UFC Fighting Free Picks

Here’s hoping the Wimbledon odds give us Federer/Nadal or at least Federer Murray. While Saturday’s UFC card doesn’t have anything of that magnitude, it does offer some important lightweight matchups to follow the TV show finale fights. Let’s make some sports predictions for the main events.

Diego Sanchez (22-2) vs Clay Guida (25-6)
Ultimate Fighter odds: Sanchez -260, Guida +200

If the rumors are true, only one man stands between Diego “Nightmare” Sanchez and a lightweight title show against the winner of Penn/Florian: Mr. Clay Guida. Guida is making a career out of winning judges over as an underdog and finds himself in that role again on Saturday. Sanchez, a strong grappler who won his season of The Ultimate Fighter two weight classes up at middleweight, is rapidly climbing the lightweight ranks. He combines good ground skills with technical if not powerful striking and can submit people too. He’s also one of the most intense fighters you’ll ever see, which makes Guida an interesting opponent. Guida is equally intense, but more in an up-tempo, plucky way. He uses his wrestling skill to grab hold of opponents and hang on tight. A lot of fight fans don’t like his style, but he scores points by dictating the pace of his bouts.

I still think Clay Guida is biting off more than he can chew in this one. He does well when he has a strength advantage over other fighters but the bigger Sanchez should take that away. Go with the more polished fighter here.

Best betting management pick: Diego Sanchez -260

Nate Diaz (10-3) vs Joe Stevenson (34-10)
Ultimate Fighter odds: Diaz -140, Stevenson +110

Bettor confidence in Joe Stevenson continues to plummet, and it’s no wonder—the former No. 1 lightweight contender keeps losing important fights. First BJ Penn, then Kenny Florian, then Diego Sanchez—all outclassed Stevenson by showing more versatility. Stevenson is a strong, stocky guy and he makes a name for himself with his ground-and-pound, but he’s gone away from what he does best of late. Diversifying is a good idea in theory, but not if you don’t do it well. Stevenson can’t seem to accomplish anything in the striking game, so it may be time for him to abandon it. Even if he does, though, the super-lanky Nate Diaz is a tough ground opponent with his Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu background. Stevenson has the power edge but Diaz may be the better technical fighter. I’d go with Diaz since Stevenson is giving us no reason to pick him of late.

Best betting management pick: Nate Diaz -140

US Open Betting Line, MLB and College World Series

Joe Buck has Artie Lang throw him under the bus (though the video has been removed by HBO), David Letterman attacks Sarah Palin’s 14-year-old daughter (but finally apologizes) and Bill Maher turns on Barack Obama, all the above in the name of publicity.

The top sports betting baseball service GodsTips is throwing the sportsbooks under the bus and getting publicity with winner after winner. Bookmakers are using worse language than the Shaker Heights Yearbook cover.

Today in the Daily Sports Roundup: The Royals send out their ace to take on the Diamondbacks, and the Yankees turn to an ice-cold pitcher against the Nationals.

College World Series

The College World Series odds still take center stage today as Virginia is favorite over Arkansas.

Meeting up on the diamond . . .

Zack Greinke (8-2, 1.72 ERA) and his Royals will play host to Max Scherzer (3-4, 3.63 ERA) and the Diamondbacks on Wednesday night. Righthander Greinke has slowed down considerably since his hot start to the season, allowing 11 earned runs over his last 19 1-3 innings pitched (for one loss and two no-decisions). Righthander Scherzer didn’t allow a run in either of his past two starts against the Padres and Giants, surrendering just six hits over his 12 2-3 innings.

As well, the Yankees will try to coax something out of struggling starter Chien-Ming Wang (0-4, 14.34 ERA) on Wednesday when they host the Nationals and John Lannan (3-5, 3.51 ERA). Righthander Wang lasted just 2 2-3 innings in a loss to the Red Sox last time out, giving up four earned runs on six hits. Lefthander Lannan has been a bright spot for the lowly Nationals this season; Lannan has surrendered three or fewer earned runs in nine of his last 10 starts.

Rounding out the MLB schedule for Wednesday: the White Sox at the Cubs, the Angels at San Francisco, Toronto at Philadelphia, the Mets at Baltimore, Milwaukee at Cleveland, Florida at Boston, Houston at Texas, Pittsburgh at Minnesota, Detroit at St. Louis, Tampa Bay at Colorado, Seattle at San Diego, Oakland at the Dodgers, and Atlanta at Cincinnati. Javier Vazquez (4-5, 3.31 ERA) starts for the Braves, and Micah Owings (3-7, 4.64 ERA) goes for the Reds.

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Rounding out the Roundup . . .

Elsewhere, there’s just one game on the WNBA schedule for Wednesday night, with Minnesota at Phoenix. The Mercury have been unbeatable at home so far this year – going 3-0 both straight-up and against-the-spread – and they’re coming off a 106-95 home win over Sacramento on Saturday. Diana Taurasi had 31 points for Phoenix in that victory, while Nicole Ohlde sat out with a foot injury.

US Open golf odds

The Vegas odds to win the US Open have no surprises as Tiger Woods is the overwhelming favorite at 3-2 with Phil Mickelson next at 12-1.

Athletics-Dodgers Lines Preview

The Oakland Athletics and the Los Angeles Dodgers will both be gunning for a victory on Wednesday when they meet at Dodger Stadium in an interleague contest.
The Athletics will give the ball to starter Trevor Cahill in this one. Righthander Cahill is 3-5 this season with a 4.17 ERA.
Cahill’s opponent in this one will be Hiroki Kuroda. The Dodgers righthander has a 2.86 ERA to go along with a 1-2 record this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Dodgers listed as 155-moneyline favorites versus the Athletics, while the game’s total has not yet been posted.
Matt Kemp’s run-scoring single in the bottom of the 10th inning lifted the Dodgers over the Athletics 5-4 on Tuesday night.
Los Angeles cashed as -145 home favorites as the game played OVER the 7.5-run total set by sportsbooks.
Casey Blake went 2-for-5 with two runs batted in for the Dodgers, while Guillermo Mota picked up the win in relief of starter Clayton Kershaw for Los Angeles.
Jason Giambi was 2-for-5 with a three-run blast for Oakland, as Brad Ziegler was handed the loss after allowing the winning run in the bottom of the 10th for the Athletics.
Current streak:
Oakland has lost 4 straight games.
Los Angeles has won 3 straight games.
Team records:
Oakland: 27-36 SU
Los Angeles: 43-22 SU
Oakland most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 4-6
Before playing LA Dodgers are 8-2
After playing LA Dodgers are 5-5
After a loss are 3-7

Los Angeles most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 7-3
Before playing Oakland are 4-6
After playing Oakland are 3-7
After a win are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
Oakland is 10-3 SU in their last 13 games when playing LA Dodgers
Oakland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Oakland is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
LA Dodgers are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games at home
LA Dodgers are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games
LA Dodgers are 3-10 SU in their last 13 games when playing Oakland
Next up:
LA Dodgers home to Oakland, Thursday, June 18

 

Mariners-Padres Lines Preview

The fans at PETCO Park will be treated to a game between the Seattle Mariners and the San Diego Padres when they take their seats on Wednesday.
Lefthander Garrett Olson will take the mound for the Mariners to start this game. Olson is 1-1 this season with a 4.84 ERA.
Olson‘s opponent in this one will be Chad Gaudin. The Padres righthander has a 6.42 ERA to go along with a 2-5 record this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Padres listed as 130-moneyline favorites versus the Mariners, while the game’s total has not yet been posted.
Felix Hernandez pitched a complete-game, two-hit shutout to earn the win, as the Mariners blanked the Padres 5-0 on Tuesday night.
Seattle won as -150 road favorites as the game played UNDER the 7-run total set by oddsmakers.
Ken Griffey Jr. knocked in a pair of runs for the Mariners, who got solo dingers from Adrian Beltre and Franklin Gutierrez in the payday.
Kevin Correia took the loss despite allowing only two runs over eight innings for San Diego, which went 0-for-4 with runners in scoring position on the night.
Current streak:
San Diego has lost 4 straight games.
Team records:
Seattle: 31-33 SU
San Diego: 28-35 SU
Seattle most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 7-3
Before playing San Diego are 6-4
After playing San Diego are 7-3
After a win are 5-5

San Diego most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 3-7
Before playing Seattle are 2-8
After playing Seattle are 2-8
After a loss are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Diego
Seattle is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games on the road
San Diego is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games at home
San Diego is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home
San Diego is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
San Diego is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
Next up:
San Diego home to Seattle, Thursday, June 18

 

Rays-Rockies Lines Preview

A winning streak will be on the line for the Tampa Bay Rays on Wednesday when they battle the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field.
David Price will be the starting pitcher for the Rays on this day. Lefthander Price is 1-0 this season with a 2.37 ERA.
The Rockies will counter Price with ace Aaron Cook. Righthander Cook has a 4.26 ERA to go along with a 5-3 record this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Rockies listed as 117-moneyline favorites versus the Rays, while the game’s total has not yet been posted.
Gabe Kapler went 3-for-4 with a solo homer and four runs batted in, as the Rays drilled the Rockies 12-4 on Tuesday night.
Tampa Bay cashed as +120 road underdogs as the teams played OVER the 10-run total set by sportsbooks.
B.J. Upton was 3-for-5 with a two-run big fly and three RBIs for Tampa Bay, while Jeff Niemann allowed three runs over five innings to get the win for Tampa Bay.
Dexter Fowler knocked in two runs for Colorado, as losing pitcher Jorge De La Rosa was rocked for seven runs 2 1-3 innings for the Rockies.
Current streak:
Tampa Bay has won 6 straight games.
Team records:
Tampa Bay: 35-31 SU
Colorado: 31-33 SU
Tampa Bay most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 7-3
Before playing Colorado are 4-6
After playing Colorado are 5-4
After a win are 8-2

Colorado most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 7-3
Before playing Tampa Bay are 7-3
After playing Tampa Bay are 6-3
After a loss are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Colorado
Tampa Bay is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Tampa Bay is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Colorado is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
Colorado is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
Colorado is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Colorado is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
Next up:
Colorado home to Tampa Bay, Thursday, June 18

 

Tigers-Cardinals Lines Preview

The fans at Busch Stadium will be treated to a game between the Detroit Tigers and the St. Louis Cardinals when they take their seats on Wednesday.
The Tigers will give the ball to starter Edwin Jackson in this one. Righthander Jackson is 6-3 this season with a 2.24 ERA.
Starting this game for the Cardinals will be Todd Wellemeyer. The righthander has a 5.50 ERA to go along with a 5-6 record this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Tigers listed as 125-moneyline favorites versus the Cardinals, while the game’s total has not yet been posted.
Brendan Ryan knocked in three runs, as the Cardinals slammed the Tigers 11-2 on Tuesday night.
St. Louis won as +100 home underdogs as the game played OVER the 7-run total listed by oddsmakers.
Yadier Molina went 2-for-3 with two runs batted in for the Cardinals, while winning pitcher Adam Wainwright allowed only one run over seven innings for St. Louis.
Miguel Cabrera was 2-for-3 with a solo shot for Detroit, as Justin Verlander was tagged for five runs over four innings to take the loss for the Tigers.
Current streak:
Detroit has lost 3 straight games.
Team records:
Detroit:
34-30 SU
St.
Louis: 35-30 SU
Detroit most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 5-5
Before playing St. Louis are 5-5
After playing St. Louis are 6-4
After a loss are 4-6

St. Louis most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 2-8
Before playing Detroit are 3-7
After playing Detroit are 4-6
After a win are 3-7

A few trends to consider:
Detroit is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing St. Louis
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
St. Louis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
St. Louis is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Detroit
St. Louis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Next up:
St. Louis home to Detroit, Thursday, June 18

 

Pirates-Twins Lines Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates and the Minnesota Twins will both be gunning for a victory on Wednesday when they meet at The Metrodome.
The Pirates will trot Ian Snell out to the mound in this one. Righthander Snell has a 1-7 record and a 5.25 ERA this season.
Starting this game for the Twins will be ace Francisco Liriano. The lefthander has a 5.99 ERA to go along with a 2-7 record this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Twins listed as 190-moneyline favorites versus the Pirates, while the game’s total has not yet been posted.
Joe Mauer went 4-for-4 with a run batted in, as the Twins cruised past the Pirates 8-2 on Tuesday night.
Minnesota won as -155 home favorites as the game played OVER the 9-run total listed by sportsbooks.
Glen Perkins gave up two runs over six innings to get the victory for the Twins, who banged out 16 hits in the payday.
Nyjer Morgan hit a two-run dinger for Pittsburgh, while Paul Maholm was roughed up for eight runs over five innings to take the loss for the Pirates.
Team records:
Pittsburgh: 30-34 SU
Minnesota: 33-33 SU
Pittsburgh most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 4-6
Before playing Minnesota are 4-6
After playing Minnesota are 3-7
After a loss are 6-4

Minnesota most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 5-5
Before playing Pittsburgh are 5-5
After playing Pittsburgh are 8-2
After a win are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Pittsburgh is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Pittsburgh
Minnesota is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games at home
Minnesota is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Minnesota is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Next up:
Minnesota home to Pittsburgh, Thursday, June 18

 

Diamondbacks-Royals Lines Preview

The fans at Kauffman Stadium will be treated to a interleague game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the Kansas City Royals when they take their seats on Wednesday.
Max Scherzer will be the starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks on this day. Righthander Scherzer is 3-4 this season with a 3.66 ERA.
Scherzer’s opponent in this one will be Zach Greinke. The Royals righthander has a 1.72 ERA to go along with a 8-2 record this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Royals listed as 165-moneyline favorites versus the Diamondbacks, while the game’s total has not yet been posted.
Gil Meche tossed a complete-game, four-hit shutout to lead the Royals over the Diamondbacks 5-0 on Tuesday night.
Kansas City cashed as -150 home favorites as the game played UNDER the 8.5-run total listed by oddsmakers.
Mark Teahen went 3-for-4 with a run batted in for the Royals, while Mike Jacobs was 2-for-4 for Kansas City.
Doug Davis allowed three earned runs over 5 2-3 innings to take the loss for Arizona, which made three errors on the night.
Current streak:
Arizona has lost 3 straight games.
Kansas City has won 4 straight games.
Team records:
Arizona: 27-38 SU
Kansas City: 29-34 SU
Arizona most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 4-6
Before playing Kansas City are 5-5
After playing Kansas City are 3-7
After a loss are 5-5

Kansas City most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 6-4
Before playing Arizona are 6-4
After playing Arizona are 9-1
After a win are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
Arizona is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Arizona is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
Arizona is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Kansas City
Kansas City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Kansas City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Kansas City is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games
Next up:
Kansas City home to Arizona, Thursday, June 18

 

Astros-Rangers Odds Preview

The Houston Astros and the Texas Rangers will both be gunning for a victory on Wednesday when they meet at Rangers Ballpark in an interleague contest.
Russ Ortiz will be the starting pitcher for the Astros on this day. Righthander Ortiz is 2-1 this season with a 4.43 ERA.
It’ll be Matt Harrison toeing the rubber for the Rangers in this contest. Lefthander Harrison is 4-4 with a 5.43 ERA so far this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Rangers listed as 155-moneyline favorites versus the Astros, while the game’s total has not yet been posted.
Ian Kinsler went 3-for-4 with two homers, as the Rangers handled the Astros 6-1 on Tuesday night.
Texas cashed as -145 home favorites as the game played UNDER the 9-run total listed by sportsbooks.
Michael Young was 2-for-4 with two runs batted in for the Rangers, while Kevin Millwood earned the win after allowing one run over seven innings for Texas.
Ivan Rodriguez went deep for Houston, as losing pitcher Wandy Rodriguez was tagged for six runs over four innings for the Astros.
Team records:
Houston: 29-33 SU
Texas: 36-27 SU
Houston most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 4-6
Before playing Texas are 4-6
After playing Texas are 2-8
After a loss are 6-4

Texas most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 5-5
Before playing Houston are 6-4
After playing Houston are 6-4
After a win are 3-7

A few trends to consider:
Houston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Houston is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Texas
Houston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Texas
Texas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Houston
Texas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Houston
Texas is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games at home
Next up:
Texas home to Houston, Thursday, June 18

 

Braves-Reds Lines Preview

The Atlanta Braves and the Cincinnati Reds will both be trying to pick up a win on Wednesday when they battle at Great American Ball Park.
Javier Vazquez will be the starting pitcher for the Braves on this day. Righthander Vazquez is 4-5 this season with a 3.31 ERA.
It’ll be Micah Owings toeing the rubber for the Reds in this contest. Righthander Owings is 3-6 with a 4.92 ERA so far this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Braves listed as 145-moneyline favorites versus the Reds, while the game’s total has not yet been posted.
Laynce Nix was 3-for-5 with three runs batted in to lead the Reds past the Braves 7-2 on Tuesday night.
Cincinnati cashed as +100 home underdogs as the teams played OVER the 8-run total posted by oddsmakers.
Alex Gonzalez drove in two runs for the Reds, while Danny Herrera picked up the win in relief of starter Aaron Harang for Cincinnati.
Garret Anderson went 2-for-4 with an RBI for Atlanta, as losing pitcher Jair Jurrjens allowed one run over two innings before being pulled following a rain delay.
Current streak:
Atlanta has lost 3 straight games.
Team records:
Atlanta: 30-33 SU
Cincinnati: 32-31 SU
Atlanta most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 2-8
Before playing Cincinnati are 6-4
After playing Cincinnati are 6-4
After a loss are 4-6

Cincinnati most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 6-4
Before playing Atlanta are 3-7
After playing Atlanta are 5-5
After a win are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
Atlanta is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
Atlanta is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Atlanta is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Cincinnati is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Cincinnati is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
Cincinnati is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
Cincinnati is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Next up:
Cincinnati home to Atlanta, Thursday, June 18

 

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