College Football Point Spreads: Florida State 2009 Preview

The top football handicap betting experts are studying the college football picks matchups. Meanwhile Bodog takes a look at how off-field problems could affect the FSU Seminoles.

Could bad news for Florida State’s athletic department actually turn into a positive for the 2009 Seminole football team? I would argue yes.

But let’s backtrack a minute. I’m speaking of a letter from the NCAA’s Committee on Infractions that was released Thursday. It defended its original penalties imposed on the school’s athletic program, which includes vacating up to 14 victories from the football team.

Losing those 14 wins would be crushing to coach Bobby Bowden as he continues to jockey with Penn State’s Joe Paterno for the all-time wins record in college football – Paterno currently leads 383-382.

Obviously if that lead suddenly was 15 wins for JoePa, that’s not going to be a total that Bowden is going to make up in the limited time he has left on the sideline. It’s not like the Nittany Lions are going to go winless in a season any time soon.

The vacation of wins (in nine other sports too) is the only penalty Florida State is appealing as a result of a widespread cheating scandal involving an online music course in 2006 and 2007, seasons in which FSU won 14 total games in football. School officials know what the record means to Bowden. A final decision isn’t likely to come until August, with FSU still having to respond to the letter and oral arguments heard from both sides by the Infractions Appeal Committee.

“Joe would not want to win this thing the way they [NCAA] are doing this,” Bowden told reporters.

You might be asking how this could possibly affect FSU from a betting standpoint – the ‘Noles are 20/1 on Bodog to win this season’s BCS National Championship. But let’s say that this penalty is enforced. That would probably ensure that 2009 will be the final season that Bowden would coach. In January he signed just a one-year extension for this year, though he has an option for a second season. Bowden turns 80 in November and has said he has a date in mind as to when it he will hang it up.

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Wouldn’t playing on Bowden’s final team be quite a bit of motivation for those FSU players? Shoot, the coach might even use it to fire his guys up at times. And it’s not like the 2009 Seminoles don’t have a shot to run the table. It’s a long shot, especially with that season finale at Florida. But FSU could be a favorite in every other game, with the biggest tests likely coming in the season opener against Miami and games at BYU, North Carolina and Clemson.

It would be too bad for Bowden’s possible final season to start with this hanging over the program, but maybe Bowden can perform one last bit of coaching magic and use it to his advantage. Even if the coach is too proud to use his swan song to motivate his kids, you can be sure the other coaches on the staff would harp and it and that the players would want to send Bowden out in style. Sounds like a rallying point to me.

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Tuesday Sports Betting Headlines: Erin Andrews Peephole, Ben Roethlisberger Lawsuit

Today in the Daily Sports Roundup: The White Sox play host to the Rays, the Red Sox take on the Rangers, and the Cubs continue their series in Philadelphia.

Sports headlines….

A pervert used a peephole to videotape ESPN bombshell Erin Andrews without her knowledge. The predator allegedly has tried to sell the Erin Andrews peephole pictures. A video link was grainy and posted on the Internet…Andrea McNulty of Nevada has alleged that Pittsburgh Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger sexually assaulted her. Even though the alleged incident occurred a year ago, a criminal case was never filed, only a civil suit demanding money…The Tour de France stage 16 is underway.

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Colliding in the Junior Circuit  . . .

Josh Beckett (11-3, 3.35 ERA) will be looking for his 12th win of the season on Tuesday night when his Red Sox continue their road series against the Rangers and Tommy Hunter (1-1, 2.35 ERA). Righthander Beckett has picked up the win in each of his last two starts, and Boston is 8-2 over his last 10 trips to the mound. Righthander Hunter had to settle for a no-decision versus the Mariners in his most recent start despite throwing six scoreless innings and allowing four hits.

Also on the American League schedule for Tuesday: Seattle at Detroit, Baltimore at the Yankees, Cleveland at Toronto, the Angels at Kansas City, Minnesota at Oakland, and Tampa Bay at the White Sox. Rays starter Jeff Niemann (8-4, 3.73 ERA) is coming off a stellar outing against the A’s in which he tossed a complete-game shutout. Clayton Richard (3-3, 5.42 ERA) gets the ball for Chicago on Tuesday night; Richard has given up 10 earned runs over his last 4 2-3 innings.

 

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Clashing in the Senior Circuit . . .

It’ll be Rich Harden (6-6, 5.06 ERA) taking on Joe Blanton (6-4, 4.44 ERA) on Tuesday night as the Cubs and Phillies continue their series in Philadelphia. Righthander Harden got back into the win column last time out, holding the Nationals to one unearned run on three hits over six innings of work. Righthander Blanton has come up big in each of his last two starts, allowing only one earned run on eight hits over 14 2-3 innings in those games against the Pirates and Mets.

Rounding out the National League slate for Tuesday: the Mets at Washington, Milwaukee at Pittsburgh, San Francisco at Atlanta, St. Louis at Houston, Florida at San Diego, Cincinnati at the Dodgers, and Arizona at Colorado. Max Scherzer (5-6, 3.64 ERA) will get the ball for the Diamondbacks on Tuesday, while the Rockies counter with Aaron Cook (9-3, 3.85 ERA). Righthander Cook gave up just one earned run on eight hits over six innings versus the Padres last time out.

Rounding out the Roundup . . .

Finally, the WNBA offers up just one game on Tuesday night, with Indiana at Washington. The Fever saw their 11-game winning streak come to an end on Sunday as they fell 67-61 to Connecticut. Indiana is now 11-3 straight-up and 9-5 against-the-spread on the season. The Mystics are coming off a slim 68-67 win over New York on Saturday, with Lindsey Harding providing a game-high 23 points. Washington is now 7-6 SU and 7-5-1 ATS through 13 games this season.

Reds-Dodgers Lines Preview

A winning streak will be on the line for the Los Angeles Dodgers on Tuesday when they battle the Cincinnati Reds at Dodger Stadium.
The Reds will give the ball to starter Homer Bailey in this one. Righthander Bailey is 1-1 this season with a 6.43 ERA.
Starting this game for the Dodgers will be Randy Wolf. The lefthander has a 3.51 ERA to go along with a 4-4 record this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Dodgers listed as 200-moneyline favorites versus the Reds, while the game’s total has not yet been posted.
Manny Ramirez went 2-for-4 with a two-run big fly, as the Dodgers got past the Reds 7-5 on Monday night.
Los Angeles cashed as -165 home favorites as the game played OVER the 9-run total listed by oddsmakers.
Andre Ethier was 2-for-4 with a solo drive and two runs batted in for the Dodgers, while Jason Schmidt got the win after giving up three runs over five innings for Los Angeles.
Brandon Phillips went 3-for-4 with an RBI for Cincinnati, as losing pitcher Micah Owings was roughed up for seven runs over five innings for the Reds.
Current streak:
Los Angeles has won 3 straight games.
Team records:
Cincinnati: 44-48 SU
Los Angeles: 59-34 SU
Cincinnati most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 2-8
Before playing LA Dodgers are 4-6
After playing LA Dodgers are 2-8
After a loss are 6-4

Los Angeles most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 5-5
Before playing Cincinnati are 6-4
After playing Cincinnati are 7-3
After a win are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
Cincinnati is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Cincinnati is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
LA Dodgers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
LA Dodgers are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games at home
LA Dodgers are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games
Next up:
LA Dodgers home to Cincinnati, Wednesday, July 22

 

Twins-Athletics Odds Preview

The Minnesota Twins will be fighting to snap a losing streak on Tuesday when they take on the Oakland Athletics at Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum.
Righthander Anthony Swarzak will take the mound for the Twins to start this game. Swarzak is 2-3 this season with a 4.50 ERA.
It’ll be Dallas Braden toeing the rubber for the Athletics in this contest. Lefthander Braden is 7-8 with a 3.45 ERA so far this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Athletics listed as 140-moneyline favorites versus the Twins, while the game’s total has not yet been posted.
Matt Holliday was 4-for-5 with two homers and six runs batted in to lead the Athletics over the Twins 14-13 on Monday night.
Oakland cashed as +115 home underdogs as the game played OVER the 9-run total posted by oddsmakers.
Jack Cust went 3-for-4 with a solo dinger and two RBIs for the Athletics, while Craig Breslow picked up the win in relief of starter Gio Gonzalez for Oakland.
Justin Morneau was 3-for-5 with two big flies and seven RBIs for Minnesota, as Jose Mijares was handed the loss after coming into the game for Twins starter Nick Blackburn.
Current streak:
Minnesota has lost 2 straight games.
Team records:
Minnesota: 47-46 SU
Oakland: 39-52 SU
Minnesota most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 5-5
Before playing Oakland are 5-5
After playing Oakland are 7-3
After a loss are 7-3

Oakland most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 4-6
Before playing Minnesota are 5-5
After playing Minnesota are 3-7
After a win are 3-7

A few trends to consider:
Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Minnesota is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Oakland is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Oakland is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games at home
Next up:
Oakland home to Minnesota, Wednesday, July 22

 

Marlins-Padres Odds Preview

The San Diego Padres will be fighting to snap a losing streak on Tuesday when they take on the Florida Marlins at PETCO Park.
Chris Volstad will be the starting pitcher for the Marlins on this day. Righthander Volstad is 6-9 this season with a 4.53 ERA.
Meanwhile, it’ll be Chad Gaudin who starts for the Padres. Righthander Gaudin is 4-8 with a 4.96 ERA so far this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Marlins listed as 120-moneyline favorites versus the Padres, while the game’s total has not yet been posted.
Hanley Ramirez homered, as the Marlins trimmed the Padres 3-2 on Monday night.
Florida won as -110 road favorites as the game played UNDER the 8-run total set by oddsmakers.
Rick VandenHurk gave up two runs over six innings to earn the win for the Marlins, while Jeremy Hermida went 2-for-4 for Florida.
Adrian Gonzalez and Kevin Kouzmanoff each went 2-for-4 with a solo shot for San Diego, as reliever Greg Burke was tagged with the loss for the Padres.
Current streak:
San Diego has lost 2 straight games.
Team records:
Florida: 47-47 SU
San Diego: 37-56 SU
Florida most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 4-6
Before playing San Diego are 4-6
After playing San Diego are 7-3
After a win are 5-5

San Diego most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 4-6
Before playing Florida are 4-6
After playing Florida are 4-6
After a loss are 2-8

A few trends to consider:
Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego
Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Diego
Florida is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Florida is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
San Diego is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Florida
San Diego is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida
San Diego is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
San Diego is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games
Next up:
San Diego home to Florida, Wednesday, July 22

 

Diamondbacks-Rockies Odds Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks and the Colorado Rockies will meet on the field at Coors Field on Tuesday in a battle of division rivals.
Max Scherzer will be the starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks on this day. Righthander Scherzer is 5-6 this season with a 3.67 ERA.
It’ll be ace Aaron Cook toeing the rubber for the Rockies in this contest. Righthander Cook is 9-3 with a 3.85 ERA so far this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Rockies listed as 145-moneyline favorites versus the Diamondbacks, while the game’s total has not yet been posted.
Jorge De La Rosa allowed only one run over seven innings to earn the win, as the Rockies held off the Diamondbacks 10-6 on Monday night.
Colorado won as -145 home favorites as the game played OVER the 9.5-run total listed by oddsmakers.
De La Rosa went 2-for-2 with two runs batted in at the plate for the Rockies, who got a two-run dinger from Dexter Fowler in the win.
Stephen Drew was 2-for-5 with a two-run homer and three RBIs for Arizona, while Doug Davis was rocked for eight runs over 2 1-3 innings to take the loss for the Diamondbacks.
Current streak:
Arizona has lost 2 straight games.
Colorado has won 2 straight games.
Team records:
Arizona: 39-54 SU
Colorado: 51-42 SU
Arizona most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 6-4
Before playing Colorado are 4-6
After playing Colorado are 6-4
After a loss are 4-6

Colorado most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 5-5
Before playing Arizona are 4-6
After playing Arizona are 5-5
After a win are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona’s last 5 games on the road
Arizona is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Arizona is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona’s last 6 games
Colorado is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Colorado is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado’s last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado’s last 6 games
Next up:
Colorado home to Arizona, Wednesday, July 22

 

Rays-White Sox Lines Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays and the Chicago White Sox will both be trying to pick up a win on Tuesday when they battle at U.S. Cellular Field.
Jeff Niemann will be the starting pitcher for the Rays on this day. Righthander Niemann is 8-4 this season with a 3.55 ERA.
Niemann’s opponent in this one will be Clayton Richard. The White Sox lefthander has a 5.75 ERA to go along with a 3-3 record this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Rays listed as 137-moneyline favorites versus the White Sox, while the game’s total has not yet been posted.
Paul Konerko went 2-for-4 with a three-run shot to lead the White Sox over the Rays 4-3 on Monday night.
Chicago cashed as -110 home favorites as the teams played UNDER the 9-run total listed by oddsmakers.
Winning pitcher Gavin Floyd allowed three runs over seven innings for the White Sox, who got a run batted in from Jermaine Dye in the payday.
Carl Crawford was 2-for-3 with a solo drive for Tampa Bay, while David Price was handed the loss after giving up four runs over six innings for the Rays.
Team records:
Tampa Bay: 51-42
SU
Chicago
: 48-44 SU
Tampa Bay most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 4-6
Before playing Chi White Sox are 6-4
After playing Chi White Sox are 3-7
After a loss are 4-6

Chicago most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 5-5
Before playing Tampa Bay are 4-6
After playing Tampa Bay are 5-5
After a win are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay’s last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Tampa Bay’s last 18 games
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Tampa Bay’s last 24 games when playing Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox’s last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Chi White Sox are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chi White Sox’s last 8 games
Next up:
Chi White Sox home to Tampa Bay, Wednesday, July 22

 

Red Sox-Rangers Lines Preview

The Texas Rangers will be trying to extend a winning streak on Tuesday when they take on the Boston Red Sox at Rangers Ballpark.
Ace righthander Josh Beckett will take the mound for the Red Sox to start this game. Beckett is 11-3 this season with a 3.35 ERA.
Starting this game for the Rangers will be Tommy Hunter. The righthander has a 2.35 ERA to go along with a 1-1 record this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Red Sox listed as 170-moneyline favorites versus the Rangers, while the game’s total has not yet been posted.
David Murphy was 2-for-4 with a two-run homer, as the Rangers defeated the Red Sox 6-3 on Monday night.
Texas won as -115 home favorites as the teams played UNDER the 10-run total listed by sportsbooks.
Hank Blalock went 2-for-4 with two runs batted in for the Rangers, while Kevin Millwood gave up two runs over six innings to earn the win for Texas.
Kevin Youkilis was 2-for-4 with an RBI for Boston, as losing pitcher John Smoltz was tagged for six runs over 5 2-3 innings for the Red Sox.
Current streak:
Boston has lost 3 straight games.
Texas has won 2 straight games.
Team records:
Boston: 55-37 SU
Texas: 50-41 SU
Boston most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 9-1
Before playing Texas are 7-3
After playing Texas are 7-3
After a loss are 7-3

Texas most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 5-5
Before playing Boston are 5-5
After playing Boston are 3-7
After a win are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston’s last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston’s last 5 games when playing Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston’s last 5 games on the road
Boston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas’s last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas’s last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas’s last 5 games when playing Boston
Texas is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home
Next up:
Texas home to Boston, Wednesday, July 22

 

Cardinals-Astros Odds Preview

The St. Louis Cardinals and the Houston Astros will both be gunning for a victory on Tuesday when they meet at Minute Maid Park.
The Cardinals will give the ball to starter Todd Wellemeyer in this one. Righthander Wellemeyer is 7-7 this season with a 5.58 ERA.
It’ll be Wandy Rodriguez toeing the rubber for the Astros in this contest. Lefthander Rodriguez is 9-6 with a 2.81 ERA so far this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Astros listed as 150-moneyline favorites versus the Cardinals, while the game’s total has not yet been posted.
Carlos Lee hit a three-run homer to lift the Astros over the Cardinals 3-2 on Monday night.
Houston cashed as a -105 home pick ’em, as the teams played UNDER the 9-run total listed by sportsbooks.
Brian Moehler allowed two runs over 6 1-3 innings to get the win for the Astros, while Jose Valverde picked up the save for Houston.
Yadier Molina drove in both runs for St.Louis, as Kyle Lohse gave up three runs over seven innings to take the loss for the Cardinals.
Team records:
St. Louis: 51-44
SU
Houston
: 47-46 SU
St. Louis most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 7-3
Before playing Houston are 6-4
After playing Houston are 7-3
After a loss are 6-4

Houston most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 6-4
Before playing St. Louis are 4-6
After playing St. Louis are 4-6
After a win are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis’s last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis’s last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of St. Louis’s last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of St. Louis’s last 13 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston’s last 6 games
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston’s last 5 games when playing St. Louis
Next up:
Houston home to St. Louis, Wednesday, July 22

 

Giants-Braves Lines Preview

A winning streak will be on the line for the Atlanta Braves on Tuesday when they battle the San Francisco Giants at Turner Field.
The Giants will trot Ryan Sadowski out to the mound in this one. Righthander Sadowski has a 2-1 record and a 1.00 ERA this season.
Starting this game for the Braves will be ace Derek Lowe. The righthander has a 4.40 ERA to go along with a 8-7 record this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Braves listed as 210-moneyline favorites versus the Giants, while the game’s total has not yet been posted.
Ryan Church was 2-for-2 with a two-run dinger and three runs batted in, as the Braves slammed the Giants 11-3 on Monday night.
Atlanta won as -155 home favorites as the game played OVER the 8.5-run total set by sportsbooks.
Matt Diaz went 2-for-4 with two RBIs for the Braves, while winning pitcher Tommy Hanson gave up three runs over seven innings for Atlanta.
Randy Winn was 2-for-4 with two RBIs for San Francisco, as Sergio Romo was tagged with the loss in relief of starter Jonathan Sanchez for the Giants.
Current streak:
Atlanta has won 2 straight games.
Team records:
San Francisco: 50-42 SU
Atlanta: 47-46 SU
San Francisco most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 5-5
Before playing Atlanta are 6-4
After playing Atlanta are 6-4
After a loss are 6-4

Atlanta most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 5-5
Before playing San Francisco are 4-6
After playing San Francisco are 3-7
After a win are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
San Francisco is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco’s last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco’s last 7 games
San Francisco is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Francisco
Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Francisco
Next up:
Atlanta home to San Francisco, Wednesday, July 22

 

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