hand is for Oakland by 1.8.

According to yards per point, the more efficient offense is Indianapolis by .2.

Defensively the more stingy team based on yards per rush is the Oakland Raiders by .2.

The superior defense in terms of passing yards per completion is Indianapolis by a signficant 2.7.

The yards per point statistic used by the best sports handicappers says the superior defense is

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Yards per point is determined by diving total yards by number of points. Offensively a lower number is considered more efficient. On defense, a higher number is better.

Spread betting trends (all records are against the spread): The Colts are 8-3 after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game, 34-15 following a S.U. win. Oakland is 5-0 after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game, 21-44 after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game, 4-20 as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.

Over/under trends: Indianapolis over 6-1 as road favorites. Oakland over 6-1 as home underdogs, but under 45-22 to teams with a winning record.

categoriaSports Betting News | commentoNo Comments dataDecember 26th, 2010
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Cowboys-Cardinals Betting Odds Preview For Christmas Night

By JoeDuffy.net Administrator

One of the best Vegas scores and odds contests this week in football is the clash between Cowboys vs. Cardinals for Christmas night.

The current Vegas point spread is Dallas -7 to 7.5 with varying juice with a total of 45 in most shops, but 45.5 in some.

The best sports picks experts use different key handicapping numbers than the square player. Here is a preview of that game from a handicapping standpoint.

In comparing yards per rush on offense, the superiority from a statistical standpoint goes to the Arizona Cardinals by .4.

Passing yards per completion is another gauge utilized by bettors. The advantage is possessed by Dallas by .4.

Possibly the most utilized number by professional bettors is yards per point. From the offensive viewpoint the positive checkmark is in the column of Dallas by a mere .1.

Now go to the key numbers on the defensive side of the ball. The yards per rush guide says the better run defense is Dallas by .1

The superior passing yards per completion data on defense give the upper hand to Arizona by that same .1 slim margin,

In terms of yards per point, the better defense is Arizona forcing 1.3 more.

Yards per point is determined by diving total yards by number of points. Offensively a lower number is considered more efficient. On defense, a higher number is better.

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Spread betting trends (all records are against the spread): Dallas is 17-4 after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game, but 1-6 as favorites.

Arizona 15-5 as home underdog of 3.5-10.0, 15-6 after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game, 1-6 grass.

Over/under trends: Dallas over 13-3 all, over 9-0 to NFC. Arizona over 21-7 after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.

categoriaSports Betting News | commentoNo Comments dataDecember 25th, 2010
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